Free $100 Forex Trading Account Promotion from UWC FX

By CountingPips.com

Forex broker United World Capital Ltd. (UWCFX) has a special free $100 new year’s promotion running that will give you a funded mini trading account. This is a co-promotion from OKPay (an online payment processor) and forex broker United World Capital Ltd. and the promotion runs through January 31st only.

To get the bonus you need to sign up and create a free account at OKPay to start and claim your bonus code for the free $100.

Open up a free trading account at UWC Forex, verify your account at UWC Forex (email proof of residence, name, etc) and apply the bonus code to your account (from OKPay) and you will receive the $100 to trade with.

The $100 bonus to your account is not available to withdraw but the profits made on the account can be withdrawn after 5 lots have been traded.

UWCFX offers the MetaTrader4 Platform and all retail client assets are insured by the Investor Compensation Fund up to the value of €20,000 per client.

From OKPay/UWC Forex:

Our joint promotion with United World Capital Ltd has an exclusive offer for all current OKPAY clients who register with United World Capital until 31 January 2011. If you have ever wanted to trade forex with a regulated company, this is the right time to open a trading account!

Sign up with OKPAY to receive your coupon code through which you can claim your $100 bonus and UWC Quick Card for free from United World Capital. Open and verify your trading account with United World Capital, and get bonus amount of $100 instantly deposited into your trading account.

See more on this new year’s promotion at OKPay and at UWC Forex.

FOREX: Canadian Dollar gains on USD as retail sales surge higher in November

By CountingPips.com

Economic news out of Canada today showed that retail sales increased by much more than expected in November and helped boost the loonie versus the US dollar in forex trading. Canadian retail sales increased by 1.3 percent to a C$37.3 billion total in November after an increase of 1.0 percent in October, according to the report by Statistics Canada. This was the sixth consecutive month of advance for Canadian retail sales.

The rise in sales was more than expected as economic forecasts were predicting a 0.4 percent increase for the month. On an annual basis, November’s retail sales level was 5.3 percent higher than the November 2009 level.

Core retail sales, excluding automobile sales, climbed by 1.0 percent in November following a gain of 0.9 percent in October. The rise in core sales also easily surpassed forecasts that were expecting a 0.4 percent increase for the month.

Contributing to the gain in the retail sales numbers was an increase in motor vehicle and parts dealer sales by 2.7 percent in November with new car dealer sales rising by 3.6 percent. Also contributing positively to the report were gains in food & beverage stores (+0.8%), gasoline station sales (+2.4%), health & personal care stores (+1.8%) and clothing & accessories stores (+2.4%).

Canadian Loonie stronger in Forex Trading versus USD, JPY

The Canadian loonie dollar has been stronger today in the currency markets after the retail sales data with gains against the US dollar and the Japanese yen.

The Canadian currency is trading virtually unchanged or has made slight gains versus the euro, British pound, New Zealand dollar and Australian dollar, according to currency data from Oanda.

USD/CAD 1-Hour Chart – The U.S. dollar has fallen today against the Canadian loonie as the USD/CAD pair trades around the 0.9920 level early in the US session. The USD/CAD had been on the rise for three consecutive days before today’s turnaround and now trades right at the 200-hour moving average (red line).

Forex - US Dollar - Canadian Dollar - USDCAD

Forex Daily Market Commentary

By GCI Forex Research

Fundamental Outlook at 0800 GMT (EDT + 0400)

USD

The dollar held onto most of yesterday’s gains after a stronger batch of data pointed to an accelerating recovery in the US. EURUSD traded 1.3442-1.3514, USDJPY 82.87-83.13. Asian equities, with the exception of Shanghai, struggled throughout the session, after the S&P 500 finished just inside negative territory. US Treasury yields remain elevated. Initial jobless claims fell more than expected to 404k and the four-week average in claims implies that the downward trend seen in Q4 has been sustained into 2011. Existing home sales surprisingly jumped 12.3% in December to a 5.28 million unit annual rate, the highest monthly pace since last May. The current activity index in the Philadelphia Fed manufacturing survey edged down to a still-solid level of 19.3 in January. The index of leading economic indicators rose +1.0% m/m in December, and the strengthening is consistent with our US economists’ forecasts for real GDP picking up to a 3.5% annual rate in Q4. All told, the data firmly bolsters the case for a relatively better US recovery which we believe will support the dollar’s transition to growth currency status.
EUR

