Author Archive for InvestMacro – Page 373

Everything You Need to Know About Trading Commodities Online

By Taylor Wilman

Commodities are the backbone of the global economy. The commodities are responsible for all the world economies. Gold and platinum are the key exports for South Africa, crude oil for Saudi Arabia, copper for Chile, and cocoa for Ghana and Ivory Coast. As a result, a decline in the prices of these commodities has a negative impact on the countries and the global economy in general.

There are four main types of commodities. Energy resources like crude oil and natural gas are used to provide energy and power machinery, airplanes, and automobiles. Agricultural commodities like corn, soybeans, cocoa, wheat, and cotton are used for food purposes. Animal commodities too like live cattle, lean hogs, and pigs are used for food. Precious metals like platinum, palladium, gold, and silver are used for diverse purposes while base metals like copper, nickel, and zinc are used for various production purposes.

Most commodities are produced by large companies. Companies like Glencore, BHP Billiton, and Rio Tinto are some of the biggest mining companies in the world. After extracting the commodities, the companies sell them to the global supply chain. For example, copper is bought by utilities companies, cotton is bought by apparel companies, and cocoa by confectionary companies.

The prices of these commodities fluctuate often. Therefore, the buyers often make deals with the sellers. In this, a buyer can promise a seller that they will buy their commodities at a later date at a specific price. By doing this, a buyer locks in the price while the seller locks in a customer. This is the foundation of the futures market. These are then found in online commodities brokers like easyMarkets.

To trade commodities online, a trader needs to understand a few things. First, it is important to understand the demand and supply issues. This is because the price of all commodities depend on their supply and demand. The price tends to fall as the supply increases and vice versa.

To understand these dynamics, traders should use data from credible sources. For crude oil, the Energy Information Administration (EIA) is the main data provider. It publishes the inventories of crude every Wednesday. For agricultural commodities, reading the World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) is recommended. This is a report published by the US Department of Agriculture every month. For commodities like coffee and cotton, reading reports from the respective agencies is recommended.

In this line, to understand the supply and demand among market participants. Every Friday, the Commodities and Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) publishes the Commitment of Traders (COT) data every Friday. This data can help you determine how the market is trading.

Second, you should understand how to use the technical indicators. Like in all forms of trading, the role of technical analysis cannot be understated. These indicators are created using complex mathematical formulas to help a trader determine the entry and exit positions. A good way to trade commodities well is to identify the best indicators to use and how to use them. Trading platforms provide hundreds of free indicators to use.

Third, risk management is a very important concept to use when trading commodities. Historically, commodities are usually more volatile than other securities. Therefore, knowing the best way to manage risk is very important. There are a few ways to manage risk. First, you should always use low volumes or lot sizes when opening trades. Second, you should always use a good risk reward ratio on your trades. It is usually recommended to use a risk reward ratio of 1:2. Third, you should use a low leverage ratio when trading commodities online. Finally, you should always protect your trades with a stop loss. A stop loss is a free tool that protects your trades against downside movements.

By Taylor Wilman

 

 

 

 

Murrey Math Lines 23.08.2018 (USDCHF, GOLD)

Article By RoboForex.com

USDCHF, “US Dollar vs Swiss Franc”

In the H4 chart, USDCHF may rebound from the 3/8 level and then resume falling to reach the support at the 0/8 one.

USDCHF1
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

As we can see in the H1 chart, the price is trading below the 3/8 level and may continue falling towards the support at the 0/8one.

USDCHF2
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

 

XAUUSD, “Gold vs US Dollar”

As we can see in the H4 chart, XAUUSD is consolidating between the 3/8 and 5/8 levels. In this case, the price is expected to test the 4/8 level, rebound from it, and then resume growing towards the 5/8 one.

GOLD1
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

In the H1 chart, the pair may rebound from the 4/8 level and then resume trading upwards to reach the resistance at the 6/8one.

