{"id":20148,"date":"2011-03-15T22:54:29","date_gmt":"2011-03-16T02:54:29","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/countingpips.com\/fx\/?p=20148"},"modified":"2011-03-15T22:54:29","modified_gmt":"2011-03-16T02:54:29","slug":"what-investments-will-be-affected-by-the-tragedy-in-japan","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/2011\/03\/15\/what-investments-will-be-affected-by-the-tragedy-in-japan\/","title":{"rendered":"What Investments Will Be Affected by the Tragedy in Japan?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"http:\/\/taipanpublishinggroup.com\" target=\"_blank\"><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><strong>By Jared Levy, Editor, Smart Investing Daily, taipanpublishinggroup.com<\/strong><\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<p>First and foremost, we at Taipan offer our thoughts and prayers to  everyone who has been affected by the recent events that have struck  Japan. As a trader or investor, as awkward and sometimes morbid as it  may be, you must think about how your investment portfolio will be  affected by a natural disaster such as this.<\/p>\n<p>Given the enormity, severity and far-reaching ramifications of an  event like we have seen, finding an investment angle can be a daunting  task.<\/p>\n<p>It helps to make a list of possible sectors, stocks and currencies  that may be vulnerable, along with a basic thesis for each before you  think about investing any cash or adjusting positions in your portfolio.  Furthermore, you should understand how each investment is linked to the  <a title=\"Japan Disaster Threatens Economic Recovery, Affects Economies Globally \" href=\"http:\/\/www.huffingtonpost.com\/2011\/03\/15\/japan-earthquake-economy_n_835874.html\" target=\"_blank\">Japanese economy<\/a> and\/or the after effects of the disaster.<\/p>\n<p>A good friend and fellow trader, Jeff Tomasulo, was kind enough to send me a list he compiled of the companies, <a title=\"Could Disaster Be Brewing Inside These Popular ETFs?\" href=\"http:\/\/www.taipanpublishinggroup.com\/tpg\/smart-investing-daily\/smart-investing-021711.html\" target=\"_self\">ETFs<\/a> and currency funds that may be correlated directly or indirectly to the  disaster. He also gave me permission to share this list with you. I&#8217;ve  narrowed it down to key companies and investments (because with a  tragedy as big as what&#8217;s unfolding in Japan can affect huge numbers of  investments) and offered commentary to help rationalize each sector for  you.<\/p>\n<h3>Japanese ETFs<\/h3>\n<p><em>The following ETFs are traded here in the States and allow you to  take bullish or bearish positions in a basket of stocks or currency.  The Japanese stock market has been weak, but the yen has been rallying.  Investments in either of these ETFs require further research. There are  many forces pulling on both the currency and profitability of Japanese  companies. Speculating on these types of occurrences requires great  skill; use caution.<\/em><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>iShares MSCI Japan Index (<a title=\"Google Finance: iShares MSCI Japan Index (ETF)\" href=\"http:\/\/www.google.com\/finance?q=EWJ%3ANYSE\" target=\"_blank\">EWJ:NYSE<\/a>) &#8212; <\/strong>This  is a very wide stock index that encompasses 85% of total equities in  Japan. It gives you broad exposure to the Japanese stock market, which  still looks weak.<\/li>\n<li><strong>CurrencyShares Japanese Yen Trust (<a title=\"Google Finance: CurrencyShares Japanese Yen Trust \" href=\"http:\/\/www.google.com\/finance?q=FXY%3ANYSE\" target=\"_blank\">FXY:NYSE<\/a>) &#8212; <\/strong>This  is an ETF that essentially tracks performance of the USD\/Japanese yen  pair, multiplied by 100. It trades similar to stock. If the yen is  increasing in strength against the dollar, the index is rising and vice  versa. It is an alternative to trading the FX markets.