Author Archive for InvestMacro – Page 71

Forex Technical Analysis & Forecast 23.03.2020

Article By RoboForex.com

EURUSD, “Euro vs US Dollar”

EURUSD is forming a wide consolidation range around 1.0720. Possibly, the pair may reach form one more ascending structure to reach 1.0797 and then start a new decline towards 1.0606. Later, the market may correct with the target at 1.0922.

EURUSD
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

GBPUSD, “Great Britain Pound vs US Dollar”

After completing the ascending impulse at 1.1922, GBPUSD has corrected this impulse towards 1.1529; right now, it is consolidating around 1.1605. If later the price breaks this range to the upside, the market may resume trading upwards to break 1.1812 and then continue growing to reach 1.2075; if to the downside – form a new descending structure with the target at 1.1220.

GBPUSD
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

USDCHF, “US Dollar vs Swiss Franc”

After finishing the ascending wave at 0.9900, USDCHF is falling with the target at 0.9240. Later, the market may start a new growth to break 0.9820 and then continue trading upwards to reach 0.9915.

USDCHF
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

USDJPY, “US Dollar vs Japanese Yen”

USDJPY has finished another ascending structure at 111.49; right now, it is forming a new descending impulse to reach 109.27. After that, the instrument may grow towards 110.37, thus forming a new consolidation range between two latter levels. If later the price breaks this range to the downside, the market may start another correction to reach 106.49; if to the upside – form one more ascending structure with the target at 112.12.

USDJPY
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

AUDUSD, “Australian Dollar vs US Dollar”

After finishing the ascending structure at 0.5945, AUDUSD is consolidating around 0.5828. Possibly, the pair may grow towards 0.6136. After that, the instrument may form a new descending structure to break 0.5822 and then continue trading inside the downtrend with the target at 0.5370.

AUDUSD
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

USDRUB, “US Dollar vs Russian Ruble”

USDRUB is moving in the center of a wide consolidation range around 79.20. Possibly, today the pair may expand the range up to 82.50. Later, the market may start a new decline to break 76.90 and then continue trading downwards with the target at 75.11.

USDRUB
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

USDCAD, “US Dollar vs Canadian Dollar”

USDCAD is forming another ascending impulse towards 1.4506. Possibly, the pair may reach this level and then resume trading downwards to break 1.4324. Later, the market may continue the descending correction with the target at 1.4131.

USDCAD
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

XAUUSD, “Gold vs US Dollar”

Gold is still consolidating around 1480.70 without any particular direction. Today, the pair may fall to reach 1450.00 and then grow to return to 1480.00. If later the price breaks this range to the downside, the market may start a new decline towards 1444.00; if to the upside – form one more ascending structure with the target at 1550.00.

GOLD
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

BRENT

Brent is forming a wide consolidation range around 27.30. Possibly, today the pair may fall to reach 24.20 and then return to 27.30. If later the price breaks this range to the downside at 24.10, the market may resume trading downwards to reach 20.65; if to the upside at 28.50 – start a new growth to break 31.00 and then continue trading upwards with the target at 35.88.

BRENT
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

BTCUSD, “Bitcoin vs US Dollar”

BTCUSD has finished the second ascending structure at 6800.00. The main scenario implies that the instrument may correct towards 5300.00 and then resume trading upwards to reach 7000.00. After that, the instrument may start another correction to return to 5300.00.

BITCOIN

Article By RoboForex.com

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex LP bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Oil Prices Are Ready for to Hit New Lows

By Dmitriy Gurkovskiy, Chief Analyst at RoboForex

On Monday, March 23rd, Brent is trading at 26.23 USD per barrel. After a quick rebound, market players resumed selling: demand for energy commodities remains low, thus putting pressure on prices.

The COVID-19 pandemic continues spreading worldwide and makes global governments enforce quarantine restrictions. The restrictions, in their turn, have a very significant influence on consumer activity. As a result, the global demand for energy commodities is decreasing as well.

The closer April the 1st is, when oil-producing countries-members of OPEC+ will no longer be bound by any agreements, the more nervous oil prices will be. There are reasons to believe that the market will be flooded with cheap oil and it might not only cause the chaos in prices but fix them on a very low level for a long period of time.

So far, the entire fundamental background is extremely negative for the oil.

In the H4 chart, Brent is moving downwards. After breaking 26.00 to the downside, Brent may continue falling to reach 20.65. Later, the market may start a new growth with the first target at 30.03. From the technical point of view, this scenario is confirmed by MACD Oscillator: its signal line is moving below 0 and may enter the histogram area soon, thus indicating a further decline in the price chart.

As we can see in the H1 chart, after finishing the descending impulse towards 27.63 and forming a new consolidation range around this level, Brent has broken it to the downside and may continue falling to reach 24.20. After that, the price may correct to return and test 27.63 from below. Later, the price may start a new decline with the short-term target at 23.50. From the technical point of view, this scenario is confirmed by Stochastic Oscillator: its signal line has rebounded from 80 to the downside and continues a steady decline towards 50. After breaking 50, the next target to reach is 20.

