{"id":21155,"date":"2011-05-16T09:27:03","date_gmt":"2011-05-16T13:27:03","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.taipanpublishinggroup.com\/tpg\/smart-investing-daily\/smart-investing-051611.html"},"modified":"2011-05-16T09:27:03","modified_gmt":"2011-05-16T13:27:03","slug":"do-not-buy-government-bonds","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/2011\/05\/16\/do-not-buy-government-bonds\/","title":{"rendered":"Do Not Buy Government Bonds"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" height=\"67\" width=\"100\" src=\"http:\/\/www.taipanpublishinggroup.com\/images\/web\/Taipan_Daily\/100x100\/bonds_currency.jpg\" alt=\"bonds_currency\" style=\"float: left; margin-right: 5px;\" \/>When I was a kid, I used to play soccer in the alley behind our house with the neighborhood kids. It was a narrow lane, so we didn&#8217;t have much room. And the goals were pretty small, too. We made a rule that we wouldn&#8217;t play with goalkeepers. No one would ever score if someone could just stand in front of a two-foot goal.<\/p>\n<p>More often than not, one kid would end up drifting back and standing in front of the tiny goal. Boy would we get mad!<\/p>\n<p>But that kid wasn&#8217;t really aware of what he was doing. He knew the rules, he just defensively kept sliding back.<\/p>\n<p>I think investors are starting to do the same thing with government bonds.<\/p>\n<p>Consider this:<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px;\"><em>Treasuries prices rose on Friday, helped by stock losses, Fed purchases of Treasuries, and relief U.S. inflation data did not come in above forecast.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Government bond yields have been back on the rise&#8230; But U.S. Treasuries aren&#8217;t the best place to park your money.<\/p>\n<p>A 10-year note will give you 3.187%. It&#8217;s true &#8212; <a  href=\"http:\/\/www.foxbusiness.com\/personal-finance\/2011\/04\/25\/overseas-government-bonds-tempt-buyers-1470928780\/\" title=\"Overseas Government Bonds Tempt U.S. Buyers\">government bond<\/a> returns have been climbing from bottom-of-the-barrel lows, but you can still get a better return from other areas in a lot less time.<\/p>\n<p>Of course, investors are willing to pay a lot of money for a small yield if they feel their money is safe from any decline, but even <a  href=\"http:\/\/www.taipanpublishinggroup.com\/tpg\/smart-investing-daily\/smart-investing-041311.html\" title=\"How to Play Municipal Bonds When Investors Fear Inflation\">government bonds<\/a> aren&#8217;t safe from drops in value anymore. In the fourth quarter of 2010, U.S. Treasury-issued bonds handed investors a 2.7% loss, and in the first quarter of this year, they added another 0.1% loss to the pile.<\/p>\n<p>U.S. inflation alone could wipe out any gains you might get from investing in Treasury bonds.<\/p>\n<p>So here are three specific areas that will give you a better return than the 10-year Treasury note.<\/p>\n<h3>High-Dividend Stocks<\/h3>\n<p>Nine out of the top 10 holdings of the <strong>PowerShares High-Yield Dividend ETF (<a alt=\"PowerShares High-Yield Dividend ETF\"  href=\"http:\/\/www.google.com\/finance?q=PEY:NYSE\" title=\"PowerShares High-Yield Dividend ETF\">PEY:NYSE<\/a>)<\/strong> have a higher yield than the 10-year Treasury note. The lowest dividend of the bunch is 4% and the highest is 6.8%.<\/p>\n<p>Of these top 10 holdings, there are four companies that have performed well over the past year:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>CenturyLink, Inc. (<a alt=\"CenturyLink, Inc.\"  href=\"http:\/\/www.google.com\/finance?q=CTL:NYSE\" title=\"CenturyLink, Inc.\">CTL:NYSE<\/a>)<\/strong> &#8212; a communications company up 24.29%<\/li>\n<li><strong>Altria Group, Inc. (<a alt=\"Altria Group, Inc.\"  href=\"http:\/\/www.google.com\/finance?q=MO:NYSE\" title=\"Altria Group, Inc.\">MO:NYSE<\/a>)<\/strong> &#8212; a cigarette company up 26.38%<\/li>\n<li><strong>AT&amp;T, Inc. (<a alt=\"AT&amp;T Inc.\"  href=\"http:\/\/www.google.com\/finance?q=T:NYSE\" title=\"AT&amp;T Inc.\">T:NYSE<\/a>)<\/strong> &#8212; a telecom company up 23.66%<\/li>\n<li><strong>Vectren Corp. (<a alt=\"Vectren Corporation\"  href=\"http:\/\/www.google.com\/finance?q=VVC:NYSE\" title=\"Vectren Corporation\">VVC:NYSE<\/a>)<\/strong> &#8212; a Midwest utilities company up 17.66%<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>These four companies have dividends of 6.8%, 5.6%, 5.5% and 4.9% respectively. Not too shabby when you consider that their share prices have been climbing.<\/p>\n<p>Choosing any of these companies would give you an automatic return that&#8217;s higher than the 10-year Treasury note&#8230; in a single year.<\/p>\n<h3>Safe CDs<\/h3>\n<p>CDs can have different time frames. Some have a three-month term, and others have a five-year term. Each is different, and each has its own return. They can give investors access to lots of different kinds of investments, from commodities to stocks to currencies.