Bank of Japan Holds Rate, Announces Liquidity Measures

The Bank of Japan kept its interest rate unchanged at 0-0.10% and made no changes to its 55 trillion yen quantitative easing program.  The Bank said: “The pick-up in Japan’s economic activity has paused, mainly due to the effects of a slowdown in overseas economies and of the appreciation of the yen.  As for domestic demand, business fixed investment has been on a moderate increasing trend and private consumption has remained firm.  On the other hand, exports and production have remained more or less flat, due in part to the effects of the slowdown in overseas economies and of the yen’s appreciation as well as of the flooding in Thailand.  Improvement in business sentiment has slowed on the whole despite steady improvement in domestic demand-oriented sectors.”

The Bank of Japan also announced the establishment of temporary bilateral liquidity swap arrangements with five central banks (CAD – Canada, GBP – UK, EUR – EU, CHF – Switzerland, and USD – US ).  The Bank of Japan noted on the move:  “The measures aim at further facilitating money market operations as well as ensuring the smooth functioning and stability of financial markets.”  See full details here.
At its October meeting the Bank of Japan expanded its asset purchase program by another 5 trillion yen to 55 trillion yen, and previously announced additions to its quantitative easing program during its August meeting.  The Bank had previously changed its asset purchase program in March this year, when it added a further 5 trillion yen to its target.  Japan reported annual headline consumer price inflation of 0% in October and September, down from 0.2% in both August, July and June, and 0.3% in both May and April.  

The Bank has previously forecast real GDP growth of 0.2-0.6% in fiscal 2011, and 2.5-3.0% in fiscal 2012.  Meanwhile, nominal GDP growth in Japan was recorded at -0.5% in June and -0.9% in March, placing it at -1% in both quarters on an annual basis.  The Japanese Yen (JPY) has gained around 5% against the US dollar so far this year; the USDJPY exchange rate last traded around 77.75

Morocco Central Bank Holds Interest Rate at 3.25%

The Bank al-Maghrib of Morocco kept its main policy rate steady at 3.25%.  The Bank said: “In this context where the central inflation forecast is permanently consistent with the price stability objective and the balance of risks is tilted to the downside, in conjunction with international developments, the Board decided to keep the key rate unchanged at 3.25 percent.”

Previously the Bank also held interest rates unchanged in September this year; it last changed its interest rate in March 2009 when it reduced the rate 25bps to 3.25%.  Morocco reported annual inflation of 0.5% in November, with -0.4% deflation in October, 0.8% in September, 2.2% in August, 1.8% in July and 0.7% in June.  

The Moroccan Dirham (MAD) has weakened around 1% against the US dollar this year, while the USDMAD exchange rate last traded around 8.50.  The Bank al-Maghrib next meets on the 27th of March 2012.

www.CentralBankNews.info

Looking for Value Stocks in the Retail Sector

By MoneyMorning.com.au

Just in case you missed it: surf-wear company Billabong International (ASX:BBG) has been pantsed this week.

Billabong WIPED OUT – goes from $3.65 to $1.77 in 2 days

Billabong WIPED OUT - goes from $3.65 to $1.77 in 2 days
Click here to enlarge

Source: Google Finance

Chalk it up to a sales slowdown, the company says. Apparently sales for the first half of the financial year are down 26%.

But Billabong isn’t the only retailer in trouble.

Greg Canavan, editor of Sound Money. Sound Investments wrote recently…

‘As you are no doubt aware, credit growth in Australia is weak and with household debt to GDP at 113 per cent (at the end of 2010 and according to the Bank for International Settlements, amongst the highest in the world) it’s unlikely to take off anytime soon.

‘The larger and more mature companies in Australia rely on ‘organic’ growth. Unless they are winning market share from their competitors (not a standard occurrence in the cosy Australian market) these larger companies rely on credit expansion to grow revenue and earnings.

‘Smaller companies with new business models don’t rely so heavily on credit growth to expand their businesses. They rely on good ideas. So expect to hear more about smaller, innovative businesses in the future.’