Disclaimer

Any predictions contained herein are based on the authors’ particular opinion. This analysis shall not be treated as trading advice. RoboForex shall not be held liable for the results of the trades arising from relying upon trading recommendations and reviews contained herein.

 

The Analytical Overview of the Main Currency Pairs on 2020.03.23

by JustForex

The EUR/USD currency pair

Technical indicators of the currency pair:
  • Prev Open: 1.06560
  • Open: 1.07030
  • % chg. over the last day: -0.06
  • Day’s range: 1.06357 – 1.07867
  • 52 wk range: 1.0777 – 1.1494

The EUR/USD currency pair is traded in a flat. There is no defined trend. Investors are waiting for additional drivers. Currently, EUR/USD quotes are testing key support and resistance levels: 1.06550 and 1.08200, respectively. The spread of the COVID-19 virus still remains in the spotlight. China has recorded a decrease in the number of new cases of coronavirus during the day. The ECB reported that the response to the coronavirus outbreak was sufficient and effective, but the regulator is ready to do more if necessary. Open positions from key levels.

The Economic News Feed for 23.03.2020 is calm.

EUR/USD

Indicators do not give accurate signals: the price has crossed 50 MA.

MACD histogram is near the 0 mark.

The Stochastic Oscillator is located in the neutral zone, the %K line is below the %D line, which indicates a bearish sentiment.

Trading recommendations
  • Support levels: 1.06550, 1.06000
  • Resistance levels: 1.08200, 1.09550, 1.10600.

If the price fixes above 1.08200, expect the quote to correct toward 1.09000-1.09700.

Alternatively, the quotes could descend toward 1.06000.

The GBP/USD currency pair

Technical indicators of the currency pair:
  • Prev Open: 1.14620
  • Open: 1.16698
  • % chg. over the last day: +1.35
  • Day’s range: 1.15275 – 1.17145
  • 52 wk range: 1.1466 – 1.3516

GBP/USD quotes have stabilized after a significant collapse. The pound is now being consolidated. The key support and resistance levels are: 1.14500 and 1.17200, respectively. Investors continue to estimate the impact of COVID-19 virus on the global economy. Technical correction of GBP/USD currency pair is not excluded in the nearest future. Open positions from key levels.

The Economic News Feed for 23.03.2020 is calm.

GBP/USD

Indicators do not give accurate signals: the price has crossed 50 MA and 100 MA.

MACD histogram is near the 0 mark.

The Stochastic Oscillator is in the neutral zone, the %K line is below the %D line which points to a bearish sentiment.

Trading recommendations
  • Support levels: 1.14500
  • Resistance levels: 1.17200, 1.19000, 1.21350

If the price fixes above 1.17200, expect a correction toward 1.19000-1.20000.

Alternatively, the quotes could descend toward 1.14000-1.13500.

The USD/CAD currency pair

Technical indicators of the currency pair:
  • Prev Open: 1.45003
  • Open: 1.43566
  • % chg. over the last day: -1.02
  • Day’s range: 1.43507 – 1.44879
  • 52 wk range: 1.2949 – 1.4668

There is a mixed technical picture on the USD/CAD currency pair. At the moment CAD is consolidating. Local support and resistance levels are at: 1.43150 and 1.44900, respectively. Technical correction of the trading instrument after the prolonged rally is not ruled out in the nearest future. We recommend paying attention to the dynamics of oil quotations. Open positions from key levels.

The Economic News Feed for 23.03.2020 is calm.

USD/CAD

Indicators do not give accurate signals: the price has crossed 50 MA.

The MACD histogram is in the positive zone, which indicates a bullish sentiment.

The Stochastic Oscillator is in the neutral zone, the %K line is above the %D line, which gives a signal to buy USD/CAD.

Trading recommendations
  • Support levels: 1.43150, 1.41500, 1.40000
  • Resistance levels: 1.44900, 1.46600

If the price fixes below 1.43150, expect a correction toward 1.42000-1.41000.

Alternatively, the quotes could grow toward 1.46000-1.46500.

The USD/JPY currency pair

Technical indicators of the currency pair:
  • Prev Open: 110.888
  • Open: 110.755
  • % chg. over the last day: -0.05
  • Day’s range: 109.668 – 111.251
  • 52 wk range: 101.19 – 112.41

USD/JPY currency pair is in sideways movement. There is no defined trend. Financial markets participants are waiting for additional drivers. At the moment the key range is 109.500-111.450. Technical correction of the trading instrument after a prolonged fall is not ruled out in the nearest future. We recommend you to pay attention to the dynamics of US government securities yield. Oprn positions from key levels.

The Economic News Feed for 23.03.2020 is calm.

USD/JPY

Indicators do not give accurate signals: the price has crossed 50 MA.

MACD histogram is near the 0 mark.

