{"id":27042,"date":"2012-02-01T11:47:34","date_gmt":"2012-02-01T16:47:34","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/countingpips.com\/fx\/2012\/02\/01\/are-dividend-stocks-overvalued\/"},"modified":"2012-02-01T11:47:34","modified_gmt":"2012-02-01T16:47:34","slug":"are-dividend-stocks-overvalued","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/2012\/02\/01\/are-dividend-stocks-overvalued\/","title":{"rendered":"Are Dividend Stocks Overvalued?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>What we saw at the end of 2011 was an environment where an investor&#8217;s sound strategy began to win out over the masses\u2026<\/p>\n<p>Market players began to disregard all the premature &#8220;good news&#8221; coming from Europe and started making better investment decisions.<\/p>\n<p>At the beginning, they were bullish on any positive news, and then funneled all their money into Treasuries &#8211; with a return of around 2% \u2013 when that &#8220;good news&#8221; turned out to be less than credible.<\/p>\n<p>As we have said here many times, &#8220;Save yourself the heart attack of this rollercoaster ride. This is a time when trusted strategies can deliver peace of mind.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>And so with all the volatility, the clear strategy was to reduce risk while gaining the best possible return. For this reason, <a title=\"What Albert Einstein Would Invest in Today\" href=\"http:\/\/www.investmentu.com\/2011\/September\/dividend-investing-with-albert-einstein.html\">dividend-paying stocks<\/a> have been attracting investors of all types for their high yields and market-trumping returns. The yields of dividend-payers have dwarfed those of <a title=\"The U.S. Treasuries Bubble and the Horrors of Deflation\" href=\"http:\/\/www.investmentu.com\/2010\/September\/the-united-states-treasuries-bubble.html\">10-year Treasuries<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>But when everyone is preaching the same game plan, there can be some drawbacks. So we must ask: With all their newfound popularity, have dividend paying stocks become too pricey?<\/p>\n<p><strong>Here are three important factors to look at:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ol>\n<li>Investors poured $31.3 billion into mutual funds and exchange-traded funds that invest in dividend payers last year, nearly five times the amount in 2010, according to researcher Lipper Inc.<\/li>\n<li>All equity funds and ETFs lost around $33.5 billion.<\/li>\n<li>Stocks, in the Standard &amp; Poor&#8217;s 500 Index, that pay dividends posted a 1.4% total return in 2011, while non-payers fell 7.6%.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p>The flood of funds into dividend payers is making their stocks more expensive.<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s how it usually happened over the years; dividend stocks trade at lower price-to-earnings ratios, with the expectation that they&#8217;ll grow less quickly than other stocks.<\/p>\n<p>This still remains true. However, the gap between payers and non-payers is shrinking. If you look at the end of 2010, the average price-to-earnings ratio of non-payers in the S&amp;P 500 was 37% higher than the average P\/E for payers; presently it&#8217;s at 33%.<\/p>\n<p>This recent phenomena has been caused by the introduction of the short-term investor into the <a title=\"Beat Inflation and a Down Market With Dividends\" href=\"http:\/\/www.investmentu.com\/2011\/September\/dividend-stocks-beat-inflation.html\">dividend market<\/a> and the drawback of the higher prices could mean that they may not be able to duplicate last year&#8217;s strong performance. The fact that the sector is &#8220;en vogue&#8221; has also seen some yields push down.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Don&#8217;t Fret Long-Term Investors<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>If you&#8217;re investing or thinking about investing in dividend-payers, you have to keep this a long-term strategy because that will be the most beneficial play.<\/p>\n<p>Because they tend to be less volatile than non-payers, they tend to lag in a bull market, but hold up better when markets falter, says Howard Silverblatt, the senior index analyst at Standard &amp; Poor&#8217;s. &#8220;Basically, the dividend acts as an anchor holding the stock in place,&#8221; he says.<\/p>\n<p>And because many companies increased their dividends over the course of 2011, dividend investors will be getting more income through 2012. &#8220;Unless companies cut [their dividends], you almost have to get a double-digit increase this year,&#8221; Silverblatt says.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Don&#8217;t Overpay<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Investors should focus on companies that are <span>still growing their dividends and not chase yields<\/span>. &#8220;Dividend growers are great <a title=\"Beat Inflation and a Down Market With Dividends\" href=\"http:\/\/www.investmentu.com\/2011\/September\/dividend-stocks-beat-inflation.html\">inflation protection<\/a> because that yield is increasing every year,&#8221; says Steven Roge, a portfolio manager at R.W. Roge &amp; Company. And if the yield is rising, he says the underlying fundamentals of the company are likely improving, too.<\/p>\n<p>Great things to keep in mind\u2026<\/p>\n<p>For more information on dividend stocks, take a look at our <a href=\"http:\/\/www.investmentu.com\/sm_dividends.html\">dividend investing site map<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Good Investing,<\/p>\n<p>Jason Jenkins<\/p>\n<div>\n<a href=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/InvestmentU?a=3Dt8Sw1I9dM:kQIqZIEPsqU:yIl2AUoC8zA\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/InvestmentU?d=yIl2AUoC8zA\" border=\"0\"><\/img><\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/InvestmentU?a=3Dt8Sw1I9dM:kQIqZIEPsqU:V_sGLiPBpWU\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/InvestmentU?i=3Dt8Sw1I9dM:kQIqZIEPsqU:V_sGLiPBpWU\" border=\"0\"><\/img><\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/InvestmentU?a=3Dt8Sw1I9dM:kQIqZIEPsqU:qj6IDK7rITs\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/InvestmentU?d=qj6IDK7rITs\" border=\"0\"><\/img><\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/InvestmentU?a=3Dt8Sw1I9dM:kQIqZIEPsqU:gIN9vFwOqvQ\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/InvestmentU?i=3Dt8Sw1I9dM:kQIqZIEPsqU:gIN9vFwOqvQ\" border=\"0\"><\/img><\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/InvestmentU?a=3Dt8Sw1I9dM:kQIqZIEPsqU:F7zBnMyn0Lo\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/InvestmentU?i=3Dt8Sw1I9dM:kQIqZIEPsqU:F7zBnMyn0Lo\" border=\"0\"><\/img><\/a>\n<\/div>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~r\/InvestmentU\/~4\/3Dt8Sw1I9dM\" height=\"1\" width=\"1\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Article by <a href=\"http:\/\/www.investmentu.com\/\" target=\"_blank\">Investment U<\/a> <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>What we saw at the end of 2011 was an environment where an investor&#8217;s sound strategy began to win out over the masses\u2026 Market players began to disregard all the premature &#8220;good news&#8221; coming from Europe and started making better investment decisions. At the beginning, they were bullish on any positive news, and then funneled &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/2012\/02\/01\/are-dividend-stocks-overvalued\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;Are Dividend Stocks Overvalued?&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-27042","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27042","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=27042"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27042\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=27042"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=27042"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=27042"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}