So Greg believes the future looks bright for smaller, innovative companies. Ones that may prove themselves real value stocks. Why is this important?

Turning to the charts, the ASX Small Ordinaries Index (which is basically the ASX 300 with the top 100 stocks taken out) is at an important crossroads. It looks like it could either reverse and head back up from this point, or break through this support level to new lows.

ASX Small Ordinaries Index
Click here to enlarge

Source: Google Finance

On top of that, the ASX Consumer Discretionary Index is at its second-lowest point since November 2008 – April 2009. And a lot of those types of stocks look cheap. But of course, before you can know whether they’re good value you have to work out a few things…

Like, can they go cheaper?

And is there a good reason why they’re cheap?

Are Small-Cap Retail Stocks A Value Buy?

Are Small-Cap Retail Stocks A Buy?
Click here to enlarge

Source: Google Finance

What do you think? Surely there’ll be some value amongst the carnage.

Aaron Tyrrell
Editor, Money Morning

P.S. Greg Canavan is the foremost authority for retail investors on value investing in Australia. He’s the former head of Australasian Research for a major asset-management group and a regular guest on CNBC, Sky Business’s ‘The Perrett Report’ and Lateline Business. Greg shares his insight, ideas and investment recommendations with readers of his Sound Money. Sound Investments newsletter… to find out more information on Greg’s letter, go here.

Related Articles

Entrepreneurs and Entrepreneurialism

How to Buy Gold and Silver

The Only Gold and Silver Stocks to Buy

The Secret Aussie ‘Bank Run’ is a Sign to Buy Gold

Why Gold Should Become Your ‘Stay Rich’ Asset

From the Archives…

A More Profitable Investment Than Cheap Gold?
2011-12-16 – Aaron Tyrrell

The Best Property Investment in the World
2011-12-15 – Aaron Tyrrell

Is This the Gold Buying Dip You’ve Waited For?
2011-12-14 – Kris Sayce

Is Now a Good Time to Invest in Stocks?
2011-12-13 – Kris Sayce

Why You Shouldn’t Trust Your Gold to a Banker
2011-12-12 – Kris Sayce

For editorial enquiries and feedback, email [email protected]


Looking for Value Stocks in the Retail Sector

Why You Should Ignore the Stock Market Until 9 January

By MoneyMorning.com.au

“The Dow Jones Industrial Average soared 337.17 points, or 2.87 per cent, to 12,103.43, registering its biggest gain since November 30. The rally propelled the blue-chip Dow into positive territory for the month. It is up 4.5 per cent this year.” – Dow Jones Newswires

In other words, nearly two-thirds of the Dow’s gain this year came from this morning’s stock market action.

So forgive us if we don’t get too excited about an economic recovery.


We asked Slipstream Trader, Murray Dawes to give us his thoughts for the year ahead in the latest issue of Australian Small-Cap Investigator (due out today).

One highlight is this:

“Therefore the road forward for stocks will be gut-wrenching sell-offs followed by super spikes on the back of money printing. But each episode of money printing will have less effect on the market than the previous one.”

Stock Market Super Spikes


You only have to look at the Dow Jones Industrial Average chart for the past year to see the “gut-wrenching sell-offs” and “super spikes” Murray’s talking about:

Dow Jones Industrial Average chart
Click here to enlarge

Source: Google Finance


The key point is you’ll see more of these sell-offs and super spikes in the year ahead.

By the way, as we write, Murray is recording his latest free stock market update video. To watch it on his YouTube channel later today, click market update.

So, what caused this morning’s stock market excitement?

According to the same Dow Jones Newswires report:

“US stocks surged as domestic home building jumped to the highest level in nearly two years and another successful Spanish debt auction buoyed investor sentiment.”

Remember, this is a housing market that – according to investment bank, Goldman Sachs – has over two years of supply on the market. Put another way, at the moment supply exceeds demand by more than 24 times!

And we’re supposed to get excited that the U.S. is building more new homes.

Forget About the Stock Market


What this shows you is the stock market is grasping at straws… looking for any excuse to go up. But as usual, the Aussie stock market loves it.