GOLD2
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

Article By RoboForex.com

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex LP bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

The Analytical Overview of the Main Currency Pairs on 2018.08.23

Analytics by JustForex

The EUR/USD currency pair

Technical indicators of the currency pair:
  • Prev Open: 1.15703
  • Open: 1.15938
  • % chg. over the last day: +0.12
  • Day’s range: 1.15591 – 1.15744
  • 52 wk range: 1.0571 – 1.2557

The technical pattern on the EUR/USD currency pair is ambiguous. Quotes are in a sideways trend. Investors assess the FOMC minutes. At the moment, the key support and resistance levels are 1.15400 and 1.15800, respectively. We recommend opening positions from these marks.

The news feed on 2018.08.23:
  • – Data on economic activity in Germany and the Eurozone at 10:30 (GMT+3:00) and 11:00 (GMT+3:00);
  • – Publication of the ECB account of monetary policy meeting at 14:30 (GMT+3:00);
  • – New home sales in the US at 17:00 (GMT+3:00).
EUR/USD

Indicators do not send accurate signals: the price is testing 50 MA.

The MACD histogram is located near the 0 mark.

Stochastic Oscillator is in the neutral zone, the %K line is above the %D line, which indicates the EUR/USD quotes growth.

Trading recommendations
  • Support levels: 1.15400, 1.14900, 1.14400
  • Resistance levels: 1.15800, 1.16200

If the price fixes above the resistance level of 1.15800, the growth of the EUR/USD currency pair is expected. The movement is tending to 1.16200-1.16500.

Alternative option. If the price fixes below 1.15400, we recommend considering sales of EUR/USD. The movement is tending to 1.14900-1.14700.

The GBP/USD currency pair

Technical indicators of the currency pair:
  • Prev Open: 1.28750
  • Open: 1.29006
  • % chg. over the last day: +0.03
  • Day’s range: 1.28741 – 1.28831
  • 52 wk range: 1.2361 – 1.4345

There is a variety of trends on the GBP/USD currency pair. Financial market participants expect additional drivers. At the moment, the local support and resistance levels are 1.28600 and 1.28900, respectively. The positions should be opened from these marks.

The news feed on the UK economy is calm.

GBP/USD

Indicators do not send accurate signals: the price is being traded between 50 MA and 200 MA.

The MACD histogram has moved to the negative zone, which indicates a decrease in the GBP/USD quotes.

Stochastic Oscillator is located in the neutral zone, the %K line is above the %D line, which signals to buy GBP/USD.

Trading recommendations
  • Support levels: 1.28600, 1.28250, 1.27700
  • Resistance levels: 1.28900, 1.29200, 1.29500

If the price fixes above 1.28900, the GBP/USD currency pair is expected to grow. The target movement level is 1.29200-1.29500.

Alternative option. If the price fixes below 1.28600, we recommend considering sales of GBP/USD. The target movement level is 1.28250-1.28000.

The USD/CAD currency pair

Technical indicators of the currency pair:
  • Prev Open: 1.30367
  • Open: 1.29893
  • % chg. over the last day: -0.21
  • Day’s range: 1.30334 – 1.30458
  • 52 wk range: 1.2059 – 1.3795

Yesterday, the bearish sentiment was observed on the USD/CAD currency pair. However, today quotes are recovering. At the moment, the local support and resistance levels are 1.30250 and 1.30500, respectively. We recommend opening positions from these marks. The trading instrument has the potential for further growth.

The news feed on the economy of Canada is calm.

USD/CAD

The price has fixed between 50 MA and 200 MA, which are strong dynamic support and resistance levels.

The MACD histogram has moved to the positive zone, which indicates the USD/CAD quotes growth.

Stochastic Oscillator is located in the overbought zone, the %K line is below the %D line, which gives a signal to sell USD/CAD.

Trading recommendations
  • Support levels: 1.30250, 1.30000
  • Resistance levels: 1.30500, 1.30800, 1.31100

If the price fixes below 1.30250, the USD/CAD quotes are expected to decline. The movement is tending to 1.30000-1.29800.