The Stochastic Oscillator is located in the neutral zone, the %K line is above the %D line, which indicates a bullish sentiment.

Trading recommendations
  • Support levels: 109.500, 108.500, 107.850.
  • Resistance levels: 111.450, 112.000

If the price fixes below 109.500, expect the quotes to correct toward 109.500.

Alternatively, the quotes could grow toward 112.000.

by JustForex

Is the DAX30 currently waiting in the calm before the storm, below 8,000 points?

By Admiral Markets

Economic Events

Source: Economic Events March 23, 2020 – Admiral Markets’ Forex Calendar

Selling pressure on the DAX30 CFD remained high over the last week of trading, despite the massive monetary stimulus from the Fed on March 15, cutting rates to 0.0%-0.25% and launching a massive QE program of USD 700 billion, and by announcing swap lines with global central banks to make sure that enough USD is available and cutting reserve ratios for banks to 0. It also didn’t shift despite the massive monetary stimulus announced from the ECB on Wednesday evening.

The ECB went “all in”, launching a 750 billion euro emergency bond purchase scheme in a bid to stop a pandemic-induced financial rout from shredding the euro zone’s economy.

Still, the German index saw a solid weekly close, and if bulls and indications intensify that, the DAX30 CFD may have found, at the very least, a short-term bottom.

While volatility should be expected to stay massively elevated, the main focus on the upside is at the region around 9,150/200 points, and a break higher would accelerate the bullish momentum, bringing a re-test of the region around 10,000 points into play.

Nevertheless, the re-installed swap lines of the Fed is especially noteworthy since the world has built an enormous pile of USD debt over the years (especially over the last decade with the massive Fed QE), where 12.8 trillion of USD debt can be found in the books of banks around the globe. And this US dollar shortage will likely continue and force market participants to keep on dumping their Equity positions with the target to stay as liquid as possible.

That said, we stay bearish for the DAX30 CFD for the time being, consider any bullish stints as short-lived and see a drop as low as 7,500/8,000 points as a serious.

Hourly chart

Source: Admiral Markets MT5 with MT5-SE Add-on DAX30 CFD Hourly chart (between March 4, 2020, to March 20, 2020). Accessed: March 20, 2020, at 10:00 PM GMT

Daily chart

Source: Admiral Markets MT5 with MT5-SE Add-on DAX30 CFD Daily chart (between December 5, 2018 to March 20, 2020). Accessed: March 20, 2020, at 10:00pm GMT – Please note: Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results, or future performance.

In 2015, the value of the DAX30 CFD increased by 9.56%, in 2016, it increased by 6.87%, in 2017, it increased by 12.51%, in 2018, it fell by 18.26%, in 2019, it increased by 26.44% meaning that after five years, it was up by 34.2%.

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By Admiral Markets

EURUSD: coronavirus events boosting USD

By Alpari.com

On Friday, March 20, trading on the euro was down at the close. At the beginning of the European session, the price rose to 1.0831, before falling to 1.0638 in the US session. Markets collapsed on the back of the news that New York Governor Andrew Cuomo signed an order for the transfer to remote work for all employees of US-based companies. US President Donald Trump closed the border with Mexico, and then over the weekend – with Canada. The US is in lockdown.

Over the past week, the S&P500 index fell by 14.97%, to 2,304.9, (EURUSD) – by 3.66% or 406 points.

Today’s events (GMT+3):

  • 16:00 China: will publish an index of leading indicators for February.
  • 18:00 Eurozone: Consumer Confidence (Mar).

2303Current situation:

The expectations set out on Friday came true. The price rose up to the 135th degree, before falling to a new minimum price. Bears ran out of time in their quest to reach the target level of 1.0600.

In Asian trading, the euro set a new minimum, and recovered to the balance line (Lb). All attention remains focused on the pandemic and the spread of coronavirus.

Today is like Friday, we expect a rise to the Lb and a fall in price. We can see that the price has rebounded to the Lb and is ready for a new fall. If we consider the movement within the channel, then the target area for today is  found at the level of 1.0630.

To reverse the “bearish” trend, bulls need to gain a foothold above 1.0835. If the US market opens with growth, then a new minimum will not be reached. Given the ambiguous situation, working with the trend is safer.

By Alpari.com

The Most Exciting Green Startups To Watch In 2020

By OilPrice.com

– The Airbnb of energy, the Uber of zero-carbon transportation, the VRBO of blockchain electricity-sharing… a collection of new startups are about to revolutionize the sharing economy – and smart money is starting to pay attention.

The sharing economy has become an unstoppable force–and the collaborative, peer-to-peer economy has grown from a curious fad into the trend-to-beat-all-trends over the past decade.

Popularized by ride-hailing apps like Uber and Lyft; home-rental companies like Airbnb and HomeAway; and crowdfunding apps like Kickstarter and Fundablem, this economy has transformed into one of the fastest-growing business trends in history.

McKinsey now estimates that 162 million people or 20-30% of the workforce in the U.S. and Europe alone are providers on sharing platforms.