This morning, Australian stocks are up over 2%. Everything is going up: banks, resources stocks… even the retailers everyone hated just two days ago. Billabong [ASX: BBG] is up 1.9% as we write… of course it has fallen 50% since last Friday.

And don’t forget the S&P/ASX 200 is still down 12.7% for the year… and 17% below the worst-case forecast by the big financial institutions at the start of the year.

The question is, after the Santa Rally made a false start at the end of November, is this the start of the real Santa Rally? Could be. But we’ll say this…

Just as the stock market quickly turned on a sixpence sending stocks crashing nearly 10% in just over two weeks, there’s nothing to say the same won’t happen again.

If you’re planning on taking a couple of weeks off over the Christmas and New Year holiday, we’d suggest cutting back on your exposure to the stock market. Sure, have a couple of irons in the fire just in case the market rally lasts.

But there’s just as high a chance the stock market will go down again before you know it.

As a fundamental investor (someone who looks at what the company does and how it does it) we’ve largely sat on the sidelines for the past six months. And we’re glad we have.

Soon will be a great opportunity to buy. We’re just not there yet.

Our tip is, enjoy the holidays and don’t pay too much attention to the stock market. Because odds are, when you come back from holidays in January, the market will be roughly where it is today… and you’ll have missed out on nothing.

Cheers.
Kris

Related Articles

Entrepreneurs and Entrepreneurialism

How to Buy Gold and Silver

The Only Gold and Silver Stocks to Buy

The Secret Aussie ‘Bank Run’ is a Sign to Buy Gold

Why Gold Should Become Your ‘Stay Rich’ Asset

From the Archives…

A More Profitable Investment Than Cheap Gold?
2011-12-16 – Aaron Tyrrell

The Best Property Investment in the World
2011-12-15 – Aaron Tyrrell

Is This the Gold Buying Dip You’ve Waited For?
2011-12-14 – Kris Sayce

Is Now a Good Time to Invest in Stocks?
2011-12-13 – Kris Sayce

Why You Shouldn’t Trust Your Gold to a Banker
2011-12-12 – Kris Sayce

For editorial enquiries and feedback, email [email protected]


Why You Should Ignore the Stock Market Until 9 January

Grading the Investment U Gurus 2011: Marc Lichtenfeld

Grading the Investment U Gurus 2011: Marc Lichtenfeld

by Marc Lichtenfeld, Investment U Senior Analyst
Tuesday, December 20, 2011: Issue #1668

I’m excited when my kids bring home their report cards. They’re terrific students, work hard and always bring home good grades.

However, it’s always a little nerve-wracking to tabulate my own report card based on my market calls at the end of the year. The market isn’t nearly as forgiving as a second grade teacher.

But nevertheless, it’s an important exercise to see what I got right and what I got wrong… what I may have been a little “early” on.

So here goes:

In my January 14 column, I talked about the rising trend of healthcare information technology and said two of my favorite stocks in the space were AthenaHealth (Nasdaq: ATHN) and McKesson (NYSE: MCK). AthenaHealth rallied from $44 to $72 before retreating and then falling hard last week on an earnings warning. It’s still up about 10 percent from where I recommended it. McKesson went from about $74 to $87, but has also come back in trading just a few points over where it was in January. Considering the S&P is down about six percent since that date, the results aren’t too bad. Grade: B

The following week I was bullish on pharmacy benefits managers, particularly Express Scripts (Nasdaq: ESRX) and Medco Health Solutions (NYSE: MHS). Swing and a miss. Both stocks are down. The group never really got going. Long term, I think any company in healthcare that helps reduce costs should do well. But this year wasn’t that year. Grade: F

My columns recommending the sale of stocks did quite well in 2011, starting with my February 2 article recommending the sale of ISIS Pharmaceuticals (Nasdaq: ISIS). I’ve written about this company quite a bit, suggesting that its lead drug candidate for high cholesterol will get rejected by the FDA. The drug hasn’t been rejected yet, but the stock is down over 20 percent since my column ran. Grade: A-

In a February 17 article, I cautioned about getting suckered in by high yielding stocks of companies that might not be able to afford to keep paying their dividends. I highlighted Capstead Mortgage (NYSE: CMO), Old Republic International (NYSE: ORI) and Apollo Investment (Nasdaq: AINV) as potential dividend cutters.

