Profitable Forex Trading Strategies

By Andrew Daigle – As you know, the only way to make money in the forex currency exchange market is to have profitable forex trading strategies and good money management. Without these two skills, you will certainly fail as a trader and if you master these, you will be a very profitable forex trader.

It sounds so easy, doesn’t it? Two simple rules to follow and you will be profitable in this business. The problem with this however, is that most people can’t follow these rules. They let their emotions get in the way of their trading and make bad decisions. They may not take any trades at all because they’re afraid they’ll lose money. They may be in a profitable trade and decide to close it early to lock in their small profits. They may decide to let their losers run longer than they should because they “know” the currency is about to reverse and go in their direction. There are many reasons why people fail in this business and these are just a few of the examples.

Before you start trading, you need to learn about this business. You not only need to learn how and when to trade forex, but you also need to know when “not to trade”. This is just as important. You also need to know how much “risk” you should take on any given trade. If you over leverage your account, you will lose money very quickly and you could actually blow your entire trading account.

Once you learn how to trade, the next step would be to open a forex demo trading account. This is the trading platform you would use from the forex broker of your choice to make trades in the market. Most forex brokers have all the charts and tools you need and the platform on which to execute your trades. Demo accounts allow new forex traders to trade fake money while trading the live market. You get to trade on a live trading platform but you risk absolutely no money. There aren’t any businesses I know of where you can learn everything you need without costing you a dime.

Demo accounts are a great way for new traders to get a feel for trading the forex market without risking any money. But be careful. When you trade a forex demo account, and you know in your mind that you have no money at risk, you can start making stupid trading decisions. You may use poor money management skills and risk far too much money on each trade. You may double up on trades to make up for losing trades. These are bad habits, and the last thing you want to do in this business is treat it like a game. It’s not a game. It’s a real business and should be treated as such.

Before getting into trades, you should also know exactly what price you’re getting in to the market and also know what your stop loss and take profit targets should be. If you don’t know these three things, do not trade. Every profitable forex trading strategy you learn will have the rules for determining these entry and exit points. Also know that a profitable forex trading strategy does not have to be complicated. Most of the best forex trading strategies are very simple to learn and use.

If you follow the simple rules we mentioned above, you will see how profitable this business can be. It’s no wonder why trading forex is becoming one of the fastest growing home businesses today. You get to work from your home using your personal computer and an internet connection. Pick up a great forex trading strategy and open up a forex trading account with a broker and you have everything you need to start trading.

About the Author

Andrew Daigle is the owner and author of many successful websites including ForexBoost, a free Forex educational site to learn Forex trading strategies and a website for learning profitable online home business opportunities.

The Excitement of Online Foreign Currency Trading

By Michael Redmond – Excitement on a computer, for some, until recently has been regulated to porn or computer games. Now there is a way to find excitement on the internet and generate money as well. That is by becoming an online foreign currency trader.

This is not changing dollars of local currency when you are on vacation. This is a business that trades about 1.3 trillion dollars a day currently and continues to grow. In fact, foreign currency trading is one of the biggest financial markets today.

It’s the internet and the speed which information can be at a trader’s fingertips that causes the currency values to fluctuate and that gives online trader the thrill of relying on instinct to make choices.

Because the market is on the internet, information is disseminated equally at the same speed. No one trader gets information faster than another. This gives you time to make good decisions.

Another bonus of online foreign currency trading is that it operates twenty four hours a day. This allows you to be more flexible. You can get updates no matter where you are. So people who are put off trading because of their jobs can participate online on the foreign currency market.

There are many foreign currency trading sites all over the Web. For the most part all you need to do is to register and you will be able to start immediately after. For those who are worried about the difficulties of understanding how to go about trading on the market, there is training available on these sites. They will help you set up and learn how to start making decisions on when to trade.

To be a successful foreign currency trader you must be confident, have good instincts, understand the risks you take with your money and enjoy the thrill of relying on your guts.

About The Author

Michael Redmond is a staff writer at http://www.trading-enthusiast.com and is an occasional contributor to several other websites, including http://www.finance-journal.com.