The latest startups making huge waves and threatening to disrupt sharing as we know it include a Slovak outfit that is fashioning itself as the Airbnb of clean energy …

A Canadian startup that meets the widespread demand for a green ride-sharing solution by giving consumers a choice of vehicle and by contributing to planting a tree for every ride ..

And an Australian peer-to-peer energy trading platform that is storming the renewable energy halls of Silicon Valley.

All three combine the best of IT with the biggest of trends: sharing and environmentally responsible investing.

Meet the three startups rewriting all the rules:

#1 Fuergy

Slovak startup Fuergy plans to turn household renewable energy-sharing into a reality.

One of the latest is a Slovakian startup that is now fashioning itself as the Airbnb of clean energy, with a mission to turn household renewable energy sharing into a reality.

Using the Fuergy platform, home users who generate surplus solar or wind power can sell it directly to other members in their community instead of the usual model of feeding it to the grid.

This way, the consumer bypasses high processing fees thus allowing them to earn more from their renewables. Meanwhile, the buyers are able to purchase the shared energy at cheaper rates than buying it from the main grid–a classic win-win for both the seller and the buyer.

Obviously, sharing something as unpredictable as solar and wind power can be a really tough call and nothing like sharing an Airbnb. After all, the system should be able to accurately predict power generation and user consumption at any given time of the day so as to only buy what’s necessary or sell what is surplus to requirements.

This is where Fuergy’s artificial intelligence (AI) platform comes into the equation.

Fuergy optimizes energy consumption by using its ability to connect with IoT (Internet of Things) devices, including a diverse range of home appliances including heat pumps and washing machines.

By connecting to the IoT, Fuergy is also able to schedule energy consumption to times when energy is cheaper, or even store it in the form of heat or cold. By using a weather forecasting system and consumer habits analysis, the system is able to, for example, adjust heating settings so that no energy is wasted for heating an empty house at the beginning of a sunny day. Based on these inputs and parameters, the AI system is also able to evaluate the amount of energy it can sell or purchase to ensure a trouble-free operation of the delivery point.

As Branislav Safarik, COO at Fuergy, has told Observer:

“Green energy is highly weather-dependent, and therefore, it is very hard to predict how much energy they will produce throughout the day. So, first of all, we need to get the renewables under control. This can be done with the help of batteries or other kinds of energy storage. We can store the green energy and use it when needed. This must be done at the level of energy supplier.”

The open, distributed and dynamic energy model that Fuergy is building will probably be an easy sell because of one key attraction: significantly lower energy costs.

Fuergy’s pilot project for businesses has already realized 50% lower energy costs.

#2 Facedrive

Canadian Facedrive is like Uber, only better–because it’s green.

Facedrive is the next-generation ride-sharing company that gives the segment’s key customer base exactly what they want: A green alternative in the fossil-fuel driven ride-sharing sector.

Facedrive (TSX:FD.V) is the first ride-sharing company that contributes to planting a tree while you ride, and lets you choose exactly what kind of ecological footprint you want to leave behind.

The next-gen ride-share company offers customers a choice for every ride, whether they want an EV, a hybrid, or a conventional car. And even if they choose conventional, they’re still making a green choice because the CO2 is being offset for them.

While Uber was busy spending tons of capital on making ride-sharing a thing, Facedrive was predicting where things would go next, and laying the green groundwork.

“We’re all about grabbing onto the biggest trends in tech before they’re mega-trends. So that takes us back to 2016, when we first came up with the idea. Whenever a major new trend emerges, it’s the job of the truly innovative to step back and say ‘OK, this is an explosively great idea – so what’s wrong with it?’ When you figure that out, and you’ve got the right network and the right people behind you, you can jump in on one of the biggest trends and disrupt a massive market at exactly the right time,” Facedrive CEO Sayan Navaratnam told Oilprice.com.

Already, Sayan is attracting huge names with Facedrive (TSX:FD.V) because it’s been recognized as the #1 eco-friendly and socially responsible TaaS (Transportation as a Service) platform. In addition to celebrities, including Will Smith and Jada Pinkett Smith, WestBrook Global Inc. is also on board. The company has even partnered with a major telecom firm to offer drivers significant discounts.

Facedrive has already planted 3,500 trees, and its ride count has gone from 200 a day just 4 months ago to 1,000 rides per day right now–and counting.

The next big push comes in Q3-Q4 of this year, when Facedrive targets expansion into U.S. and European markets.

#3 Power Ledger

Power Ledger is based out of Australia and functions as a peer-to-peer energy-trading platform and the first ever carbon credit project of its kind.

Imagine, as a household, being able to monetize your renewable energy investment while simultaneously providing your community with cheaper energy via the blockchain–all thanks to an innovative peer-to-peer platform.

The bigger this gets, the more likely it will be to disrupt the energy sector by helping to make renewable energy more affordable and attractive.