Alternative option. If the price fixes above the resistance of 1.30500, it is necessary to consider purchases of USD/CAD. The movement is tending to 1.30800-1.31100.

The USD/JPY currency pair

Technical indicators of the currency pair:
  • Prev Open: 110.231
  • Open: 110.549
  • % chg. over the last day: +0.25
  • Day`s range: 110.787 – 110.882
  • 52 wk range: 104.56 – 114.74

There is the bullish sentiment on the USD/JPY currency pair. During yesterday’s and today’s trading sessions, quotes have risen by more than 80 points. At the moment, quotes are testing the local resistance level of 110.900. Local support is the level of 110.700. The positions should be opened from these marks.

The news feed on the economy of Japan is calm.

USD/JPY

Indicators point to the power of buyers: the price is above 50 MA and 200 MA.

The MACD histogram is in the positive zone, above the signal line, which gives a strong signal to buy USD/JPY.

Stochastic Oscillator is located in the neutral zone, the %K line is below the %D line, which indicates a decrease in quotes.

Trading recommendations
  • Support levels: 110.700, 110.400, 110.100
  • Resistance levels: 110.900, 111.150, 111.400

If the price fixes above the resistance level of 110.900, the growth of the USD/JPY currency pair is expected. The movement is tending to 111.150-111.400.

Alternative option. If the price fixes below the 110.700 mark, it is necessary to consider sales of USD/JPY. The movement is tending to 110.400-110.100.

Analytics by JustForex

The US Dollar Index Is Testing a Two-Week Low

by JustForex

Yesterday, the US dollar continued to decline against the basket of major currencies due to the political instability in the US. Legal proceedings against Donald Trump’s former lawyer, Michael Cohen, and Donald Trump’s former campaign chairman, Paul Manafort, are in the focus of attention. In addition, the US intends to impose a number of sanctions against Russia because of the “malicious” actions of the country. The US dollar index (#DX) updated a two-week low and closed in the negative zone (-0.16%). Today, during the Asian trading session, the US currency has recovered some of the losses.

Meanwhile, yesterday the FOMC minutes were published, according to which the Fed leaders positively assessed the state of the American economy and intended to raise the interest rate in the future. However, the meeting participants also expressed concerns about the US trade conflicts with key global partners. At the moment, more than 90% of financial market participants believe that the Fed will raise the interest rate at a meeting in September.

The “black gold” prices have continued to increase after the publication of the report on crude oil inventories in the US. At the moment, futures for the WTI crude oil are testing a mark of $67.80 per barrel.

Market Indicators

Yesterday, there was a variety of trends in the US stock market: #SPY (-0.06%), #DIA (-0.34%), #QQQ (+0.39%).

At the moment, the 10-year US government bonds yield is at the level of 2.81%-2.82%.

The news feed on 2018.08.23:

– Data on economic activity in Germany and the Eurozone at 10:30 (GMT+3:00) and 11:00 (GMT+3:00);
– Publication of the ECB account of monetary policy meeting at 14:30 (GMT+3:00);
– New home sales in the US at 17:00 (GMT+3:00).

by JustForex

EURUSD: 1.15 looming again on the horizon

By Gabriel Ojimadu, Alpari

Previous:

On Wednesday, the 22nd of August, trading on the euro closed up. After the publication of the minutes of the FOMC meeting, buyers tried to induce a rebound from 1.1581, but on Thursday during the Asian session, sellers returned it to 1.1542.

The dollar has been under pressure for some time, as US President Donald Trump’s ex-campaign manager and his lawyer were found guilty of a number of crimes. The latter stated that he acted at the direction of Trump.

The FOMC has not changed its estimates. The US Central Bank is ready to raise the rate in September. According to the minutes of the meeting, members of the Open Market Committee discussed the possibility of further raising interest rates.