<\/p>\n<p>The flexibility of a CD is very attractive to traditional bond investors, and a special kind of CD offered by EverBank should have you drooling.<\/p>\n<p>It&#8217;s called a MarketSafe CD. This kind of CD protects your principal investment. That means you can&#8217;t lose money. But the upside potential is much much greater than the 10-year Treasury note yield.<\/p>\n<p>EverBank offers two different MarketSafe CDs &#8212; one based on five different metals and the other based on 10 different commodities. They both have a term of five years. And you have to buy in before June 9, 2011.<\/p>\n<p>They are the <a alt=\"Capitalize on the Commodity Market Without Risk to Your Money\"  href=\"https:\/\/www.everbank.com\/personal\/diversified-commodities-cd.aspx?referID=13128\" title=\"Capitalize on the Commodity Market Without Risk to Your Money\">MarketSafe Diversified Commodities CD<\/a> and the MarketSafe Timeless Metals CD.<\/p>\n<p>Over the next five years, could commodities lose value? Sure, it&#8217;s possible, though not likely. But if they do, then 100% of your investment is protected.<\/p>\n<p><strong><em>*Editor&#8217;s Note:<\/em><\/strong><em> We firmly stand behind EverBank and their products and think they are a solid way to grow your wealth. But you should know that we also have a business relationship with the company and receive a financial benefit from the sales of this product.<\/em><\/p>\n<h3>Inflation-Proof Stocks<\/h3>\n<p>Another way to beat the tiny 3.187% yield is to invest in <a  href=\"http:\/\/www.taipanpublishinggroup.com\/tpg\/smart-investing-daily\/smart-investing-051211.html\" title=\"Conflict in the Financial Stock Market... Protect Yourself Now!\">inflation-proof stocks<\/a>. These are companies that can pass their higher costs onto the consumer. That means they are riding the U.S. inflation wave instead of being flattened by it.<\/p>\n<p><em>(Investing doesn&#8217;t have to be complicated. Sign up for <\/em>Smart Investing Daily<em> and let me and my fellow editor Jared Levysimplify the stock market for you with our <a  href=\"http:\/\/www.taipanpublishinggroup.com\/free-signups\/splash\/sidvid-su-sidweb.html\" title=\"Sign up for Smart Investing Daily\">easy-to-understand investment articles<\/a>.)<\/em><\/p>\n<p>This group of companies includes service providers and producers of consumer staples. They also include blue chip companies. Companies like <strong>MasterCard (<a  href=\"http:\/\/www.google.com\/finance?q=WMT:NYSE\">MA:NYSE<\/a>) <\/strong>and <strong>Wal-Mart (<a alt=\"Wal-Mart Stores, Inc.\"  href=\"http:\/\/www.google.com\/finance?q=WMT:NYSE\" title=\"Wal-Mart Stores, Inc.\">WMT:NYSE<\/a>)<\/strong> and even <strong>AT&amp;T (T:NYSE)<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p><em>Safe Haven Investor<\/em> editor Kent Lucas had this to say about AT&amp;T in his April issue:<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px;\"><em>It&#8217;s a blue chip name. Research has proven blue chip, or higher quality, larger (capitalization) companies tend to do well in inflationary environments. Blue chip companies are often better run with a competitive advantage and an attractive business model that does relatively well compared to lesser companies&#8230;<\/em><\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px;\"><em>Simply stated, there is a flight to quality as inflation fears rise.<\/em><\/p>\n<h3>Combine Strategies<\/h3>\n<p>If you can find a company that is an inflation-proof stock and a high-dividend stock, you&#8217;re really in the money. AT&amp;T is just such a company. It&#8217;s climbed nearly 24% in the past year and offers a 5.5% dividend.<\/p>\n<p>Altria Group is in the same boat, if you don&#8217;t have any qualms about investing in a cigarette company.<\/p>\n<p>It&#8217;s hard to pass over companies like these for pricey, low-yielding bonds.<\/p>\n<p>The point is, drifting back to bonds, just like that kid in the alley during our neighborhood soccer games, is kind of an unconscious reflex.<\/p>\n<p>U.S. inflation is headed higher this year. Even the Federal Reserve has increased its forecast. That could seriously eat away at the ultra-conservative returns that longer-term bonds offer.<\/p>\n<p>There are a number of different opportunities out there that can give you much better returns than the 10-year note.<\/p>\n<p><strong>P.S.<\/strong> News has just hit the airwaves today that <strong>IntercontinentalExchange (<a alt=\"IntercontinentalExchange, Inc.\"  href=\"http:\/\/www.google.com\/finance?q=ICE:NYSE\" title=\"IntercontinentalExchange, Inc.\">ICE:NYSE<\/a>)<\/strong> and <strong>Nasdaq OMX Group (<a alt=\"NASDAQ OMX Group, Inc.\"  href=\"http:\/\/www.google.com\/finance?q=NDAQ:NASDAQ\" title=\"NASDAQ OMX Group, Inc.