It’s been making waves around the world, and now it will be hitting up California in partnership with Silicon Valley Power and the Clean Energy Block Chain Network.

That partnership will create a digital record of Low Carbon Fuel Standard (LCFS) transactions. For anyone not familiar with carbon credits–it’s a complicated and cumbersome process that was just waiting for someone to come along with a better way of tracking renewable energy use and offsets–and hopefully, a better algorithm, which is exactly what Power Ledger offers.

Power Ledger tracks energy production, storage and use with full-on transparency, and Silicon Valley is by no means its first carbon credit rodeo.

They’ve also been busy in Japan, in partnership with the Kansai Electric Power Co. (KEPCO) for a renewable energy sharing project, and back in Australia, they’ve been working on micro-grid projects, hitting up Southeast Asia and New Zealand in between. They also just won a contract with an Italian energy giant that sets the stage for what’s to come next …

So whether it’s Uber–only better, or energy we can buy, sell and lease like an Airbnb, or a novel AI-inspired way to make carbon credits actually makes sense … These startups have one thing in common: They watched all the sharing giants on their foundation-laying spending sprees, and then they focused on what was missing. What comes next? These are the innovations driving the disruption.

Other tech companies poised to ride the ride-share boom:

Google’s parent company Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOGL) is a shining star in the tech world. Despite being one of the largest companies on the planet, in many ways it has lived up to its original “Don’t Be Evil” slogan.

Though it has had its controversies in the realm of data collection and advertising, Google has led a revolution in the tech world on multiple fronts.

First, and foremost, it has officially powered its data centers with 100% renewable energy over the last two years. A massive feat considering exactly how much data Google actually processes.

Not only is Google powering its data centers with renewable energy, it is also on the cutting edge of innovation in the industry, investing in new technology and green solutions to build a more sustainable tomorrow.

Plus, Uber’s losses are linked to its IPO and its rapid expansion rate: once the company solidifies its dominance of ride-sharing and makes inroads to self-driving cars, Uber’s profits are likely to prove sturdy.

Moreover, while $5 billion sounds like a lot, it pales in comparison with what other big companies have suffered through-GM posted $48 billion loss in 2009, and it’s held on despite it.

Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) has always thought outside of the box. And when it brought back Steve Jobs in 1997, the company really took off.

Jobs also paved the way to a greener future for the company.

From the products themselves, to the packages they came in, and even the data centers powering them, Steve Jobs went above and beyond to cut the environmental impact of his company.

After his passing, Tim Cook took these principles to heart, and picked up the torch, transforming all of Apple’s operations into models of a sustainable future.

Now, all of Apple’s operations run on 100% renewable energy.

General Motors (NYSE:GM) has created its own brand of electric bikes, called Ariv. The bikes were just launched this year, but have already captured the attention of the European market.

While they err on the side of pricey, coming in at $3,800 per unit, they do boast a high top speed and can travel a modest distance on a single charge.

The kicker for many, however, is that they can fold into an easily carriable pack, making them the perfect choice for a lot of commuters. Especially in big cities like London or Berlin.

Ford (NYSE:F) is taking a different approach. It’s swooped right into the scooter market, buying Spin for a clean $100 million.

Initially deployed in San Francisco back in 2017, Spin is widely considered to be a part of the Big Three of the scooter world, along with Lime and Bird.

While Ford’s buyout of Spin made headlines, it’s certainly not the first urban transportation alternative Ford’s sunk its teeth into.

In recent years, Ford also bought commuter shuttle service Chariot, Autonomic and TransLoc, aiming to ensure that it does not miss the boat as this new movement accelerates.

NextEra (NYSE:NEE) is the world’s leading producer of wind and solar energy, so it’s no surprise that it has received some love from the ‘millennial dollar.’

In 2018, the company was the number one capital investor in green energy infrastructure, and fifth largest capital investor across all sectors. No other company has been more active in reducing carbon emissions.

And they’re just getting started.

BCE Inc. (TSX:BCE) is a Canadian giant. Founded in 1980, the company, formally The Bell Telephone Company of Canada is composed of three primary subsidiaries. Bell Wireless, Bell Wireline and Bell Media, however throughout its push into the position of one of Canada’s top telco groups, it has bought and sold a number of different firms.

BCE is also at the forefront of the Internet of Things movement in Canada, something that is going to be vital in building a greener future. Its Machine to Machine solutions are being used by numerous businesses throughout North America and its new LTE-M network is sure to rapidly increase the adoption of these solutions.

The Descartes Systems Group Inc. (TSX:DSG) (commonly referred to as Descartes) is a Canadian multinational technology company specializing in logistics software, supply chain management software, and cloud-based services for logistics businesses. The company is making waves in the tech industry with its futuristic products and visionary leadership.

Recently, Descartes announced that it has successfully deployed its advanced capacity matching solution, Descartes MacroPoint Capacity Matching. The solution provides greater visibility and transparency within their network of carriers and brokers. This move could solidify the company as a key player in transportation logistics which is essential in the world of commerce.

