Author Archive for InvestMacro – Page 436

Fibonacci Retracements Analysis 04.04.2018 (GBPUSD, EURJPY)

Article By RoboForex.com

GBPUSD, “Great Britain Pound vs US Dollar”

As we can see in the H4 chart, GBPUSD is being corrected to the downside and has already reached the retracement of 50.0%. The next downside targets may be the retracements of 61.8% and 76.0% at 1.3959 and 1.3892 respectively. After finishing the correction, the instrument may start a new ascending impulse towards the local high at 1.4245 and then the long-term one at 1.4345.

GBPUSD1
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

The H1 chart shows more detailed structure of the current movement. The price is being corrected upwards; it has already reached the retracement of 38.2% and may continue growing up to the retracement of 50.0% at 1.4126. However, after breaking the low at 1.4009, the instrument may resume falling towards the short-term downside targets.

GBPUSD2
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

 

EURJPY, “Euro vs. Japanese Yen”

As we can see in the H4 chart, the convergence made EURJPY reverse and start a new correction. However, the mid-term downtrend may yet continue if the price breaks the low at 128.94. In this case, the downside targets will be inside the post-correctional extension area between the retracements of 138.2% and 161.8% at 127.85 and 127.18 respectively. The current correction has reached the retracement of 23.6% and may continue towards the retracements of 38.2% and 50.0% at 132.22 and 133.24 respectively.

EURJPY1
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

In the H1 chart, the pair is forming a short-term correction after completing a quick ascending impulse, which has already reached the retracement of 61.8%. The next downside target may be the retracement of 76.0% at 129.64.

EURJPY2
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

 

RoboForex Analytical Department

Article By RoboForex.com

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex LP bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Forex Technical Analysis & Forecast 04.04.2018 (EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDCHF, USDJPY, AUDUSD, USDRUB, GOLD, BRENT)

Article By RoboForex.com

EURUSD, “Euro vs US Dollar”

EURUSD has broken the downside border of the consolidation range and may continue falling towards 1.2208. Possibly, today the price may return to 1.2284 and then move downwards to reach 1.2230. Later, the market may consolidate around this level and then resume falling inside the downtrend towards the short-term target at 1.2208.

EURUSD
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

 

GBPUSD, “Great Britain Pound vs US Dollar”

GBPUSD has broken the consolidation range upwards and completed the correction at 1.4096. Today, the price may fall to reach 1.4000, break it, and then continue moving inside the downtrend with the short-term target at 1.3930.

GBPUSD
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

 

USDCHF, “US Dollar vs Swiss Franc”

USDCHF has broken the consolidation range upwards and may reach 0.9615. Possibly, today the price may return to 0.9568 and then grow towards 0.9615. After that, the instrument may form another descending structure to return to 0.9568 and then resume moving inside the uptrend with the target at 0.9700.

USDCHF
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

 

USDJPY, “US Dollar vs Japanese Yen”

USDJPY is still forming the fifth ascending wave with the target at 107.74. Right now, the price is forming the first structure of this wave; the target is at 106.69. Later, the market may start another correction towards 106.17 and then resume moving upwards to reach 107.30.

USDJPY
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

 

AUDUSD, “Australian Dollar vs US Dollar”

AUDUSD is moving upwards; it may start another correction with the target at 0.7777. Today, the price may reach 0.7754 and then fall towards 0.7701. After that, the instrument may resume moving inside the uptrend to reach the above-mentioned target.

AUDUSD
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

 

USDRUB, “US Dollar vs Russian Ruble”

USDRUB is moving upwards. Possibly, the price may reach 57.94, fall to break the downside border of the range at 56.68, and then continue moving inside the downtrend with the target at 54.80.

USDRUB
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

 

XAUUSD, “Gold vs US Dollar”

Gold has completed another descending impulse and right now is being corrected. The target is at 1335.00. Later, the market may form another descending structure towards 1325.00 and then start another correction to reach 1334.00.

GOLD
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

 

BRENT

Brent continues consolidating near the lows. Possibly, today the price may grow towards 68.08 and then start another decline to reach 67.50.