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>One thing to keep in mind is that Japan&#8217;s economy is heavily reliant  on exports. A stronger currency makes Japan&#8217;s exports more expensive for  other countries to buy. The severe damage to Japan&#8217;s infrastructure  will also impede production and exports.<\/p>\n<h3>Japanese ADRs<\/h3>\n<p><em>Below is a list of Japanese companies that trade on U.S.  exchanges. Basically these stocks trade in tandem with their stocks  listed overseas. An ADR (American depositary receipt) trades just like a  regular stock. They are an easy way for the average investor to buy or  short a foreign company. <\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Some of these companies may or may not be severely affected;  remember that many of them sell products around the world. Problems may  arise if their factories are damaged or if they have trouble shipping  goods. <\/em><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Advantest Corp. (<a title=\"Google Finance: Advantest Corp. (ADR) \" href=\"http:\/\/www.google.com\/finance?q=ATE%3ANYSE\" target=\"_blank\">ATE:NYSE<\/a>) &#8212; <\/strong>chipmaker<\/li>\n<li><strong>Nintendo Co. (<a title=\"Google Finance: Nintendo Co., Ltd (ADR) \" href=\"http:\/\/www.google.com\/finance?q=PINK:NTDOY\" target=\"_blank\">NTDOY:Pink Sheet<\/a>) &#8212; <\/strong>game consol maker<\/li>\n<li><strong>Sony Corp. (<a title=\"Google Finance: Sony Corporation (ADR)\" href=\"http:\/\/www.google.com\/finance?q=SNE%3ANYSE\" target=\"_blank\">SNE:NYSE<\/a>) &#8212; <\/strong>electronics such as cameras, televisions, video players<\/li>\n<li><strong>Panasonic Corp. (<a title=\"Google Finance: Panasonic Corporation (ADR)\" href=\"http:\/\/www.google.com\/finance?q=PC%3ANYSE\" target=\"_blank\">PC:NYSE<\/a>) &#8212; <\/strong>similar to Sony<\/li>\n<li><strong>Canon (<a title=\"Google Finance: Canon Inc. (ADR) \" href=\"http:\/\/www.google.com\/finance?q=CAJ%3ANYSE\" target=\"_blank\">CAJ:NYSE<\/a>) &#8212; <\/strong>digital and manual cameras, printers and copiers<\/li>\n<li><strong>Hitachi Ltd. (<a title=\"Google Finance: Hitachi, Ltd. (ADR)\" href=\"http:\/\/www.google.com\/finance?q=HIT%3ANYSE\" target=\"_blank\">HIT:NYSE<\/a>) &#8212; <\/strong>electronics, power tools, and even power systems for nuclear plants<\/li>\n<li><strong>Nippon Telegraph &amp; Telephone Corp. (<a title=\"Google Finance: Nippon Telegraph &amp; Telephone Corp. (ADR)\" href=\"http:\/\/www.google.com\/finance?q=NTT%3ANYSE\" target=\"_blank\">NTT:NYSE<\/a>) &#8212; <\/strong>mobile phone provider<\/li>\n<li><strong>Honda Motor (<a title=\"Google Finance: HONDA MOTOR CO., LTD. (ADR)\" href=\"http:\/\/www.google.com\/finance?q=HMC%3ANYSE\" target=\"_blank\">HMC:NYSE<\/a>) &#8212; <\/strong>manufacturer of automobiles, motorcycles, and multi-utility vehicles<\/li>\n<li><strong>Nissan Motor Corp. (<a title=\"Google Finance: Nissan Motor Co., Ltd. (ADR)\" href=\"http:\/\/www.google.com\/finance?q=PINK:NSANY\" target=\"_blank\">NSANY:Pink Sheet<\/a>) &#8212; <\/strong>makes automotives products and industrial machinery<\/li>\n<li><strong>Toyota<\/strong><strong> Motor (<a title=\"Google Finance: Toyota Motor Corporation (ADR)\" href=\"http:\/\/www.google.com\/finance?q=TM%3ANYSE\" target=\"_blank\">TM:NYSE<\/a>) &#8212; <\/strong>major automaker<\/li>\n<li><strong>Mitsui<\/strong> (<strong><a title=\"Google Finance: Mitsui &amp; Co., Ltd. (ADR)\" href=\"http:\/\/www.google.com\/finance?q=MITSY%3ANASDAQ\" target=\"_blank\">MITSY:NASDAQ<\/a>)&#8211; <\/strong>general trading company<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Some of these companies also have production in other countries, so  going through this list with a fine-toothed comb could help you find  companies whose production will not be hampered as greatly as others  with production in Japan.