Power Financial Corp (TSX:PWF) has been in the finance industry since 1984. The company operates in three segments: Lifeco, IGM and Pargesa Holding SA (Pargesa). And, with its holdings in a diversified portfolio spanning the United States and Europe, Power Financial is a leader in its field.

Focusing its investments in emerging industries, Power Financial stands to benefit by riding this wave into the future. The company’s forward-thinking attitude and liberal approach to technology is sure to leave investors satisfied.

Redline Communications Group Inc. (TSX:RDL): Redline is not a giant, but it does operate in more of a niche environment—in hard-to-access places, providing wireless for critical industries, including oil and gas, and anywhere from the rainforests of South America to the slopes of Alaska and the deserts of the Middle East.

While the company has struggled in the past, we expect it to improve its operations results. The company’s main challenge remains to expand and attract new customers for its new products.

Shaw Communications Inc (TSE:SJR.B): Shaw Communications, a giant in the Canadian telecoms sector, saw a drop in its share price following its disappointing forecasted earnings growth in 2017. In a sector that is set to see growth, undervalued and experienced companies such as this can make for a great hold play.

Shaw owns a ton of infrastructure throughout Canada and its cloud services and open-source projects look to address some of the biggest issues that its customers might face before the customers even face them.

With a market cap of $13.73 billion, Shaw Communications is going to be a big player in the sector for quite some time to come, and as it nears its 52-week low this could be a great time to pick up a telecoms giant.

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Forward-Looking Statements

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By Meredith Taylor

 

Cash Is King, Not Gold, Not Bonds

By TheTechnicalTradersExactly one month ago, on February 20th, the SP500 made an all-time high and reversed its trend to the downside. What a wild ride the last month has been across virtually all asset classes.

Out of all the major indexes, commodities, and currencies, only one asset and trade moved higher. It’s no surprise given the title that cash or the US Dollar is the asset of choice having rallied over 9% while everything else fell with bonds down 22.75%, stocks 30%-40%, gold miners 58%, and crude down 62%.

My team and I have talked about this rotation to safety into USA/US Dollar) since the lows back in 2018. During the recent stock and commodity price crash, we have seen where investors are dumping their money. It’s not gold, it’s not bonds, but the US Currency. Stocks and commodities are being sold around the globe, and that money is buying up the US dollar.

US Dollar Rises Above the Rest
Proof the Greenback is Still the #1 Currency World Wide

Daily S&P 500 Index – Support, Bottoming signal, and Resistance

The 30+% correction in the ST&P 500 index has been an extraordinary event. Those who have proven trading strategies and abide strictly to position, and risk management rules have been able to not only avoid the market crash but profit and reach new account highs. While those who trade for the thrill, expect oversized gains regularly, and who don’t have a clear trading plan or position management are suffering from the recent selloff.

Last night I watched a great video talking about performance and the winning mindset that both traders and top athletes share. The different ways someone can trade profitably in the markets is fascinating. If you want to be inspired to be a better person and trader, take a look at this video by Real Vision with Dr. Gio Valiante.

Ok, so let us jump into the charts. As a technical analysis and trader since 1997, I have been through a couple of bull/bear market cycles. I have a good pulse on the market and timing key turning points for short-term swing traders and long-term investors.

As you will see from the chart below, I keep things easy for you to see visually and get the idea of what to expect moving forward. The green line is a very significant long term support level on the S&P 500 index. Knowing that price has fallen straight down to this level gives us a much higher chance of a bounce at a minimum.

Trade Tip: The faster the price moves to a critical support or resistance level, the higher the chance you will have a bounce back from that level for a candlestick or three.

The pink arrow on the chart points towards a candlestick pattern, which I call Tweezers. These should be seen as a possible reversal signal.

Lastly, is the red resistance zone. I know it’s a huge range, but at this point, it’s the area we will zero in on once/if price starts to near that level.

30 Minute S&P 500 Trading Chart

This chart is the 30-minute chart of the index and only shows regular trading hours between 9:30 am ET and 4 pm ET. While this is only 1/3rd of the trading day for futures, it is when the majority of contracts/shares are traded, so that is my main focus for analysis.

Since 2001 I have been building and refining my trading strategies to make them somewhat automated. This chart below shows my trend colored chart, which is the basis of my trading for almost all asset classes. What the S&P 500 does directly relates to how I trade or avoid other asset classes.

Recently, we created a market gauge showing you visually where the market is within its 30-50 day price cycle.

When the trend changed, and the bars turned orange on Feb 25th subscribers, and I closed our equities position because they were now out of favor. This allowed us to avoid the market crash through trend analysis, and from our trailing stop order.

First Wave of Safety Was in Bonds

The two charts below of bonds show the same trend and trades but share some different trading tips.

The first 30-minute chart shows a pink line, which was our trend trade. The strategy is to look for large patterns, wait for a trend change, and then take advantage of the new trend. This trade we entered mid-January.