Day’s news (GMT+3):

  • 10:15 France: Markit PMI composite (Aug), Markit services PMI (Aug), Markit manufacturing PMI (Aug).
  • 10:30 Germany: Markit PMI composite (Aug), Markit services PMI (Aug), Markit manufacturing PMI (Aug).
  • 11:00 Eurozone: Markit PMI composite (Aug), Markit services PMI (Aug), Markit manufacturing PMI (Aug).
  • 13:00 UK: CBI distributive trades survey – realized (MoM) (Aug).
  • 14:30 Eurozone: ECB monetary policy meeting accounts.
  • 15:30 US: initial jobless claims (Aug 17).
  • 16:00 US: HPI (MoM) (Jun).
  • 16:45 US: Markit PMI composite (Aug), Markit services PMI (Aug).
  • 17:00 US: new home sales change (MoM) (Jul).
  • 17:00 Eurozone: consumer confidence (Aug).

Fig 1. EURUSD hourly chart. Source: TradingView.

Current situation:

The upward movement ended at 1.1623. The price made a downwards reversal, but it returned to 1.1620 on the news. The price drop intensified following the breakout of the trend line. It then very quickly reached the lb balance line.

At the moment, the low for the Asian session is fixed at 1.1542. The 67th degree has been reached. According to the forecast, I expect an upward correction to 1.1580, and then a further decline to 1.1500. For today, the weakening of the euro can be kept at bay by two price levels – 1.1512 and 1.1527.

Source: EURUSD: 1.15 looming again on the horizon

Global Funds IN FAANGs Today, BANNGs Tomorrow?

The world is familiar with FANG (Facebook, Amazon, Netflix, and Google), then came FAANG, Facebook, Amazon, Apple, Netflix, and Google. But are you familiar with BANNG? We would like to introduce to the world a countercyclical group of stocks that could be the biggest winners if FAANGs lose. BANNG = Barrick Gold, Agnico Eagle, Newmont Mining, Newcrest Mining, and Goldcorp. They are the collection of gold stocks that would appear in all the major gold stocks ETFs, major indices in their respective countries. They have the liquidity, market cap, dividends, along with being the group of some of the largest gold miners in the world. Barrick and Newmont are the largest gold miners in the world. Both FAANG and BANNG stocks are in a global equity fund managers MSCI ACWI Index (All Country World Index). But how in love are these global fund managers with FAANGs, and how despised are they with BANNGs? This is the first-time investors can see how underweight Global Equity Funds are in gold’s BANNG’s stocks.

How Many Global Equity Funds Hold FAANGs & BANNGs?

When looking at the 270 Global Equity Funds, with ~480 billion in AUM, we have seen the number of funds owning FAANG’s risen from 1 in 2 (51.4%) to 7 in 10, but the number of funds holding FAANG’s has been drifting down since April 2017, when it was 72.38%, but not by much to 69% at the end of July 2018. They have been clearly selling into the rally as retail investors continue to hold.

Global equity funds have been selling in to strength this year, building a larger underweight in FAANG and tech related stocks.   Some of that selling has been reallocated in to Materials stocks but the gulf in ownership is still huge, this has further to go.” Steve Holden, Founder at Copley Fund Research

This is in contrast to BANNGs today, where only 1 in 13 (7.7%) global equity fund managers have any exposure to the BANNG group. 1 in 3 funds held the BANNG’s during gold’s peak in 2011 and even held them well after gold peaked, 31.1% of global equity fund managers peaked in January 2012. The number of global fund managers didn’t start to reduce exposure until the second quarter of 2012, and more meaningful in the second half of 2012. This is almost one year after the gold price peaked.

How Much Exposure Do Global Equity Funds Have to FAAANGs & BAANGs?