European officials continued to voice opinions over potential next steps to shore up sovereign debt problems but no clear solution has yet been presented. Newswires quoted an unnamed European source saying there were discussions about expanding the EFSF to purchase sovereign bonds.
Eurogroup President Juncker said euro volatility is extreme without commenting on current levels and said we could see a comprehensive response to the debt crisis in a few weeks. European Council President Van Rompuy sees only a small chance of Eurozone leaders having a separate crisis meeting during the larger EU leaders summit on February 4.
Ifo President Sinn said Greece would not be able to service its debt and suggested Greece should deal with creditor banks about debt restructuring rather than a Eurozone restructuring of Greek debt. German Ifo data is due.
Deputy Chairman Ulyukaev of the Russian central bank said Russia cannot buy EFSF bonds currently because of regulations but they may look to buy them should regulations change. Ulyukaev had also said Russia would look to diversify reserves and potentially buy Chinese yuan when capital controls are lifted.
Recent ECB speakers, including Liikanen and Tumpel-Gugerell, along with the monthly ECB bulletin have reiterated that there are no “imminent price pressures” in the Eurozone and inflation expectations are firmly anchored. The monthly ECB bulletin highlighted that price pressures stem largely from external sources, such as energy prices
CHF

SNB’s Hildebrand and Danthine sounded caution again on Swiss franc strength on the growth backdrop. Hildebrand also said FX intervention decisions are based on the deflation risk assessment but that the deflation threat has largely disappeared.

TECHNICAL OUTLOOK
EURJPY pressure on 112.19.

EURUSD BULLISH Sustained break through 1.3539/75 would expose 1.3741. Near-term support lies at 1.3369.

USDJPY NEUTRAL Spiky rise through 82.98 has turned the model to neutral; while support holds at 81.85/61, resistance is at 83.49.

GBPUSD BULLISH Push through 1.6059/94 resistance zone would open up the way towards 1.6184. Initial support defined at 1.5810.

USDCHF BULLISH While support holds at 0.9521, break of 0.9647 has exposed the next level of resistance at 0.9722 ahead of 0.9764.

AUDUSD BEARISH Abrupt decline through 0.9856 puts pressure on 0.9804, breach of this level would expose 0.9753. Near-term resistance at 1.0009 yesterday’s high.

USDCAD NEUTRAL 1.0034 and 0.9912 mark the near term directional triggers.

EURCHF BULLISH Rise through 1.3038 has exposed 1.3122 next ahead of 1.3206; initial support at 1.2815 yesterday’s low.

EURGBP NEUTRAL Focus is on initial resistance 0.8499 while support holds at 0.8377.

EURJPY BULLISH Pressure on 112.19, break of this level would expose 113.03; initial support is at 110.32.

Forex Daily Market Commentary provided by GCI Financial Ltd.

GCI Financial Ltd (”GCI”) is a regulated securities and commodities trading firm, specializing in online Foreign Exchange (”Forex”) brokerage. GCI executes billions of dollars per month in foreign exchange transactions alone. In addition to Forex, GCI is a primary market maker in Contracts for Difference (”CFDs”) on shares, indices and futures, and offers one of the fastest growing online CFD trading services. GCI has over 10,000 clients worldwide, including individual traders, institutions, and money managers. GCI provides an advanced, secure, and comprehensive online trading system. Client funds are insured and held in a separate customer account. In addition, GCI Financial Ltd maintains Net Capital in excess of minimum regulatory requirements.

DISCLAIMER: GCI’s Daily Market Commentary is provided for informational purposes only. The information contained in these reports is gathered from reputable news sources and is not intended to be U.S.ed as investment advice. GCI assumes no responsibility or liability from gains or losses incurred by the information herein contained.

