{"id":26751,"date":"2012-01-20T12:34:55","date_gmt":"2012-01-20T17:34:55","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/countingpips.com\/fx\/2012\/01\/20\/patent-cliff-creates-huge-ma-demand-in-little-pharma\/"},"modified":"2012-01-20T12:34:55","modified_gmt":"2012-01-20T17:34:55","slug":"patent-cliff-creates-huge-ma-demand-in-little-pharma","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/2012\/01\/20\/patent-cliff-creates-huge-ma-demand-in-little-pharma\/","title":{"rendered":"Patent Cliff Creates Huge M&#038;A Demand in Little Pharma"},"content":{"rendered":"<h1><a href=\"http:\/\/www.investmentu.com\/2012\/January\/little-pharma-ma.html\">Patent Cliff Creates Huge M&amp;A Demand in Little Pharma<\/a><\/h1>\n<p>by <a title=\"Mike Kapsch Archives\" href=\"http:\/\/www.investmentu.com\/investment-advice\/mike-kapsch\" target=\"_blank\">Mike Kapsch<\/a>, <em>Investment U<\/em> Research<br \/>\nFriday, January 20, 2012<\/p>\n<p>Believe it or not, over the past 14 years, Lipitor has earned <strong>Pfizer<\/strong> (NYSE: <a title=\"View more info about Pfizer on Google Finance\" href=\"http:\/\/www.google.com\/finance?cid=664730\">PFE<\/a>) close to an astounding $154 billion. It has been deemed &#8220;the best selling drug in history.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Zyprexa, a drug used to treat schizophrenia, has helped <strong>Eli Lilly<\/strong> (NYSE: <a title=\"View more info about Eli Lilly on Google Finance\" href=\"http:\/\/www.google.com\/finance?q=NYSE%3ALLY\">LLY<\/a>) rake in nearly $65 billion.<\/p>\n<p>Levaquin, an antibiotic from <strong>Johnson and Johnson <\/strong>(NYSE: <a title=\"View more info about Johnson &amp; Johnson on Google Finance\" href=\"http:\/\/www.google.com\/finance?q=NYSE%3Ajnj\">JNJ<\/a>), has brought in just around $22 billion.<\/p>\n<p>But last year all three of these blockbuster drugs lost their patent protection, allowing other drug companies the chance to sell generic versions. And now, over the next year, big pharma firms stands to lose over $19 billion as more patents expire. By 2015, it&#8217;s estimated an additional $200 billion in sales is at risk of being lost.<\/p>\n<p>While this &#8220;patent Armageddon&#8221; is scary news for most <a title=\"Drug Companies: A Powerhouse of Profits\" href=\"http:\/\/www.investmentu.com\/2009\/May\/drug-companies-a-powerhouse-of-profits.html\">major drug companies<\/a>, it&#8217;s also creating a number of opportunities for investors to cash in&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><strong>Little Pharma Firms Are Ripe for the Taking<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Big drug companies are urgently looking to buy up smaller firms to fill in their revenue gaps. In fact, for the past two years, <a title=\"Big Pharma Has a Big Problem and Merger Mania is Heating Up\" href=\"http:\/\/www.investmentu.com\/2010\/July\/big-pharmas-merger-mania.html\">mergers and acquisitions<\/a> (M&amp;A) activity in the biotech, pharma and generics industries have hit record numbers. And this has pushed premiums for smaller drug companies way up.<\/p>\n<p>According to <em>Reuters<\/em>, the average takeover premium for <a title=\"Two Major Biotech Trends In 2012\" href=\"http:\/\/www.investmentu.com\/2012\/January\/two-things-you-need-to-know-about-biotech-in-2012.html\">biotechnology firms<\/a> alone are nearly double the average premium across all other industries.<\/p>\n<p>One investment banker even said, &#8220;&#8230;there is a panicky quality to deals as companies appear to be playing musical chairs and they are grabbing at things to avoid being left alone when the music stops.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Last year, Israeli generics firm <strong>Teva Pharmaceuticals <\/strong>(NYSE: <a title=\"View more info about Teva Pharmaceuticals on Google Finance\" href=\"http:\/\/www.google.com\/finance?q=NYSE%3ATEVA\">TEVA<\/a>) alone completed five takeovers totaling $13.5 billion. <strong>Gilead<\/strong><strong> Sciences <\/strong>(NYSE: <a title=\"Gilead Sciences\" href=\"http:\/\/www.google.com\/finance?q=PINK%3Agild\">GILD<\/a>)<strong> <\/strong>paid<strong> <\/strong>$11 billion, an 89% premium, to acquire <strong>Pharmasset<\/strong> (NYSE: <a title=\"Learn more about Pharmasset on Google Finance\" href=\"http:\/\/www.google.com\/finance?q=NYSE%3AVRUS\">VRUS<\/a>)<strong> <\/strong>in November. And <strong>Bristol-Myers Squibb <\/strong>(NYSE:<a title=\"Learn more about Bristol-Myers Squibb on Google Finance\" href=\"http:\/\/www.google.com\/finance?q=NASDAQ%3Abmy\">BMY<\/a>)<strong> <\/strong>picked up Inhibitex for $2.5 billion&#8230; a 163% premium.