When we look at the funds with a global mandate, the average weight to the basket of FAANG’s has more than doubled from 2.0% to 4.6% since April 2011. But fund managers have held the line in keeping their FAANG exposure to no more than 4.5%. This is in contrast to BANNG’s that saw their exposure in global mandate funds fall by more than 90%, from a high of 0.061% to 0.068% at the low in 2013, and currently at 0.13%. Let’s repeat that, Global equity fund managers only have an average weight of 0.13% allocation across ALL BANNGs.  This presents a huge untapped opportunity for investors. Global Funds missed the runup in the gold price in the first half of 2018, as fund exposure continues to fall.

How Many Funds Are Overweight FAANG’s & BANNG’s?

With all that exposure by global equity managers, only 29.2% of global equity funds were overweight FAANGs, down from a high in 2011, when more than 44.4% of global equity fund managers were overweight FAANGs, relative to the MSCI All-Country World Index. Interestingly, 7% of the global fund managers were overweight the BANNG STOCKS, down from a peak of 24.9% in February 2012.

OPPORTUNITIES FROM CAPITAL FLIGHT & SECTOR SHIFT

We are already seeing a sector rotation out of technology as defensives are outperforming Tech and Consumer Discretionary over the past 11 months and particularly the pain has been in tech over the six months:

“1m returns after said “trigger” shows SPX -0.4%, with “Defensives” Utes / Staples / Telcos outperforming Tech and Cons Discretionary” (Nomura)

“6m returns evidence the worst potential pain-trade of them all: best-performing sectors are Fins / Utes / Healthcare / Telco / Energy, with Tech as worst- performing sector” (Nomura)

The Newmont Edge

If capital continues to flow into the US, Newmont Mining has an edge over the other BANNGs, because it is the only company that is in the S&P 500. No other BANNG will be able to do this unless they change being domiciled to the U.S.

Over at Barrick, Executive Chairman John Thornton is taking a non-traditional approach to the gold sector, focusing on profits over production ounces. He is taking his non-mining background and focusing on creating a consistently profitable business, with the aim that many of the diversified miners have done. Mr. Thornton doesn’t have to follow the standard norms or practices as to what has been in the past, potentially setting up the company to outperform its peers as its taking an unconventional approach. We think its welcomed. “(Thornton) doesn’t have the DNA of a mining manager, or a mining family industry executive” (National Post). We would counter, that the one thing counts for shareholders, and that is delivering shareholder performance over anything else. If he is able to deliver on earnings, the share price will follow.

SUMMARY

The contrarian view over the next 2-3 years puts the odds in favor of BANNG’s outperforming FAANGs, as FAANG’s come under political pressure, typically highlighting the end of a sector run. Global Equity Fund Managers are light on BANNG’s so those positioned with a view over a 2-3 year time horizon, will be able to capitalize on fund flows back into the sector.  While governments are opening up to miners to expand in their countries to create jobs as we have seen in Canada, Brazil, and the United States. The Risk-Reward for fund managers presents an opportunity shift from FAANG’s to BANNG’s with better asymmetric opportunities. We think this is the beginning of BANNGs versus FAANGs as we see a sector rotation into materials and FAANGs comes under political pressure, a common occurrence at the end of a sector cycle.

————————

About the Author:

Paul Farrugia, BCom. Paul is the President & CEO of First Macro Capital. He helps his readers identify mining stocks that you can hold for the long-term. He provides a checklist to find winning gold and silver mining producer stocks, including battery metals.

 

Is Gold On Verge of a Bottom, See for Yourself

By TheTechnicalTraders.com

The recent downward price swing in Gold has kept Goldbugs frothing at what they believe is a very unusual and unexplained price function in the face of so much uncertainty throughout the globe.  With Turkey, Russia, China and many others experiencing massive economic and currency crisis events, Gold has actually been creeping lower as the US Dollar strengthens.  It is almost like a “Twilight Zone” episode for Gold Bulls.

The setup for a gold rally has been in place for over a decade.  Much like in 2006 through 2008, the current price and volatility of Gold is simply mundane.  For the past two years, Gold has rotated between $1190 and $1360 – within a $180 range.  Certainly, Gold traders were able to find some profits within this range, but no breakout trends have been established since early 2016 when the price of Gold changed from Bearish to Bullish and a 31% rally took place driving prices $328.80 higher from the lows.