None of them did. But Old Republic and Apollo fell sharply throughout the year, while Capstead is at about the same price. I’m more comfortable with Capstead’s dividend now, but still don’t think Old Republic and Apollo’s are sustainable. They’re simply not generating enough cash flow to continue paying their dividend at their current levels. Grade: B

In early March, I took the opposite approach and focused on three companies that were in a position to raise their dividends. Meredith Corp. (NYSE: MDP), Northrop Grumman (NYSE: NOC) and VF Corp. (NYSE: VFC) were highlighted.

Meredith raised its quarterly dividend from $0.25 to $0.38 in November, while Northrop also hiked its payout. Interestingly, neither stock performed all that well, both down a few points. VF Corp., on the other hand, didn’t raise its dividend, but its stock soared over 30 percent for the year. Grade: B-

One of my best calls of the year was on March 10, when I explained why shares of St. Joe (NYSE: JOE) would likely be cut in half. That’s exactly what happened. The stock closed at $26.87 that day and steadily fell until hitting a low of $12.72 in November. Grade: A+

On March 16, I suggested following millionaires into Apple (Nasdaq: AAPL), Bristol-Myers Squibb (NYSE: BMY) and Varian (NYSE: VAR). If you did, you’re up 15 percent and 42 percent on Apple and Bristol respectively and down two percent on Varian. During the same period, the S&P 500 is down four percent, so I’ll take a victory lap on that one. Grade: A-

In early April, I said stocks would outperform gold as panicky investors were overreacting and fleeing to the perceived safety of the metal. Even with gold’s recent decline, it strongly outperformed stocks for the remainder of the year. Grade: F

I redeemed myself in the metals a few weeks later. Although it wasn’t what silver bugs wanted to hear. I said silver was in a bubble and traders should take their profits now. Silver topped out the next day and is down 40 percent since then. As badly as I missed the gold trade, I nailed this one. Grade: A+

On May 3, I said the consumer staples stocks were undervalued. The group hasn’t done much all year. At the time, it was trading at less than 14 times earnings. Today the sector is trading above 15 times forward earnings. I don’t think it’s as undervalued now as I did then. Grade: C

I made a stinker of a call in June when I said that NXP Semiconductors (Nasdaq: NXPI) would be the leader in the mobile technology space. It just hasn’t become the dominant force I expected. Recommending a technology play right before the market swoon wasn’t great timing, either. The stock fell hard and never recovered: Grade: F

I got it right the next week though, when I suggested selling steel stocks, in particular Allegheny Technologies (NYSE: ATI). I thought the whole sector looked vulnerable, and Allegheny in particular was overvalued. Four months later, the stock was down 50 percent. Grade: A+

In early August, just as the market was starting its swoon, I recommended getting long Fastenal (Nasdaq: FAST). Despite a wealth of negative macroeconomic news, Fastenal was hiring, reporting strong sales and earnings. The stock is up 28 percent since then while the S&P is down two percent. Grade: A

Lastly, as panicky investors were dumping their stocks in August, I told readers to pick up shares of quality dividend payers like my favorite dividend aristocrat, Genuine Parts (NYSE: GPC). A dividend aristocrat is a company that has increased its dividend every year for the past 25 years or more. Genuine Parts has been doing it for 56 years. Genuine Parts is up 23 percent since the column ran. Not bad for a boring dividend play. In the same column, I recommended Abbott Laboratories (NYSE: ABT), which is up 17 percent. Grade: A

I’m not including any recommendations made within the last three months, as they need time to play out.

I knocked quite a few out of the park, while my wrong… early predictions were far fewer than my good ones. Sprinkle in a few other decent calls, and overall it was a pretty solid year.

