{"id":21869,"date":"2011-06-22T12:00:33","date_gmt":"2011-06-22T16:00:33","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.investmentu.com\/?p=21113"},"modified":"2011-06-22T12:00:33","modified_gmt":"2011-06-22T16:00:33","slug":"japan-showing-signs-of-life-after-the-quake","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/2011\/06\/22\/japan-showing-signs-of-life-after-the-quake\/","title":{"rendered":"Japan Showing Signs of Life After the Quake"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a class=\"post_title\" href=\"http:\/\/www.investmentu.com\/2011\/June\/japan-showing-signs-of-life.html\">Japan Showing Signs of Life After the Quake<\/a><\/p>\n<p>by <a href=\"http:\/\/www.investmentu.com\/investment-experts\/justin-dove-archive.html\" >Justin Dove<\/a>, <em>Investment U<\/em> Research<br \/>\nWednesday, June 22, 2011<\/p>\n<p>The Great East Japan Earthquake shook up Japanese  electronics manufacturers like <strong>Sony<\/strong> (NYSE: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.google.com\/finance?q=NYSE:SNE\" >SNE<\/a>), <strong>Hitachi<\/strong> (NYSE:  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.google.com\/finance?q=NYSE:HIT\" >HIT<\/a>) and <strong>Panasonic<\/strong> (NYSE: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.google.com\/finance?q=NYSE:PC\" >PC<\/a>) in March. And things haven&#8217;t turned around  yet.<\/p>\n<p>Sony&#8217;s stock is still reeling as it hit a 52-week low last  week &#8211; a drop of more than 25 percent from its pre-quake price. Panasonic is  down more than 10 percent and Hitachi is down approximately eight percent from  their respective prices on March 10, 2011 &#8211; the day before the disaster.<\/p>\n<p>Days after the first quake, we suggested that <a href=\"http:\/\/www.investmentu.com\/2011\/March\/three-reasons-to-invest-in-japan.html\">investing in Japan<\/a> could be  a good  bet for the long term. What we didn&#8217;t know at the time was how long it  would take to see signs of recovery. Judging by recent outlooks at some of  these companies, we now have a better idea.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Post-Recovery Outlook for Sony, Hitachi and Panasonic <\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Projections aren&#8217;t always a solid indicator of future  performance. It is, however, a good sign when various players have similar  post-recovery outlooks for themselves and their sector.<\/p>\n<p>Here are some key notes from <a href=\"http:\/\/panasonic.co.jp\/corp\/news\/official.data\/data.dir\/en110620-4\/en110620-4-1.pdf\">Panasonic&#8217;s outlook<\/a>:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Panasonic projects that net income will take a  59-percent nosedive for the fiscal year due to the disaster, but there will  still be a profit. The projection also calls for a net loss of 70 billion yen  in the first half of the fiscal year, but a profitablesecond half.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<ul>\n<li>All of the facilities damaged in the disaster are  operational to some extent, but Panasonic hopes they&#8217;ll be fully operational by  the end of the year.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Some similar notes from <a href=\"http:\/\/www.hitachi.com\/New\/cnews\/f_110609a.pdf\">Hitachi&#8217;s outlook<\/a>:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Hitachi also projected no profit for the first half of  the fiscal year, but a dip of just 16 percent for the entire year ending March  31, 2012.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<ul>\n<li>Hitachi also returned operations to all facilities that  were damaged in the disaster, but not at full scale.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Finally, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.sony.net\/SonyInfo\/IR\/financial\/fr\/10q4_sony.pdf\" >Sony<\/a> projects the following:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Sony reported a large loss this past year ending in  March, but mainly because of an issue with reporting tax-deferred assets. Net  operating profits grew to almost 200 billion yen from 31 billion in 2010, and Sony  expects similar numbers in 2012.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<ul>\n<li>Sony projects a 4.4-percent increase in sales and  operating revenue, and a net income of 80 billion yen by the end of March 2012.