Author Archive for InvestMacro – Page 205

Japanese Candlesticks Analysis 11.07.2019 (USDCAD, AUDUSD)

Article By RoboForex.com

USDCAD, “US Dollar vs Canadian Dollar”

As we can see in the H4 chart, USDCAD is still testing the support level and forming Harami pattern while trading downwards. Possibly, after completing this reversal pattern, the price may rebound from the support level and start a new growth with the target at 1.3190. However, we shouldn’t ignore a possibility that the instrument may move sideways without reversing, break the support level, and continue its decline to reach 1.3000.

USDCAD_Анализ японских свечей
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

AUDUSD, “Australian Dollar vs US Dollar”

As we can see in the H4 chart, after testing another support level and forming Hammer reversal pattern, AUDUSD has rebounded towards the channel’s upside border. The current situation implies that the instrument may test the border, rebound from it, and resume falling towards 0.6910. However, we shouldn’t ignore a possibility that the instrument may break the resistance level and continue growing to reach 0.7035.

AUDUSD_Анализ японских свечей
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

Article By RoboForex.com

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex LP bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Ichimoku Cloud Analysis 11.07.2019 (AUDUSD, NZDUSD, USDCAD)

Article By RoboForex.com

AUDUSD, “Australian Dollar vs US Dollar”

AUDUSD is trading at 0.6969; the instrument is moving below Ichimoku Cloud, thus indicating a descending tendency. The markets could indicate that the price may test the cloud’s downside border at 0.6995 and then resume moving downwards to reach 0.6865. Another signal to confirm further descending movement is the price’s rebounding from the descending channel’s upside border. However, the scenario that implies further decline may be cancelled if the price breaks the cloud’s upside border and fixes above 0.7020. In this case, the pair may continue growing towards 0.7085.

AUDUSD_Анализ индикатора Ишимоку
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

NZDUSD, “New Zealand Dollar vs US Dollar”

NZDUSD is trading at 0.6664; the instrument is moving above Ichimoku Cloud, thus indicating an ascending tendency. The markets could indicate that the price may test the cloud’s upside border at 0.6635 and then resume moving upwards to reach 0.6745. Another signal to confirm further ascending movement is the price’s rebounding from the descending channel’s upside border. However, the scenario that implies further growth may be cancelled if the price breaks the cloud’s downside border and fixes below 0.6595. In this case, the pair may continue falling towards 0.6505.

NZDUSD_Анализ индикатора Ишимоку
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

USDCAD, “US Dollar vs Canadian Dollar”

USDCAD is trading at 1.3055; the instrument is moving below Ichimoku Cloud, thus indicating a descending tendency. The markets could indicate that the price may test the cloud’s upside border at 1.3095 and then resume moving downwards to reach 1.2935. Another signal to confirm further ascending movement is the price’s rebounding from the resistance level. However, the scenario that implies further decline may be cancelled if the price breaks the cloud’s upside border and fixes above 1.3155. In this case, the pair may continue growing towards 1.3245.

USDCAD_Анализ индикатора Ишимоку

Article By RoboForex.com

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex LP bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

The Analytical Overview of the Main Currency Pairs on 2019.07.11

by JustForex

The EUR/USD currency pair

Technical indicators of the currency pair:
  • Prev Open: 1.12069
  • Open: 1.12507
  • % chg. over the last day: +0.45
  • Day’s range: 1.12507 – 1.12807
  • 52 wk range: 1.1111 – 1.2009

Yesterday, the US dollar sharply weakened against a basket of world currencies. Quotes rose by more than 70 points and updated the local maximums. The demand for USD declined after comments by Fed Chairman Jerome Powell. The official pointed to the willingness to reduce interest rates due to the growing risks in the global economy. The regulator plans to “act properly” so that the largest economy in the world can sustain a decade of growth. At the moment, the currency pair is testing a key resistance of 1.12800. 1.12350 is already a “mirror” support. Trading instrument can grow further. Open positions from key levels.