<\/p>\n<p><em>(Investing doesn&#8217;t have to be complicated. Sign up for <\/em>Smart Investing Daily<em> and let me and my fellow editor Sara Nunnally simplify the stock market for you with our <a title=\"Sign up for Smart Investing Daily\" href=\"http:\/\/www.taipanpublishinggroup.com\/free-signups\/splash\/sid-video-su2.html\" target=\"_self\">easy-to-understand investment articles<\/a>.)<\/em><\/p>\n<h3>U.S. Listed Insurers\/Reinsurers<\/h3>\n<p><em>Insurance companies may have exposure to Japan, as they may have to pay large claims to make good on their policies.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Here are a couple companies in that space that may have exposure.<\/em><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Aflac (<a title=\"Google Finance: AFLAC Incorporated \" href=\"http:\/\/www.google.com\/finance?q=AFL%3ANYSE\" target=\"_blank\">AFL:NYSE<\/a>)<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong>Berkshire Hathaway (<a title=\"Google Finance: Berkshire Hathaway Inc. \" href=\"http:\/\/www.google.com\/finance?q=Berkshire+Hathaway+\" target=\"_blank\">BRK-B:NYSE<\/a>)<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong>Prudential (<a title=\"Google Finance: Prudential Financial, Inc.\" href=\"http:\/\/www.google.com\/finance?q=PRU%3ANYSE\" target=\"_blank\">PRU:NYSE<\/a>)<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong>Travelers (<a title=\"Google Finance: The Travelers Companies, Inc. \" href=\"http:\/\/www.google.com\/finance?q=TRV%3ANYSE\" target=\"_blank\">TRV:NYSE<\/a>)<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong>Aviva Plc (<a title=\"Google Finance: Aviva Plc (ADR)\" href=\"http:\/\/www.google.com\/finance?q=AV%3ANYSE\" target=\"_blank\">AV:NYSE<\/a>)<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong>ACE Limited (<a title=\"Google Finance: ACE Limited \" href=\"http:\/\/www.google.com\/finance?q=ACE%3ANYSE\" target=\"_blank\">ACE:NYSE<\/a>)<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong>Allstate (<a title=\"Google Finance: The Allstate Corporation \" href=\"http:\/\/www.google.com\/finance?q=ALL%3ANYSE\" target=\"_blank\">ALL:NYSE<\/a>)<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong>Everest Re Group, Ltd.(<a title=\"Google Finance: Everest Re Group, Ltd.\" href=\"http:\/\/www.google.com\/finance?q=RE%3ANYSE\" target=\"_blank\">RE:NYSE<\/a>)<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong>RenaissanceRe Holdings Ltd. (<a title=\"Google Finance: RenaissanceRe Holdings Ltd.\" href=\"http:\/\/www.google.com\/finance?q=RNR%3ANYSE\" target=\"_blank\">RNR:NYSE<\/a>)<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>This sector requires some work to understand. One company, <strong>Aflac (AFL:NYSE)<\/strong> previously said it is the No. 1 insurance company in Japan in terms of  individual policies in force and Aflac Japan&#8217;s revenues accounted for  75% of the company&#8217;s total revenues in 2010. That exposure may put  continued pressure on the company famous for their quacking duck.<\/p>\n<h3>Disaster Prevention and Protection<\/h3>\n<p><em>Preparing for disaster and preventing the loss of life and  property is big business; these two companies may see future investments  from municipalities, governments, builders, etc. who want not only get  an early warning, but protect structures from damage.<\/em><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Taylor Devices (<a title=\"Google Finance: Taylor Devices, Inc.\" href=\"http:\/\/www.google.com\/finance?q=TAYD%3ANASDAQ\" target=\"_blank\">TAYD:NASDAQ<\/a>)<\/strong> produces seismic dampers, which are designed to ameliorate the effects  of earthquake tremors on structures and represent a substantial part of  the business of the company.