The key points from this chart are to know when the price goes parabolic in any direction and with huge price gaps, know its time to start scaling out of a trade, or close it.

Bonds Daily Chart – Spot Large Pattern, Trade The Breakout

The second point is that you must have a trading plan and actively manage your trade by moving up protective stop orders, so when price corrects, you are taken out of the trade automatically.

This daily chart of bonds shows the large bullish chart pattern (bull flag). I waited for price to breakout, the trend to turn green, and then entered the trade using Fibonacci extensions for price targets, which I have found are the absolute best way to spot our price targets. If bonds were to rally to the 100% measured move, we would close the trade, and that is what happened exactly.

A few things took place at that price level, which has the charts screaming at me to sell. First, the 100% target was reached. The second was that price was going parabolic with a 10% gap higher above my target, and volume was extremely high, meaning everyone, including their grandmother, were buying bonds. If everyone is buying the same thing, its time to move on to a new chart.

Gold and Gold Miners as a Safe Haven

While subscribers of my ETF trading signals and I profited on GDXJ as an early safe-haven trade exiting our position at the high tick of the day before it reversed and fell 58%, most traders I know still hold their gold miner’s positions.

For most of us, it is tough to sell a winning trade, and it is even harder to sell a losing trade. And knowing most trades will turn into a losing trade if you hold them long enough, the odds are clearly stacked against you as a trader.

This pullback in metals and miners, which turned into something much larger than I ever expected, is a huge shock to most people. The reality is history shows during extreme volatility/fear both gold and bonds collapse, and it is nothing new or unexpected.

In fact, I posted a warning that both will fall two days before they topped and collapsed in this special report.

Concluding Thoughts:

In short, we are experiencing some unprecedented price swings in the financial system, but other than extra-large market selloffs, and rallies the charts are still moving and telling us the same things for trading and investing.

There are times when the markets are untradable as a swing trader, which is has been the last 15 days because of how them market has been moving. It is a fantastic time for day traders, but with some sectors moving 10-25% a day back to back like the gold miners or crude oil, it is high-risk trading (gambling) right now.

With all that said, my inter-market analysis is pointing to some tradable price action potentially starting next week. The potential is larger than normal because price volatility remains elevated, meaning 10-20% moves over a week or two are expected.

Visit my ETF Wealth Building Newsletter and if you like what I offer, and ride my coattails as I navigate these financial markets and build wealth while others lose nearly everything they own during the next financial crisis.

Chris Vermeulen

TheTechnicalTraders.com

 

Bitcoin’s sharp recovery to take price beyond $7,000 in next week: deVere CEO

By George Prior

The price of Bitcoin is likely to recover to at least $7,000 in the next week, with the wider cryptocurrency market receiving a major resurgence.

This is the bullish forecast from Nigel Green, the chief executive of deVere Group, one of the world’s largest independent financial advisory and services organizations.

It comes as the price of Bitcoin, the largest digital currency with a current market capitalisation of around $130bn, shot up by more than 20 per cent in 24 hours on Thursday.

Mr Green, who launched the deVere Crypto app in 2018, says: “Global financial markets – such as stocks, oil, currency, bonds and gold – experienced a massive sell-off this week. Investors who needed cash went into panic-mode about the coronavirus pandemic and whether governments’ and central banks’ policies are enough to mitigate the economic impact.

“Bitcoin was no different from any of these other assets – including the safe havens – it was just another asset to sell at the time.

“However, it has recovered significantly better than many other assets, jumping 20 per cent in 24 hours.”

He continues: “I’m confident that this upward trajectory will remain strong.  The price of Bitcoin is likely to recover to at least $7,000 in the next week as the volatility in traditional financial markets, including fiat currency markets, looks likely to remain in the near-term.

“As such, a growing number of institutional and retail investors will seek to diversify their portfolios and hedge against the turmoil by investing in decentralised, non-sovereign, secure crypto assets, such as Bitcoin.

“In other recent times of market uncertainty, a growing consensus has been revealed that Bitcoin is becoming a flight-to-safety asset.

“Up to now, gold has been known as the ultimate safe-haven asset, but Bitcoin  – which shares its key characteristics of being a store of value and scarcity – could potentially dethrone gold in the future as the world becomes increasingly digitalised.”

Mr Green adds: “Moreover, the upswing in Bitcoin’s price will remain on track because the fundamentals remain intact – namely that cryptocurrency is the future of money.

“Cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin are digital and global. Digitalization is often called the fourth industrial revolution and cryptocurrencies are digital by their very nature. Meanwhile, the borderless nature of cryptocurrencies makes them perfectly suited to an ever globalized world of commerce and trade.

“It is also about demographics.  Younger people, who are of course the future, have always lived in a digital era, so using digital currency is going to be second nature.

