US 10-Year Treasury Note Speculators edged bearish bets higher for 2nd week

August 17, 2014

By CountingPips.com

Weekly CFTC COT Net Speculator Report | 10 Year US Treasury Note




Large Speculator bearish positions gain for 2nd week

10 Year Treasuries:  Large futures market traders and speculators edged their net bearish bets higher in the 10-year treasury note futures last week to show a second week of bearish bet advances, according to the latest Commitment of Traders (COT) data released by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) on Friday.

The non-commercial futures contracts of the 10-year treasury notes, primarily traded by large speculators and hedge funds, totaled a net position of -50,180 contracts in the data reported for August 12th. This was a change of -5,049 net contracts from the previous week’s total of just -45,131  net contracts that was recorded on August 5th.

For the week, long positions in 10 Year futures rose by 9,547 contracts while the short positions increased by 14,596 contracts to register the overall net change of -5,049 contracts on the week.


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Non-commercial net positions are at their most bearish level since July 15th when 10-Year note positions totaled -53,626 contracts. Overall, the 10-year treasury note non-commercial positions have continuously remained on the bearish side since July 30 2013.

Over the weekly reporting time-frame, from Tuesday August 5th to Tuesday August 12th, the yield on the 10-Year treasury note declined from 2.49 percent to 2.46 percent, according to data from the United States Treasury Department.

 

Last 6 Weeks of Large Trader Non-Commercial Positions

Date Open Interest Long Specs Short Specs Net Large Specs Weekly Change 10 Year Yield
07/08/2014 2686230 376657 473429 -96772 -27414 2.58
07/15/2014 2625979 425550 479176 -53626 43146 2.56
07/22/2014 2723060 467442 505601 -38159 15467 2.48
07/29/2014 2764504 473286 479092 -5806 32353 2.47
08/05/2014 2814975 452910 498041 -45131 -39325 2.49
08/12/2014 2844443 462457 512637 -50180 -5049 2.46



*COT Report: The weekly commitment of traders report summarizes the total trader positions for open contracts in the futures trading markets. The CFTC categorizes trader positions according to commercial hedgers (traders who use futures contracts for hedging as part of the business), non-commercials (large traders who speculate to realize trading profits) and nonreportable traders (usually small traders/speculators). Find CFTC criteria here: (http://www.cftc.gov/MarketReports/CommitmentsofTraders/ExplanatoryNotes/index.htm).




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