{"id":27176,"date":"2012-02-06T12:00:27","date_gmt":"2012-02-06T17:00:27","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/countingpips.com\/fx\/2012\/02\/06\/ma-mania-smelts-the-iron-ore-industry\/"},"modified":"2012-02-06T12:00:27","modified_gmt":"2012-02-06T17:00:27","slug":"ma-mania-smelts-the-iron-ore-industry","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/2012\/02\/06\/ma-mania-smelts-the-iron-ore-industry\/","title":{"rendered":"M&#038;A Mania Smelts the Iron Ore Industry"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-27055\" title=\"M&amp;A Mania Smelts the Iron Ore Industry\" src=\"http:\/\/www.investmentu.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/02\/iron-ore-industry-ma.jpg\" alt=\"Iron Ore Industry M&amp;A\" width=\"600\" height=\"188\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Last Thursday, Swiss miner\u00a0<strong>Xstrata<\/strong>\u00a0(LSE: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.google.com\/finance?q=XTA\" rel=\"nofollow\">XTA<\/a>) and commodities trader\u00a0<strong>Glencore<\/strong>\u00a0(LSE: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.google.com\/finance?q=GLEN\">GLEN<\/a>) announced a potential blockbuster merger that would shake up a few of mining&#8217;s biggest industries.<\/p>\n<p>According to\u00a0<em>Reuters<\/em>, the deal is set to total $80 billion. And the newly combined firms &#8220;would rank as the world&#8217;s largest thermal coal exporter, the largest zinc producer and third-largest copper miner\u2026&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Many analysts are already predicting a jump in the price of coal, copper and zinc in the coming weeks.<\/p>\n<p>But the all-share merger would also disrupt another big mining industry\u2026 iron ore. And investors will want to pay close attention.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>Iron Ore Equals Big Profits<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Over the past 10 years, iron ore has had a run <a title=\"Why the Gold Slump is Not Over\" href=\"http:\/\/www.investmentu.com\/2012\/January\/why-gold-slump-not-over.html\">even gold can&#8217;t touch<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>From August 2001 to August 2011, prices jumped 1,266%. Gold jumped 566% comparably.<\/p>\n<p>Today, about 70% of iron ore traded in the world is accounted for by three companies \u2013\u00a0<strong>BHP Billiton<\/strong>\u00a0(NYSE: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.google.com\/finance?q=BHP\" rel=\"nofollow\">BHP<\/a>),\u00a0<strong>Vale<\/strong>\u00a0(NYSE: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.google.com\/finance?q=VALE\" rel=\"nofollow\">VALE<\/a>) and\u00a0<strong>Rio Tinto<\/strong>\u00a0(NYSE: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.google.com\/finance?q=RIO\" rel=\"nofollow\">RIO<\/a>). And they&#8217;re raking in massive profits.<\/p>\n<p><em>Reuters\u00a0<\/em>reports, &#8220;Iron ore sells for around $140 per tonne to China\u2026 and only costs about $20 to $30 per tonne to mine.&#8221; China&#8217;s steelmakers aren&#8217;t very happy about paying such high prices. But since October 2011, they&#8217;ve had a little bit of a reprieve.<\/p>\n<p>The &#8220;big three&#8221; have flooded the market with iron ore supplies, driving the price lower, to around $120.<\/p>\n<p>As mining.com explains, the iron ore&#8217;s big players are &#8220;concentrating on building market share rather than maximizing prices. This way the giants drive high-cost producers out of the business.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>If Glencore and Xstrata don&#8217;t want to get left out in the rain, they should make this merger happen.<\/p>\n<p>And there are two main reasons it&#8217;s more likely to happen than not.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>Glencore and Xstrata Make Sense<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>First, Glencore already owns 34% of Xstrata. So both companies already understand the risks and advantages this merger carries. And it should make it that much easier for them to agree on a final price.