Technical Update – Spot Gold Head and Shoulders Pattern

By Russell Glaser

The daily chart for spot gold shows a head and shoulders top reversal pattern whose neckline was breached today, setting the stage for a potentially sharp drop in the value of spot gold.

The left shoulder takes shape in mid-November with the head forming in early December at the all-time high of $1,431. The right shoulder formed in early January. A rising neckline can be found underneath the left and right shoulders. This line was breached earlier today following a selloff in spot gold.

Estimating the price move from the reversal pattern brings a potential decline of $92. Measuring from today’s breach of the neckline targets the mid-June high of $1,265. This level coincides with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement from the July low.

Forex Market Analysis provided by ForexYard.

© 2006 by FxYard Ltd

Disclaimer: Trading Foreign Exchange carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. There is a possibility that you could sustain a loss of all of your investment and therefore you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with Foreign Exchange trading.

GBP/CHF Meeting Resistance at 1.5388

By Greg Holden

The British pound has had difficulty breaching the 1.5388 price barrier against the Swiss franc lately. Over the past several days the GBP/CHF has attempted a breakthrough beyond this border, but has met staunch resistance each time.

As we can see on the chart below, most technical indicators allow us to see why the pair is struggling at this price. The price of 1.5388 represents the significant 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level for this pair.

The MACD/OsMA reveals a high-rise, bearish cross followed by a descending movement in the oscillator’s directionality. This suggests not only an impending bearish movement, but significant pressure resting atop the pair, deterring bullishness.

The Stochastic (fast) oscillator, typically an excellent gauge of short-term directionality, also provides an imminent bearish cross.

These two indicators together highlight the level of technical resistance pushing down on the GBP/CHF.

Combined with the Fibonacci level drawn on the chart below, it appears this pair, if able to break beyond this border, will likely take off in a sharp bullish run. But chances are this pair will continue to meet resistance and retrace lower towards the 1.5200 price level over the coming weeks.

Forex Market Analysis provided by ForexYard.

© 2006 by FxYard Ltd

Disclaimer: Trading Foreign Exchange carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. There is a possibility that you could sustain a loss of all of your investment and therefore you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with Foreign Exchange trading.

Dollar Climbs on U.S. Recovery Optimism

Source: ForexYard

The U.S. dollar rose Thursday after a batch of U.S. data largely came in better-than-expected, reassuring investors that the U.S. economy continues to recover. The greenback was sharply higher against yen with USD/JPY jumping 1.2% to hit 82.95. Elsewhere, the greenback surged against the Swiss franc with USD/CHF soaring 1.4% to hit 0.9685.

Economic News

USD – Dollar Gains on Positive Economic Data

The U.S. dollar rose on Thursday as better-than-expected housing and employment data suggested the U.S. economy was improving, though hopes Europe was getting a handle on its debt crisis limited euro selling. By yesterday’s close, the USD rose against the JPY, pushing the oft- traded currency pair to 82.95. The dollar experience similar behavior against the GBP and closed at 1.5890.

High unemployment and a lackluster housing market are the biggest obstacles to the U.S. economy’s recovery, but stronger-than-expected data on jobless claims and existing home sales provided a glimmer of hope.

U.S. Federal Reserve monetary policy largely relies on labor market conditions and the pace of the economic recovery, so signs of improvement increase expectations of higher interest rates, which makes the dollar more appealing to investors.

As for today, the United States is not due to release much data of concern. Canada, on the other hand, is going to release vital data regarding its retail sales levels, which last week caused a stir among the USD and EUR. Growth in Canadian sales may help return the Loonie back to a more bullish posture, but forecasts appear modest at best.

EUR – German Ifo Business Climate on Tap

The euro edged slightly higher against the U.S. dollar late Thursday, after the U.S. currency posted gains earlier in the day following positive U.S. jobless and home sales data. During late trading yesterday, the euro rose slightly to $1.3470 from $1.3430 Wednesday.

The euro has been rising since late last week, hitting a nearly two-month high Wednesday, because investors have been expecting European leaders to take more aggressive steps to counter Europe’s debt crisis. Recent successful bond auctions in Spain and Portugal reassured investors that the region’s indebted governments could still raise money.

