Introduction to Candlestick Charts

By Sylvain Vervoort – Let me start by saying that the candlestick patterns in candlestick charts should be part of any stock buying or selling strategy. Steve Nison introduced the candlestick techniques to the Western world in his first book, Japanese Candlestick Charting Techniques in 1991. The advantage of using candles on charts is that single or multiple candle patterns can give you early and reliable reversal signals.

The horizontal reference points of the candle represent the opening price, the highest price, the lowest price, and the closing price of the considered period. The rectangular portion of the candle, or the body, represents the range between the opening and the closing prices. If the closing price is higher than the opening price, the body is white or not filled. If the closing price is lower than the opening price, the body is black or filled.

A candle consists of either just a body or a body with an upper and/or a lower shadow. A candle with an opening and closing price at almost the same price level is called a doji. The candlewicks are called shadows, and they extend up to the highest price and down to the lowest price. Looking at the format, the naming and the meaning, you will note a great variety of candle names. It starts with the very big candles with no shadows called white marubozu, a candle with a big white body to be interpreted as very positive. Or the black marubozu, a candle with a big black body which is very negative. Next you get the opening and closing marubozu candles, followed by the normal sized black and white candles with upper and/or lower wicks. Another family are the doji’s, the candles where the opening and closing price are at the same or almost the same price level. To finish with the hanging man and shooting star candles having a small body with large shadows on one side.

What is the psychological background of single candles with no shadows or with only upper or lower shadows? A white candle with no shadows is pure rising power. A black candle with no shadows is pure falling power. A white candle with an upper shadow shows weakening rising power. A black candle with an upper shadow shows that there is increasing falling power. A white candle with a lower shadow shows increasing rising power and a black candle with a lower shadow shows weakening falling power.

Looking at candles with an upper and lower shadow, we can say that candles with a larger lower shadow and a smaller upper shadow represent rising power and the same for a normal sized white candle with small upper and lower shadows. On the other hand candles with a larger upper shadow and a smaller lower shadow represent falling power just like a normal sized black candle with smaller upper and lower shadows.

Candles with reversal power are all of the doji formations indicating that price acceleration is slowing down with bulls and bears in balance. A doji at a top or bottom of a price move is often the first signal of a price reversal. The same is valid for small white or black bodies, mostly more of them together, indicating that buyers or sellers are trying to take power. A small body with a large lower shadow is a hammer and many times a reversal signal both for a downtrend or an uptrend reversal. A small black or white body with a large upper shadow is a shooting star at a top or an inverted hammer at the bottom. Again, probably the first sign of a reversal.

Candle sticks give you more information. When comparing the commonly used bar charts in Western technical analysis to the Eastern candle charts, it is evident that candle charts have a bigger visual impact. The bar chart on its own does not give you any clue about which side a price pattern will be broken. But a candle chart, showing for example almost only candles with rising power in the pattern is clearly showing signs for a breakout to the upper side of that pattern.

What is the influence of size, shape, position and volume on candles? One or more bigger white candles with no or just little shadows mean that the trend is accelerating up and that there is accumulation of the stock. One or more bigger black candles with no or just little shadows mean that the trend is accelerating down and that there is distribution of the stock. When you see an increasing number of smaller candles, after an up move or a down move, it means that the trend is decelerating and distribution is ongoing. It is possibly a first sign for a trend reversal.

Shape and size go hand in hand. Larger size has more meaning. An uptrend move with white candles and doji’s and even smaller black candles confirm the uptrend. A down move is confirmed with black candles; doji’s and even smaller white candles. At the end of an uptrend or a downtrend you will see many times candlestick reversal patterns composed of a number of candles, mostly 1 to 3 candles.

The place in the chart where a candle appears indicates whether it is a usable signal. A reversal pattern after an up-move is a strong reversal signal. The same pattern in a sideways price move has only limited meaning as a support or resistance level. Any pattern within a sideways move has no meaning at all.
There are some very exotic names for these bullish or bearish patterns like; harami, shooting star, abandoned baby, three river bottom, three white soldiers, two crows and much more.

About the Author

Want to learn more about candlestick charts? You can find more technical analysis articles for free at my website: http://stocata.org/. Sylvain Vervoort is a trader and the author of a new book “Capturing Profit with Technical Analysis” and a regular contributor to Stocks & Commodities magazine

USDCAD is testing key resistance of 1.0748

Written by ForexCycle.com

USDCAD is testing key resistance of 1.0748, a break above this level will indicate that a cycle bottom has been formed at 1.0405 level on daily chart, then a sharp move towards 1.1000 could be seen to follow. However, as long as 1.0748 level holds, we’d expected downtrend to resume and another fall below 1.0206 is still possible.

For long term analysis, USDCAD is in long term downtrend from 1.3063. Deeper decline towards 1.0000 is expected in next several weeks.

usdcad

As the Dow Goes, So Goes the Country

By Adam Hewison, Ino.com – The Dow has managed to claw back 50% of the losses that occurred in 2007 and 2008. The question now is, what’s ahead?