BRENT
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

 

RoboForex Analytical Department

Article By RoboForex.com

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex LP bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Yen Rising As Safe Haven Demand Increases

Author: Dmitriy Gurkovskiy, Chief Analyst at RoboForex

The Japanese yen confirmed its safe haven status again. The previous correction was quite technical, as the market was trying to balance the USD/JPY pair without any significant fundamentals published. Now, the economic events are flowing into the market again, and the news are very much negative, which, as a rule, does influence the Japanese currency.

First and foremost, the markets are very wary about the ‘trader war’ between the US and China, which can start any time. The US government imposed some customs duties unilaterally against steel and aluminum a few weeks ago. Donald Trump said this was just for boosting the internal production and making the competition easier for the local manufacturers. Additionally, the US also imposed duties on the goods manufactured in China.

It did not take Middle Kingdom too long to respond, as recently a list of 100 US goods was published; these goods will be liable to customs duties if imported into China. As much as expected, this piece of news still caused a massive hunt for the safe haven assets, including the yen.

The markets are now considering whether these ‘trade wars’ will lead to some conflicts and daring moves involving other participants of the world trade process. It’s all very quiet for Japan for now, as the US previously told they were ready to negotiate everything peacefully. Still, these are no more than just talk for now.

If the markets suspect any possibility of the world trade processes facing some issues, the yen may rise once more against the greenback.

On H4, USD/JPY has overcome the resistance and moved to the upper projection channel. At the same time, the price tested the broken out resistance and turned it into a support. Technically, this enables locating an ascending channel. The first move may target the current resistance at 107.15. After breaking out the projection channel resistance, the price may go well ahead to the upside channel resistance at 108.50. The support for the current move is at 105.25.

Disclaimer

Any forecasts contained herein are based on the authors’ particular opinion. This analysis may not be treated as trading advice. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations and reviews contained herein.

Undermining International and Sovereign Institutions

By Dan Steinbock

There is a dark path from Comelec/Smartmatic debacles to destabilized Latin America, British Malloch Brown, the Balkans, billionaire speculator George Soros, ambassador Philip Goldberg, drugs, and compromised institutions.

In March, Senator Vicente Sotto III called for probe on alleged manipulation of May 2016 poll results in the Philippines. The alleged irregularities during the elections involve the machines of the poll’s technology provider, Smartmatic. The Senate Majority Leader said he has records from the joint custody of the Commission on Elections (Comelec).

The debacle fosters impression about illicit connections between alleged electoral irregularities, a contested technology, struggle for the vice presidency, the electoral watchdog’s conduct, and its chairman’s self-enrichment – which, in turn, seem to be associated with efforts to undermine international institutions by transnational capital.

From Comelec to Smartmatic, Venezuelan coups and Malloch Brown

In joint venture with Total Information Management (TIM) Philippines, Smartmatic has been the technology provider for Philippine elections since 2008, when the cooperation started with the regional elections in the Mindanao. All subsequent elections (2010, 2013, and 2016) have relied on Smartmatic’s voting machines.

Senator Sotto’s disclosure is only the latest about alleged irregularities in the 2016 election, which first surfaced with the contest for Vice President. In this rivalry, Ferdinand “Bongbong” Marcos Jr. suffered a narrow and controversial defeat to Liberal Party’s Leni Robredo, which he attributes to discrepancies and irregularities in Comelec’s servers and data.

In 2015, Aquino appointed Andy Bautista, a constitutional legal expert, as Comelec’s chairman. Two years later, Bautista’s estranged wife released information of his unexplained wealth. Reportedly, as Bautista served as Aquino’s chairman of the Presidential Commission from 2010 to 2015 to investigate the ill-gotten Marcos wealth, he was accumulating his own ill-gotten wealth. In October 2017, the House of Representatives voted to impeach Bautista who has shunned a subpoena by the Senate committee. In March, he surfaced in the United States. According to his brother Dr Martin D Bautista, he suffers from “secondary pulmonary hypertension” and must refrain from travel. That’s a convenient pretext, not an explanation.