When it comes to stock market predictions, it’s impossible to bring home straight A’s. But I constantly strive to constantly improve my game in order to pick more winners and keep the losers to a minimum.

I’ll have plenty more educated predictions and recommendations in 2012, so stay tuned.

Hope you have a great holiday and New Year.

Good Investing,

Marc Lichtenfeld

Article by Investment U

Earthquakes, Water Pollution and Increased Greenhouse Gas Emissions? Fracking – Strike Number Three?

The last decade has seen a sustained campaign by the hydraulic fracturing (‘fracking”) industry against its critics, as the fracking industry in the U.S. alone was worth an estimated $76 billion in 2010 and is projected to grow to $231 billion in 2036 if only those pesky environmentalists can be sidelined. According to Washington’s energy Information Administration, production of shale gas in the United States in 2010 totalled 4.87 trillion cubic feet (tcf) compared with 0.39 tcf only a decade earlier.

The combination of horizontal drilling and hydraulic fracturing has already transformed North America’s natural gas market in less than half a decade. In 2000 shale gas was 1 percent of America’s gas supplies; today it is 25 percent. While U.S. energy companies began fracking for gas in the late 1990s, there was a dramatic increase in 2005 after the administration of President George W. Bush exempted fracking from regulations under the U.S. Clean Water Act. According to Washington’s energy Information Agency, shale gas production has grown 48 percent annually.

But there still some snakes to be chased from the industry’s campaign to convince the electorate that natgas produced by fracking is safe, as on 8 December the Environmental Protection Agency said for the first time it found chemicals used in fracking in a drinking-water aquifer in west-central Wyoming.

Soothing the electorate, the industry group Energy in Depth reported, “The history of fracturing technology’s safe use in America extends all the way back to the Truman administration, with more than 1.2 million wells completed via the process since 1947.”

And the feds are backing fracking as well, as a new estimate from the U.S. Department of Energy, estimates that the national gas resource can be sustained for 110 years at current consumption rates.

Numbers?

In 2009 an industry-financed study reported that 622,000 people are directly involved in the discovery, extraction and distribution of U.S. natural gas.

As for “insider” influence, in 2005 former Vice President Dick Cheney, in partnership with the energy industry and drilling companies such as his former employer, Halliburton Corp., successfully pressured Congress to exempt fracking from the Safe Drinking Water Act, the Clean Air Act and other environmental laws.

Even worse, a report released the following month by the U.S. National Center for Atmospheric Research noted that switching from coal to natural gas as an energy source could result in increased global warming, mainly due to the methane leakage problem, which is common but unregulated.

In a further potential federal sandbagging of the natgas industry, the federal Environmental Protection Agency, which studied fracking and deemed it safe in 2004, is taking another, broader look at the practice and may end up taking a more active role, with a broader study expected to be finished next year.

Maalox moments all – but now fracking is being charged with contributing to global warming by releasing substantial amounts of methane, a greenhouse gas 20-100 times more potent than carbon dioxide. According to Igor Semiletov of the International Arctic Research Centre at the University of Alaska Fairbanks, “Each methane molecule is about 70 times more potent in terms of trapping heat than a molecule of carbon dioxide.”

Professor Robert Howarth, Professor of Ecology and Environmental Biology and director of Cornell’s agriculture, energy and environment program has noted that his research shows that one well-pad fracking shale gas would emit more greenhouse gases than a community of 100,000 people in a year. Methane already accounts for a sixth of U.S. greenhouse gas emissions (GGEs). In addressing earlier concerns about the pollution impact of fracking Dr. Howarth wrote in Boston University’s Comment 14 September article, “Should Fracking Stop?,” “Many fracking additives are toxic, carcinogenic or mutagenic. Many are kept secret.

In the United States, such secrecy has been abetted by the 2005 ‘Halliburton loophole,’ which exempts fracking from many of the nation’s major federal environmental-protection laws, including the Safe Drinking Water Act… Fracking extracts natural salts, heavy metals, hydrocarbons and radioactive materials from the shale, posing risks to ecosystems and public health when these return to the surface…

Because shale-gas development is so new, scientific information on the environmental costs is scarce. Only this year have studies begun to appear in peer-reviewed journals, and these give reason for pause.”