Looking ahead to today, the most important economic indicator scheduled to be released from Europe is the German Ifo Business Climate at 9:00 GMT. Traders will be paying close attention to today’s announcement as a stronger than expected result may boost the EUR in the short-term. Traders should pay close attention to the market as there is an opportunity for traders to capitalize on the fluctuations which are likely to follow this release.

JPY – Yen Sees Mixed Results vs. Majors

The Japanese yen completed yesterday’s trading session with mixed results versus the other major currencies. The JPY fell against the USD yesterday, pushing the oft-traded currency pair to 82.95. The JPY experienced similar behavior against the EUR as the pair closed at 111.65 by day’s end. The yen did see some bullishness, however, as it gained over 30 points against the CHF and closed at 85.67.

The JPY’s trends will be affected by the rallies of its primary currency pairs today. It seems that the USD and EUR are expected to continue a volatile trading session, especially against the Japanese currency. Traders should keep a close look on the news coming from the U.S. and Europe as these economies will be the deciding factors in the JPY’s movement today. It is also advisable for traders to follow any unexpected comments coming from key Japanese governmental figures, as this is also likely to lead to further JPY volatility.

Crude Oil – Crude Oil Falls 2% on Rising Inventories

Crude Oil prices slumped about 2% to around $89.50 a barrel on Thursday on a sell-off sparked by an unexpected rise in U.S. crude stockpiles and worries that China might tighten monetary policy to fight inflation.

The steep drop in prices came as investors liquidated positions on the front-month U.S. February crude contract, which expired at the close, overshadowing upbeat U.S. economic data on jobs and housing.

Crude oil also came under pressure from a rising dollar after U.S. economic data fueled hope that the country’s economic recovery was on track.

Technical News

EUR/USD

This cross has experienced much bullishness in the last 2 weeks, and currently stands at the 1.3520 level. There is much evidence in the chart’s oscillators that indicates a possible bullish correction today; strongly supported by the daily chart’s Slow Stochastic. Going short with tight stops may turn out to bring big profits today.

GBP/USD

The 4-hour chart is showing mixed signals with its RSI fluctuating in neutral territory. However, there is a bearish cross forming on the daily chart’s Slow Stochastic indicating a bullish correction might take place in the nearest future. Going short might be a wise choice.

USD/JPY

The USD/JPY went increasingly bullish yesterday, and currently stands at the 82.99 price level. The daily chart’s Slow Stochastic supports this currency cross’s continued rise today. However, the 4-hour chart’s Slow Stochastic signals that a bearish reversal will take place today. Entering the pair when the signs are clearer seems to be a wise choice.

USD/CHF

The pair has been range-trading for a while now, with no specific direction. The daily chart’s Slow Stochastic is providing us with mixed signals. All oscillators on the 4-hour chart do not provide a clear direction either. Waiting for a clearer sign on the hourlies might be a good strategy for intra-day traders today.

The Wild Card

Gold

Gold prices dropped significantly yesterday and peaked at $1347 an ounce. However, the 4-hour RSI is floating in the over-sold territory suggesting that a bullish correction is impending. This might be a great opportunity for forex traders to enter the swing at a very early stage.

Forex Market Analysis provided by ForexYard.

© 2006 by FxYard Ltd

Disclaimer: Trading Foreign Exchange carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. There is a possibility that you could sustain a loss of all of your investment and therefore you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with Foreign Exchange trading.

EURUSD remains in uptrend from 1.2874

EURUSD remains in uptrend from 1.2874, the pullback from 1.3537 is treated as consolidation of uptrend. Deeper decline to 1.3300-1.3350 area to reach next cycle bottom on 4-hour chart is possible later today. Key support is at 1.3245, as long as this level holds, uptrend could be expected to resume and another rise towards 1.3800 could be seen after consolidation.

eurusd

Written by ForexCycle.com

Ten Trading Secrets for Currency Markets

By Michael Sankowski, Editor, Currency Profits Trader, taipanpublishinggroup.com

For today’s Smart Investing Daily, I’ve dug into the annals of Currency Profits Trader and found Editor Michael Sankowski’s report on mastering the Forex currency market.