Standard Deviation – Why it’s So Important for Forex Traders

By Monica Hendrix – Standard deviation is a concept all Forex traders should understand as part of their Forex education. In fact if you don’t understand it and know how to factor it into your trading strategy you are unlikely to win long term. Let’s look at it.

Standard deviation is logical, easy to understand and will help you time entries better and define targets for trades, as well as spotting important trend reversals.

It’s a simple and powerful concept and all forex traders should know how it works and how to take advantage of it.

The real problem that traders have to overcome when trading forex is overcoming volatile price moves that can stop them out to soon or with losses – if you learn how to deal with standard deviation, you will enter with better risk reward and get stopped out less often.

What is standard deviation?

Standard deviation is a statistical term that refers to and shows the volatility of price in any currency. In essence standard deviation measures how widely values are dispersed from the mean or average.

Dispersion is effectively the difference between the actual closing value price and the average value or mean closing price.

The larger the difference between the closing prices from the average price, the higher the standard deviation and volatility of the currency is. On the other hand – the closer the closing prices are to the average mean price, the lower the standard deviation or volatility of the currency is.

Technical Calculation

Here is the technical bit don’t worry if you find it a little complicated we will simplify things in a minute – here is the calculation:

Standard deviation the square root of the variance, and the average of the squared deviations from the mean.

High Standard Deviation is present when the price of the currency studied is changing volatile and has large daily ranges. On the other hand, low Standard Deviation values take places when currencies are range trading or in consolidation i.e. when prices are more stable and less volatile.

Spotting Big Contrary trades

Major tops and bottoms and important trend changes are accompanied by high volatility as prices reflect the psychology of the participants and greed and fear push prices away from the fundamentals.

If you look at any forex chart you will see price spikes caused by human emotion and they are not sustainable and prices tend to return to more realistic levels after periods of high volatility – you will often here the term blow off top or bottom where prices make one last volatile surge and reverse.

3 Important Ways to Use Standard Deviation

So how can you incorporate standard deviation in your forex trading? The answer is it is useful for:

1. Picking important market tops or bottoms i.e look for highly volatile prices that have spiked to far from the mean.

2. Targeting entries within trends – if for example, prices spike away from the mean to far, they will fall back to the average eventually. If the trend is strong you can target entry at the mean price.

3. If prices are trading in a narrow range and suddenly high standard deviation pushes prices away from the mean, you can trade with the break.

If you want an easy tool to apply to help you apply standard deviation in your trading – looking no further than the Bollinger band. Most major chart services plot it and its easy to use – we don’t have time to explain it all here so see our other articles.

The Real Enemy for Traders

Is not picking trend direction, it’s entering with the best risk reward and dealing with volatility if you have understanding of standard deviation you will be able to deal with the enemy of volatility, harness and control it, and use it to achieve currency trading success.

About the Author

NEW! FREE Trader PDF’S – Forex Newsletters and Alerts On all aspects of becoming a profitable trader including: Free, weekly and daily newsletters, and some essential FREE FOREX Trading PDF’s visit our website at: www.learncurrencytradingonline.com/index.html

The Benefits of Trading The Forex Market

By Marquez Comelab – Historically, the FX market was available most to major banks, multinational corporations and other participants who traded in large transaction sizes and volumes. Small-scale traders including individuals like you and I, had little access to this market for such a long time. Now with the advent of the Internet and technology, FX trading is becoming an increasingly popular investment alternative for the general public.

The benefits of trading the currency market;

It is open 24-hours and it closes only on the weekends;

It is very liquid and efficient;

It is very volatile;

It has very low transaction costs;

You can use a high level of leverage (borrowed money) with ease; and

You can profit from a bull or a bear market.

Continuous, 24-Hour Trading

The currency exchange is a 24-hour market. You may decide to trade after you come home from work. Regardless of what time-frame you want to trade at whatever time of the day, there would be enough buyers and sellers to take the other side of your trade. This feature of the market gives you enough flexibility to manage your trading around your daily routine.

Liquidity And Efficiency

When there are a lot of buyers and a lot of sellers, you can expect to buy or sell at a price that is very close to the last market price. The currency market is the most liquid market in the world. Trading volume in the currency markets can be between 50 and 100 times larger than the New York Stock Exchange (Source: Oanda.)

