Follow Carlos Slim and Fatten Your Portfolio

Follow Carlos Slim and Fatten Your Portfolio

by Carl Delfeld, Investment U Senior Analyst
Thursday, June 23, 2011: Issue #1541

Do you know anyone who could be fined in the morning for a cool $1 billion for “monopolistic practices” and still have a great day?

I do.

He has built a portfolio of companies worth an estimated $80 billion, representing an incredible 40 percent of the value of Mexico’s entire stock market!

This makes Carlos Slim the world’s wealthiest individual by a comfortable margin over laggard Warren Buffett. You’ll soon see that Mr. Slim and Mr. Buffett share more than just living in homes purchased 40 years ago and driving their own cars…

Carlos Slim’s Telecom Empire

At the core of the Carlos Slim’s empire are two companies that have a lock on Mexico’s telecom market.

  • America Movil (NYSE: AMX) is Latin America’s largest telecom company by assets.
  • Slim also controls Telmex (PINK: TMLSF), acquired for only $1.7 billion.

These companies are being merged, setting the stage for his next move.

But this snapshot only gives us part of the story. More importantly, where is Mr. Slim headed next and how we can follow his wealth-building model to grow our own portfolios? And you can become a better investor just by paying attention to a few simple wealth-building lessons that I learned by observing him.

Five Wealth-Building Lessons From Carlo Slim

We can all become better investors by paying attention to a few simple wealth-building lessons that I learned by observing Carlos Slim…

  • Follow the Growth – Mr. Slim was lucky in being born a citizen of an emerging nation with plenty of room for growth. It’s unlikely that he would’ve built his giant fortune on such a scale, and so rapidly, in a well-developed market like Canada or America.
  • Follow the Monopolies – We all learned in Economics 101 that most monopolies are bad – unless you’re an investor. Slim takes Warren Buffett’s “economic moat” strategy to the extreme, going for outright control. America Movil dominates the cellphone business through Telcel, while Telmex controls 80 percent of Mexico’s landline market. Because of many emerging countries’ politics, culture and business practices, opportunities to invest in monopolies are much higher in emerging markets than western ones.
  • Follow the Consumer – Slim’s companies are focused on the simple needs of consumers. Most of his companies provide a platform for people to communicate with each other – how simple is that?It seems his strategy for future growth is to smartly move up the food chain and target the rising emerging middle-class demand for value-added services such as internet content and video.
  • Follow Diversification – While Slim’s telecom holdings get all the attention, he has been careful to build a widely diversified portfolio. Real estate, hotels, banking and finance, department stores, tobacco and even a 6.4 percent stake in The New York Times all have a place in his portfolio.
  • Follow the Numbers and Be Mindful of Value – Getting the big picture right is important, but it must be coupled with old-fashioned number crunching. Slim’s ability to quickly read a balance sheet is legendary and his hobby of mastering baseball statistics speaks volumes about his inclination for cold-hard facts.

How Carlos Slim Keeps His Eyes on the Prize

Keeping his eye on the numbers also prevents Slim from letting his emotions get in the way of common sense. While many are pulling back from emerging markets due to their pullback and volatility, Slim keeps his eyes on the prize recently stating:

“Anyone who is not investing now is missing a tremendous opportunity.”

But his optimism about betting on the future of Latin America’s consumer is tempered by being very mindful of value and opportunistic in a time of crisis. One example is his plunge into Brazilian telecoms in 2002 as its stock market was crashing.

You and I may never top the Forbes wealth derby, but we can learn from those masters, like Mr. Slim, who show us the way.

Good investing,

Carl Delfeld

Since Last Year, It’s Been Nothing But “Drill, Baby, Drill”

Since Last Year, It’s Been Nothing But “Drill, Baby, Drill”

by David Fessler, Investment U Senior Analyst
Thursday, June 23, 2011

When Michael Steele first coined the phrase “drill, baby, drill” during a speech at the 2008 Republican National Convention, he suggested the United States needed to increase drilling for oil and gas and to become more energy independent.

No kidding…

But since then – believe it or not – “drill, baby, drill” is exactly what’s been happening…

How Much Drilling is More Drilling?

Domestic production is currently at its highest level since 2003. In spite of a massive spill in the Gulf of Mexico, and an administration largely opposed to increased drilling and fossil fuels in general.

If you need proof, look at the Baker Hughes Inc. (NYSE: BHI) weekly rotary rig counts. The oilfield services company keeps track of all rigs operating in the United States and updates that count every week. (You can download the free app for your iPhone or iPad, if you have one.)

According to Hughes’ numbers:

  • This time last year there were 1,539 drill rigs operating in the United States. That number includes both land and water-based rigs.
  • This week, that number is 1,860.

That’s nearly a 21 percent increase over last year.

Where’s All The Increase Coming From?

Last year it was gas shale plays. Then the price for natural gas cratered.