In it he discloses 10 secrets to mastering the Forex currency market. You know we like to get expert opinions from people who’ve actually been there, to reveal the inside details of how lucrative investment sectors work and how you can gain an edge.

With that in mind, here is Michael Sankowski’s article…

Guide to Mastering the Forex Currency Markets

The first step in mastering the Forex currency market is knowing which currencies to trade.

The Best Currencies to Trade

The G-7 or “major” currencies are the best currencies to trade. These countries are the largest and most economically advanced in the world — and their currency markets are the most liquid on the planet. A vast majority of currency trading happens in the majors, so I recommend trading these currencies first:

  • U.S. Dollar
  • Euro
  • Japanese Yen
  • British Pound
  • Swiss Franc
  • Canadian Dollar
  • Australian Dollar

Which Currencies to Avoid

In the beginning, avoid trading any currencies outside of the major currencies. They are known as exotics — and they have a tendency to crash without notice. To avoid losing a ton of money, avoid the exotics.

I still focus on the majors after years of trading — there is plenty of opportunity to make truckloads of money in the major currencies.

How to Get Your First Winning Forex Currency Trade Under Your Belt in a Single Day!

Some of the trades I’ve recommended as the editor of Currency Profits Trader have been winners from the very first day. Follow the trade recommendations carefully — I put an enormous amount of research and thought into every recommendation.

How to Evaluate How Much to Put in Each Currency Trade

This is among the most important topics in trading. Most people risk far too much in each trade. Many professional traders risk 1% of their equity per trade — it is the way to insure that you can always have capital on hand to make another trade. I recommend putting less than 5% of your trading equity in each trade. Even with this level of risk, be careful.

How to Enter a Position for Maximum Gains

The best way to enter a trade is when it meets several criteria for being a successful trade — not only one or two criteria. When a trade has fundamental and technical support, short- and long-term sentiment, and momentum going for it, then the odds of a successful trade go up dramatically. Situations like this happen frequently in the currency markets, and when they do, large gains can be made.

How to Track Your Trades in Just Five Minutes a Day

Many people fall into the habit of “checking” the markets constantly. They will pull up prices on their computers, pull up short-term five-minute charts, and watch the market move trade by trade. Please don’t do this. It doesn’t help trading at all — it may even be counterproductive.

You can’t make the market go your way any faster by watching it closely, and obsessing over the markets does not help you make objective decisions about making trades. Of course, you’ll want to be watching your trades, but watching them too closely doesn’t help.

I recommend checking the markets every morning for just a few minutes, getting on with your life during the day, and then checking them again in the evening. When you get a trade recommendation from me, act on it immediately. If you are in a place where you cannot act on the trade recommendations immediately, get a broker who can execute them for you.

Beyond that, you don’t need to do anything more with the markets. I spend my days researching, thinking through scenarios, and analyzing the markets so you don’t have to. When you get a recommendation from me, know it has the full weight of my best thinking behind it, and 15 years of market experience.

The WORST Day of the Week to Enter a Forex Trade

Saturday is the worst day to enter a trade. The Forex currency markets are always open, but at different times of the week there are different levels of liquidity. During the workweek — that is, from Sunday night (Asian Week Open) to Friday at 5 p.m. ET — the markets are liquid. As a result, the prices you get on trades are reasonable.

But on Saturday and Sunday morning, the markets are not liquid. But on many Forex platforms, you can still place a trade. You’ll get a terrible price — and make some bank trader overjoyed as he rakes in the bucks — but you can place a trade.

This is why I avoid trading on the weekends, and Saturday in particular.

(By the way, Investing doesn’t have to be complicated. Sign up for Smart Investing Daily and let me and editors Sara Nunnally and Jared Levy simplify the stock market for you with their easy-to-understand investment articles.)

How to Exit a Position for Maximum Gains

I put profit targets on nearly every recommendation. The secret to exiting correctly is in sticking to a system. When you have clear profit targets backed up by research, exiting becomes easy.