\">NDAQ:NASDAQ<\/a>)<\/strong> have taken their bid for <strong>NYSE Euronext (<a alt=\"NYSE Euronext\"  href=\"http:\/\/www.google.com\/finance?q=NYX:NYSE\" title=\"NYSE Euronext\">NYX:NYSE<\/a>) <\/strong>off the table. This means a big drop in share prices for NYX. I first told subscribers about this company back in September 2010 at our annual conference, and talked about it again in mid-January 2011. At that time, shares were trading for around $33 a share. On Friday, shares closed at $40.89, but opened about $4 lower on Monday. This action hacks any gains made from mid-January in half, and if you&#8217;re using a tight stop-loss, you probably got booted out of your position.<\/p>\n<p>If you weren&#8217;t using a stop-loss, now might be the time to get out with some gains. This news may ultimately be good for NYX, but in this topsy-turvy trading environment, it&#8217;s best to take gains while you can. Do so with NYX.<\/p>\n<p><strong>*Editor&#8217;s Note:<\/strong> <em>Safe Haven Investor<\/em> editor Kent Lucas had a lot more to say in his April issue. Subscribers can find the full issue online, but if you&#8217;re not a member, you can <a  href=\"https:\/\/orders.taipanpublishinggroup.com\/SHI\/WSHIM434\/\">learn more about Kent and <em>Safe Haven Investor<\/em> here.<\/a><\/p>\n<p align=\"left\"><em>Article brought to you by Taipan Publishing Group. Additional valuable content can be syndicated via our <a  href=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/taipan-news\" title=\"Go To: Subscribe to Taipan's News Feed\">News RSS feed<\/a>. Republish without charge. Required: Author attribution, links back to original content or <a  href=\"http:\/\/www.taipanpublishinggroup.com\/\" title=\"Go To Taipan Publishing Group's Homepage\">www.taipanpublishinggroup.com<\/a>.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>{jtagstpg} {authorstpg}<\/p>\n<p><strong>Other Related Articles:<\/strong><\/p>\n<li><a  href=\"http:\/\/www.taipanpublishinggroup.com\/tpg\/smart-investing-daily\/smart-investing-051211.html\" title=\"Conflict in the Financial Stock Market... Protect Yourself Now!\">Conflict in the Financial Stock Market&#8230; Protect Yourself Now!<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a  href=\"http:\/\/www.foxbusiness.com\/personal-finance\/2011\/04\/25\/overseas-government-bonds-tempt-buyers-1470928780\/\" title=\"Overseas Government Bonds Tempt U.S. Buyers\">Overseas Government Bonds Tempt U.S. Buyers<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a  href=\"http:\/\/www.taipanpublishinggroup.com\/tpg\/smart-investing-daily\/smart-investing-041311.html\" title=\"How to Play Municipal Bonds When Investors Fear Inflation\">How to Play Municipal Bonds When Investors Fear Inflation<\/a><\/li>\n<div class=\"feedflare\">\n<a href=\"http:\/\/feeds.taipanpublishinggroup.com\/~ff\/SmartInvestingDaily?a=Q9TpOq_KmpY:2LdLrmol5kg:yIl2AUoC8zA\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/SmartInvestingDaily?d=yIl2AUoC8zA\" border=\"0\"><\/img><\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/feeds.taipanpublishinggroup.com\/~ff\/SmartInvestingDaily?a=Q9TpOq_KmpY:2LdLrmol5kg:-BTjWOF_DHI\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/SmartInvestingDaily?i=Q9TpOq_KmpY:2LdLrmol5kg:-BTjWOF_DHI\" border=\"0\"><\/img><\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/feeds.taipanpublishinggroup.com\/~ff\/SmartInvestingDaily?a=Q9TpOq_KmpY:2LdLrmol5kg:F7zBnMyn0Lo\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/SmartInvestingDaily?i=Q9TpOq_KmpY:2LdLrmol5kg:F7zBnMyn0Lo\" border=\"0\"><\/img><\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/feeds.taipanpublishinggroup.com\/~ff\/SmartInvestingDaily?a=Q9TpOq_KmpY:2LdLrmol5kg:V_sGLiPBpWU\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/SmartInvestingDaily?i=Q9TpOq_KmpY:2LdLrmol5kg:V_sGLiPBpWU\" border=\"0\"><\/img><\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/feeds.taipanpublishinggroup.com\/~ff\/SmartInvestingDaily?a=Q9TpOq_KmpY:2LdLrmol5kg:qj6IDK7rITs\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/SmartInvestingDaily?d=qj6IDK7rITs\" border=\"0\"><\/img><\/a>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>When I was a kid, I used to play soccer in the alley behind our house with the neighborhood kids. It was a narrow lane, so we didn&#8217;t have much room. And the goals were pretty small, too. We made a rule that we wouldn&#8217;t play with goalkeepers. No one wou&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-21155","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/21155","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=21155"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/21155\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=21155"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=21155"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=21155"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}