When you are trading stocks, you may have experienced events where one piece of news accelerates or decelerates the price of the underlying stock you may have bought into. Perhaps a director has been kicked out by the shareholders of a company or the company has just released a new product and big investors are buying the shares of a particular company. Share prices can be drastically affected by the actions or inactions of one or a few individuals. So if you are relying on television reports and newspapers to get your news, most of the opportunities or warnings will have come too late for you to take advantage by the time you get them.

The value of currencies on the other hand is affected by so many factors and so many participants that the likelihood of any one individual or group of individuals drastically affecting the value of a currency is minute. Because of its sheer size, the currency market is hard to manipulate. The ability for people to engage in ‘insider trading’ is virtually eliminated. As an average trader, you are less disadvantaged. You are likely to be playing on relatively equal ground along with all the other traders and investors whom you are competing against.

Note about price gaps:

For those people who have already traded other markets, you probably know about price ‘gaps’. ‘Gaps’ occur when prices ‘jump’ from one price level to another without having taken any incremental steps to get there. For example, you may be trading a share that closes at $10 at the end of today but due to some event that happens overnight; it opens tomorrow at $5 and continues to go downwards for the rest of the day.

Gaps bring about another degree of uncertainty that may meddle with a trader’s strategy. Probably one of the most worrying aspects of this is when a trader uses stop-losses. In this case, if a trader puts a stop-loss at $7 because he no longer wants to be in a trade if the share price hits $7, his trade will remain open overnight and the trader wakes up tomorrow with a loss bigger than he may have been prepared for.

After looking at a couple of forex charts, you will realize that there are little price ‘gaps’ or none at all, especially on the longer-term charts like the 3-hour, 4-hour or the daily charts.

Volatility

Trading opportunities exist when prices fluctuate. If you buy a share for $2 and it stays there, there is no opportunity to make a profit. The magnitude of level of this fluctuation and its frequency is referred to as volatility. As a trader, it is volatility that you profit from. Large volume transactions and high liquidity combined with fewer trading instruments generate greater intra-day volatility in the currency market that can be exploited by day-traders. The high volatility of the currency market indicates that a trader can potentially earn 5 times more money from currency trading than trading the most liquid shares.

Volatility is a measure of maximum return that a trader can generate with perfect foresight. Volatility for the most liquid stocks are between 60 to 100. Volatility for currency trading is 500. (Source: Oanda.)

In this respect, currencies make a better trading vehicle for day-traders than the equity markets.

Low Transaction Costs

A currency transaction typically incurs no commission or transaction fees. For a forex trader, the spread is the only cost he or she needs to cover in taking on a position. In addition, because of the currency market’s efficiency, there is little or no ‘slippage’ costs.

‘Slippage’ is the cost involved when traders enter the market at a price worse than the level they wanted to get into. For example, a trader wants to buy a share at $2.00 but by the time, the order gets executed, his gets to buy the shares at $2.50. That fifty cents difference is his slippage cost. Slippage cost affects large-volume traders a lot. When they buy large quantities of a commodity, it oversupplies the market with buy orders. This applies a pressure for the price to go up. By the time they get to buy all the quantities they wanted, the average price they got their commodities would be higher than the price they intended to get them for. Conversely, when they sell large quantities of a commodity, they oversupply the market with sell orders. This applies a pressure for the price to go down. By the time they finish selling all their commodities, their average selling price is less than what they initially intended to sell them for.

Due to lower transaction costs, minimum slippage and strong intra-day volatility, individuals can trade frequently at small costs. As an approximate, you may only expect to have a spread of 0.03% of your position size. To give you an example, you can buy and sell 10,000 US Dollars and this will only incur a 3-point spread, equivalent to $3.

Leverage

There are not a lot of banks or people who would lend you money so that you can use it to trade shares. And if there are, it would be very hard for you to convince them to invest in you and in your idea that a certain share is going to go up or down. Therefore, most of the time, if you have a $10,000 account, you can only really afford to buy $10,000 worth of stocks.

In currency trading however, because you use ‘borrowed money’, you can trade $10,000 of a currency and you only need anywhere between fifty (For a margin lending ratio of 200:1) to two hundred dollars ( For a margin lending ratio of 50:1) in your trading account. This makes it possible for an average trader with a small trading account, under $10,000 to be able to profit sufficiently from the movements of the currency exchange rates. This concept is explained further in The Part-Time Currency Trader.