The Economic News Feed for 11.07.2019:

  • – CBE Minutes (EU) – 14:30 (GMT+3:00);
  • – Inflation Report (US) – 00:00 (GMT+3:00);
EUR/USD

The price has fixed above 100 MA, which indicates the strength of buyers.

The MACD histogram is located in the positive zone and above the signal line, which gives a strong signal to buy EUR/USD.

The Stochastic Oscillator is in the neutral zone, the %K line crossed the %D line. There are no signals at the moment.

Trading recommendations
  • Support levels: 1.12350, 1.11950, 1.11600
  • Resistance levels: 1.12800, 1.13100, 1.13500

If the price consolidates above the resistance level of 1.12800, the quotes can grow to 1.13100-1.13400.

Alternatively, quotes can drop to a round level of 1.12000.

The GBP/USD currency pair

Technical indicators of the currency pair:
  • Prev Open: 1.24577
  • Open: 1.24974
  • % chg. over the last day: +0.31
  • Day’s range: 1.24974 – 1.25384
  • 52 wk range: 1.2438 – 1.3631

GBP/USD began to recover and updated local maximums. The USD remains under pressure after the comments of the Fed. At the moment, the GBP is testing the offer zone 1.25350-1.25600. 1.24900 is already a “mirror” support. GBP/USD quotes have can grow further. Participants in financial markets continue to monitor the situation around Brexit. Positions must be opened from key levels.

The Economic News Feed for 11.07.2019 is calm.

GBP/USD

The price has fixed above 100 MA, which indicates the strength of the sellers.

The MACD histogram is in the positive zone and above the signal line, which gives a strong signal to buy GBP/USD.

The Stochastic Oscillator is in the overbought zone, the %K line crossed the %D line. There are no signals at the moment.

Trading recommendations
  • Support levels: 1.24900, 1.24400, 1.24000
  • Resistance levels: 1.25350, 1.25600, 1.26000

If the price consolidates above 1.25350, the quotes can grow to 1.25700-1.26000.

Alternatively, the quotes can descend to 1.24700-1.24500.

The USD/CAD currency pair

Technical indicators of the currency pair:
  • Prev Open: 1.31232
  • Open: 1.30806
  • % chg. over the last day: -0.40
  • Day’s range: 1.30486 – 1.30809
  • 52 wk range: 1.2727 – 1.3664

Yesterday, high trading activity and volatility were observed on the USD/CAD. The The Bank of Canada, as expected, kept the key interest rate unchanged at 1.75%. The regulator plans to adhere to the current monetary policy. The USD/CAD quotes ended the trading session in the negative zone and reached key minimums. At the moment, CAD is consolidating in the range of 1.30500-1.30750. The Canadian dollar is supported by the positive dynamics of oil prices. We do not exclude a further decrease in the trading instrument. Positions must be opened from key levels.

The Economic News Feed for 11.07.2019 is calm.

USD/CAD

The price has fixed below 50 MA and 100 MA, which indicates the strength of the sellers.

The MACD histogram is in the negative zone and continues to decline, which gives a strong signal to sell USD/CAD.

Stochastic Oscillator started to go out of the oversold zone, the %K line is above the %D line, which indicates the growth of the USD/CAD quotes.

Trading recommendations
  • Support levels: 1.30500, 1.30400, 1.30000
  • Resistance levels: 1.30750, 1.31150, 1.31400

If the price consolidates below 1.30500, the quotes can decline to 1.30200-1.30000.

Alternatively, the quotes can grow to 1.31000.

