{"id":26967,"date":"2012-01-30T00:52:18","date_gmt":"2012-01-30T05:52:18","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/countingpips.com\/fx\/2012\/01\/30\/liquidity-liquor-and-the-battle-ahead\/"},"modified":"2012-01-30T00:52:18","modified_gmt":"2012-01-30T05:52:18","slug":"liquidity-liquor-and-the-battle-ahead","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/2012\/01\/30\/liquidity-liquor-and-the-battle-ahead\/","title":{"rendered":"Liquidity Liquor and the Battle Ahead"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>By MoneyMorning.com.au<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Equity markets have been charging ahead for a few weeks. Not just here in the U.S., either. <\/p>\n<p>They&#8217;ve been rising in Europe too. Even China&#8217;s Shanghai Composite, after falling 22% last year, has been percolating higher.<\/p>\n<p>Thanks to the ECB filling Europe&#8217;s punchbowl, last year&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/www.moneymorning.com.au\/20120104\/the-sovereign-debt-cycle-continues.html\">sovereign debt<\/a> hangover has been mellowed by some 100-proof &#8220;hair-of-the-dog&#8221; <strong>liquidity<\/strong> liquor&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>And it feels <u>good<\/u>.<\/p>\n<p><span><\/span><\/p>\n<p>This party atmosphere is infectious!<\/p>\n<p>After the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.moneymorning.com.au\/20111121\/why-the-european-central-bank-manipulates-the-interest-rate.html\">European Central Bank<\/a> (ECB) poured some $600 billion (and counting) into the party bowl and let teetering European banks ladle themselves out as much as they could stomach, the Federal Reserve signaled that <em>it<\/em> wanted to throw in some free &#8220;shots,&#8221; in the form of more quantitative easing or some other easy money contribution, to make sure Europe isn&#8217;t the only party house on the block.<\/p>\n<p>And now the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.moneymorning.com.au\/20111123\/imf-international-mockery-fund.html\">International Monetary Fund<\/a> (IMF) &#8211; the usually stodgy party-poopers of fiscal discipline fame &#8211; are trying to get themselves invited!<\/p>\n<p>They know they&#8217;re not usually welcome while any economic bacchanal is raging, so they&#8217;re asking for donations of $500 billion to $600 billion (on top of the $400 billion in commitments they&#8217;re already packing), so they can man the kegs and stills and pump in whatever juice is necessary to make the budding soiree a true world party.<\/p>\n<p>It&#8217;s amazing how <em>giddy<\/em> easy money makes everyone feel.<\/p>\n<p>How else could we go from fearing the next &#8220;Lehman moment&#8221; to feeling like there&#8217;s enough money and time for over-indebted countries and increasingly strung-out banks to heal themselves?<\/p>\n<p>Don&#8217;t get me wrong: I love a good party. I&#8217;ll stay until the music stops, or until the punchbowl is empty. I just hope I hear the music stop before everyone realises the punchbowl&#8217;s been cracked. <\/p>\n<p>There&#8217;s no reason not to be participating in this <a href=\"http:\/\/www.moneymorning.com.au\/20120116\/the-markets-rally-like-its-2008.html\">market rally<\/a>. And there&#8217;s no reason not to be aware of what&#8217;s driving it.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Shah Gilani<br \/>\nCapital Waves Strategist, Money Morning (USA)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><em>Publisher&#8217;s Note:<\/em> This article originally appeared in <a href=\"http:\/\/moneymorning.com\/2012\/01\/26\/liquidity-liquor-and-the-battle-ahead\/\" target=\"_blank\">Money Morning (USA)<\/a><\/p>\n<p><strong><em>From the Archives&#8230;<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.moneymorning.com.au\/20120127\/is-there-a-reason-youre-not-using-the-9010-strategy.html\" target=\"_blank\">Is There a Reason You&#8217;re Not Using the 90\/10 Strategy?<\/a><br \/>\n2012-01-27 &#8211; Kris Sayce<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.moneymorning.com.au\/20120126\/in-the-market-or-under-the-mattress.html\" target=\"_blank\">In the Market or Under the Mattress?<\/a><br \/>\n2012-01-26 &#8211; Keith Fitz-Gerald<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.moneymorning.com.au\/20120125\/what-if-the-australian-dollar-was-a-stock.html\" target=\"_blank\">What if the Australian Dollar Was a Stock?<\/a><br \/>\n2012-01-25 &#8211; Kris Sayce<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.moneymorning.com.au\/20120124\/why-tungsten-and-other-strategic-metals-could-prove-good-investments.html\" target=\"_blank\">Why Tungsten and Other Strategic Metals Could Prove Good Investments<\/a><br \/>\n2012-01-24 &#8211; Dr. Alex Cowie<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.moneymorning.com.au\/20120123\/will-these-commodities-help-you-claim-the-best-investment-gains-of-2012.html\" target=\"_blank\">Will These Commodities Help You Claim The Best Investment Gains Of 2012?<\/a><br \/>\n2012-01-23 &#8211; Dr. Alex Cowie<\/p>\n<div>\n<a href=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/MoneyMorningAustralia?a=LTrxWwu3tDg:SoWPZZvWtqw:yIl2AUoC8zA\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/MoneyMorningAustralia?d=yIl2AUoC8zA\" border=\"0\"><\/img><\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/MoneyMorningAustralia?a=LTrxWwu3tDg:SoWPZZvWtqw:V_sGLiPBpWU\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/MoneyMorningAustralia?i=LTrxWwu3tDg:SoWPZZvWtqw:V_sGLiPBpWU\" border=\"0\"><\/img><\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/MoneyMorningAustralia?a=LTrxWwu3tDg:SoWPZZvWtqw:gIN9vFwOqvQ\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/MoneyMorningAustralia?i=LTrxWwu3tDg:SoWPZZvWtqw:gIN9vFwOqvQ\" border=\"0\"><\/img><\/a>\n<\/div>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~r\/MoneyMorningAustralia\/~4\/LTrxWwu3tDg\" height=\"1\" width=\"1\" \/><br \/>\n<a href=\"http:\/\/feedproxy.google.com\/~r\/MoneyMorningAustralia\/~3\/LTrxWwu3tDg\/liquidity-liquor-and-the-battle-ahead.html\" target=\"_blank\">Liquidity Liquor and the Battle Ahead <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>By MoneyMorning.com.au Equity markets have been charging ahead for a few weeks. Not just here in the U.S., either. They&#8217;ve been rising in Europe too. Even China&#8217;s Shanghai Composite, after falling 22% last year, has been percolating higher. Thanks to the ECB filling Europe&#8217;s punchbowl, last year&#8217;s sovereign debt hangover has been mellowed by some &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/2012\/01\/30\/liquidity-liquor-and-the-battle-ahead\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;Liquidity Liquor and the Battle Ahead&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-26967","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/26967","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=26967"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/26967\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=26967"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=26967"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=26967"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}