Profit From A Bull And Bear Market

When you are trading shares, you can only profit when the price of a stock goes up. When you suspect that it is about to go down or that it is just going to be moving sideways, then the only thing you can do is sell your shares and stand aside. One of the frustrations of trading shares is that an individual cannot profit when prices are going down. In the currency market, it is easy for you to trade a currency downward so that you can profit when you think it is going to lose value. This is easy to do because currency trading simply involves buying one currency and selling another, there is no structural bias that makes it difficult to trade ‘downwards’. This is why the currency market has been occasionally referred to as the eternal bull market.

This is an excerpt, modified from the book: The Part-Time Currency Trader.

About The Author

Marquez Comelab is a private forex trader. He is the author of the book: The Part-Time Currency Trader – A Trading Guide For Working Men And Women. The book outlines the process of how you can develop your own trading methodology that suits your psychology and financial circumstance to buy and sell currencies in the forex market, while minimizing your risks. See: http://www.marquezcomelab.com.

Two Types of Forex Indicators – Leading and Lagging

By ForexExplore – Forex trader needs indicators to determine important entry and exit points. Forex Indicators predict financial and economic trends. Forex indicators can be categoried into two types, each of which makes a different prediction.

The first type of forex indicator is called leading. It is an indicator that shows you when to buy before a new trend or reversal. You can compare leading indicators to a virus scan that catches a virus before it attacks your computer! In forex market, leading indicators work in the same pattern, but unfortunately they aren’t as accurate. How is leading indicator formed? It follows the market changes and identifies repetitive patterns. With that information, leading indicator forecasts the future. When you depend on leading indicators, you might experience a lot of fake signals which can misinform you and cause a wrong decision.

The second type of forex indicator is called lagging. It is an economic indicator that tells you when a new trend has already started. Think of lagging indicator as a virus scan that tells you that your computer has been infected! Lagging indicators are definitely more trustworthy since they point out exactly when the price has already been changed and a new trend is visible. The disadvantage is obvious – you miss the beginning of the trend!! And since the biggest profit lays in the beginning of the trend, you obviously will miss a big chunk of profit.

Oscillators indicators are leading indicators. Just a reminder, oscillators are the ones that are drawn within boundaries of two lines. The oscillator signals buy or sell based on the set levels of the range. The leading indicators that we have covered here at ForexExplore are Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Stochastics.

Momentum indicators are lagging indicators. Momentum is the rapid change of price when related to security analysis. Momentum indicators track momentum in the price (duh, that’s obvious!). Lagging indicators follow the price changes and, despite the quality of their predictions are less profitable, are very useful during trending periods,. The lagging indicators covered in ForexExplore.com are Moving Averages and Bollinger Bands.

About the Author

ForexExplore.com – forex brokers reviews and rating, top forex brokers, bonuses and promotions, forex guide and latest news, forex articles and blog.

USDJPY traded in a narrow range between 89.63 and 91.08

USDJPY traded in a narrow range between 89.63 and 91.08 for several days. Now the price action in the trading range is more likely consolidation of uptrend from 84.82. As long as 89.63 support holds, another rise to test 92.14 resistance could be expected after consolation. However, below 89.63 level will suggest that the bounce from 88.14 has completed at 91.08 already, then another fall towards 87.00 could be seen to follow.

For long term analysis, USDJPY formed a cycle top at 93.75 level on weekly chart. Fall towards 84.82 previous low is expected.

