Daily Market Wrap: January 17, 2012

The markets managed to hold onto their gains today, despite some disappointing earnings results, which were offset by news out of China, which reported GDP growth which beat expectations. Citigroup (C) was the latest bank to report earnings, which missed analysts expectations by a wide margin, on both profit and revenue.

Financial Earnings Roundup: AMTD, C

TD Ameritrade (AMTD) announced on Tuesday that it earned $152 million, or 27 cents a share, for its fiscal first quarter, beating analyst estimates by a penny. The company earned $145 million, or 25 cents per share, in the same period last yaer.

Sinha Says India’s New Regulations to Help Investors

Jan. 17 (Bloomberg) — U.K. Sinha, chairman of the Securities and Exchange Board of India, talks about new regulations and measures for the markets. He also discusses the implications of Europe’s sovereign debt crisis for India’s economy and financial markets. He spoke yesterday in Hong Kong with Bloomberg Television’s John Dawson. (Source: Bloomberg)

UBS’s Wang Doesn’t Expect China to Cut Interest Rates

Jan. 17 (Bloomberg) — Wang Tao, a Hong Kong-based economist for UBS AG, talks about the China economy and the nation’s central bank monetary policy. China’s economy expanded at the slowest pace in 10 quarters as export demand moderated and a prolonged campaign against consumer and property-price gains cooled growth. Wang speaks with Rishaad Salamat on Bloomberg Television’s “On the Move Asia.” (Source: Bloomberg)

Bank of Canada Maintains Interest Rate at 1.00%

The Bank of Canada held its target for the overnight rate at 1.00%.  The Bank noted on the Canadian economy: “While the economy had more momentum than anticipated in the second half of 2011, the pace of growth going forward is expected to be more modest than previously envisaged, largely due to the external environment. Prolonged uncertainty about the global economic and financial environment is likely to dampen the rate of growth of business investment, albeit to a still-solid pace.  Net exports are expected to contribute little to growth, reflecting moderate foreign demand and ongoing competitiveness challenges, including the persistent strength of the Canadian dollar.  In contrast, very favourable financing conditions are expected to buttress consumer spending and housing activity. Household expenditures are expected to remain high relative to GDP and the ratio of household debt to income is projected to rise further.”

Previously the Bank of Canada also held the target interest rate unchanged at its December meeting; it’s last move was a 25 basis point increase to 1.00% in September last year.  Canada reported annual CPI inflation of 2.9% in November and October, compared to 3.2% in September, 3.10% in August, 2.7% in July, 3.1% in June, 3.7% in May, and 3.3% in April, the same as March, according to Statistics Canada.  The Bank of Canada has an inflation target of 2 percent over the medium term.  

Canada reported year on year GDP growth of 3.4% in Q3 2011, 2.2% in Q2, and 2.9% in Q1, while “estimates that the economy grew by 2.4 per cent in 2011 and projects that it will grow by 2.0 per cent in 2012 and 2.8 per cent in 2013.”  The Canadian dollar (CAD), also known as the Loonie, has weakened by 3% against the US dollar over the past year, while the USDCAD exchange rate last traded around 1.013.  The Bank of Canada next meets on the 8th of March 2012.

Stiglitz Says Slower China Growth Probably `Good Thing’

Jan. 17 (Bloomberg) — Nobel Prize-winning economist Joseph Stiglitz talks about China’s economic growth and Europe’s sovereign debt crisis. He also discusses the U.S economy and the credibility of credit-rating agencies. He speaks in Hong Kong with John Dawson on Bloomberg Television’s “Asia Edge.” (Source: Bloomberg)

German Data Gives EUR a Boost

Source: ForexYard

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A positive Chinese GDP report, combined with a better than expected German ZEW Economic Sentiment figure led to some investor risk taking throughout today’s trading. The euro received a significant boost against its safe-haven currency rivals as a result of the news. Against the US dollar, the euro rose as high as 1.2807 before retreating during the evening session. Still, the EUR/USD remains well above the 17-month low reached last week at 1.2624. The EUR/JPY, which recently hit an 11-year low, shot up well over 100 pips before hitting resistance during the afternoon session.

Analysts continue to warn that any gains the euro makes for the foreseeable future are likely to be short lived. The problems surrounding the euro-zone debt crisis are too big to ignore and are likely to grow unless significant action takes place in the near future. At the moment, investors remain concerned that Greece will have to default on its debt, while it is widely expected that the EU will cut interest rates in the near future. While positive global data is likely to boost riskier currencies like the euro in the short-term, they may not be able to help them stage a long-term recovery.

Forex Market Analysis provided by ForexYard.

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Week Ahead Market Report: January 17, 2012

Investors will be ringing in the new holiday shortened trading week cautiously assessing the impact of the S&P European downgrades. Good morning and Happy New Year, this is Sayoko Murase with the Week Ahead Market Report for Tuesday January 17, 2012.