Our team of researchers, at www.TheTechnicalTraders.com, believe something very interesting may be taking place in Gold right now – almost like a “Deja Vu” of the past.  A double setup appears to have taken place recently and we believe the bottom may have already formed in Gold for now.

In early 2016 through November 2016 where price rallied 31% then retraced nearly 75% to form the second leg higher.  This deep retracement of price was indicative of a wide price rotation before another leg higher pushed back up to near the all-time highs.

From 2017 until now the Gold chart shows another 75% price retracement from recent highs once again.  This second 75% retracement could be a massive bottom formation setting up in Gold and could be a huge “wash-out” low price.  We believe this unique retracement is indicative of a massive price breakout over the next year or so as the price of gold is forming what Stan Weinstein calls a Stage 1 Accumulation.

 

Now, let’s zoom in and take a look at the weekly chart and our Adaptive Dynamic Learning model, the predictive analysis suggests that Gold prices should begin to bottom within the next week or two and begin to climb much higher over the next 3~10+ weeks.

This pattern consists of 12 unique instances of data and suggests that the future upswing will start rather mild for the first 2 weeks, then begin to accelerate as time progresses.  It appears we have a strong potential to see prices above $1400 within the next 5~8 weeks or so and you look at the previous chart above, what is the $1400 level? You got it! Resistance, and if price breaks out above $1400 a new bull market would be triggered!

As many of you are aware, Gold is often a move to safety when the global economy begins to show signs of chaos or weakness.  We believe the move in the US Dollar will stall and possibly correct as this move takes place.  If Gold were to rally while the US Dollar continued to strengthen, you can clearly assume that a flight to safety is taking place and it includes a massive capital migration toward US equities and GOLD.  If the rally in gold is seen while the US Dollar weakens or stalls, then we are seeing a move to safety while the currency markets address regional and global currency market issues.

Either way, we expect Gold to begin a new rally higher off of this 75% retracement level to complete the Pennant formation that is currently set up for a Wave 5 upside price expansion. Some of this technical analysis may be over your head as it can be confusing, but you should get the gist of things which is that precious metals should find a bottom and there is the potential that a massive bull market could be on the horizon if price rallies quickly. Be prepared for this move because the Gold shorts will likely be forced to cover their positions within the next few weeks as this move begins to accelerate higher.

Visit TheTechnicalTraders.com to learn how we can help you find these types of swings in the major markets.  We alert our clients well in advance of these swings and deliver daily video content to all of our members before the market opens each day.  Our objective is to make you a better trader and to help you find successful setups to create greater success.  Visit our website to learn how we can help you become a better trader today.

Chris Vermeulen
Technical Traders Ltd.

By TheTechnicalTraders.com

Fibonacci Retracements Analysis 22.08.2018 (GBPUSD, EURJPY)

Article By RoboForex.com

GBPUSD, “Great Britain Pound vs US Dollar”

As we can see in the H4 chart, the convergence made GBPUSD reverse and start a new uptrend, which is heading towards the retracement of 23.6% at 1.3065. The next upside target may be the retracement of 38.2% at 1.3316. The support level is the low at 1.2661.

GBPUSD1
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

In the H1 chart, the pair slowed down its growth a little bit and may be corrected to the downside to reach the retracements of 23.6%, 38.2% and 50.0% at 1.2868, 1.2834, and 1.2807 respectively. The short-term resistance level is the high at 1.2924.

GBPUSD2
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

 

EURJPY, “Euro vs. Japanese Yen”

As we can see in the H4 chart, the convergence made EURJPY start a new ascending correction, which has already reached the retracement of 50.0% and may continue towards the ones of 61.8% and 76.0% at 128.77 and 129.65 respectively. The support level is the low at 124.90.