The USD/JPY currency pair

Technical indicators of the currency pair:
  • Prev Open: 108.856
  • Open: 108.423
  • % chg. over the last day: -0.48
  • Day’s range: 107.860 – 108.442
  • 52 wk range: 104.97 – 114.56

There are aggressive sales on the USD/JPY currency pair. During yesterday’s and today’s trading, the quotes descended by 90 pips. The trading instrument has established new local minimums. At the moment, the safe-haven currency is consolidating in the range of 107.900-108.150. The demand for the US dollar has weakened significantly. We do not exclude a further descend in USD/JPY quotes. Pay attention to the dynamics of US Treasury bonds’ yield. Positions must be opened from key levels.

The Economic News Feed for 11.07.2019 is calm.

USD/JPY

The price has fixed below 50 MA and 100 MA, which indicates the strength of the sellers.

The MACD histogram is in the negative zone and below the signal line, which gives a strong signal to sell USD/JPY.

Stochastic Oscillator started to go out of the oversold zone, the %K line is above the %D line, which indicates the growth of the USD/JPY quotes.

Trading recommendations
  • Support levels: 107.900, 107.700, 107.550
  • Resistance levels: 108.150, 108.300, 108.500

If the price consolidates below 107.900, the quotes can descend toward 107.600-107.400.

Alternatively, the quotes can grow toward 108.400-108.600.

by JustForex

The US Dollar Is Under Pressure after Fed Chairman Powell’s Comments

by JustForex

The US dollar fell against a basket of major currencies after the speech by Fed Chairman, Jerome Powell. The official said that concerns about trade policy and the weakness of the economy continued to put pressure on the forecasts for the US economy, and the Fed was ready to do everything necessary to support economic growth. Powell believes that the rate of economic growth has become moderate, but weak inflation may last a little longer than it was supposed. The US dollar index (#DX) closed in the negative zone (-0.40%) yesterday.

Investors took the statements by the head of the US Central Bank as a signal that the Fed was ready for a more aggressive interest rate reduction. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, more than 50% of financial market participants believe that the regulator may reduce the range of key interest rate to 1.75%-2.00% at a meeting in September.

Among other things. Yesterday, ambiguous economic statistics were published in the UK. GDP (m/m) increased by 0.3%, as experts expected. Manufacturing production grew by only 1.4% in May instead of 2.2%. Also, the Bank of Canada decided on a key interest rate yesterday. As expected, the regulator left the indicator unchanged at 1.75%.

The “black gold” prices are growing. At the moment, futures for the WTI crude oil are testing the mark of $60.75 per barrel.

Market Indicators

Yesterday, the bullish sentiment was observed in the US stock markets: #SPY (+0.48%), #DIA (+0.31%), #QQQ (+1.00%).

The 10-year US government bonds yield has become stable. Currently, the indicator is at the level of 2.04-2.05%.

The News Feed on 2019.07.11:

– Publication of the ECB account of monetary policy meeting at 14:30 (GMT+3:00);
– Data on inflation in the US at 15:30 (GMT+3:00).

We also recommend paying attention to the speeches by the FOMC representatives.

by JustForex

EURUSD: downwards correction to take us to 1.1240

By Alpari.com

Previous:

On Wednesday the 10th of July, trading on the EURUSD pair closed up by 60 pips. There was a surge in volatility in the US session during Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s testimony to the US House of Representatives. He hinted that the Fed could lower interest rates at the end of July due risks to the global economy. His remarks were taken to mean that the Fed is prepared to lower rates at the end of the month. After Powell’s testimony, US 10-year bond yields dropped by 3.3% to 2.04%. This means that markets are bracing themselves for a rate slash, which is good for more volatile assets.

Day’s news (GMT+3):

  • 12:30 UK: financial stability report.
  • 14:30 Eurozone: ECB monetary policy meeting accounts.
  • 15:30 Canada: new housing price index (May).
  • 15:30 US: initial jobless claims (5 Jul), CPI (Jun).
  • 17:00 US: Fed’s Chair Powell testifies.
  • 19:15 US: Fed’s Bostic speech.
  • 21:00 US: monthly budget statement.