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Most Japanese companies didn&#8217;t release projections in the  spring because they couldn&#8217;t measure the scope of the disaster with accuracy.  These recent outlooks provide a more accurate view of the year to come in  Japan. All three remain optimistic, especially for the second half of the  fiscal year (October to March).<strong><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Sony, Hitachi and Panasonic&#8230; Saved by Diversification <\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Sony and Panasonic are both trading below book value. This  could always be a sign of some unforeseen weakness. Most likely it&#8217;s the  uncertainty of Japan&#8217;s future and the supply chain disruptions caused by the  disaster.<\/p>\n<p>Known for televisions, Panasonic  and Sony both claim it will be tough to turn a profit in that area. However, all three companies are diversified.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Hitachi recently sold off its hard drive division to <strong>Western  Digital<\/strong> (NYSE: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.google.com\/finance?q=NYSE:WDC\" >WDC<\/a>). It essentially went &#8220;all in&#8221; on the cloud computing  revolution and even <a href=\"http:\/\/www.eweek.com\/c\/a\/Cloud-Computing\/Hitachi-Microsoft-Combine-for-New-Converged-Cloud-Systems-894340\/\" >teamed  up with Microsoft<\/a>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<ul>\n<li>Panasonic, which recently absorbed its unprofitable  subsidiary Sanyo Electric Co., is going long on green and renewable energy  sources.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<ul>\n<li>Sony still holds a strong brand despite recent cyber-attacks  and is scheduled to release a <a href=\"http:\/\/www.investmentu.com\/2011\/February\/its-game-on-for-sony-ericssons-xperia-play.html\" >next-generation portable gaming console<\/a> by next  spring.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>You may want to wait and see what the summer brings, but  judging by the outlooks, these Japanese companies are likely to rebound nicely  by the end of the year.<\/p>\n<p>Good investing,<\/p>\n<p>Justin Dove<\/p>\n<div class=\"feedflare\">\n<a href=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/InvestmentU?a=DkxtiXLuFUA:UVa0vQ_xC9s:yIl2AUoC8zA\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/InvestmentU?d=yIl2AUoC8zA\" border=\"0\"><\/img><\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/InvestmentU?a=DkxtiXLuFUA:UVa0vQ_xC9s:V_sGLiPBpWU\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/InvestmentU?i=DkxtiXLuFUA:UVa0vQ_xC9s:V_sGLiPBpWU\" border=\"0\"><\/img><\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/InvestmentU?a=DkxtiXLuFUA:UVa0vQ_xC9s:qj6IDK7rITs\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/InvestmentU?d=qj6IDK7rITs\" border=\"0\"><\/img><\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/InvestmentU?a=DkxtiXLuFUA:UVa0vQ_xC9s:gIN9vFwOqvQ\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/InvestmentU?i=DkxtiXLuFUA:UVa0vQ_xC9s:gIN9vFwOqvQ\" border=\"0\"><\/img><\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/InvestmentU?a=DkxtiXLuFUA:UVa0vQ_xC9s:F7zBnMyn0Lo\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/InvestmentU?i=DkxtiXLuFUA:UVa0vQ_xC9s:F7zBnMyn0Lo\" border=\"0\"><\/img><\/a>\n<\/div>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~r\/InvestmentU\/~4\/DkxtiXLuFUA\" height=\"1\" width=\"1\"\/><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Great East Japan Earthquake shook up Japanese electronics manufacturers like Sony (NYSE: SNE), Hitachi (NYSE: HIT) and Panasonic (NYSE: PC) in March. And things haven&#8217;t&#8230; <strong><a href=\"http:\/\/www.investmentu.com\/2011\/June\/japan-showing-signs-of-life.html\">Japan Post-Recovery Outlook&#8230;&gt;&gt;<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-21869","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/21869","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=21869"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/21869\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=21869"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=21869"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=21869"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}