Trading is as much about the exits as the entries. Having a great trading idea or a great entry to a trade is exciting, so many traders do not focus on the exit when they do have an open profit. But the exit is how you put money into your account.

I put profit targets on my trades, but I also have fundamental reasons for trades. If the fundamentals of the trade change in a negative way, I’ll get out before it reaches the profit target.

It is important to know that traders have been making money for centuries. There will always be another opportunity to make money in the markets, so take your profits, stick to the system, and wait for the next good opportunity.

Three Industry-Leading Investment Websites That — as a Currency Trader — You Must Know About!

The three websites I look to every day for currency trading are all related to data. I’ve found that most commentary about the currency markets is based on wildly inaccurate assumptions.

1. Bloomberg and economic calendars:

There are lots of economic calendars out there, but Econoday.com has the best ones. Bloomberg is a must-read, and the more technical articles tend to be filled with links to interesting data.

2. Chicago Mercantile Exchange website with currency prices:

Here are the current market prices for both Futures and Cash FX, options price information including volatility, and prices on almost every commodity traded in the United States — including gold. The CME runs an incredible site.

3. The St. Louis Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) — it has almost everything:

This is a gold mine of economic information, and you can create excellent charts with it.

The Ultimate Currency Risk-Control Formula and How It Can Protect Your Money!

I use something I call Dollar Volatility to determine how much the markets are moving. Dollar Volatility is a quick and easy way to tell how your account is going to move if you trade a specific currency market. I explain how to calculate Dollar Volatility in my report “The Leverage Loophole”*.

P.S. Learn how a $600 billion government-backed “currency cartel” could crush your retirement dreams… read on to learn how to protect and build your wealth with one of the most powerful financial weapons.

*Editor’s Note: “The Leverage Loophole” is another in-depth report by Michael Sankowski, available to all Currency Profits Trader subscribers. You can learn more about Michael and his service here.

About the Author

Michael Sankowski is the Editor of Taipan Publishing Group’s Currency Profits Trader. He has worked as a financial trader and analyst for the past 13 years in over 60 financial markets, beginning as runner on the floor of the Chicago Board of Trade in 1994 and working his way up to become a trader. Michael has traded for a $250 million hedge fund, which required him to trade all over the world, including the United States, Europe and Asia. He has also worked as a product designer for U.S. Futures Exchange, where he focused on trading in Forex, futures, options and fixed-income cash markets.

Michael holds the prestigious CFA Charterholder and Chartered Alternative Investment Analyst (CAIA) designations. The CFA charter is a certification for finance and investment professionals, particularly in the fields of investment management and financial analysis of stocks. The CAIA designation establishes a standard for those who specialize in the area of alternative investments, such as hedge funds, venture capital, private equity and real estate investment. Michael’s solid background and certifications in financial trading make him the best man to share his expertise and Forex recommendations with the readers of Taipan Publishing Group’s Currency Profits Trader.

Morgan Stanley Earnings Surge in Q4

Morgan Stanley (MS) posted a jump in fourth quarter earnings today. The firm said net income totaled $867 million, or $0.43 per share, compared to $460 million, or $0.18 per share, in the same quarter last year.

GBP/USD – Technical Signal

By Russell Glaser

The Cable has put in a solid performance this year, booking gains of 2.4%. The pair looks to continue its ascension towards the falling trend line off the August 2009 high.

Looking at the weekly chart, the GBP/USD has traded between a defined triangle pattern with the lower line rising off of the 2008 lows and the upper line declining from the August 2009 high.

As the pair begins to appreciate during January of this year, a new higher target level takes shape.

As such, traders should target the upper line of the triangle which comes in this week at 1.6180.

A breach above this level would target 1.6560, where falling trend line off of the November 2007 high is found.

Rising weekly stochastics and last week’s candlestick that closed with a shaved head support more gains in the pair.

Support for the GBP/USD is located at 1.5340.

GBP/USD – Weekly Chart

Forex Market Analysis provided by ForexYard.

© 2006 by FxYard Ltd

Disclaimer: Trading Foreign Exchange carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. There is a possibility that you could sustain a loss of all of your investment and therefore you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with Foreign Exchange trading.