And there is more to the Smartmatic controversy. Two decades ago, three engineers, led by Antonio Mugica, began to develop a new election technology in Venezuela. Following the 2000 US election, which put George W. Bush into the White House, they saw an opportunity. After funds from private investors, including Jorge Massa Dustou, they incorporated in Delaware in 2000. As one of Venezuela’s richest, Dustou was married with the sister of Gustavo Cisneros, a media mogul billionaire. Reportedly, Cisneros bankrolled the failed 2002 Venezuelan coup d’état attempt against Hugo Chávez.

When Mugica’s company got funds from the Chavez government, the Committee on Foreign Investment in the US (CFIUS) began to investigate Smartmatic’s links to the Venezuelan government. Yet, its election technology has been used in local and national elections in Latin America, the UK, the US, Belgium, and the Philippines.

In 2012 Smartmatic moved its headquarters to London. Two years later, in a murky reorganization, CEO Mugica and British Lord Mark Malloch-Brown launched the SGO Corp. Ltd, a holding company whose key asset remains Smartmatic. Malloch Brown’s Manila ties stem from the mid-1980s when the former Economist journalist became the lead international partner at the Sawyer-Miller Group, which was picked as Corazon Aquino’s PR agency. Following a poll controversy, Aquino won, but very tightly. Malloch Brown formed a close relationship with the family dynasty.

The cooperation was re-ignited ahead of the 2010 election, when Benigno S. Aquino III became the first Philippine President whose votes were counted by Smartmatic, despite persistent allegations that the system is vulnerable to manipulation.

In July 2015, Malloch Brown returned to the Philippines and subsequently Comelec’s Bautista awarded Smartmatic contracts at a total of P2.6-billion in the 2016 election. But the Philippines was just a stepping stone for Malloch Brown’s big ambitions.

The Yugoslavian Connection

Malloch Brown’s SMG promoted privatization and liberal reforms in the former Soviet Union, which, for its small part, contributed to Russia’s economic default and the dismemberment of Yugoslavia – which intrigued Malloch Brown, billionaire speculator George Soros and former Philippine Ambassador Philip Goldberg.

Malloch-Brown’s ties with Soros originate from the early 1990s when he was still working for Refugees International, a NGO that does not accept government or UN funding and relies on donations from rich individuals, foundations, and corporations. RI has focused on poor, but resource-rich countries – in several African states, Myanmar and Syria – in which the West (and Soros) has strategic interests.

Malloch Brown joined the Soros Advisory Committee on Bosnia, ahead of the devastating conflict. As Soros financed agencies cooperating with US authorities, Goldberg was appointed the State Department’s Bosnia Desk Officer. That’s when the conflict erupted between Albanian separatists and Serbian and Yugoslav security forces. In turn, the International Crisis Group, another NGO, was founded “to prevent war and shape peace” in 1993 after a “chance meeting” between former US diplomat Morton Abramowitz and Malloch Brown on a flight to Sarajevo. Soros was soon involved and provided seed money. Like Goldberg in the 2000s, Abramowitz had been State Department’s intelligence official in the 1980s working with CIA stations.

After the Bosnian Civil War, Goldberg was the chief of staff of the US Delegation at the Dayton Peace Conference, served as US chief of mission in Kosovo and liaisoned with the Kosovo Liberation Army. Despite alleged links with organized crime and narco-terror, KLA was supported by CIA and the NATO, and Goldberg was setting the stage for the subsequent secession of Kosovo from Serbia. After he presented his credentials before President Evo Morales in 2006, oddly enough, Bolivia, too, began to suffer from separatist autonomous movements, which were supported by the US-based National Endowment for Democracy (NED).

In Bolivia, President Morales was able to contain the separatism and expelled Goldberg who was sworn in as US Ambassador to the Philippines in 2013. Then, he began to “pivot” Southeast Asia as he had done in Bolivia and the Balkans until friction with President Duterte led to his departure and alleged regime change plan in fall 2016. Today, Goldberg is in the US embassy in Cuba, preparing the stage for President Raoul Castro’s impending step-down.