EURUSD H1Current situation:

Yesterday didn’t turn out as expected. During the Fed’s chair’s testimony, the bull army triggered the stop levels above 1.1235. The pair recovered to 1.1260, and the dollar’s decline continued to 1.1281 in today’s Asian session.

At the time of writing, the euro is trading at 1.1269. Since the upwards movement stopped at the 67th degree, and a bearish divergence has formed between the rate and the AO, today I’m expecting to see a downwards correction to 1.1240. I’ve drawn a channel with dashed lines on the chart, from which I’m expecting a downwards breakout. The 45th degree is at 1.1230.

Sometimes you get moments of inactivity among bears on the market, and the rate keeps climbing on the back of fundamentals, which under the current scenario would form a third higher high within the channel. This shouldn’t be ruled out as a possibility.

By Alpari.com

RoboMarkets Title Sponsor of Women’s Volleyball Team AEL

RoboMarkets, a European broker that provides services for online trading on global financial markets, has become the title sponsor of the women’s volleyball team AEL (Limassol). In accordance with the long-term contract terms, the team that participates in women’s volleyball league of Cyprus will bear the name “RoboMarkets AEL”. In addition to that, the broker’s logo will be placed on the team’s sport outfit.

Since the moment the team was founded in Limassol in 1976, TRB-Danoi ΑΕΛ (AEL Limassol), rebranded later to RoboMarkets AEL, has hold leading positions among volleyball teams of the republic of Cyprus. RoboMarkets AEL is the winningest team in the history of the Cypriot women’s volleyball – as of today, it has won the Championship 29 times. Also, the team is a 28-time winner of the women’s volleyball Cup of Cyprus and a 13-time winner of the women’s volleyball Super Cup of Cyprus.

Konstantin Rashap, CBO at RoboMarkets: “We’re very proud that one of the best volleyball team in Cyprus is named after our Company and glad to support the athletes. For us, they represent a great team spirit and winning traditions. We’re ready to support the team in their ambitions to become better and will break new grounds together!”

 

About RoboMarkets

RoboMarkets is an investment company with the CySEC license No. 191/13. RoboMarkets offers investment services in many European countries by providing traders, who work on financial market, with access to its proprietary trading platforms. More detailed information about the Company’s products and activities can be found on the official website at www.robomarkets.com.

 

Predictive Modeling Suggest Oil Headed Much Lower

By TheTechnicalTraders.com

Our Adaptive Dynamic Learning (ADL) predictive price modeling system is suggesting Crude Oil will likely continue to find resistance near $64 as a price ceiling and trend lower over the next 3 to 5 months – eventually breaking below the $40 price level near the end of 2019 or in early 2020.

Our research team believes this move could very well be contingent on a continued decline in global economic activity as well as our research suggesting that global currencies could be setting up for a breakdown event.

The USA and FED will do everything in their powers to keep the economy looking strong and to hold markets up like talking about rate cuts, but eventually the music will stop, but until then we need to be long and strong stocks and keep a close eye on leading indicators like small caps, oil, transportation and industrial sectors for early warning signs.

Please read the following research posts for more information:

Report #1: PART III – DEBT CRISIS TO BE REBORN IN 2020

Report #2: KING DOLLAR RIDES HIGHER CREATING PRESSURES ON FOREIGN ECONOMIES

Report #3: FEAR DRIVES MARKET EXPECTATIONS

We believe the breakdown in support for Crude Oil will coincide with a general perception of global economic weakness, foreign Central Bank posturing and the possibility that foreign currency weakness may push global demand for Oil much lower than current expectations.

The volatility increased suggested near the right side of this chart, in late 2019 and early 2020, are indicative of oil prices reaching a critical support level while attempting to re-balance supply/demand-side economic factors against historic price lows.  This will likely become a period where global oil traders feel the need to try to push oil prices higher while supply/demand factors settle to establish a basis price level for future price trends.

