{"id":23411,"date":"2011-08-25T07:15:54","date_gmt":"2011-08-25T11:15:54","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/countingpips.com\/fx\/?p=23411"},"modified":"2011-08-25T07:15:54","modified_gmt":"2011-08-25T11:15:54","slug":"gold-selloff-now-what","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/2011\/08\/25\/gold-selloff-now-what\/","title":{"rendered":"Gold SellOff &#8211; Now What?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>After reaching an all-time high well above $1,900 earlier this week, gold is now about $180 lower, just two days later.<\/p>\n<p>We have been saying more than once that we should expect these kind of volatile\u00a0moves in a parabolic end phase. The difficulty of parabolic moves, is to guess when it pops, and to\u00a0get a chair before the music stops playing, because WHEN it pops (it always does at some point), the move down is very violent, like we have seen over the last 2 days.<\/p>\n<p>As we can see in the chart below, Price tagged the 20 days Exponential Moving Average (20EMA)\u00a0yesterday, and held at the close. Next support would be the 20 days Simple Moving Average around $1,740, followed by the 50EMA at $1,662 and about $1,585, which is the lower bollinger band, the 100EMA and the April\/May high.<\/p>\n<p>The RSI should now hold above 50, in order to remain bullish.<br \/>\nThe MACD will most likely make a negative cross, but that doesn\u2019t necessarily mean that the uptrend is over.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/profitimes.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/08\/Gold3.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-5852 size-medium alignnone\" title=\"Gold\" src=\"http:\/\/profitimes.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/08\/Gold3-300x227.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"227\" \/><\/a><br \/>\n<em>Chart courtesy stockcharts.com<\/em><\/p>\n<p>If Price would hold around current levels (AT CLOSE), we might see the uptrend resume pretty soon, and then this move down was probably a move to shake out the weak hands, as sentiment was too bullish a couple of days ago, as can be seen in the following chart (courtesy sentimentrader.com):<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/profitimes.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/08\/Gold-Sentiment1.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-5854 size-medium alignnone\" title=\"Gold Sentiment\" src=\"http:\/\/profitimes.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/08\/Gold-Sentiment1-300x210.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"210\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>After two days of panic selling, we can expect sentiment to be headed in the other direction now.<\/p>\n<p>The fact that bothers me, is the lack of participation of the mining stocks in the recent rally.<br \/>\nWe have been saying this in several articles on our website,\u00a0i.e:<br \/>\n* <a href=\"http:\/\/profitimes.com\/free-articles\/back-to-the-future-gold-jpy-dax-paulson-crash\" target=\"_blank\">Back to the Future:\u00a0Gold, JPY, DAX, Paulson, Crash?!?<\/a><br \/>\n* <a href=\"http:\/\/profitimes.com\/free-articles\/huigold-vs-bank-of-america\" target=\"_blank\">HUI:GOLD vs Bank Of America<\/a><\/p>\n<p>One can argue that Gold mining stocks are severely undervalued (I agree, based on lower oil prices, and record high gold prices), but technical indicators don\u2019t look all that positive\u2026<\/p>\n<p>The Negative Divergence between the price of the HUI index and the RSI is also confirmed by a lower top for the MACD.<br \/>\nThe HUI index seems to be forming a Head &amp; Shoulders pattern.<br \/>\nThe last two times price pierced the upper bollinger band, it failed to hold these levels, and that meant the start of a severe correction.<br \/>\nWill this time be any different?<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/profitimes.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/08\/HUI.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-5853 size-medium alignnone\" title=\"HUI\" src=\"http:\/\/profitimes.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/08\/HUI-300x225.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"225\" \/><\/a><br \/>\n<em>Chart courtesy stockcharts.com<\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>***** You can now try out our services during <a href=\"http:\/\/profitimes.com\/membership-signup\" target=\"_blank\">5 days for only $5<\/a>. That is only $1 per day!<\/strong>\u00a0<strong>For more information, please visit the following Link:\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/profitimes.com\/membership-signup\" target=\"_blank\">$5 Trial<\/a>\u00a0*****<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Have a Profitable day,<\/p>\n<p>Willem Weytjens<br \/>\n<a href=\"http:\/\/www.profitimes.com\/\">www.profitimes.com<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>After reaching an all-time high well above $1,900 earlier this week, gold is now about $180 lower, just two days later. We have been saying more than once that we should expect these kind of volatile\u00a0moves in a parabolic end phase. The difficulty of parabolic moves, is to guess when it pops, and to\u00a0get a &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/2011\/08\/25\/gold-selloff-now-what\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;Gold SellOff &#8211; Now What?&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-23411","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23411","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=23411"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23411\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=23411"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=23411"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=23411"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}