{"id":22514,"date":"2011-07-21T12:28:40","date_gmt":"2011-07-21T16:28:40","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/countingpips.com\/fx\/?p=22514"},"modified":"2011-07-21T12:28:40","modified_gmt":"2011-07-21T16:28:40","slug":"should-you-invest-in-natural-gas-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/2011\/07\/21\/should-you-invest-in-natural-gas-2\/","title":{"rendered":"Should You Invest in Natural Gas?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"margin-top: 10.0pt; margin-right: 0in; margin-bottom: 10.0pt; margin-left: 0in; line-height: 18.0pt;\">Over the past week and more, we&#8217;ve been talking about crude oil, crude oil and crude oil.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 10.0pt; margin-right: 0in; margin-bottom: 10.0pt; margin-left: 0in; line-height: 18.0pt;\">And for good reason. Oil prices jumped above $97 a barrel in after-hours trading on Friday. This industry is so important &#8212; and so riddled with corruption and greed &#8212; that Sandy Franks and I wrote a book about it,&nbsp;<em><a title=\"Buy Barbarians of Oil\" href=\"http:\/\/www.taipanpublishinggroup.com\/tpg-misc\/pr\/barbarians-of-oil-promo-07-11-11.html\" target=\"_blank\">Barbarians of Oil<\/a><\/em>.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 10.0pt; margin-right: 0in; margin-bottom: 10.0pt; margin-left: 0in; line-height: 18.0pt;\">But while we&#8217;ve been talking about crude oil, natural gas has quietly crept back onto the investment scene. In fact, natural gas prices climbed six out of the past seven trading days.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 10.0pt; margin-right: 0in; margin-bottom: 10.0pt; margin-left: 0in; line-height: 18.0pt;\">So we&#8217;re asking, &#8220;Is natural gas a good investment right now?&#8221;<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 10.0pt; margin-right: 0in; margin-bottom: 10.0pt; margin-left: 0in; line-height: 18.0pt;\">There are certainly a lot of news stories that say yes&#8230; Most of them involve China.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 10.0pt; margin-right: 0in; margin-bottom: 10.0pt; margin-left: 0in; line-height: 18.0pt;\">China wants to double its methane gas production by 2015. This form of natural gas comes from coal beds, and<strong>PetroChina (PTR:NYSE)<\/strong>&nbsp;says the country has enough to meet 30% of its power needs.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 10.0pt; margin-right: 0in; margin-bottom: 10.0pt; margin-left: 0in; line-height: 18.0pt;\">But right now, China relies on&nbsp;<a title=\"24 Billion Barrels of Crude Oil -- Signposts From America's Energy Future\" href=\"http:\/\/www.taipanpublishinggroup.com\/tpg\/taipan-daily\/taipan-daily-071511.html\" target=\"_self\">crude oil<\/a>&nbsp;and coal for its power needs. That&#8217;s expensive and dangerous. China&#8217;s the second biggest user of oil in the world, with imports skyrocketing. In the coal industry, small, unregulated mines kill thousands of people every year.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 10.0pt; margin-right: 0in; margin-bottom: 10.0pt; margin-left: 0in; line-height: 18.0pt;\">That&#8217;s why China is desperate for natural gas.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 10.0pt; margin-right: 0in; margin-bottom: 10.0pt; margin-left: 0in; line-height: 18.0pt;\">The problem is, China fell short of its production target last year. It wanted to produce 10 billion cubic meters, but finished with only 8.6 billion.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 10.0pt; margin-right: 0in; margin-bottom: 10.0pt; margin-left: 0in; line-height: 18.0pt;\">There&#8217;s real doubt that China can meet its goal of producing 21 billion cubic meters a year by 2015. China needs international projects to add to the mix.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 10.0pt; margin-right: 0in; margin-bottom: 10.0pt; margin-left: 0in; line-height: 18.0pt;\">China is investing billions in&nbsp;natural gas.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 10.0pt; margin-right: 0in; margin-bottom: 10.0pt; margin-left: 0in; line-height: 18.0pt;\">According to David Hurd, oil and gas analyst for Deutsche Bank, China invested $10 billion in unconventional gas deals between August 2010 and February 2011. Things like shale gas&#8230;<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 10.0pt; margin-right: 0in; margin-bottom: 10.0pt; margin-left: 0in; line-height: 18.0pt;\">One of the biggest deals was with Canada&#8217;s&nbsp;<strong>Encana Corp. (ECA:NYSE)<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 10.0pt; margin-right: 0in; margin-bottom: 10.0pt; margin-left: 0in; line-height: 18.0pt;\">Here&#8217;s a little background.