IN CONCLUSION:

If our ADL predictive modeling is correct, we will see rotation between $47 and $64 over the next 3+ months before a breakdown in price hits in November 2019.  This will be followed by two fairly narrow price range months (December 2019 and January 2020) where oil prices will tighten near $45 to $50.  After that tightening, we believe an extremely volatile price move will happen in February through April 2020 that could see oil prices trade as low as $22 and as high as $51 over a two to three-month span.

As we’ve continued to state, 2019 and 2020 are going to include incredible opportunities for skilled technical traders and investors.  Think about how a more like this in Oil and the global markets will reflect into the precious metals markets and the US Dollar?

Be prepared for these incredible price swings before they happen and learn how you can identify and trade these fantastic trading opportunities in 2019, 2020, and beyond with our  Wealth Building & Global Financial Reset Newsletter.  You won’t want to miss this big move, folks.  As you can see from our research, everything has been setting up for this move for many months – most traders/investors have simply not been looking for it.

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As a technical analysis and trader since 1997, I have been through a few bull/bear market cycles. I believe I have a good pulse on the market and timing key turning points for both short-term swing trading and long-term investment capital. The opportunities are massive/life-changing if handled properly.

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Wealthy Brits seek to Corbyn-proof finances as UK’s Labour moves towards shunning Brexit

By George Prior

High-net-worth individuals will increasingly be seeking to Corbyn-proof their finances, says the CEO of one of the world’s largest independent financial advisory organizations.

The assessment from Nigel Green, chief executive and founder of deVere Group, which has $12bn under advisement, comes as Jeremy Corbyn, the leader of the UK’s official opposition party, Labour, confirms his party would campaign to remain in the EU should there be a second Brexit referendum under a Conservative government.

Mr Green affirms: “Although Mr Corbyn has still not confirmed what his party would do with Brexit should he become British Prime Minister, there seems to be a gradual transition towards Labour becoming an out-and-out Remain party.

“This will prove to be a popular step in the right direction for huge swathes of the UK electorate.  As such, Mr Corbyn’s chance of sweeping into government in the – likely – event of a general election is greater.”

This, says the deVere CEO, will put wealthy Britons ‘on notice.’

In May, he noted: “Since the beginning of the year a large and growing number of clients are telling our advisers that for their wealth, they fear the damaging impact of a Jeremy Corbyn-led government more than Brexit.

“Should the Brexit turmoil continue, and the Conservatives keep losing ground to Corbyn’s Labour, it can be reasonably expected that a considerable amount of our clients will move their assets outside of the UK.”

Now, this trend will pick up pace.

He says: “Following Jeremy Corbyn’s apparent shift towards Labour becoming a full-blown Remain party – and therefore the perception that he is now more likely to secure the keys to Number 10 – an increasing number of high net worth clients will seek to Corbyn-proof their finances.

“There are real concerns from these individuals that a Corbyn-led government would increase inheritance taxes, income taxes, stamp duty and capital gains taxes, potentially even roll out capital controls, and slash other areas, such as pensions tax relief.

“To counteract the damaging effects of these policies on their wealth, I believe that over the next few months, more and more of them will be actively considering established, legitimate overseas opportunities to create, build, and importantly, protect their wealth.”

Mr Green concludes: “Rightly or wrongly, Mr Corbyn is seen as a bigger threat to high net worth individuals’ wealth and the UK’s economic outlook than even Brexit.

“And they can be expected to seek alternatives in greater and greater numbers as his shifts towards Remain develop.”

About:

deVere Group is one of the world’s largest independent advisors of specialist global financial solutions to international, local mass affluent, and high-net-worth clients.  It has a network of more than 70 offices across the world, over 80,000 clients and $12bn under advisement.