<\/p>\n<p>There&#8217;s no doubt these inflated prices will continue to be up for grabs over the next few years. And investors will want to take notice.<\/p>\n<p>So where are some places to sniff out the best M&amp;A deals?<\/p>\n<p><strong>The Lowdown on Little Pharma Takeovers<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>At the J.P. Morgan Healthcare Conference, which Senior Analyst Marc Lichtenfeld attended, Pfizer&#8217;s<strong> <\/strong>CEO Ian Read said the company is scoping out a number of small deals in China, India and Turkey.<\/p>\n<p><em>Reuters<\/em> says bankers and executives also agree that emerging markets are an ideal place to scour for <a title=\"Corporate Takeovers: \u201cOnce-In-A-Lifetime\u201d Investment Opportunities\" href=\"http:\/\/www.investmentu.com\/2009\/May\/corporate-takeovers.html\">potential takeovers<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>And according to Firecepharma.com, investors will most likely want to look for deals around the $2-$3 billion range. Companies like <strong>Roche <\/strong>(PINK: <a title=\"Learn more about Roche Holding Ltd. on Google Finance\" href=\"http:\/\/www.google.com\/finance?q=NYSE%3ARHHBY\">RHHBY<\/a>), <strong>Novartis <\/strong>(NYSE: <a title=\"Learn more about Novartis on Google Finance\" href=\"http:\/\/www.google.com\/finance?q=NASDAQ%3Anvs\">NVS<\/a>) and <strong>Sanofi <\/strong>(NYSE: <a title=\"Learn more about Sanofi on Google Finance\" href=\"http:\/\/www.google.com\/finance?q=NYSE%3ASNY\">SNY<\/a>) have all expressed interest in looking for deals in this range.<\/p>\n<p>Good Investing,<\/p>\n<p>Mike Kapsch<\/p>\n<div>\n<a href=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/InvestmentU?a=l6naIoiWqFg:MXwlJd95Lj8:yIl2AUoC8zA\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/InvestmentU?d=yIl2AUoC8zA\" border=\"0\"><\/img><\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/InvestmentU?a=l6naIoiWqFg:MXwlJd95Lj8:V_sGLiPBpWU\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/InvestmentU?i=l6naIoiWqFg:MXwlJd95Lj8:V_sGLiPBpWU\" border=\"0\"><\/img><\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/InvestmentU?a=l6naIoiWqFg:MXwlJd95Lj8:qj6IDK7rITs\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/InvestmentU?d=qj6IDK7rITs\" border=\"0\"><\/img><\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/InvestmentU?a=l6naIoiWqFg:MXwlJd95Lj8:gIN9vFwOqvQ\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/InvestmentU?i=l6naIoiWqFg:MXwlJd95Lj8:gIN9vFwOqvQ\" border=\"0\"><\/img><\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/InvestmentU?a=l6naIoiWqFg:MXwlJd95Lj8:F7zBnMyn0Lo\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/InvestmentU?i=l6naIoiWqFg:MXwlJd95Lj8:F7zBnMyn0Lo\" border=\"0\"><\/img><\/a>\n<\/div>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~r\/InvestmentU\/~4\/l6naIoiWqFg\" height=\"1\" width=\"1\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Article by <a href=\"http:\/\/www.investmentu.com\/\" target=\"_blank\">Investment U<\/a> <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Patent Cliff Creates Huge M&amp;A Demand in Little Pharma by Mike Kapsch, Investment U Research Friday, January 20, 2012 Believe it or not, over the past 14 years, Lipitor has earned Pfizer (NYSE: PFE) close to an astounding $154 billion. It has been deemed &#8220;the best selling drug in history.&#8221; Zyprexa, a drug used to &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/2012\/01\/20\/patent-cliff-creates-huge-ma-demand-in-little-pharma\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;Patent Cliff Creates Huge M&#038;A Demand in Little Pharma&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-26751","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/26751","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=26751"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/26751\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=26751"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=26751"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=26751"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}