Private leverage of international and sovereign institutions

During the ’90s, Malloch Brown rented his apartment from Soros while working on UN assignments in New York. The cozy ties were projected on the world stage. Soros used the Brit to influence public organizations. So from the World Bank, Malloch Brown moved on to serve as the head of the UN Development Program and Kofi Annan’s deputy secretary-general.

Soros expanded his projects in collaboration with Malloch Brown and UN, particularly in Eastern Europe where his Open Society Institute (OSI) shaped the West’s post-Cold War agendas. When the UNDP’s course of action conflicted with that of Soros, it was overruled by Soros or Malloch-Brown, UN authorities lament. Concurrently, Soros’s speculation contributed to the Asian financial crisis and sharp devaluations.

In 2002, Malloch Brown suggested that the UN and Soros’ OSI work together to fund humanitarian functions, despite moral hazards associated with a publicly-financed UNDP and Soros’s philanthropy that was tied to a hedge fund. The reward ensued in 2007, when Soros’ Quantum Fund appointed Malloch Brown as vice-president, and vice chairman of the Open Society, despite the lack of investment experience. Reduced transparency deepened in 2011, when Soros decided to transform the Quantum Fund into a family investment group, to avoid having to register with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and comply with reporting requirements under the Dodd-Frank Reform Act.

Malloch Brown was busy, too. He joined Gordon Brown’s UK government until a controversy about his family’s occupancy of a government-owned government led him to step down. So he became a chairman for the Washington-based FTI Consulting. After the Great Recession, FTI had the largest restructuring business in the US (e.g., Lehman Brothers, GM). However, in Latin America, it has been linked with efforts by right-wing Colombian groups and former President Alvaro Uribe to destabilize Venezuela. Uribe has been associated with drug trafficking and ties with Pablo Escobar, as documented by the US Defense Intelligence Agency.

It was amid all this turmoil that Malloch Brown became the chair of the election technology group SGO, ostensibly to ensure “fair voting processes.”

—————–

A careful review of these odd associations suggests moral hazards and interlocking private and public interests with potential to undermine sovereign and international institutions.

Electoral technologies need to be modernized in the 21st century. But the real question is the integrity and impartiality of such technologies.

Electoral watchdogs have a vital role in democracies. But if such commissions collude with their technological providers, they fail the very democracy they purport to serve.

The collapse of the Soviet Union and Russia’s subsequent default saw the rise of assertive geopolitics in the West. Yet, the end of the Cold War did not produce the hoped for peace premium, but another Cold War. In this battle, private interests – from Soros to Koch brothers – seek to exploit international and sovereign institutions.

If the Duterte government seeks to shun efforts by transnational capital to undermine democratic institutions or international agencies, that’s what it should be doing. Effective governments rule by the consent of the governed – not by the dictates of transnational capital.

About the Author:

Dr. Dan Steinbock is an internationally recognized strategist of the multipolar world. and the founder of Difference Group. He has served as at the India, China and America Institute (USA), the Shanghai Institutes for International Studies (China) and the EU Center (Singapore). For more, see https://www.differencegroup.net/  

 

The original commentary was published by The Manila Times on April 2, 2018

COT Weekly: USD bearish bets fall. Gold bets jump & WTI Crude, SP500 bets rise.

By CountingPips.com – Get our weekly COT Reports by Email

Here is a short summary and this week’s links (below) to the latest Commitment of Traders changes that was released on Friday.

