{"id":9997,"date":"2010-06-07T08:39:00","date_gmt":"2010-06-07T12:39:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/countingpips.com\/fx\/?p=9997"},"modified":"2010-06-07T08:39:00","modified_gmt":"2010-06-07T12:39:00","slug":"the-aussie-took-a-bearish-turn-june-7-2010","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/2010\/06\/07\/the-aussie-took-a-bearish-turn-june-7-2010\/","title":{"rendered":"The Aussie Took a Bearish Turn &#8211; June 7, 2010"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/img412.imageshack.us\/img412\/1135\/060710audusd.png\" alt=\"AUDUSD june 7, aussie june 7, australian dollar june 7, rising wedge breakdown\" width=\"506\" height=\"287\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Last Friday, I asked the question in my <a href=\"http:\/\/www.laidtrades.com\/2010\/06\/04\/to-short-or-not-to-short-the-aussie-june-4-2010\/\">blog<\/a> whether to buy or sell the Australian dollar. There, I detailed the  several bearish technical and fundamental signals that I saw. At that  time, the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.google.com\/finance?q=audusd\">AUDUSD<\/a> pair had  rallied all the way up to 0.8500 after marking a new 2010 low at 0.80669  last May 25. During the course of its rebound, however, I noticed that  it was forming a rising wedge which was again a bearish pattern. Note  also that the pair was having a hard time moving past 0.8500. At one  point, it was able to reach 0.85514 but then it weakened soon afterward.  Incidentally, this recent high was perfectly in line with the 38.2%  Fibonacci retracement level of the latest down wave, making the 0.8500  region a tougher hurdle to scale. The unfortunate (well, at least for  the Aussie bulls\u2019 perspective) happened last Friday when the AUDUSD  finally broke down from the rising wedge formation.<\/p>\n<p>Now, with the stochastics far from being oversold, the Aussie still  has a lot of space to cover below. A break of this year\u2019s low at 0.80669  could send it somewhere above 0.7700 which is the minimum downside  target given its breakdown from a massive double top formation last May  18.<\/p>\n<p>The breakdown in the Australian dollar was due to the sovereign  default scare by Hungary and the weak non-farm employment change in the  US in May. Payrolls in the US only increased by 431,000 last month  against the 521,000 projection. This result further intensified the fear  that was brought about by Hungary. In a statement made by Hungarian  official, they said the country\u2019s fiscal difficulty was grave and that a  default was very much a possibility. This, of course, led the investors  to sell-off the higher yielding currencies like the AUD in exchange for  the safer USD and JPY.<\/p>\n<p>In my other post today, I noted that the non-dollar currencies or the  higher yielding currencies could open up weak since the Asian market  has yet to price in last Friday\u2019s events. Given the gravity of the  situation in Hungary and the weight of the NFP report, which by the way  is the mother of all economic reports, the AUDUSD pair could even gap  down to begin this week\u2019s trading. In the mean time, on deck today is  the May ANZ job advertisements. The account fell by 1.2% last month.  Though, a little gain is seen this time around. However, an unexpected  decline here could further dampen the investors\u2019 confidence on the AUD. A  rise, on the one hand, could slow down the currencies present slide.<\/p>\n<p>More on <strong><a href=\"http:\/\/www.laidtrades.com\/\">LaidTrades.com<\/a><\/strong> &#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Last Friday, I asked the question in my blog whether to buy or sell the Australian dollar. There, I detailed the several bearish technical and fundamental signals that I saw. At that time, the AUDUSD pair had rallied all the way up to 0.8500 after marking a new 2010 low at 0.80669 last May 25. &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/2010\/06\/07\/the-aussie-took-a-bearish-turn-june-7-2010\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;The Aussie Took a Bearish Turn &#8211; June 7, 2010&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-9997","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9997","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=9997"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9997\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=9997"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=9997"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=9997"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}