usdjpy

Weekly Forex Analysis

Forex Daily Market Commentary

By GCI Fx Research

The euro depreciated vis-à-vis the U.S. dollar today as the single currency tested bids around the US$ 1.3500 figure and was capped around the $1.3625 level.  Bank of Spain yesterday reported that bad loans at Spanish banks have reached their highest level since 1996, reaching 5.6% of total credit.  There are new details in the ongoing saga concerning Greece’s fiscal woes. Germany all of a sudden is said to favour a new policy framework that would have the International Monetary Fund providing fiscal relief to Greece, a shift in policy.  France, on the other hand, is said to resist involvement of the International Monetary Fund and if these reports are true, they would pit Germany’s Merkel against France’s Sarkozy.  One school of thought suggests Sarkozy may be resisting IMF involvement because his would-be political competiton, Strauss-Kahn, heads the IMF.  Data released in Germany today saw February producer price inflation flat m/m and off 2.9% y/y.  Data to be released in Germany next week include Ifo business sentiment and PMI data.  EMU-16 March consumer confidence data will be released on Monday.  In U.S. news, data to be released in the U.S. on Monday include the February Chicago Fed’s national activity index followed by home sales data on Tuesday.  The Federal Reserve today withdrew exemptions for banks it had granted in August 2007 as part of a move to boost the provision of liquidity.  This exemption removal is the Fed’s latest maneuver to withdraw policy accommodation.  The Fed did not lift its discount rate again yesterday, contrary to widespread speculation that policymakers would imminently continue to shift policy without raising the federal funds target rate.  Euro bids are cited around the US$ 1.3335 level.

¥/ CNY

The yen appreciated vis-à-vis the U.S. dollar today as the greenback tested bids around the ¥90.30 level and was capped around the ¥90.70 level. National Strategy Minister Sengoku reported Japan has “extremely little” room for additional fiscal stimulus.  In contrast, Financial Services Minister Kamei this week reported the government should compile a stimulus package.  Prime Minister Hatoyama has indicated he has not considered an additional fiscal stimulus package at this time.  Japan’s debt-to-GDP ratio is nearing 200%, among the highest of all industrialized nations.  Data released in Japan overnight saw the January all-industry activity index climb to 3.8% m/m from -0.3%.  Sengoku also noted an easier monetary policy may have only a “limited impact” on overcoming deflation.  Bank of Japan this week expanded monetary policy further, doubling a three-month lending facility to ¥20 trillion. BoJ Policy Board member Momma said overnight that fiscal policy must “earn the trust” of the markets.  Other data released overnight saw the retail investor sentiment index up +6 points.  Bank of Japan this week kept its economic assessment unchanged for a fourth consecutive month, reporting the economy is “picking up.” The central bank also upped its assessment of business investment, adding it is “leveling out on the whole.”  The Nikkei 225 stock index climbed 0.75% to close at ¥10,824.72. U.S. dollar offers are cited around the ¥94.75 level.  The euro moved lower vis-à-vis the yen as the single currency tested bids around the ¥122.25 level and was capped around the ¥123.35 level.  The British pound moved lower vis-à-vis the yen as sterling tested bids around the ¥135.60 level while the Swiss franc moved lower vis-à-vis the yen and tested bids around the ¥85.10 level. In Chinese news, the U.S. dollar appreciated vis-à-vis the Chinese yuan as the greenback closed at CNY 6.8266 in the over-the-counter market, up from CNY 6.8264.  China reported its purchases of U.S. Treasuries have helped stabilize the U.S. financial markets and urged the U.S. to avoid politicizing China’s yuan policy.  U.S. Ambassador to China Huntsman verbally intervened this week, saying the U.S. “hopes to see more flexibility on the exchange rate. I would be misleading you if I left you with the impression that this wasn’t a very, very important issue in the United States, and will continue to be. We’ll see how the next few weeks play out.”  The central bank is expected to tighten monetary policy further imminently.

The British pound depreciated sharply vis-à-vis the U.S. dollar today as cable tested bids around the US$ 1.4985 level and was capped around the $1.5255 level. Bank of England reported net business lending fell 9.3% m/m, the sharpest decline since record-keeping began in 1999.  Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee member Sentance reported he’s “been relatively encouraged by the turnaround we’ve seen in the last year, both in the UK and in the global economy.  You have to recognize there is some risk of a double dip, but that’s not the central forecast. You’d have to see some factors bring that about: we’ve seen big shocks in the international economy over the last couple of years, so you couldn’t rule out some new shocks emerging on the financial front which could set back the economy. But that’s not my central expectation.”  BoE yesterday noted that mortgage lending has “recovered somewhat.”  Cable bids are cited around the US$ 1.4455 level.  The euro moved higher vis-à-vis the British pound as the single currency tested offers around the US$ 0.9015 level and was capped around the £0.8920 level.

