{"id":20508,"date":"2011-04-05T09:07:21","date_gmt":"2011-04-05T13:07:21","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/countingpips.com\/fx\/?p=20508"},"modified":"2011-04-05T09:07:21","modified_gmt":"2011-04-05T13:07:21","slug":"sterling-and-dollar-rally-after-china-lifts-rates-and-portugal-is-downgraded","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/2011\/04\/05\/sterling-and-dollar-rally-after-china-lifts-rates-and-portugal-is-downgraded\/","title":{"rendered":"Sterling and Dollar Rally After China Lifts Rates and Portugal is Downgraded"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>By Russell Glaser<\/p>\n<p>The US dollar rallied across the board after Moody\u2019s slashed the  credit rating of Portugal. The lone exception is versus sterling  following a significantly stronger than expected services PMI. The pound  is by far the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.forexyard.com\/blog\/en\/2011\/04\/04\/gbpusd-continues-to-recover\/\">strongest performer <\/a>during  European trading. China also raised interest rates 25bp. Market  participants will be turning towards the US with the release of the  ISM-Non Manufacturing PMI and the Fed meeting minutes.<\/p>\n<p>After Moody\u2019s Investors Service  downgraded the sovereign credit rating of Portugal the euro slumped  while the dollar rallied. The credit rating was lowered to Baa1 from A3  and Moody\u2019s says the European peripheral nation could face a further  drop in its credit rating. The move by Moody\u2019s does not come as a big  surprise as this brings Moody\u2019s in line with Fitch Ratings who  downgraded Portugal on April 1st. Following the downgrade the euro  slumped to a daily low at 1.4158 after opening at 1.4192. Versus the  Swiss franc the EUR\/CHF moved as low as 1.3053 from 1.3112 and is now  trading at 1.3094.<\/p>\n<p>A stronger than expected UK services PMI brought strong bids to  sterling. The survey rose 57.1 in March from 52.6 in February and the  GBP\/USD climbed to 1.6249 from 1.6116 before settling back at 1.6225.  The pair looks on its way to the next resistance level at 1.6400.<\/p>\n<p>The Australian dollar is off its all-time high for the second  consecutive day. The declines come following the RBA holding interest  rates steady coupled with a sharp drop in the trade balance. During the  month of February the country was a net importer as the trade balance  fell to a -0.21B deficit from a 1.43B surplus. Adding to the Aussie  dollar\u2019s misfortune was this morning\u2019s Chinese interest rate hike. While  monetary policy tightening was expected and largely priced into the  market it remains a setback for Australia as China is Australia\u2019s  largest trade partner and has a 23.1% share of Australian exports. A  vast majority of these exports are mining products such as iron ore and  coal. Traders may find viable entries long into the AUD\/USD at the  1.0250 support level off of the February high.<\/p>\n<p>This afternoon traders will be following the ISM Non-Manufacturing  PMI at 14:00 GMT. Expectations are high for the report that could show  the seventh consecutive rise in the data. Fed meeting minutes are also  due out at 18:00 GMT and may show further disputes between the hawks and  the doves over US monetary policy.<\/p>\n<p>The EUR\/USD may decline further as Thursday\u2019s ECB policy decision  nears. A retracement target from last week\u2019s low to yesterday\u2019s high  comes in at 1.4115. Below that stands the low from last Friday\u2019s  payrolls release at 1.4060. To the upside the 1.4280 level should cap  any short term gains.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><em><strong><a href=\"http:\/\/www.forexyard.com\/?zone_id=1398\" target=\"_blank\">Forex Market Analysis provided by ForexYard. <\/a><\/strong><\/em><\/span><em><strong><a href=\"http:\/\/www.forexyard.com\/?zone_id=1398\" target=\"_blank\"><br \/>\n<\/a><\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<p>\u00a9 2006 by FxYard Ltd<\/p>\n<p>Disclaimer: Trading Foreign Exchange carries a high level of risk and                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           may                               not                         be                                                                                                   suitable                                         for                                               all                                                                                                                                                       investors.                                                                            There                                                            is                   a                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     possibility                                                                                          that                                                                                                                        you                                                                               could                                                                                                                 sustain     a                                             loss                                                                       of                               all                                                 of                                                                your                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 investment                           and                                                                                                                                                                                        therefore                             you                                                                                                                                                   should                                            not                                                                                                            invest                                                                                                                 money                                            that                                                        you                                                                                                                                                 cannot                                                                                                 afford                   to                                                                                                                         lose.                                      You                                                                                                                                     should                                                    be                                                                     aware                                                of                                                                                                  all                                                         the                                                             risks                                                                                                                                                                                           associated                                                                               with                                                                                       Foreign                                                                                                                                   Exchange                                                                                                                                                     trading.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The US dollar rallied across the board after Moody\u2019s slashed the credit rating of Portugal. The lone exception is versus sterling following a significantly stronger than expected services PMI. The pound is by far the strongest performer during European trading.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-20508","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20508","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=20508"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20508\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=20508"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=20508"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=20508"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}