EURJPY1
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

In the H1 chart, the pair completed the ascending impulse and right now is being corrected downwards. By now, the correction has already reached the retracement of 23.6%. The next downside targets are the retracements of 38.2% and 50.0% at 127.11 and 126.82 respectively.

EURJPY2
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

Article By RoboForex.com

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex LP bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Forex Technical Analysis & Forecast 22.08.2018 (EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDCHF, USDJPY, AUDUSD, USDRUB, GOLD, BRENT)

Article By RoboForex.com

EURUSD, “Euro vs US Dollar”

EURUSD has extended the correction. Possibly, today the pair may fall to reach 1.1488 and then grow towards 1.1544, thus forming a new consolidation range. If later the instrument breaks this range to the downside, the price may resume falling inside the downtrend with the first target at 1.1407.

EURUSD
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

 

GBPUSD, “Great Britain Pound vs US Dollar”

GBPUSD has reached the upside target without forming any corrections. Today, the price may form another consolidation range near the highs. If the instrument breaks 1.2856 to the downside, the price may resume falling with the target at 1.2785 and then grow to return to 1.2855. Later, the market may continue falling inside the downtrend towards 1.2600.

GBPUSD
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

 

USDCHF, “US Dollar vs Swiss Franc”

USDCHF has completed the descending wave without any corrections. Possibly, today the pair may form another consolidation range near le lows. If later the instrument breaks this range to the upside, the price may resume growing with the target at 0.9912 and then start another decline to reach 0.9875. Later, the market may continue growing towards 0.9955.

USDCHF
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

 

USDJPY, “US Dollar vs Japanese Yen”

USDJPY has completed the first ascending impulse along with the correction, thus forming another consolidation range. If later the instrument breaks this range to the upside, the price may start another growth with the short-term target at 111.16. Later, the market may resume falling towards 110.60 and then move upwards to reach 111.44.

USDJPY
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

 

AUDUSD, “Australian Dollar vs US Dollar”

AUDUSD is consolidating near the highs. Possibly, today the pair may fall towards 0.7270 and then grow to reach 0.7325. After that, the instrument may resume falling inside the downtrend with the target at 0.7160.

AUDUSD
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

 

USDRUB, “US Dollar vs Russian Ruble”

USDRUB is still consolidating around 67.07. If later the instrument breaks this range to the upside, the price may reach 67.77; if to the downside – trade to break 65.90 and then start forming the third descending wave with the target at 64.04.

USDRUB
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

 

XAUUSD, “Gold vs US Dollar”

Gold has reached the short-term upside target at 1197.00. Today, the price may fall towards 1185.00 and then resume growing to reach 1208.00. After that, the instrument may start another decline with the target at 1185.00.

GOLD
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

 

BRENT

Brent is still moving upwards. Possibly, today the pair may reach 73.05 and then start a new correction towards 71.40. Later, the market may grow to break 73.55 and then continue trading to reach the short-term target at 75.50.

BRENT
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

Article By RoboForex.com

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex LP bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Privacy is the King: Will Zcash Top the List of Anonymous Coins?

By Mary Ann Callahan

Privacy and anonymity are buzzwords in the cryptocurrency sphere, both for positive and negative reasons. Initially, privacy was heralded as the way forward for crypto tokens because it afforded users to be able to transact without others prying into their affairs and keep transactions safe, secure and personal details anonymous.

Step in Zcash.

What is Zcash?

Zcash is a cryptocurrency that combines both currency and cryptography to provide users with a platform to transact with complete anonymity. Currently, the ZEC to USD price is set at around $140. To date as a token, it has performed relatively well, not setting the world alight but growing and increasing in value steadily.

This was all historically very good news for investors and users alike who saw the currency as a stable and trusted token that could be easily transacted and keep details anonymous. Compared to other anonymous coins Zcash is without question the top of the anonymous coins. But being top isn’t always great as Zcash has been put under a lot of the regulatory spotlight.

So, What’s the Problem?