 

Forex Technical Analysis & Forecast 10.07.2019 (EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDCHF, USDJPY, AUDUSD, USDRUB, GOLD, BRENT)

Article By RoboForex.com

EURUSD, “Euro vs US Dollar”

After finishing another descending structure, EURUSD has completed the ascending impulse along with the correction, thus forming a new consolidation range between 1.1213 and 1.1199. If later the price breaks the range to the downside, the instrument may continue trading downwards to reach 1.1181; if to the upside – start a new correction with the target at 1.1239.

EURUSD
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

GBPUSD, “Great Britain Pound vs US Dollar”

GBPUSD has reached the downside target; right now, it is consolidating near the lows. Possibly, the pair may expand the range towards 1.2430 and then grow to reach 1.2475. If later the price breaks this range to the upside, the instrument may be corrected towards 1.2615; if to the downside – resume trading inside the downtrend with the target at 1.2413.

GBPUSD
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

USDCHF, “US Dollar vs Swiss Franc”

USDCHF is consolidating around 0.9922. If later the price breaks this range to the upside, the instrument may resume trading inside the uptrend towards 0.9999; if to the downside – start another correction with the target at 0.9850.

USDCHF
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

USDJPY, “US Dollar vs Japanese Yen”

USDJPY is still consolidating around 108.85. Possibly, today the pair may form one more ascending structure to reach 109.05 and then start a new decline with the target at 108.55.

USDJPY
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

AUDUSD, “Australian Dollar vs US Dollar”

AUDUSD has finished the downside target; right now, it is consolidating around 0.6930. If later the price breaks this range to the downside, the instrument may resume trading inside the downtrend with the short-term target at 0.6868; if to the upside – start another to reach 0.6960.

AUDUSD
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

USDRUB, “US Dollar vs Russian Ruble”

USDRUB is still consolidating around 63.43 without any particular direction. Today, the pair may break the range to the upside to reach the short-term target at 64.06 and then form a new descending structure to return to 63.43. Later, the market may start a new growth towards 64.40 and then continue trading downwards with the target at 60.00.

USDRUB
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

XAUUSD, “Gold vs US Dollar”

Gold is consolidating around 1390.30. Possibly, today the pair may form a new descending structure with the first target at 1372.50 and then start another growth to test 1405.20 from below. After that, the instrument may resume trading inside the downtrend with the short-term target at 1350.00.

GOLD
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

BRENT

Brent is trading to break 64.90 upwards. Possibly, the pair may grow with the short-term target at 66.70 and then start a new correction towards 65.00. Later, the market may continue trading upwards with the first target at 67.50.

BRENT
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

Article By RoboForex.com

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex LP bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Fibonacci Retracements Analysis 10.07.2019 (GBPUSD, EURJPY)

Article By RoboForex.com

GBPUSD, “Great Britain Pound vs US Dollar”

As we can see in the H4 chart, the current downtrend is moving towards the long-term low at 1.2395. However, the key targets are inside the post-correctional extension area between 138.2% and 161.8% fibo at 1.2402 and 1.2335 respectively. The resistance is the current fractal high at 1.2784.

GBPUSD_H4
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

In the H1 chart, the pair is trading downwards. At the same time, there is a convergence on MACD, which indicates a new pullback after the price reaches its closest target at 1.2402. The targets of this pullback may be 23.6%, 38.2%, and 50.0% fibo at 1.2492, 1.2548, and 1.2593).

GBPUSD_H1
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

EURJPY, “Euro vs. Japanese Yen”

As we can see in the H4 chart, the correction continues. There is a possibility that the price may start a new correctional uptrend towards 50.0% fibo at 123.80, but this possibility is very unlikely. According to the main scenario, the instrument may fall to break the low at 120.78 and then mid-term 76.0% fibo at 120.25.

EURJPY_H4
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

In the H1 chart, the pair completed the descending wave and started a new correction, which has already reached 38.2% fibo. Later, the correction may reach 50.0% at 122.34. After completing it, the instrument may start a new descending wave towards the local low at 121.31 and the key one at 120.78.

EURJPY_H1

Article By RoboForex.com

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex LP bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.