{"id":21679,"date":"2011-06-14T14:12:59","date_gmt":"2011-06-14T18:12:59","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/countingpips.com\/fx\/?p=21679"},"modified":"2011-06-14T14:12:59","modified_gmt":"2011-06-14T18:12:59","slug":"fighting-arab-nations-are-costing-you-hundreds-at-the-gas-pump-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/2011\/06\/14\/fighting-arab-nations-are-costing-you-hundreds-at-the-gas-pump-2\/","title":{"rendered":"Fighting Arab Nations Are Costing You Hundreds at the Gas Pump"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>You know, gasoline prices are supposed to climb as we head into summer, but things are getting a bit ridiculous!<\/p>\n<p>Gasoline prices are up nearly $1.06 a gallon from last year, and it&#8217;s not even summer yet.<\/p>\n<p>Why is this happening? Well, the <a title=\"OPEC Member Countries\" href=\"http:\/\/www.opec.org\/opec_web\/en\/about_us\/25.htm\" target=\"_blank\">Arab nations of OPEC<\/a> are fighting&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>OPEC decided not to produce more crude oil. Or rather, Iran and its  cohorts blocked Saudi Arabia&#8217;s efforts to try to boost production.<\/p>\n<p>Aside from the crummy effect this had on crude oil prices just after  the meeting last Wednesday, there are some bigger issues coming to the  surface.<\/p>\n<p><em>The Wall Street Journal<\/em> reported:<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px;\"><em>An acrimonious OPEC meeting failed to  produce an agreement to increase oil production despite tight supplies  and rising prices, bringing to the fore long-simmering divisions between  key cartel players Saudi Arabia and Iran and calling into question the  group&#8217;s ability to influence oil prices.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>And the <em>Boston Herald<\/em> said:<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px;\"><em>OPEC&#8217;s stunning admission of major  dissent within its ranks has left it reeling and its status as the  world&#8217;s oil power-broker weakened &#8212; perhaps beyond repair.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>OPEC has already lost a lot of clout as crude oil production outside  of its group has grown in the past decade or so. Places like Russia and  Brazil have brought a lot of crude oil to the table. These countries  aren&#8217;t under the thumb of OPEC&#8217;s production rules.<\/p>\n<p>That said, OPEC&#8217;s influence with global powers, however, shouldn&#8217;t be forgotten.<\/p>\n<p>I&#8217;m talking about the crude oil embargo in the mid-1970s that nearly  brought the U.S. to its economic knees, and quadrupled the price of  crude oil in less than half a year.<\/p>\n<p>Saudi Arabia and other Arab OPEC members turned off the tap by 15%  back in 1973, and markets went bananas&#8230; The &#8220;oil weapon&#8221; will always  be a threat. But ill will between major OPEC producers has even bigger  consequences.<\/p>\n<p>That they are fighting now should be a warning to everyone. Saudi  Arabia and Iran &#8212; who are ranked as the top two Arab countries in terms  of oil reserves &#8212; are vying for power&#8230; and they have very different  global views. Mainly, they deal differently with the West. Saudi Arabia  works closely with the U.S., while the U.S. still has strict sanctions  against Iran.<\/p>\n<p>Now, these two countries are dealing with more than one crisis. Even  though Saudi Arabia and its OPEC allies are calling for increased demand  in the second half of this year, the world is using less crude oil  because of the global financial crisis. Crude oil inventories in the  U.S. are 7.5 million barrels higher than they were last year.<\/p>\n<p>You could say the call to increase production would solely be a bid  to lower prices. This rubbed some OPEC members the wrong way because  some of them can&#8217;t produce more crude oil quickly or cheaply. Iran is  one of those countries.<\/p>\n<p>Indeed, only Saudi Arabia and three other Gulf countries that are  more allied with the West than other Arab OPEC members favored an  increase in production.<\/p>\n<p>Most of these countries don&#8217;t want lower <a title=\"Saudi Arabia Prepares for a Crude Oil War\" href=\"http:\/\/www.taipanpublishinggroup.com\/tpg\/taipan-daily\/taipan-daily-061311.html\" target=\"_self\">crude oil prices<\/a>.  