Even worse, during the UN climate change conference in Durban last week, Dominic Frongillo, a town councillor from Caroline, New York, which is atop the Marcellus Shale seam, estimated to contain 489 trillion cubic feet of extractable natural gas noted that “Before I left for Durban, Professor Howarth told me that “preventing unconventional gas extraction could be the number one thing we could do in the short term to control growth of U.S. greenhouse gas emissions.”

According to Professor Howarth, “Methane is an incredibly potent greenhouse gas… Our research indicates that methane makes up more than 40 percent of the entire greenhouse gas inventory for the U.S. … We really need to get this methane leakage under control, if we are to seriously address global warming.” His paper, “Methane and the greenhouse gas footprint of natural gas from shale formations,” written with Renee Santoro and Anthony Ingraffea of Cornell concluded that shale gas is more polluting than oil and conventional natural gas, noting, “The footprint for shale gas is greater than that for conventional gas or oil when viewed on any time horizon, but particularly so over 20 years. Compared to coal, the footprint of shale gas is at least 20 percent greater and perhaps more than twice as great on the 20-year horizon.”

The pushback has already started, with a number of his Cornell colleagues questioning Dr. Howarth’s research methodology. See Lawrence M Cathles III, Larry Brown, Milton Taam and Andrew Hunter, “A Commentary on “The Greenhouse gas footprint of natural gas in shale formations” by R.W. Howarth, R. Santoro, and Anthony Ingraffea” @ http://cce.cornell.edu/.

What is clear is that while Cornell’s faculty is divided over the consequences of fracking, the industry has impacted the university’s Board of Trustees, which among other things oversees the university’s $5.28 billion endowment fund. According to the 16 February 2010 edition of the “Cornell Sun,” “Chairman of the Board of Trustees Peter Meinig ’61 is one of the most powerful decision-makers at Cornell. But as the University begins a long process to consider whether it should lease its land in the Marcellus Shale to gas drilling companies, Meinig’s former ties to the natural gas industry has raised some eyebrows in the Cornell community and beyond. From 1993 to 2001, Meinig served on the board of directors of Williams Companies, Inc, one of the nation’s largest natural gas companies. A Fortune 200 company that generated $1.42 billion in profits in 2009, Williams transports about 12 percent of the natural gas consumed in America everyday and has interests in the Marcellus Shale basin, according to the company’s website.”

What is clear is that the impact of natural gas hydraulic fracturing at Cornell has turned into a mounting academic storm with passionate advocates on both sides of the fence. It is notable that Cathles’, Brown’s, Taam’s and Hunter’s critique features prominently on the website of America’s Natural Gas Alliance,” (ANGA) a pro-industry advocacy group.

Let the games begin!

Source: http://oilprice.com/Energy/Natural-Gas/Earthquakes-Water-Pollution-and-Increased-Greenhouse-Gas-Emissions-Fracking-Strike-Number-Three.html

By. John C.K. Daly of Oilprice.com

 

Ecosphere Technologies: Offering a Cleaner Solution to Fracking

Ecosphere Technologies (OTC: ESPH): Offering a Cleaner Solution to Fracking

by Ryan Fitzwater, Investment U Research
Tuesday, December 20, 2011

Critics of the controversial natural gas drilling process called hydraulic fracking have recently had their suspicions confirmed.

After three years of extensive testing in Wyoming water wells, the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) has concluded that hydraulic fracking can contaminate drinking water supplies.

This is the first time the EPA has confirmed what many have been debating for a years.

Early testing of water wells in 42 homes in Wyoming (where fracking is very prevalent) found serious contaminants that could or could not match the drilling industry. Note that the EPA did not rule out hydraulic fracking, unlike agricultural pollutions, which they did rule out.

These early findings led the EPA to dig two deeper, monitoring wells… and the results were substantial.