<\/p>\n<p>Second, Xstrata has been trying to gain a stake in the <a title=\"The Iron Ore Market: A New Pricing System Ushers In The End of an Era\" href=\"http:\/\/www.investmentu.com\/2010\/April\/the-iron-ore-market.html\">iron ore industry<\/a> for years. In 2009, the company attempted to purchase\u00a0<strong>Anglo American<\/strong>\u00a0(LSE: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.google.com\/finance?q=AAL\" rel=\"nofollow\">AAL<\/a>). The deal would have made Xstrata the fifth-most-profitable company in the iron ore market. But talks fizzled and the deal fell through.<\/p>\n<p>Now the proposed merger between Glencore and Xstrata has reignited speculation of another <a title=\"How to Find and Profit from Takeover Targets\" href=\"http:\/\/www.investmentu.com\/investment-research\/profit-from-takeover-targets.html\">takeover attempt<\/a> coming for Anglo American, the world&#8217;s fourth-largest iron ore producer.<\/p>\n<p>A few other companies also stand to be bought up if a deal is reached, as well.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>Iron Ore M&amp;A Heating Up<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p><strong>First Quantum Minerals<\/strong>\u00a0(LSE: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.google.com\/finance?q=FQM\" rel=\"nofollow\">FQM<\/a>),\u00a0<strong>Fortescue Metals Group<\/strong>\u00a0(PINK: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.google.com\/finance?q=FSUMF\" rel=\"nofollow\">FSUMF<\/a>) and\u00a0<strong>Freeport McMoRan Copper &amp; Gold<\/strong>\u00a0(NYSE: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.google.com\/finance?q=FCX\" rel=\"nofollow\">FCX<\/a>) are also being seen as potential targets.<\/p>\n<p>But Freeport may also be too expensive for Xstrata and Glencore and could end up as more of a competitor than potential takeover.<\/p>\n<p>Only time will tell. But this is one development that should begin unfolding in just the next few weeks.<\/p>\n<p>Good investing,<\/p>\n<p>Mike Kapsch<\/p>\n<div>\n<a href=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/InvestmentU?a=1wLyLAc88WA:kQIqZIEPsqU:yIl2AUoC8zA\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/InvestmentU?d=yIl2AUoC8zA\" border=\"0\"><\/img><\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/InvestmentU?a=1wLyLAc88WA:kQIqZIEPsqU:V_sGLiPBpWU\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/InvestmentU?i=1wLyLAc88WA:kQIqZIEPsqU:V_sGLiPBpWU\" border=\"0\"><\/img><\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/InvestmentU?a=1wLyLAc88WA:kQIqZIEPsqU:qj6IDK7rITs\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/InvestmentU?d=qj6IDK7rITs\" border=\"0\"><\/img><\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/InvestmentU?a=1wLyLAc88WA:kQIqZIEPsqU:gIN9vFwOqvQ\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/InvestmentU?i=1wLyLAc88WA:kQIqZIEPsqU:gIN9vFwOqvQ\" border=\"0\"><\/img><\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/InvestmentU?a=1wLyLAc88WA:kQIqZIEPsqU:F7zBnMyn0Lo\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/InvestmentU?i=1wLyLAc88WA:kQIqZIEPsqU:F7zBnMyn0Lo\" border=\"0\"><\/img><\/a>\n<\/div>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~r\/InvestmentU\/~4\/1wLyLAc88WA\" height=\"1\" width=\"1\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Article by <a href=\"http:\/\/www.investmentu.com\/\" target=\"_blank\">Investment U<\/a> <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Last Thursday, Swiss miner\u00a0Xstrata\u00a0(LSE: XTA) and commodities trader\u00a0Glencore\u00a0(LSE: GLEN) announced a potential blockbuster merger that would shake up a few of mining&#8217;s biggest industries. According to\u00a0Reuters, the deal is set to total $80 billion. And the newly combined firms &#8220;would rank as the world&#8217;s largest thermal coal exporter, the largest zinc producer and third-largest copper &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/2012\/02\/06\/ma-mania-smelts-the-iron-ore-industry\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;M&#038;A Mania Smelts the Iron Ore Industry&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-27176","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27176","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=27176"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27176\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=27176"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=27176"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=27176"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}