  • US Dollar speculators trimmed their bearish bets. Yen, GBP, Peso bet jump. CAD drops
  • Bitcoin Speculators added to their bearish net positions this week
  • WTI Crude Oil Speculators advanced their bullish net positions for 2nd week
  • 10-Year Note Speculators slightly trimmed bearish net positions this week
  • Gold Speculators bullish positions spiked higher this week
  • VIX Speculators slightly raised their bullish net positions this week
  • S&P500 Mini Speculators sharply boosted bullish net positions this week
  • Silver Speculators raised their bearish net positions this week
  • Copper Speculators sharply reduced bullish net positions, down for 3rd week

FX Speculators edged US Dollar bearish bets lower. Yen, GBP, Peso bets jump

US Dollar net speculator positions leveled at $-21.73 billion as of Tuesday

 

The latest data for the weekly Commitment of Traders (COT) report, released by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) on Friday, showed that large traders and currency speculators trimmed their bearish bets for the US dollar this week.. See full article


WTI Crude Oil Speculators advanced their bullish net positions for 2nd week

The non-commercial contracts of WTI crude futures totaled a net position of 715,770 contracts, according to data from this week. This was a lift of 12,062 contracts from the previous weekly total. See full article


Gold Speculators bullish positions spiked higher this week

The large speculator contracts of gold futures totaled a net position of 203,354 contracts. This was a weekly advance of 54,623 contracts from the previous week. See full article


10-Year Note Speculators slightly trimmed bearish net positions this week

The large speculator contracts of 10-year treasury note futures totaled a net position of -305,212 contracts. This was a weekly increase of 8,092 contracts from the previous week. See full article


S&P500 Mini Speculators sharply boosted bullish net positions this week

The non-commercial futures contracts of S&P500 Mini futures, traded by large speculators and hedge funds, totaled a net position of 226,803 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday March 27th. See full article


Silver Speculators raised their bearish net positions this week

The non-commercial contracts of silver futures totaled a net position of -13,657 contracts, according to data from this week. This was a weekly fall of -1,141 contracts from the previous totals. See full article


Copper Speculators sharply reduced bullish net positions, down for 3rd week

The large speculator contracts of copper futures totaled a net position of 19,187 contracts. This was a weekly shortfall of -11,674 contracts from the data of the previous week. See full article


By CountingPips.com – Get our weekly COT Reports by Email

The Commitment of Traders report data is published in raw form every Friday by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) and shows the futures positions of market participants as of the previous Tuesday (data is reported 3 days behind).

To learn more about this data please visit the CFTC website at http://www.cftc.gov/MarketReports/CommitmentsofTraders/index.htm

 

Fibonacci Retracements Analysis 30.03.2018 (BITCOIN, ETHEREUM)

Article By RoboForex.com

BTCUSD, “Bitcoin vs US Dollar”

As we can see in the H4 chart, BTCUSD is falling towards the post-correctional extension area between the retracements of 138.2% and 161.8% at 6595.00 and 6145.00 respectively. However, at the same time one case see the convergence being formed, which may indicate a new ascending correction. The upside targets are the retracements of 23.6%, 38.2%, and 50.0% at 7450.00, 8250.00, and 8890.00 respectively.

BTCUSD1
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

The H1 chart shows more detailed structure of the current movement.

BTCUSD2
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

 

ETHUSD, “Ethereum vs. US Dollar”

In the H4 chart, ETHUSD is moving downwards and has already reached the post-correctional extension area between the retracements of 138.2% and 161.8% at 415.00 and 320.00 respectively. Also, the convergence is being formed ad it may indicate a possible reverse and a new correction to the upside towards the retracements of 23.6%, 38.2%, and 50.0% at 508.00, 598.00, and 671.00 respectively.

ETHUSD1
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

The H1 chart shows more detailed structure of the current descending movement.

ETHUSD2
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

 

RoboForex Analytical Department

Article By RoboForex.com

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex LP bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Forex Technical Analysis & Forecast 30.03.2018 (EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDCHF, USDJPY, AUDUSD, USDRUB, GOLD, BRENT)

Article By RoboForex.com

EURUSD, “Euro vs US Dollar”

EURUSD is forming another consolidation range near the lows of the second descending impulse. If later the instrument breaks this range to the upside, the market may be corrected to reach 1.2363; if to the downside – resume falling inside the downtrend with the short-term target at 1.2200.

EURUSD
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

 

GBPUSD, “Great Britain Pound vs US Dollar”

GBPUSD is still forming the second descending impulse; the short-term target is at 1.3930. After that, the instrument may grow towards 1.4065 and then fall to reach 1.3889.

