Forex: USD/JPY falls lower on risk aversion

By CountingPips.com

The US dollar has been trading lower today against the Japanese yen in forex trading on risk aversion due to the conflict in Libya. The dollar/yen pair had closed higher in yesterday’s trading after falling lower to finish last week. Today’s decline that has brought the USD/JPY down to the 82.70 exchange rate.

The USD/JPY had been on an upswing for most of February with a top culminating at the 83.96 exchange rate on February 16th. The pair tested (for the first time since June 2010) but failed to close above the 200-day moving average (in black) and instead bounced off and decreased lower.

The pair currently trades just above a previous support line near the 82.50 level after today breaking through the 50.0 Fibonacci retracement level (on the move down from 85.92 to 80.17). Further bearishness could bring a test of the 38.2 Fibonacci level at 82.35 while upside barriers are present at the 50.0 Fibonacci retracement level near 83.00 and resistance around 83.50.

The MACD indicator signals a potentially imminent bearish cross, suggesting further bearish price action could be in store.

USD/JPY Daily Forex Chart