In my new video I share with you some of the ideas that I’m looking at for this index. I believe we are at a very important crossroads and would not be surprised to see this market lose ground in the next 3 to 6 months. In the video I also show you exactly what I’m looking at that will confirm a major top for this index.

Sign up for Adam’s Free 10-part Email Trading Course.

Is the NASDAQ Running Out of Steam?

By Adam Hewison, Ino.com – The NASDAQ index is now in thin air and appears to be waning in strength. In my new video I show exactly what I think will happen to this market.

Unlike the Dow and the S&P 500, the NASDAQ index has reached unsustainable levels. This is a dangerous area for this index to be in and we would not be surprised to see downward pressure coming into this market later this year or into 2010.

Sign up for Adam’s Free 10-part Email Trading Course.

USD/JPY Pops Past 90

By Fast Brokers – The USD/JPY is popping past its highly psychological 90 level along with our 2nd and 3rd tier downtrend lines in reaction to the BoJ’s monetary policy statement during the Asia trading session.  The BoJ stated that it is steadfast on fighting deflation, meaning it could maintain its dovish monetary policy for quite some time.  The BoJ’s apparent commitment to its loose monetary policy, combined with recent broad based strength in the Dollar, are combining forces to send the USD/JPY beyond some key topside technicals.  Our 2nd and 3rd tier downtrend lines run through October lows.  Hence, should the USD/JPY create some topside separation, the currency pair could piece together a solid near-term run towards 92.  That being said, the USD/JPY still does face multiple downtrend lines along with previous December highs.  Furthermore, the USD/JPY’s longer-term downtrend is still in play.  Hence, the road higher could be a rocky ahead should positive the currency pair’s momentum persist.  Meanwhile investors should keep an eye on broad-based activity in the Dollar since the EUR/USD and GBP/USD dropped below some key uptrend lines yesterday.  Further deterioration in these currency pairs could yield strength in the USD/JPY.   Japan will kick off the Trading week during Monday’s Asia trading session with the release of its Trade Balance.

Technically speaking, the USD/JPY faces topside technical barriers in the form of previous December highs along with our 4th and 5th tier downtrend lines.  Furthermore, the psychological 90 area could still play a role considering how tough the trading zone has been to overcome in the past.  As for the downside, the USD/JPY has multiple uptrend lines serving as technical cushions along with intraday, 12/14, and 12/09 lows.  Meanwhile, the psychological 90 level could begin to work as a technical cushion.

Present Price: 90.42

Resistances: 90.58, 90.76, 90.94, 91.05, 91.22, 91.39

Supports: 90.36, 90.25, 90.10, 89.90, 89.75, 89.52

Psychological: 90, December Highs and Lows

Market Commentary provided by Fast Brokers.

Disclaimer: FastBrokers’ market commentary is provided for information purposes only and under no circumstances should be regardedneither as an investment advice nor as a solicitation or an offer to sell/buy any financial product. FastBrokers assumes no responsibility or liability from gains or losses incurred by the information herein contained.

Risk Disclosure: There is a substantial risk of loss in trading futures and foreign exchange. Please carefully review all risk disclosure documents before opening an account as these financial instruments are not appropriate for all investors.

S&P Futures Bounce Back Above 1100

By Fast Brokers – The S&P Futures have bounced back above the psychological 1100 level as the Dollar weakens across the board.  The futures took a slight hit yesterday due to the combination of a strengthening Dollar and a negative response to Citibank’s fundraising share sale.  Investors responded to the Fed’s more optimistic outlook on the economy by snapping up the Greenback, inflicting sizable damage upon the EUR/USD and GBP/USD. That being said, the S&P futures held up relatively well considering the extent of the Dollar’s pop since the two investment vehicles are negatively correlated.  However, should the Dollar’s bull run continue, then U.S. equities may be dragged lower since investors will anticipate a decline in a demand for U.S. goods.  Speaking of manufacturing, the Philly Fed Manufacturing Index topped analyst expectations yesterday, an encouraging development since the Empire Index printed well below analyst estimates earlier this week.  However, weekly Unemployment Claims did register 14k higher than anticipated.  Regardless, we don’t view the increase in weekly Unemployment Claims as a major development at this point in time since the data point’s medium-term slope is still negative.  Meanwhile, we are entering a holiday shortened week, meaning next week’s trading could be slow because investors will likely take off early for Christmas.  We do have a few important data points dropping throughout the week though, including Final GDP and Existing Home Sales on Tuesday.  For the time being, investors should continue to monitor activity in the EUR/USD and GBP/USD to determine whether the Dollar can stabilize.  Some key uptrend lines were sacrificed yesterday, meaning the Dollar could be in for further strength over the medium-term, seemingly a negative catalyst for U.S. equities.

Technically speaking, the S&P futures are still locked into their medium-term uptrend after setting consecutive higher lows (11/2, 11/26, 12/9, 12/17).  Furthermore, the futures have the highly psychological 1100 level serving as a technical cushion along with our 1st and 2nd tier uptrend lines.  As for the topside, the S&P futures face technical barriers in the form of 12/13 and previous 2009 highs.