As evidence, the number of rigs currently drilling for natural gas in the United States is down.

  • The number currently stands at just 864 rigs.
  • That compares to 953 at this time last year, a decrease of 10 percent.

Global tensions being what they are, the price of oil has remained relatively high… and it looks to be headed higher – Greece debt-worries notwithstanding.

That’s shifted the focus away from natural gas and towards drilling for crude. Like natural gas, much of America’s crude is locked up in tight shale formations.

Oil Drilling in U.S.  Steadily Increases

Hughes reports the number of rigs drilling for oil in the United States increased by 10 to 984 in just the last week, and by 410 in the last year.

That’s a whopping 71 percent increase in the number of rigs drilling for oil.

That makes oil and gas services companies like Baker Hughes, Schlumberger Limited (NYSE: SLB) and Halliburton Company (NYSE: HAL) worth a look.

All three saw significant gains this year, but all are well off their highs reached in early June. Demand for oil is as strong as ever, and so is the push for energy independence.

That will keep existing drills turning, new ones being brought online weekly and companies like the three mentioned above with lots of business.

Good investing,

David Fessler

Precious Metal Trading Banned for US Investors?

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Rumors are circulating this week that an article in the Dodd-Frank Act will bar US traders from participating in over-the-counter precious metals trading beginning 15 July 2011. The story began when Forex.com announced to its customers that its precious metals operations would be closing shortly due to regulatory pressure.

The regulation apparently will not affect the trading practices of other countries; it will merely limit the influence the US investment establishment has over the volatile pricing of precious metals like gold, silver, and platinum.

Several lawyers and economists claim that the law in question, Section 742(a) of the Dodd-Frank Act, however, does not in fact prohibit commodity trading in such a way. It merely limits who can participate in the commodity markets. Many analysts are claiming that Forex.com’s maneuver is an overreaction to regulatory pressures and not representative of the international forex brokerage environment.

Read more forex trading news on our forex blog.

Swiss Trade Surplus Soars in June

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The trade balance report from Switzerland this morning revealed a sudden jump in its surplus, signaling far more exports than imports for the Alpine nation. The forecasted 1.68B surplus was trounced by an actual 3.31B gap between imports and exports.

Recent downturns in Swiss economic data may be partially behind today’s trade surplus reading. It has widely been argued that Switzerland’s currency, the franc (CHF), is approaching, or breaching, record highs against several currency counterparts and this may in turn be gouging exports. However, the downtick in value recently may have boosted exporting capabilities to previous levels and boosted the nation’s trade surplus.

Read more forex trading news on our forex blog.

British Sales Data Signals Contraction

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The Confederation of British Industry (CBI) published its realized sales report this morning reflecting the turndown in consumer optimism and spending. The news comes only days after many nations reported a contraction in retail sales and consumer spending levels. Expectations were for mild growth in the index, but the actual figure came out with a reading of negative 2, signaling a contraction in spending at the wholesale and retail level.

The news has so far had little impact on the British pound, however, as most investors are focusing on flash services and manufacturing data out of the euro zone that is highlighting an impending dismal second quarter. The news only adds to the risk averse nature of today’s trading environment.

Read more forex trading news on our forex blog.

Thursday June 23rd – Mid Week Report

By Chris Vermeulen

A Short Post with my current thoughts on the Financial Markets (US Dollar, Crude, Gold, Stocks).

  1. Yesterday was do or die day for stocks and commodities to breakout but they failed once again at resistance.
  2. The US Dollar in overnight trading has made a strong move up and that is putting pressure on stocks and commodities.
  3. Gold touched a key resistance level yesterday as expected and sellers quickly sold it back down along with silver.
  4. Crude Oil continues to pullback to our target of $88 per barrel.
  5. We continue to let the market work it’s self out before taking anymore action.

Also feel free to check out my latest trading Video for further explanation.

Dismal Turnout from Euro Zone Flash Data

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This morning’s string of reports from France, Germany and the broader euro zone disappointed many investors seeking an excuse to turn towards riskier assets. The climactic week we’ve seen left many wanting more information on what direction markets will turn and were expecting today’s flash manufacturing and service numbers to fill in some gaps.

Most of the day’s reports were slightly below forecasts, suggesting what traders already knew: manufacturing is in decline this quarter. But the fall in services output from all but Germany gave cause for concern. Traders are beginning to see some downward movement in the riskier assets as a result of this morning’s news. One can only wonder when the recovery will be solid enough to warrant a return to normal market conditions.

Read more forex trading news on our forex blog.

Bloom Says Dollar Next Currency to Come `Under Threat’

June 23 (Bloomberg) — David Bloom, global head of currency strategy at HSBC Holdings Plc, talks about U.S. and U.K. central banks’ monetary policies and the outlook for global currencies. Bloom speaks with Rishaad Salamat on Bloomberg Television’s “On the Move Asia.” (Source: Bloomberg)