GBPUSD
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

 

USDCHF, “US Dollar vs Swiss Franc”

USDCHF is consolidating. If later the instrument breaks this range to the upside, the market may grow to reach 0.9700; if to the downside – start another correction with the target at 0.9520.

USDCHF
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

 

USDJPY, “US Dollar vs Japanese Yen”

USDJPY has completed the descending correction. Today, the price may form the fifth ascending structure to reach 107.74 and then start another correction to the downside with the target at 106.16.

USDJPY
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

 

AUDUSD, “Australian Dollar vs US Dollar”

AUDUSD is growing. Possibly, the price may reach the first target at 0.7701 and then form another consolidation range. If later the instrument breaks this range to the upside, the market may continue the correction to reach 0.7780; if to the downside – resume falling inside the downtrend with the short-term target at 0.7568.

AUDUSD
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

 

USDRUB, “US Dollar vs Russian Ruble”

USDRUB has completed another consolidation range. If later the instrument breaks this range to the downside, the market may resume falling inside the downtrend to reach 55.55; if to the upside – continue the correction with the target at 58.06.

USDRUB
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

 

XAUUSD, “Gold vs US Dollar”

Gold is consolidating near the lows. If later the instrument breaks this range to the downside, the market may reach 1319.00; if to the upside – start another correction with the target at 1333.00.

GOLD
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

 

BRENT

Brent is still consolidating at the top. Possibly, today the price may expand the range upwards and reach 71.31. Later, the market may be corrected 67.85 and then start another growth with the target at 72.00.

BRENT
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

 

RoboForex Analytical Department

Article By RoboForex.com

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex LP bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

EURUSD: markets ready to short the euro

By Gabriel Ojimadu, Alpari

Previous:

On Thursday the 29th of March, trading on the EURUSD pair closed slightly down. The US dollar gained ground against the single currency as traders adjusted their open positions ahead of the long weekend. The rate ended up dropping to 1.2284.

US data:

  • Michigan consumer sentiment index (Mar): 101.4 (forecast: 102.0, previous: 102.0).
  • Personal income (Feb): 0.4% (forecast: 0.4%, previous: 0.4%).
  • Personal spending (Feb): 0.2% (forecast: 0.2%, previous: 0.2%).
  • Initial jobless claims (23 Mar): 215,000 (forecast: 230,000, previous: 227,000).
  • Canada GDP (Jan): -0.1% MoM, 2.7% YoY (forecast: 0.1% MoM, 2.9% YoY, previous reading revised from 0.1% MoM and 3.3% YoY to 0.2% MoM and 3.4% YoY).

Day’s news (GMT+3):

Good Friday: Australia, Canada, New Zealand, Switzerland, UK, USA, and Germany.

Fig 1. EURUSD hourly chart. Source: TradingView

A new daily low was reached yesterday just as I expected. The euro dropped to the 157th degree.

At the time of writing, the euro is trading at 1.2313. The price has corrected to the trend line from its low point of 1.2284 and now euro sales are recommencing. For today, I’m predicting a drop to 1.2267. The 17:00 (GMT+3) bar will be important as this is where the hourly cycles indicate an upwards reversal should take place. Markets will be thin today, so we might even be able to reach 1.2254. If the bears don’t make it to their target of 1.2267 by 17:00, I think it highly unlikely that the euro will continue to decline. According to my projections, the growth phase will last until the 4th of April.

Technology Rebound Leads US Stocks Recovery

By IFCMarkets

All three main US stock indices advance

US stock indices rebounded on Thursday led by technology recovery. Dow Jones industrial average gained 1.2% to 24143. The S&P 500 added 1.4% to 2642 with ten of the 11 main sectors finishing higher. The Nasdaq composite rose 1.6% to 7063. The dollar strengthened slightly: the live dollar index data show the ICE US Dollar index, a measure of the dollar’s strength against a basket of six rival currencies, inched up to 90.05. US financial markets will be closed today for Good Friday.