Price: 1103.75

Resistances: 1105.5, 1110, 1112, 1115.5, 1119.25

Supports: 1102.75, 1107.75, 1100, 1097.5, 1095.75, 1092.25, 1088

Psychological: 1100, 1075, 2009 Highs and December Lows

Market Commentary provided by Fast Brokers.

Disclaimer: FastBrokers’ market commentary is provided for information purposes only and under no circumstances should be regardedneither as an investment advice nor as a solicitation or an offer to sell/buy any financial product. FastBrokers assumes no responsibility or liability from gains or losses incurred by the information herein contained.

Risk Disclosure: There is a substantial risk of loss in trading futures and foreign exchange. Please carefully review all risk disclosure documents before opening an account as these financial instruments are not appropriate for all investors.

Crude Futures Gain Back Some Lost Ground

By Fast Brokers – Crude’s recovery from sub-$70/bbl levels is continuing today.  The futures are now approaching their psychological $75/bbl as investors snap up the oversold futures.  It’s difficult to give a definite reason for crude’s rise today.  From a weakening Dollar to a cold front in the U.S., analysts are pointing their fingers at a barrage of catalysts for crude’s bounce.  However, today’s weakness in the Dollar has been benign thus far compared to its strength so far this week.  Furthermore, it’s uncertain how the U.S cold front will impact crude.  Therefore, we may conclude that comments emanating from OPEC leaders that the major oil producing countries are not likely to increase production at their meeting on Tuesday is the driving factor behind crude’s pop.  Another positive catalyst for crude could be the strong Philly Index number yesterday, countering a weak showing from the Empire Index earlier this week.  Healthy levels of manufacturing bode well for crude’s outlook demand outlook.  Meanwhile, we’re about finished with data for the trading week.  Furthermore, activity could slow down next week as investors check out early for Christmas vacation.  Therefore, crude may soon return to its dependence on the Dollar following OPEC’s meeting on the 22nd.

Technically speaking, crude futures now have multiple uptrend lines serving as technical cushions along with the psychological $70/bbl area and December lows.  As for the topside, crude futures still face multiple downtrend lines along with 9/17 highs and the psychological $75/bbl level should it be tested.

Price: $73.95/bbl

Resistances: $74.29/bbl, $74.55/bbl, $74.85/bbl, $75.15/bbl, $75.86/bbl, $76.49/bbl

Supports: $73.69/bbl, $73.12/bbl, $72.84/bbl, $72.43/bbl, $71.78/bbl, $71.28/bbl

Psychological: $75/bbl, $70/bbl, December Lows

Market Commentary provided by Fast Brokers.

Disclaimer: FastBrokers’ market commentary is provided for information purposes only and under no circumstances should be regardedneither as an investment advice nor as a solicitation or an offer to sell/buy any financial product. FastBrokers assumes no responsibility or liability from gains or losses incurred by the information herein contained.

Risk Disclosure: There is a substantial risk of loss in trading futures and foreign exchange. Please carefully review all risk disclosure documents before opening an account as these financial instruments are not appropriate for all investors.

Crude Oil: Lower Levels Ahead?

By Adam Hewison – The crude oil market continues to soften and is now close to some important levels that I think we should look at. In my new video we look at what is happening in this market right now and what we expect to happen in the future.

As we have indicated in our earlier posts, we are now in the official “silly season” for trading. What I mean by that is the markets will be very thin, choppy and can be moved by a relatively small amount of money.

As always our videos are free to watch and there is no need to register.

Watch the New Video Here…

All the best,

Adam Hewison
President, INO.com
Co-creator, MarketClub

EUR/GBP Downtrend Might be Near the End

By Anton Eljwizat – The EUR/GBP cross has experienced a bearish trend for the past two weeks. However, it seems that this trend may be coming to an end, as described below. Forex traders can take advantage of this imminent up movement by entering long positions at an excellent entry price.

• The technical indicators used are the Slow Stochastic, Relative Strength Index (RSI), and Williams Percent Range.

• Point 1: The Slow Stochastic indicates a bullish cross, signaling that the next move may be in an upward direction.

• Point 2: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) signals that the price of this pair currently floats in the over-sold territory, indicating upward pressure.

• Point 3: The Williams Percent Range has peaked at the -100 marker and has turned bullish; this means that there may actually be a strong level of upward pressure.

EUR/GBP Daily Chart

Forex Market Analysis provided by Forex Yard.

© 2006 by FxYard Ltd

Disclaimer: Trading Foreign Exchange carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. There is a possibility that you could sustain a loss of all of your investment and therefore you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with Foreign Exchange trading.

Has the dollar bottomed out?

By Adam Hewison – We have made a number of videos on the dollar index and in my latest video I show you some of the aspects we outlined in our previous video that have come to pass.

The positive divergences on the MACD indicator which we discussed last time have kicked in and pushed the dollar index higher. Longer-term major trend for the dollar index continues to be negative. In this short video you’ll see what the market is doing now and what we expect it to do in the future.

As always our videos are free to watch and there is no need to register.

Watch the New Video Here…

All the best,

Adam Hewison
President, INO.com
Co-creator, MarketClub