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Sutron Corp. (<a title=\"Google Finance: Sutron Corporation \" href=\"http:\/\/www.google.com\/finance?q=STRN%3ANASDAQ\" target=\"_blank\">STRN:NASDAQ<\/a>)<\/strong>specializes  in meteorological and oceanic management of water resources for early  warning of disastrous floods, storms or tsunamis, and for the  optimization of hydropower plants.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>This sector is one of the first to see investment interest after a  disaster. After the 2004 tsunami that killed hundreds of thousands of  people from Thailand and Indonesia to India and Sri Lanka, Taylor  Devices jumped from $2.52 to $7.24 overnight.<\/p>\n<h3>Energy<\/h3>\n<p>If a substantial number of Japan&#8217;s nuclear reactors remain offline or  if radiation leaks continue, you can bet that alternative energy  sources will not only be needed, but demanded by the people\/government.<\/p>\n<p>Traditional thermal generation is first on the list and less expensive than coal, oil, and natural gas\/LNG.<\/p>\n<p>Solar panels and wind turbines are more costly, but may get serious consideration given the circumstances.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Tesoro (<a title=\"Google Finance: Tesoro Corporation \" href=\"http:\/\/www.google.com\/finance?q=TSO%3ANYSE\" target=\"_blank\">TSO:NYSE<\/a>) &#8212; <\/strong>oil and gas refiner<\/li>\n<li><strong>Valero (<a title=\"Google Finance: Valero Energy Corporation \" href=\"http:\/\/www.google.com\/finance?q=VLO%3ANYSE\" target=\"_blank\">VLO:NYSE<\/a>) &#8212; <\/strong>oil and gas refiner<\/li>\n<li><strong>Hess (<a title=\"Google Finance: Hess Corp.\" href=\"http:\/\/www.google.com\/finance?q=HES%3ANYSE\" target=\"_blank\">HES:NYSE<\/a>) &#8212; <\/strong>oil and gas refiner<\/li>\n<li><strong>Marathon Oil (<a title=\"Google Finance: Marathon Oil Corporation \" href=\"http:\/\/www.google.com\/finance?q=MRO%3ANYSE\" target=\"_blank\">MRO:NYSE<\/a>) &#8212; <\/strong>oil and gas refiner<\/li>\n<li><strong>First Solar (<a title=\"Google Finance: First Solar, Inc.\" href=\"http:\/\/www.google.com\/finance?q=FSLR%3ANASDAQ\" target=\"_blank\">FSLR:NASDAQ<\/a>) &#8212; <\/strong>solar panel manufacturer<\/li>\n<li><strong>United States Natural Gas Fund (<a title=\"Google Finance: United States Natural Gas Fund, LP \" href=\"http:\/\/www.google.com\/finance?q=UNG%3ANYSE\" target=\"_blank\">UNG:NYSE<\/a>) &#8212; <\/strong>Natural gas fund ETF<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Japan imports nearly all its energy &#8212; oil, natural gas, fuel&#8230; Companies from refiners to <a title=\"How Egypt's Turmoil Affects Crude Oil Prices \" href=\"http:\/\/www.taipanpublishinggroup.com\/tpg\/smart-investing-daily\/smart-investing-020311.html\" target=\"_self\">alternative energy<\/a> equipment manufacturers could be in hot demand.<\/p>\n<h3>Overall Rebuilding Process<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Shaw Group, Inc. (<a title=\"Google Finance: The Shaw Group Inc.\" href=\"http:\/\/www.google.com\/finance?q=SHAW%3ANYSE\" target=\"_blank\">SHAW:NYSE<\/a>)&#8211; <\/strong>rebuilds nuclear plants<\/li>\n<li><strong>VALE S.A. (<a title=\"Google Finance: Vale (ADR)\" href=\"http:\/\/www.google.com\/finance?q=VALE%3ANYSE\" target=\"_blank\">VALE:NYSE<\/a>) &#8212; <\/strong>iron ore and other metals mining company<\/li>\n<li><strong>Freeport-McMoRan (<a title=\"Google Finance: Freeport-McMoRan Copper &amp; Gold Inc.\" href=\"http:\/\/www.google.com\/finance?q=FCX%3ANYSE\" target=\"_blank\">FCX:NYSE<\/a>) &#8212; <\/strong>copper and gold mining, infrastructure<\/li>\n<li><strong>Fluor (<a title=\"Google Finance: Fluor Corporation (NEW)\" href=\"http:\/\/www.google.com\/finance?q=FLR%3ANYSE\" target=\"_blank\">FLR:NYSE<\/a>) &#8212; <\/strong>engineering company for energy, infrastructure, and government<\/li>\n<li><strong>Chicago Bridge and Iron (<a title=\"Google Finance: Chicago Bridge &amp; Iron Company N.V.