There came some big changes in the real world that had a knock-on effect with widespread consequences in the crypto world. Certainly, some real-world changes have been in line with how many crypto tokens operate, a good example of this would be the introduction of GDPR (General Data Protection Regulation) by the EU. The idea behind the regulation is to keep user details safe and to put identifiers in places such as numbers instead of names and addresses.

This type of regulation is something that has complimented the way many crypto tokens work.

Other regulation has not been so positive, and with regulatory bodies tightening up fast on cryptocurrency, there have been serious concerns raised about tokens, especially those that provide complete anonymity.

Zcash, along with many other crypto tokens, faces a mountain of scrutiny that they are about to climb.

Taxation is Coming: In a Big Way

Previously, crypto was a lucrative investment opportunity because people could buy up the currency of their choice and for the most part not worry about taxation. This was for a number of reasons. Cryptocurrency has been flying under the taxation radar for many years because governments: a) thought it had little to no real-world value; and b) didn’t put regulation in place to appropriately deal with the taxation of crypto.

This all changed when media attention grew and governments began to realize that there was indeed a very high value in crypto tokens and many people were making a lot of money and paying minimal or non-existent tax on the proceeds.

This led to the US government cracking down on crypto, followed shortly by Canadian officials and the HMRC in the UK. All of the regulatory bodies started open communication with banks and other financial institutions to ascertain the identities of individuals that were buying and profiting from cryptocurrency. This would ultimately mean that individuals the world over would begin to get letters landing on their doorstep with hefty tax bills inside.

It isn’t that straightforward, though. The biggest issue that taxation bodies are finding is that they can’t accurately track the profit, and therefore can’t accurately assess the tax. To do this they would need to track an individual’s transactions from source (bank) through to the exchanges and then onto the blockchains themselves.

So, guess what happened? The taxation bodies teamed up with the exchanges to further track money going in and out of individual accounts. This meant they had banks, financial institutions and exchanges all on side and now they needed the last piece of the puzzle. The ledgers of the tokens.

For public ledger operations, this will pose no issue, and governments will likely strike up a conversation with the likes of Bitcoin to ascertain where money has come from and where it is going.

For Zcash this is a staggering problem. And in the world of taxation that is going to be a potentially crippling issue, Zcash is in the situation where it either faces being shut down or it completely restructures its platform; both things that Zcash will not want to happen.

Anti-Money Laundering and Financial Crime

In mid-2018, there were whisperings that Japanese authorities were investigating Zcash along with 2 other anonymous crypto tokens for failing to have safeguards in place that would protect the token being exploited by criminals.

The investigation came to fruition, and the Japanese regulator found that a significant amount of Zcash was being used in anonymous transactions on the dark-web for illegal purposes. Among their findings, they outlined that major criminal enterprises were moving a lot of money in it and that Zcash was by default supporting organized crime.

The result was that the Japanese government is now looking to stop Zcash trading in Japan. But that is only one country, right? Well, it has led to a wave of regulators now casting a very keen eye on Zcash, and the outcome will always be the same unless Zcash changes its operation. In the UK, the FCA is looking to remove anonymous coins, and in the US regulators are looking closely at the internal workings of such coins.

For now, Zcash is on a precarious rope. It can certainly be the king of anonymous coins, but in a world where governments are demanding transparency, it finds itself at odds with the powers.

It’s not All Doom and Gloom

The good news for Zcash comes from its underlying technology. Unlike Monero that is completely anonymous, Zcash allows users to decide on the type of transaction they would like to perform. Simply put, the Zcash blockchain supports two types of transactions: transparent and shielded. Such an approach can certainly play into Zcash’s hands once the regulatory crackdown takes the stage.

About the Author: Mary Ann Callahan

As an expert on Bitcoin-related topics, I’ve found myself as a Journalist at Cex.io – cryptocurrency exchange. I’m working on articles related to blockchain security, bitcoin purchase guides or bitcoin regulations in different countries.