CHF

The Swiss franc weakened vis-à-vis the U.S. dollar today as the greenback tested offers around the CHF 1.0635 level and was supported around the CHF 1.0540 level. Traders continue to speculate the Swiss National Bank’s franc policy has shifted and that policymakers will tolerate more appreciation of the franc.  Swiss National Bank member Danthine noted it will continue to counter excessive foreign exchange gains.  Data released in Switzerland yesterday saw Q4 industrial production rise 6.4% q/q and decline 1.1% y/y while the February trade surplus declined to CHF 1.29 billion from CHF 2.42 billion.  The euro/ Swiss franc cross came off to a fresh sixteen-month low amid declining expectations of additional Swiss National Bank intervention.  Also, the March ZEW expectations index climbed to 53.8 from 52.5 in February.  The euro came off vis-à-vis the Swiss franc as the single currency tested bids around the CHF 1.4315 level while the British pound moved lower vis-à-vis the Swiss franc and tested bids around the CHF 1.5920 level.

Daily Market Commentary provided by GCI Financial Ltd.

GCI Financial Ltd (”GCI”) is a regulated securities and commodities trading firm, specializing in online Foreign Exchange (”Forex”) brokerage. GCI executes billions of dollars per month in foreign exchange transactions alone. In addition to Forex, GCI is a primary market maker in Contracts for Difference (”CFDs”) on shares, indices and futures, and offers one of the fastest growing online CFD trading services. GCI has over 10,000 clients worldwide, including individual traders, institutions, and money managers. GCI provides an advanced, secure, and comprehensive online trading system. Client funds are insured and held in a separate customer account. In addition, GCI Financial Ltd maintains Net Capital in excess of minimum regulatory requirements.

DISCLAIMER: GCI’s Daily Market Commentary is provided for informational purposes only. The information contained in these reports is gathered from reputable news sources and is not intended to be U.S.ed as investment advice. GCI assumes no responsibility or liability from gains or losses incurred by the information herein contained.

Gold Undergoes Large Leg Down

By Fast Brokers – Gold is undergoing a large leg dad as it participates in risk-averse flows.  The Dollar is appreciating across the board in reaction to political uncertainty in the EU in regards to how to deal with Greece.  However, gold was holding up relatively well until news hit that the Reserve Bank of India decided to raise its interest rates by 25 basis points.  This announcement sent a shockwave throughout the FX markets and sent investors scurrying towards the Dollar.  Gold experienced a windfall of selling activity as well, dropping all the way down to our key first tier uptrend line and has nearly retested its highly psychological $1100/oz level.  That being said, investors should keep an eye on gold’s ability to hold these two key technical levels along with the ability of the EUR/USD and Cable to stabilize from intraday losses.  The U.S. data wire will be quiet today, meaning attention will remain on today’s psychological and news developments.  Data will pick up next week, meaning key risk-trade supports will likely be tested soon.

Technically speaking, gold has our first tier uptrend line serving as a technical cushion along with its highly psychological $1100/oz level.  Our 1st tier runs through previous March lows, highlighting the prevalence of present levels.  As for the topside, gold faces multiple downtrend lines along with 3/15 and 3/12 highs.

Present Price: $1105.80/oz
Resistances: $1106.48, $1107.27, $1108.06/oz, $1109.37/oz, $1110.43/oz, $1111.57/ oz
Supports: $1105.25/oz, $1104.46/oz, $1103.85/oz, $1103.06/oz, $1102.27/oz, $1101.40/oz
Psychological: $1100/oz, March highs and lows

(click chart to enlarge)

Market Commentary provided by Fast Brokers.

Disclaimer: FastBrokers’ market commentary is provided for information purposes only and under no circumstances should be regarded neither as an investment advice nor as a solicitation or an offer to sell/buy any financial product. FastBrokers assumes no responsibility or liability from gains or losses incurred by the information herein contained.

Risk Disclosure: There is a substantial risk of loss in trading futures and foreign exchange. Please carefully review all risk disclosure documents before opening an account as these financial instruments are not appropriate for all investors.