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 10.0pt; margin-right: 0in; margin-bottom: 10.0pt; margin-left: 0in; line-height: 18.0pt;\">In February 2011, PetroChina agreed to pay $5.4 billion for a 50% stake in natural gas deposits in Western Canada. These deposits are owned by Encana, and they are shale gas &#8212; the most difficult type of natural gas deposit to tap.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 10.0pt; margin-right: 0in; margin-bottom: 10.0pt; margin-left: 0in; line-height: 18.0pt;\">China was very interested in this deal because it wanted to learn better ways of extracting shale gas. It could then use these methods to tackle its coal-bed methane deposits.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 10.0pt; margin-right: 0in; margin-bottom: 10.0pt; margin-left: 0in; line-height: 18.0pt;\">It hooked up with the right company. Encana is considered one of the best in the business&#8230;<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 10.0pt; margin-right: 0in; margin-bottom: 10.0pt; margin-left: 0in; line-height: 18.0pt;\">But suddenly, on June 22, Encana announced the $5.4 billion deal was over. The two companies couldn&#8217;t agree on key points about the deposits. Encana is now looking for another company to partner with.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 10.0pt; margin-right: 0in; margin-bottom: 10.0pt; margin-left: 0in; line-height: 18.0pt;\">China has lost out on 255 million cubic feet of natural gas a day, or 7.22 million cubic meters. That deal would have boosted China&#8217;s natural gas production by 2.64 billion cubic meters a year&#8230; a jump of 30% over 2010&#8217;s production!<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 10.0pt; margin-right: 0in; margin-bottom: 10.0pt; margin-left: 0in; line-height: 18.0pt;\">But even though this massive deal fell through, there are still a lot of deals going on right now.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 10.0pt; margin-right: 0in; margin-bottom: 10.0pt; margin-left: 0in; line-height: 18.0pt;\">The latest news comes from&nbsp;<strong>Shell (RDS.A:NYSE)<\/strong>. Shell could partner up with China National Petroleum Corp. (PTR&#8217;s parent company), Korea Gas Corp., and&nbsp;<strong>Mitsubishi Corp. (MBI:XETRA MSBHY.PK)<\/strong>&nbsp;to build a liquefied natural gas (LNG) facility in British Columbia.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 10.0pt; margin-right: 0in; margin-bottom: 10.0pt; margin-left: 0in; line-height: 18.0pt;\">Shell has a pretty close relationship with China National Petroleum Corp. In November 2010, these companies signed an agreement for &#8220;integrated cooperation.&#8221; This would allow more collaboration between the two companies on oil and gas projects in Canada, and coal-bed methane project in China.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 10.0pt; margin-right: 0in; margin-bottom: 10.0pt; margin-left: 0in; line-height: 18.0pt;\">But that&#8217;s not all&#8230;<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 10.0pt; margin-right: 0in; margin-bottom: 10.0pt; margin-left: 0in; line-height: 18.0pt;\">Shell signed a &#8220;shareholders agreement&#8221; with China National Petroleum Corp. in late June. The agreement was for a 50-50 joint venture &#8220;meant to accelerate large-scale development of shale gas, tight gas and coal bed methane through the standardization and automation of drilling,&#8221; according to LNG World News.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 10.0pt; margin-right: 0in; margin-bottom: 10.0pt; margin-left: 0in; line-height: 18.0pt;\">In all, deals between China and Western Canada could get even hotter, and the rest of Asia isn&#8217;t about to be left out in the cold.&nbsp;<strong>Progress Energy Resources Corp. (PRQ:TSX)<\/strong>&nbsp;inked a $1.07 billion deal with Malaysia&#8217;s Petronas.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 10.0pt; margin-right: 0in; margin-bottom: 10.0pt; margin-left: 0in; line-height: 18.0pt;\">Even more interesting, though, are U.S. companies making deals with Canadian companies.&nbsp;<strong>EOG Resources (EOG:NYSE)<\/strong>, Encana and&nbsp;<strong>Apache (APA:NYSE)<\/strong>&nbsp;are the companies behind Kitimat LNG. This project is working its way through government review right now.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 10.0pt; margin-right: 0in; margin-bottom: 10.0pt; margin-left: 0in; line-height: 18.0pt;\">What you need to know is this: There is huge potential in natural gas investments&#8230; even more when you throw China into the mix.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 10.0pt; margin-right: 0in; margin-bottom: 10.0pt; margin-left: 0in; line-height: 18.0pt;\">Look for a lot more deals to come in this industry. The players could be from China and other Asian countries (like Japan, Korea and Malaysia), or even places like Australia.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 10.0pt; margin-right: 0in; margin-bottom: 10.0pt; margin-left: 0in; line-height: 18.0pt;\">In fact, one of Australia&#8217;s biggest companies just agreed to buy out an American natural gas producer.