Recovery in technology majors Facebook, Amazon and Apple led the market rebound. Purchases of stocks by portfolio managers to improve performance reports of funds in the final trading day of quarter, known as “window dressing,” also supported the market sentiment. In economic news the 0.2% rise in PCE index in February, the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge, was in line with expectations. Meanwhile the Chicago purchasing manufacturers’ index for March fell sharply to 57.4, a one-year low, from 61.9 in February.

DAX leads European indices gains

European stocks extended gains on Thursday led by rally in auto maker shares. Both the euro and British Poundextended losses against the dollar. The Stoxx Europe 600 index rose 0.4%. Germany’s DAX 30 outperformed jumping 1.3% to 12096.73. France’s CAC 40 gained 0.7% and UK’s FTSE 100 added 0.2% to 7056.61. Markets will be closed in Europe for Good Friday.

Automaker shares rallied after news France’s Renault is in talks to merge with Japan’s Nissan Motor. Renault jumped 5.8%, Volkswagen and BMW gained 3.6% and 2.6% respectively. In economic news Germany’s inflation rose to below expected 1.6% in March. And the UK’s gross domestic product in the fourth quarter of 2017 was unchanged by the Office for National Statistics at 0.4% over quarter.

Nikkei leads Asian indices gains

Asian stocks are higher today tracking Wall Street gains overnight. Nikkei rose 1.4% to 21454.30 as Japan’s industrial output jumped in February despite yen strengthening against the dollar. Chinese stocks are higher: the Shanghai Composite Index is 0.3% higher. Markets in Hong Kong and Australia are closed for Good Friday.

HK50

Brent closes higher

Brent futures prices advanced yesterday on lingering concerns US may re-impose economic sanctions on major oil exporter Iran curbing its crude oil exports while OPEC considers extending output cuts. Prices rose yesterday: Brent for May settlement gained 1.1% to close at $70.27 a barrel on Thursday.

Market Analysis provided by IFCMarkets

Admiral Markets Welcomes a Unified European-Wide Regulation

Admiral Markets Group welcomes the intent of the European Securities and Markets Authority – ESMA, to force a unified regulation for all market participants in Europe (the European Economic Area EEA).

As one of the bigger European-wide operating brokerage service companies, we could see the trend over the last few years, showing that more and more countries made their own regulation, and it was difficult to offer a unified offer to all clients in Europe. If the new ESMA decision brings back a more unified Europe, then it is a good change, which should welcomed by all Forex & CFD brokers.

Admiral Markets always saw the balance between risks and opportunities. Admiral Markets Group already operates in compliance with most of these new regulatory updates, including:

– a Negative Balance Protection Policy of Admiral Markets UK Ltd. in all of its markets, and in countries – like Germany with 100% protection, following the German BaFin regulation update in 2017;

– a chooseable leverage: it’s already possible for any of our clients to choose a personally-adjusted level of leverage; in addition, Forex trading with a leverage of 1:10 is already possible with Admiral Markets;

– prominent and proper risk warnings and disclosures, linked to information detailing how clients can effectively manage risk and how to improve their personal risk management; and

– Admiral Markets Group has never offered binary options.

The new regulations, introduced by ESMA, is a form of protection for retail clients. The Authority adopted the position that retail clients do not sufficiently understand the risks related to the products. Such regulatory changes do not impact professional clients. A high percentage of our clients are, in fact, experienced traders. Their experience comes from education, their trading background and work experience.

Our focus has been and will always remain on encouraging our clients to start trading on a Demo account first, in order to become familiar with our offer, without any risks. Moreover, we provide a wide range of educational materials to ensure that our clients have access to all the necessary materials needed to advance their trading knowledge. Admiral Markets Group takes all the necessary steps to clearly explain the risks involved to all clients and will continue to do so.

Risk disclosure: Forex and CFD’s carry a high level of risk and losses may exceed your initial deposit. Admiral Markets UK Ltd. recommends you seek advice from an independent financial advisor to ensure that you understand the risks involved with Forex, CFD’s, Margin and Leveraged trading.