This is because of the second crisis. The Middle East and North Africa  are under siege from their angry citizens. When Tunisia and Egypt were  successful in overthrowing their governments, other countries jumped on  the uprising bandwagon. Yemen, Bahrain and Libya have all seen huge  protests.<\/p>\n<p>Of course, Libya is still in the midst of a global military intervention. Its oil production is still offline.<\/p>\n<p>These countries need high crude oil prices if only to throw money at the masses, hoping they&#8217;ll stop their protests.<\/p>\n<p>Because of these two crises, OPEC is on the edge of a cliff. Some analysts are even saying that OPEC is dead.<\/p>\n<p>But what &#8212; if anything &#8212; will this do to crude oil markets?<\/p>\n<p>Immediately after the announcement, crude oil prices climbed nearly 3%. This pressure means higher <a title=\"Gasoline Futures -- Flash Crash du Jour\" href=\"http:\/\/www.taipanpublishinggroup.com\/tpg\/taipan-daily\/taipan-daily-051311.html\" target=\"_self\">gasoline prices<\/a> heading into summer. As I told you, gasoline prices are nearly $1.06  per gallon higher than last year&#8230; And unlike oil inventories, gasoline  inventories are down 4.5 million barrels from last year.<\/p>\n<p>Translate this pain at the gas pump to other market investments, and you&#8217;ve got possible bearish outlooks for retail companies.<\/p>\n<p>On the other hand, domestic energy could get a lot of attention. Even  companies doing business in friendlier countries like Canada could  benefit.<\/p>\n<p>Check out <strong>Apache Corp. (APA:NYSE<\/strong>) and <strong>Suncor Energy Inc. (SU:NYSE)<\/strong>,  up about 26% and 19% in the past year. These guys are heavy hitters  without being 800-pound gorillas. They are outperforming their  competitors and are a much better value than their industries as a  whole.<\/p>\n<p>Of course, these aren&#8217;t the only opportunities to pop up in the wake  of the nasty OPEC meeting. In fact, this first OPEC fracture could be  the start of an even bigger crisis. Justice Litle, editor of <em>Macro<\/em> <em>Trader<\/em> just sent me a letter about the coming crisis saying:<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px;\"><em>I can tell you right now, we have  never&#8230; EVER&#8230; seen this level of chaos on U.S. shores. This will put  the financial crisis of 2008 to shame&#8230;<\/em><\/p>\n<p>I don&#8217;t have room to tell you what the rest of his letter said, but  we&#8217;re quickly working on a way to let you read it in its entirety. One  thing I can tell you, though, is that Justice believes that the bigger  the crisis, the bigger the opportunity.<\/p>\n<p>As soon as this letter is available, I&#8217;ll be sending you a link to it, so keep an eye out in your inbox.<\/p>\n<p><em>Article brought to you by Taipan Publishing Group. Additional valuable content can be syndicated via our <a title=\"Go To: Subscribe to Taipan's News Feed\" href=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/taipan-news\" target=\"_blank\">News RSS feed<\/a>. Republish without charge. Required: Author attribution, links back to original content or <a title=\"Go To Taipan Publishing Group's Homepage\" href=\"http:\/\/www.taipanpublishinggroup.com\/\" target=\"_blank\">www.taipanpublishinggroup.com<\/a>.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>You know, gasoline prices are supposed to climb as we head into summer, but things are getting a bit ridiculous! Gasoline prices are up nearly $1.06 a gallon from last year, and it&#8217;s not even summer yet. Why is this happening? Well, the Arab nations of OPEC are fighting&#8230; OPEC decided not to produce more &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/2011\/06\/14\/fighting-arab-nations-are-costing-you-hundreds-at-the-gas-pump-2\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;Fighting Arab Nations Are Costing You Hundreds at the Gas Pump&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-21679","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/21679","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=21679"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/21679\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=21679"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=21679"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=21679"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}