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 10.0pt; margin-right: 0in; margin-bottom: 10.0pt; margin-left: 0in; line-height: 18.0pt;\"><em>New Growth Investor<\/em>&nbsp;editor Zach Scheidt was all over this acquisition, and recently wrote me to say:<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 10.0pt; margin-right: 0in; margin-bottom: 10.0pt; margin-left: 0in; line-height: 18.0pt;\"><em>In &#8220;The Energy Titans of Growth&#8221; I recommended a purchase of<\/em><em>&nbsp;<\/em><strong><em>Petrohawk (HK:NYSE)<\/em><\/strong><em>&nbsp;<\/em><em>because of the company&#8217;s ample reserves.<\/em><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 10.0pt; margin-right: 0in; margin-bottom: 10.0pt; margin-left: 0in; line-height: 18.0pt;\"><em>You see, the company is sitting on 3.4 Tcfe (Trillion cubic feet) of proven reserves.<\/em><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 10.0pt; margin-right: 0in; margin-bottom: 10.0pt; margin-left: 0in; line-height: 18.0pt;\"><em>Of course, proven reserves are only part of the company&#8217;s actual asset base. A significant amount of acreage has yet to be fully analyzed and documented. These acres are listed as &#8220;resource potential&#8221; &#8212; and will likely be converted to proven reserves as the company continues to expand its drilling program.<\/em><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 10.0pt; margin-right: 0in; margin-bottom: 10.0pt; margin-left: 0in; line-height: 18.0pt;\"><em>At the time the report was issued, HK was trading near $27 per share. The stock has been volatile due to a very uncertain energy market. But HK&#8217;s reserves have never been in question.<\/em><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 10.0pt; margin-right: 0in; margin-bottom: 10.0pt; margin-left: 0in; line-height: 18.0pt;\"><em>Today, HK is trading 62% higher (overnight) because<\/em><em>&nbsp;<\/em><strong><em>BHP Billiton (BHP:NYSE)<\/em><\/strong><em>&nbsp;<\/em><em>agreed to acquire the company for $38.75 per share. BHP made the acquisition because of HK&#8217;s tremendous reserves. In this transaction, HK provides the gas assets that BHP so desperately needs, and BHP provides the drilling infrastructure and financing to quickly ramp production and increase profits.<\/em><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 10.0pt; margin-right: 0in; margin-bottom: 10.0pt; margin-left: 0in; line-height: 18.0pt;\"><em>It&#8217;s a win-win situation. HK shareholders get a 62% windfall, and BHP shareholders now have a tremendous gas asset that could pay dividends for years to come.<\/em><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 10.0pt; margin-right: 0in; margin-bottom: 10.0pt; margin-left: 0in; line-height: 18.0pt;\">It seems as though companies with spending money are trying to snap up as much natural gas as they can.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 10.0pt; margin-right: 0in; margin-bottom: 10.0pt; margin-left: 0in; line-height: 18.0pt;\">And that means the natural gas industry is a very worthy investment right now.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 10.0pt; margin-right: 0in; margin-bottom: 10.0pt; margin-left: 0in; line-height: 18.0pt;\"><em>Written by Sara Nunnally for Taipan Publishing Group. Additional valuable content can be syndicated via our<\/em><em>&nbsp;<\/em><em><a title=\"Go To: Subscribe to Taipan's News Feed\" href=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/taipan-news\" target=\"_blank\">News RSS feed<\/a>. Republish without charge. Required: Author attribution, links back to original content or <a title=\"Go To Taipan Publishing Group's Homepage\" href=\"http:\/\/www.taipanpublishinggroup.com\/\" target=\"_blank\">www.taipanpublishinggroup.com<\/a>.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Over the past week and more, we&#8217;ve been talking about crude oil, crude oil and crude oil. And for good reason. Oil prices jumped above $97 a barrel in after-hours trading on Friday. This industry is so important &#8212; and so riddled with corruption and greed &#8212; that Sandy Franks and I wrote a book &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/2011\/07\/21\/should-you-invest-in-natural-gas-2\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;Should You Invest in Natural Gas?&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-22514","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22514","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=22514"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22514\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=22514"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=22514"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=22514"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}