{"id":21735,"date":"2011-03-08T07:00:38","date_gmt":"2011-03-08T11:00:38","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.forexyard.com\/blog\/en\/?p=13576"},"modified":"2011-03-08T07:00:38","modified_gmt":"2011-03-08T11:00:38","slug":"stockholm-or-bust-swedens-powerhouse-economy-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/2011\/03\/08\/stockholm-or-bust-swedens-powerhouse-economy-2\/","title":{"rendered":"Stockholm or Bust: Sweden\u2019s Powerhouse Economy"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/www.forexyard.com\/blog\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/profile-pics\/8.jpg\" width=\"120\"  alt=\"printprofile\" \/><\/p>\n<p>A variety of articles have analyzed the rising strength of the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.forexyard.com\/blog\/en\/2011\/03\/01\/swedish-krona-rallies\/\">Swedish krona (SEK)<\/a> to point of exhaustion. A key aspect emphasized, though \u2013 as is usual in this global economic environment \u2013 is caution. But is caution warranted when it comes to Sweden?<\/p>\n<p><span id=\"more-13576\"><\/span>Let\u2019s evaluate the claim.<\/p>\n<p>Sweden\u2019s krona is rising at a more-than-healthy rate. The <a href=\"http:\/\/www.forexyard.com\/en\/trading\/usd-sek\">USD\/SEK<\/a> has moved from 8.1311 last June to as low as 6.3614 today. The <a href=\"http:\/\/www.forexyard.com\/en\/trading\/eur-sek\">EUR\/SEK<\/a> witnessed a similar price movement from as high as 10.2695 in November 2009 to today\u2019s current price of 8.8760.<\/p>\n<p>The fear with this rising strength comes when viewing Sweden\u2019s concurrent economic growth, which rose 7.3% year-on-year in Q4 2010. Analysts have been forecasting a <a href=\"http:\/\/www.forexyard.com\/blog\/en\/2011\/02\/15\/swedish-krona-bullish-after-riksbank-rate-hike\/\">gouging effect<\/a> from the rising SEK, which will eventually pull down on Swedish exports and dampening growth.<\/p>\n<p>This claim was made starting from late-2010, but has yet to bear any signs of occurring as expected.<\/p>\n<p>In fact, Sweden\u2019s economic growth appears dissonant with what is happening elsewhere in the world. As the Wall Street Journal <a href=\"http:\/\/blogs.wsj.com\/source\/2011\/03\/01\/a-swedish-star-is-born\/?mod=google_news_blog\">recently pointed out<\/a>, Sweden doesn\u2019t face many of the same problems as other global economies. Sweden faces no sovereign debt crisis like Europe; no deflationary fears like Japan; no unemployment or budgetary problems like the United States; nor fears of an over-strengthened currency by its central bank, like Switzerland.<\/p>\n<p>Indeed, the Riksbank actually raised interest rates to 1.5% in 2010, with an expectation to reach 3.0% by Dec. 2011. Swedish Finance Minister Anders Borg also <a href=\"http:\/\/www.thelocal.se\/32390\/20110304\/\">told reporters<\/a> lately that Sweden\u2019s government is expecting growth of 4.8% in 2011, an upward adjustment from the previous expectation of 3.7%.<\/p>\n<p>It appears that an apt metaphor for Sweden\u2019s trajectory is to view all global economies as being in a race to normalcy, with Sweden finishing first in Q4 2010. The prize is unprecedented growth lasting as long as the other global economies continue the race.<\/p>\n<p>The next logical question to ask, in regards to the caution urged by speculators, then, is &#8220;How close are the other economies to finishing?&#8221;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p> A variety of articles have analyzed the rising strength of the Swedish krona (SEK) to point of exhaustion. A key aspect emphasized, though \u2013 as is usual in this global economic environment \u2013 is caution. But is caution warranted when it comes to Sw&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-21735","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/21735","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=21735"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/21735\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=21735"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=21735"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=21735"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}