They found that pollution was much worse at deeper levels than they were in shallower, personal wells. At greater depths, 10 substances were found that match the additives and chemicals used in the fracking process.

This lead the EPA to conclude that fracking was the most likely cause of this pollution.

A Hit to the Industry?

Since complaints began, the natural gas and oil industry has argued that fracking wasn’t the cause of water well pollution. Companies had blamed wells that were improperly built for the pollution they were seeing.

Thing is, the EPA in its most recent Wyoming testing found that the concrete lining of well walls was degrading in a distinct way in areas near drilling zones. Basically, the force of fracking is either damaging weak areas in the cement or developing new ones.

Are the EPA’s findings really that surprising?

To think that drilling into rock could cause damage to underground wells in the area or that pumping chemicals directly into the ground could actually pollute underground water sources is outlandish, right? Please pardon my sarcasm; to me these findings are far from shocking.

But with all this bad news for the fracking industry, I, along with others, don’t see this leading to an all out ban on fracking.

The EPA study in Wyoming is about one specific geological area, and cannot draw conclusions on what could be happening in other areas like Pennsylvania, Texas, or New York. The natural gas industry will surely argue this point.

And then you have to ask what will actually happen in Washington, D.C. with regards to the EPA’s findings?

It is more than possible that these findings will do absolutely nothing considering oil and gas lobbyists have their hands in the pockets of countless congressmen. Not to mention, all you have to say is “jobs” and some automatically shut the door on the argument.

According to a recent survey conducted by the Deloitte Center for Energy Solutions, eight in 10 respondents agree that natural gas development can create job growth. The online survey consisted of 1,694 interviews and also found that only two in 10 felt that the risks of developing shale gas “far” or “somewhat” outweigh the benefits, with 58 percent believing that the benefits outweigh the risks.

But there’s still the possibility that this could put forth legislation that would closer regulate or all out ban fracking if it’s deemed unsafe and unclean to drinking water and the environment.

While this could become a big blow to the industry, there’s another opportunity here that could take fracking to a more environmentally friendly level.

A Cleaner Way for Fracking

Founded in 1998 Stuart, Fla.-based Ecosphere Technologies (OTC: ESPH) is a green-centered technology development, manufacturing and diversified engineering company.

The company focuses on green technologies, with the purpose of eliminating the use of toxic chemicals in many industrial applications.

Ecosphere has been an innovator in the water industry, and has been on the forefront in developing eco-friendly technologies to solve major water challenges on land and at sea.

With a broad patent portfolio of clean technologies, we’re most interested in their Ozonix® product.

Ozonix is a chemical-free water treatment solution that can be used in the oil and natural gas industry for a more eco-friendly fracking process.

The current fracking process uses a mix of sand, water and chemicals that’s pumped into the ground to unlock trapped gas.

With Ozonix, oil and gas companies can pump environmentally friendly ozone into drill wells to manage microbial growth, which provides the same disinfectant that liquid chemical biocides normally supply.

What makes this even more attractive is that Ecosphere’s product and process is cost effective.

Many of the chemicals currently used in the fracking process are actually more expensive than Ozonix.

And with chemical mixtures, oil and gas companies have to bring in wastewater trucks to remove contaminated flow back water that returns to the surface. Millions of gallons have to be trucked away to holding ponds or deeper injections sites. This trucking process greatly increases overhead.

With Ozonix, no secondary chemical waste stream is produced and you can recycle 100% of the fluids that return to the surface. So you not only do away with the expensive trucking process, but you also preserve precious water resources for present and future generations.

Normally going green means taking a hit in price, but with Ozonix Technology this isn’t the case.

Demand is Growing

Since 2008, Ecosphere has treated roughly 1.09 billion gallons of fracking water for oil and gas companies, removing chemicals and preserving vital water resources on over 375 natural gas wells. And demand for Ozonix is growing at a rapid pace.

The company’s CEO, Charles Vinick, recently stated that the Ozonix process being used in fracking has brought big business to Ecosphere, creating a 10-fold increase in revenue over the last two years.

