{"id":21431,"date":"2011-05-31T15:30:41","date_gmt":"2011-05-31T19:30:41","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/countingpips.com\/fx\/?p=21431"},"modified":"2011-05-31T15:30:41","modified_gmt":"2011-05-31T19:30:41","slug":"china-overreaching-for-crude-oil","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/2011\/05\/31\/china-overreaching-for-crude-oil\/","title":{"rendered":"China Overreaching for Crude Oil"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The South China Sea is up for grabs &#8212; the world will soon see if any nation is ready to play for keeps.<\/p>\n<p>Don&#8217;t look now, but the geopolitical structure of Asia is about to get very interesting.<\/p>\n<p>As is often the case, it all comes down to crude oil. The <a title=\"The Phantom Growth of China's Ghost Cities\" href=\"http:\/\/www.taipanpublishinggroup.com\/tpg\/taipan-daily\/taipan-daily-052011.html\" target=\"_self\">South China Sea<\/a> appears to have a decent amount of it &#8212; probably no game-changers, but  more than enough to add to the wealth of companies and nations.<\/p>\n<p>And, perhaps, enough to be strategically important.<\/p>\n<p>At least, it appears China thinks so. China has unilaterally declared  all of the South China Sea its property, and has sold lots for  development that are up to three times as far from the Chinese coast as,  say, Vietnam&#8217;s.<\/p>\n<p>Both Vietnam and the Philippines dispute those claims, and have been  selling lots of their own &#8212; in some cases, identical to the ones China  has sold.<\/p>\n<p>There&#8217;s no doubt that China has the stronger military &#8212; and it&#8217;s  been using military boats to harass surveyors and others operating in  cooperation with other countries.<\/p>\n<p>There is also little doubt that China doesn&#8217;t have a legal leg to  stand on &#8212; and the other nations are taking the matter before the UN  next year. In all, Vietnam, the Philippines, Taiwan, Malaysia, Brunei  and Indonesia have overlapping claims on waters in the South China Sea  &#8212; and all that lays below the surface.<\/p>\n<p>A Familiar Pattern<\/p>\n<p>China has long been acting to secure as much additional oil as it  can. Not only has it worked out numerous agreements with Arab nations&#8230;  and <a title=\"BRIC Nations Add New Member\" href=\"http:\/\/www.taipanpublishinggroup.com\/tpg\/smart-investing-daily\/smart-investing-042111.html\" target=\"_self\">African nations<\/a>&#8230; and South American nations&#8230; it has sometimes traded favors for oil rights (like its blind eye turned toward Sudan).<\/p>\n<p>What&#8217;s more, China&#8217;s crude&nbsp;oil reserves have shrunk nearly 40% just  since 2001. With its appetite only growing stronger, China is in a  dangerous position.<\/p>\n<p>That&#8217;s why the South China Sea may wind up being a very contentious place, very soon.<\/p>\n<p>Suppose the UN finds in favor of the smaller nations surrounding the  South China Sea. Will China back down? Will it continue to use its  military to bully the others?<\/p>\n<p>And if it does &#8212; what will America do? Recently, Secretary of State  Clinton spoke out on sovereign rights and maritime rights while in  Vietnam, emboldening the smaller nations to begin asserting their  claims.<\/p>\n<p>Will America, long the naval power in the Pacific, push back against  Chinese aggression? Not only principle, but crude&nbsp;oil is at stake.<\/p>\n<p>Not Likely to Be a Hot Zone &#8212; Yet<\/p>\n<p>We&#8217;re still many steps away from military skirmishes &#8212; though there  has already been plenty of saber-rattling. Not only from China &#8212; the  Philippines has flown military aircraft to scare off Chinese naval  vessels.<\/p>\n<p>Still, nothing beyond posturing has yet occurred. And it&#8217;s likely  that nothing more will occur &#8212; that China and its neighbors will sit  down at the negotiating table, and come up with some split of revenue  and resources that all will find suitable.<\/p>\n<p>But that&#8217;s no guarantee. And, as the finite amount of oil in the  world continues to be slurped up, it&#8217;s only a matter of time before one  of these disagreements blows up into something much larger.<\/p>\n<p>Let&#8217;s just hope it doesn&#8217;t occur in the <a title=\"Aquino Pushes for United Stand on South China Sea\" href=\"http:\/\/www.manilastandardtoday.com\/insideNews.htm?f=2011\/may\/10\/news3.isx&amp;d=2011\/may\/10\" target=\"_blank\">South China Sea<\/a>, next year.<\/p>\n<p>Now, the South China Sea isn&#8217;t the only location China has targeted  for its crude oil. Workers are going around the clock to put the  finishing touches on a massive &#8212; and secret &#8212; source of emergency oil  that&#8217;s thousands of miles from Beijing.<\/p>\n<p><em>Article brought to you by Taipan Publishing Group. Additional valuable content can be syndicated via our <a title=\"Go To: Subscribe to Taipan's News Feed\" href=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/taipan-news\" target=\"_blank\">News RSS feed<\/a>. Republish without charge. Required: Author attribution, links back to original content or <a title=\"Go To Taipan Publishing Group's Homepage\" href=\"http:\/\/www.taipanpublishinggroup.com\/\" target=\"_blank\">www.taipanpublishinggroup.com<\/a>.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The South China Sea is up for grabs &#8212; the world will soon see if any nation is ready to play for keeps. Don&#8217;t look now, but the geopolitical structure of Asia is about to get very interesting. As is often the case, it all comes down to crude oil. The South China Sea appears &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/2011\/05\/31\/china-overreaching-for-crude-oil\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;China Overreaching for Crude Oil&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-21431","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/21431","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=21431"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/21431\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=21431"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=21431"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=21431"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}