{"id":20699,"date":"2011-04-18T18:23:18","date_gmt":"2011-04-18T22:23:18","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/countingpips.com\/fx\/?p=20699"},"modified":"2011-04-18T18:23:18","modified_gmt":"2011-04-18T22:23:18","slug":"monday-mayhem-panic-selling-has-set-in","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/2011\/04\/18\/monday-mayhem-panic-selling-has-set-in\/","title":{"rendered":"Monday Mayhem \u2013 Panic Selling Has Set In!"},"content":{"rendered":"<div>\n<h4><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.thetechnicaltraders.com\/237-7-3-17.html\" target=\"_blank\"><strong>By <\/strong>Chris Vermeulen, <strong>thegoldandoilguy.com<\/strong><\/a><\/span><\/h4>\n<p>In overnight and pre-market trading  the US Dollar posted a strong rally which in turn caused a sharp selloff  in the equities market. The market is currently down 1.6 \u2013 2.3%  depending on the index traders are following.<\/p>\n<p>Here is what I see on the charts going forward a few days.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Dollar Index \u2013 4 Hour Chart<\/strong><br \/>\nThe Dollar is trading at a resistance level which has in the past  triggered strong moves lower. If we get a move lower on the dollar from  here then I expect a strong recovery in the equities market and likely  higher commodity prices also. If the US Dollar breaks out and rallies  above this point then we could see a much further collapse in stocks and  commodities.<\/p>\n<p>The falling dollar has also helped to boost crude oil prices the past couple months. One of my trading buddies J.W. Jones at <a href=\"http:\/\/www.optionstradingsignals.com\/profitable-options-solutions.php\" target=\"_blank\">OptionsTradingSignals.com<\/a> pocketed a nice 86% gain on a USO cash secured put based on the credit  sold. Also the weak dollar has his GLD options trade up over 50% already  and it has just begun. Jones is an options expert and always seems to  find a way to pull money out of the market month after month\u2026<br \/>\n<a rel=\"lightbox[1655]\" href=\"http:\/\/www.thegoldandoilguy.com\/articles\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/04\/Dollar11.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" title=\"Dollar ETF Trader\" src=\"http:\/\/www.thegoldandoilguy.com\/articles\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/04\/Dollar11.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"595\" height=\"481\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><strong>SPY Daily Chart<\/strong><br \/>\nThe daily chart shows a large gap down putting the market in a short  term oversold condition. Typically we see the market bounce back up or  gap higher the following day. In some cases similar to today the market  actually bottoms. So those long the SP500 I feel have a good change of  recouping some of today\u2019s decline by waiting for the kneejerk reaction  bounce in the next 24-48 hours.<\/p>\n<p><a rel=\"lightbox[1655]\" href=\"http:\/\/www.thegoldandoilguy.com\/articles\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/04\/SPY2.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" title=\"SPY ETF Trader\" src=\"http:\/\/www.thegoldandoilguy.com\/articles\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/04\/SPY2.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"593\" height=\"481\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><strong>Market Sentiment \u2013 Panic Selling At Extremes<\/strong><br \/>\nToday we are seeing panic selling at levels not seen since the market  bottom in March. The green indicator spikes on the chart show very high  levels of traders\/investors dumping stocks in fear of a collapse.  Today\u2019s negative headline news has sparked mass fear and when levels  like this are reached you should think of holding long positions for  another 1-2 session to see if we get that bounce or market bottom.<br \/>\n<a rel=\"lightbox[1655]\" href=\"http:\/\/www.thegoldandoilguy.com\/articles\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/04\/Sentiment3.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" title=\"Sentiment ETF Trader\" src=\"http:\/\/www.thegoldandoilguy.com\/articles\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/04\/Sentiment3.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"591\" height=\"481\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><strong>Monday Mass Selling Conclusion:<\/strong><br \/>\nToday\u2019s sharp drop in equities could be an excellent low risk  opportunity to add or take a long position here because most of the  downside fear for the short term has been eliminated today.<\/p>\n<p>That being said the trend appears to be down on the SP500 now so at this  time I am looking to sell into a rally if we get one today, tomorrow or  Wednesday.<\/p>\n<h4><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><strong> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.thetechnicaltraders.com\/237-7-3-17.html\" target=\"_blank\">Get My Free Trading Rule Guide And My Weekly Newsletter Here: http:\/\/www.thegoldandoilguy.com\/trade-money-emotions.php<\/a><\/strong><\/span><\/h4>\n<p>Chris Vermeulen<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>In overnight and pre-market trading the US Dollar posted a strong rally which in turn caused a sharp selloff in the equities market. The market is currently down 1.6 \u2013 2.3% depending on the index traders are following.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-20699","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20699","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=20699"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20699\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=20699"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=20699"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=20699"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}