AUD/USD Drops Following RBI Hike

By Fast Brokers – The AUD/USD is experiencing a sizable leg down after the Reserve Bank of India surprised markets by hiking interest rates by 25 basis points.  The move sent shockwaves throughout the FX markets, exacerbating risk-averse flows after the Dollar was already strengthening in the midst of EU uncertainty.  Sarkozy has reiterated Frances support for Greece, pitting the EU’s two largest economies against one another.  Australia was holding up relatively well even with huge selloffs taking place in the Cable and EUR/USD.  However, the RBI’s rate hike has had a considerable impact on the Aussie due to Australia’s economic exposure to India.  Meanwhile, the data wire is very quiet today, placing added emphasis on today’s news events.  It will be interesting to see how the Aussie holds up as the trading session progresses.  Due to the extent of the respective pullbacks in the EUR/USD and Cable it wouldn’t be surprising to see some buyers enter the market on oversold conditions.   Such a wave could benefit the Aussie and keep the currency pair above our 2nd tier downtrend line, which runs through 3/15 lows.  Therefore, investors should continue to monitor broad-based activity in the dollar for the remainder of the day.

Technically speaking, the Aussie multiple downtrend lines serving as technical barriers along 3/16 and 3/12 highs.  As for the downside, the Aussie has multiple uptrend lines serving as technical cushions along with 3/16 and 3/15 lows.

Price: .9142

Resistances: .9153, .9162, .9169, .9177, .9185, .9192

Supports: .9139, .9132, .9122, .9116, .9110, .9100

Psychological: .91, .90, 2010 highs

(click chart to enlarge)

Market Commentary provided by Fast Brokers.

Disclaimer: FastBrokers’ market commentary is provided for information purposes only and under no circumstances should be regarded neither as an investment advice nor as a solicitation or an offer to sell/buy any financial product. FastBrokers assumes no responsibility or liability from gains or losses incurred by the information herein contained.

Risk Disclosure: There is a substantial risk of loss in trading futures and foreign exchange. Please carefully review all risk disclosure documents before opening an account as these financial instruments are not appropriate for all investors.

USD/JPY Glides Higher Despite FX Volatility

By Fast Brokers – The USD/JPY is creeping higher today despite rampant volatility today in the FX markets.  Both the EUR/USD and Cable are undergoing hefty selloffs as uncertainty in the EU unravels the risk trade and sends investors toward the Dollar for safety.  Additionally, the Reserve Bank of India surprised markets by hiking its interest rates by 25 basis points, exacerbating risk-averse flows.  These two developments have had a significant impact on the markets today due to the lack of data releases from around the globe.  However, the USD/JPY has only benefitted slightly from the Dollar flows so far today.  Comparative inactivity in the USD/JPY is a bit puzzling since the Fed’s monetary stance has become increasingly tighter as compared to the BoJ’s.  Therefore, it will be interesting to see whether the USD/JPY opts to participate as the trading session wears on.  A possible reason for the USD/JPY’s calm behavior could be the reluctance of investors to send the currency pair beyond the realms of its highly psychological 90 area.  Although the data wire has been quiet today, data streams will pick up next week with key UK and U.S. data on top Monday, followed by Japan’s Trade Balance figure on Tuesday.

Technically speaking, the USD/JPY faces multiple downtrend lines along with intraday, 3/18, and 3/12 highs.  Meanwhile, the highly psychological 90 area could continue to have an influence over the USD/JPY’s movements for the near-term.  As for the downside, the USD/JPY has multiple uptrend lines serving as technical cushions along with intraday and 3/18 lows.

Present Price: 90.59
Resistances: 90.63, 90.69, 90.75, 90.79, 90.83, 90.93
Supports: 90.55, 90.49, 90.42, 90.34, 90.27, 90.21
Psychological: 90, March highs and lows

(click chart to enlarge)

Market Commentary provided by Fast Brokers.

Disclaimer: FastBrokers’ market commentary is provided for information purposes only and under no circumstances should be regarded neither as an investment advice nor as a solicitation or an offer to sell/buy any financial product. FastBrokers assumes no responsibility or liability from gains or losses incurred by the information herein contained.

Risk Disclosure: There is a substantial risk of loss in trading futures and foreign exchange. Please carefully review all risk disclosure documents before opening an account as these financial instruments are not appropriate for all investors.