\" href=\"http:\/\/www.google.com\/finance?q=CBI%3ANYSE\" target=\"_blank\">CBI:NYSE<\/a>) &#8212; <\/strong>engineering, procurement and construction, energy and natural resource industries<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>There are many companies that are not listed here that may still be  affected by the quake. Obviously, the rebuilding and\/or removal of  nuclear power plants can include another basket of companies, but for  now, this list should get your mind going and allow you to take your  research even further.<\/p>\n<p>But you may already be holding some of these companies I&#8217;ve listed  today in your investment portfolio, and are wondering if they&#8217;re safe to  keep holding. By breaking down this list into specific categories, I&#8217;ve  shown you where these companies fall &#8212; in the disaster area or the  rebuilding area.<\/p>\n<p>Those in the disaster area are likely to experience more pain. After  the dust settles, those in the rebuilding categories may generate some  interest.<\/p>\n<p>For now, let&#8217;s keep Japan in our thoughts.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Editor&#8217;s Note:<\/strong> Most People Are Too Busy Denying the  Facts to Even Touch This Story&#8230; We&#8217;re likely to be called crazy for  running this story. But at the risk of ridicule, we feel you need to  know about what&#8217;s going on. As I said, most people wouldn&#8217;t even  consider sharing this with you&#8230; <strong>Learn more from <em><a title=\"Learn more from Taipan's Safe Haven Investor\" href=\"https:\/\/orders.taipanpublishinggroup.com\/SHI\/WSHIM314\/\" target=\"_blank\">Taipan&#8217;s Safe Haven Investor<\/a><\/em><\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p><strong>About the Author<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Jared Levy is Editor of <em><a title=\"Learn more about WaveStrength Options Weekly\" href=\"https:\/\/orders.taipanpublishinggroup.com\/WOW\/WWOWM309\/\" target=\"_blank\">WaveStrength Options Weekly<\/a><\/em>, our options trading research service and Co-Editor of <em><a title=\"Sign up for Smart Investing Daily\" href=\"http:\/\/www.taipanpublishinggroup.com\/free-signups\/splash\/smart-investing-su.html\" target=\"_blank\">Smart Investing Daily<\/a><\/em>,  a free e-letter dedicated to guiding investors through the world of  finance in order to make smart investing decisions. His passion is  teaching the public how to successfully trade and invest while keeping  risk low.<\/p>\n<p>Jared has spent the past 15 years of his career in the finance and  options industry, working as a retail money manager, a floor specialist  for Fortune 1000 companies, and most recently a senior derivatives  strategist. He was one of the Philadelphia Stock Exchange&#8217;s  youngest-ever members to become a market maker on three major U.S.  exchanges.<\/p>\n<p>He has been featured in several industry publications and won an Emmy for his daily video &#8220;Trader Cast.&#8221; Jared serves as a CNBC <em>Fast Money<\/em> contributor and has appeared on Bloomberg, Fox Business, CNN Radio, <em>Wall Street Journal<\/em> radio and is regularly quoted by Reuters, <em>The Wall Street Journal<\/em> and Yahoo! Finance, among other publications.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>First and foremost, we at Taipan offer our thoughts and prayers to everyone who has been affected by the recent events that have struck Japan. As a trader or investor, as awkward and sometimes morbid as it may be&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-20148","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20148","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=20148"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20148\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=20148"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=20148"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=20148"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}