This might help explain why the company recorded record revenue of $8.2 million in the third quarter of 2011, a 275-percent increase compared to the third quarter of 2010. And what’s more significant is that Ecosphere had over $1 million in cash on hand at the end of the third quarter of 2011, compared to a measly $46,387 it had on December 31, 2010.

Ecosphere Quarterly Revenue

ecosphere revenue by quarter chart

And orders from energy exploration companies continue to come in.

Recently, Ecosphere got orders for two Ozonix EF8o units to be delivered to Hydrozonix LLC in the forth quarter. This was after very successful frack testing in Texas, where Ozonix processed over nine million gallons of fluid with zero equipment downtime over seven days. And this was all done with just one piece of mobile equipment.

No matter how the EPA’s recent report affects fracking’s future (unless they totally ban the practice), investor’s should keep a close eye on Ecosphere.

If no legislation comes out of Washington banning chemicals in fracking, it’ll be no skin off Ecosphere’s back. It will continue to sell Ozonix at competitive and cost effective prices to an oil and natural gas industry that’s estimated to be worth $85 billion by 2013.

But if legislation comes out banning the use of chemicals in the fracking process, get ready for Ecosphere’s profits to really soar.

Incredible demand for the Ozonix Technology would shoot through the roof considering they’re offering a chemical-free solution for fracking fluids.

Not to mention the company could sell their patented clean technologies for substantial premiums and would also become the ultimate takeover target for natural gas producers.

A cleaner future could be in store for hydraulic fracking – oil and gas companies and the environmentally conscious citizen should stay tuned.

Good investing,

Ryan Fitzwater

Article by Investment U

Hungary Central Bank Raises Rate 50bps to 7.00%

The Magyar Nemzeti Bank hiked its central bank base rate by another 50 basis points to 7.00% from 6.50% to help boost the forint.  The Bank said: “The Monetary Council decided to raise the base rate by 50 basis points in view of increased perceptions of the risks associated with the economy and upside risks to inflation. If risk perceptions and the outlook for inflation deteriorate significantly further, it may prove necessary to raise interest rates again.”

The Magyar Nemzeti Bank previously also hiked the rate
50 basis points at its November meeting, after last raising it 25 basis points in January this year.  Hungary reported annual inflation of 3.9% in October, up from 3.6% in September and August, 3.1% in July, 3.5% in June, 3.9% in May, and 4.7% in April.  Hungary’s Central Bank has a medium term inflation target of 3%, while the Bank expects inflation to average 3.9% this year.

The Hungarian economy grew at an annual rate of 1.5% in the June quarter, compared to 2.4% in the march quarter, and 1.9% GDP growth recorded in the December quarter last year.  The Hungarian forint (HUF) has lost about 12% against the US dollar this year, the USDHUF exchange rate last traded around 230

www.CentralBankNews.info

EUR Short Squeeze Presents Opportunities

Source: ForexYard

printprofile

As discussed in today’s FOREXYARD Daily Analysis, overstretched market positioning has allowed for a bit of a EUR short squeeze on the back of a solid Spanish bond auction and strong US housing numbers.

The most recent CFTC Commitment of Traders report shows speculators in the futures market have built their largest EUR short position since May 2010. As of last Tuesday speculators were holding -116k contracts short, up from -95k. The one sided positioning highlights the market’s pessimism against the EUR but also brings the possibility of a short squeeze.

Today’s short squeeze has helped the EUR/USD rise as high as 1.3120. There is short term resistance in this area as the 200-hour moving comes in at 1.3135. Also contributing to the resistance is the October 4th low of 1.3140, and the 38% at 1.3130, the Fibonacci retracement from the move stemming from December 9th to December 14th (1.3433-1.2945).

EURIMM

Read more forex trading news on our forex blog.

Forex Market Analysis provided by ForexYard.

© 2006 by FxYard Ltd

Disclaimer: Trading Foreign Exchange carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. There is a possibility that you could sustain a loss of all of your investment and therefore you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with Foreign Exchange trading.