“In addition, there will be an acceleration of institutional investment which is likely to be driven by greater regulatory clarity. More and more global jurisdictions can be expected to join the likes of Malta, Hong Kong, Japan and Switzerland in becoming crypto-friendly from a regulatory and pro-business viewpoint. The institutional expertise and capital will bolster prices significantly.”

The deVere CEO concludes: “Volatility in traditional markets, combined with a growing consensus of it being a flight-to-safety asset, plus its strong inherent fundamentals will ensure Bitcoin’s continued upward trajectory.”

About:

deVere Group is one of the world’s largest independent advisors of specialist global financial solutions to international, local mass affluent, and high-net-worth clients.  It has a network of more than 70 offices across the world, over 80,000 clients and $12bn under advisement.

 

How the Best Traders Respond to Financial Crisis

By TheTechnicalTraders.com

A member sent me a lovely email tonight. Many of you did, in fact, so thank you.

One member shared a video with me that I just watched and hands down, everyone should take the 41 minutes of this fascinating video on trader’s mindsets and ways to trade. Be sure to listen to the end because every point is crucial for your trading success and mindset.

If you are looking for a trading strategy that is simple to follow part-time, low-risk, and can avoid market crashes through risk management and profit during bear markets, you can have my trades sent to you in real-time here.

If you need help following your trades or my trade alerts, so you take partial profits, tighten your stops, and exit trades when they start to go against you, then this short video course will help you make rule-based-trading your strength.

If you are stuck at home without work or income, then you should think about the Trading As Your Business program so you can earn a living from any computer anywhere in the world as I do.

I hope you were able to get a few gold nuggets from the video above as I did.

Chris Vermeulen
Chief Market Strategist

TheTechnicalTraders.com

Forex Technical Analysis & Forecast 20.03.2020

Article By RoboForex.com

EURUSD, “Euro vs US Dollar”

After breaking 1.0810 downwards and then forming a downside continuation pattern there, EURUSD has reached the short-term target at 1.0655; right now, it is growing towards 1.0778. Possibly, the pair may reach this level and then form a new descending structure to reach 1.0715. If later the price breaks this level to the downside, the market may continue trading inside the downtrend towards 1.0612. However, if the instrument breaks 1.0780, it may start a new correction with the target at 1.0922.

EURUSD
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

GBPUSD, “Great Britain Pound vs US Dollar”

GBPUSD is consolidating around 1.1595. If later the price breaks this range to the downside at 1.1444, the market may resume trading inside the downtrend to reach 1.1264; if to the upside at 1.1786 – start a new correction with the target at 1.2166.

GBPUSD
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

USDCHF, “US Dollar vs Swiss Franc”

After breaking 0.9730 and forming an upside continuation pattern there, USDCHF has completed the ascending structure with the short-term target at 0.9890; right now, it is falling to test 0.9730 from above. Later, the market may start a new growth towards 0.9925.

USDCHF
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

USDJPY, “US Dollar vs Japanese Yen”

USDJPY has finished the ascending structure at 111.26, thus extending the third ascending wave. Today, the pair may correct to reach 108.63 and then resume growing with the target at 112.21.

USDJPY
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

AUDUSD, “Australian Dollar vs US Dollar”

After finishing the ascending structure at 0.5945, AUDUSD has completed the correction towards 0.5666; right now, it is forming the second ascending impulse to reach 0.6122. After that, the instrument may resume trading inside the downtrend towards 0.5888 and the start a new growth with the target at 0.6333.

AUDUSD
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

USDRUB, “US Dollar vs Russian Ruble”

USDRUB is forming the first descending impulse towards 78.18. Possibly, the pair may reach this level and then grow towards 80.40, thus forming a new consolidation range above 78.18. Later, the market may form one more ascending structure to reach 83.22 and then resume trading downwards to break 78.00. After that, the instrument may continue falling with the target at 72.90.

USDRUB
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

USDCAD, “US Dollar vs Canadian Dollar”

After completing the first descending impulse at 1.4380, USDCAD is forming a new consolidation range. Possibly, the pair may correct towards 1.4522 and then resume trading downwards to break 1.4370. Later, the market may continue falling with the short-term target at 1.4220.

USDCAD
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

XAUUSD, “Gold vs US Dollar”

Gold has completed the descending structure at 1456.80; right now, it is growing towards 1497.82. After that, the instrument may form a new descending structure with the target at 1442.70.

GOLD
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

BRENT

Brent is growing towards 30.12. Possibly, the pair may reach this level and then form a new descending structure towards 27.25, thus forming a new consolidation range between them. If later the price breaks this range to the upside at 30.20, the market may resume trading upwards to reach 39.30; if to the downside at 27.00 – start a new decline with the target at 20.70.

BRENT
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

BTCUSD, “Bitcoin vs US Dollar”

BTCUSD has finished the ascending structure at 6300.00, which may be considered as the third wave inside the ascending impulse. The main scenario implies that the instrument may correct towards 5300.00 and then resume trading upwards with the first target at 6600.00.

BTCUSD

Article By RoboForex.com

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex LP bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.