{"id":16939,"date":"2010-12-16T08:55:56","date_gmt":"2010-12-16T13:55:56","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/countingpips.com\/fx\/?p=16939"},"modified":"2010-12-16T08:55:56","modified_gmt":"2010-12-16T13:55:56","slug":"forex-daily-market-commentary-177","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/2010\/12\/16\/forex-daily-market-commentary-177\/","title":{"rendered":"Forex Daily Market Commentary"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>By GCI Forex Research<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong> Fundamental Outlook at  \t\t\t0800 GMT (EDT + 0400)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong><em><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"> USD<\/span><\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Markets have been rangebound in Asian hours. EURUSD traded  \t\t\t1.3207-1.3236 and USDJPY traded 84.14-84.34. Yesterday, equities  \t\t\tclosed lower, with the S&amp;P 500 down by 0.51%. Ahead today,  \t\t\tinvestors&#8217; focus will shift to the release of US jobless claims and  \t\t\tthe Philly Fed business index. In addition the EU summit will start  \t\t\ttoday. However we expect no major surprises related to the summit.  \t\t\tLast but not least the SNB will decide on rates today, which should  \t\t\talso be a non-event. Altogether our team expect sthe US dollar to  \t\t\tremain supported until the end of the year and prefer to sell  \t\t\trallies in EURUSD.<br \/>\n<strong><em><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"> EUR<\/span><\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>According to the Portuguese Banking Association  \t\t\tthe domestic banking sector is solid and well capitalized and  \t\t\tliquidity the only weakness. It was also said that there will not be  \t\t\tany financing problems in 2011 and that the likelihood of a bailout  \t\t\tis now lower than two months ago.<br \/>\nEurogroup Chairman Juncker said that there  \t\t\tis no reason for Italy to be penalized by the market. He also said  \t\t\tthe idea of a Euro Bond would be a systemic response to Eurozone  \t\t\tproblems and that a proposal will go ahead. However Germany has not  \t\t\tchanged its stance with respect to the creation of a common bond.<br \/>\nGerman Chancellor Merkel once again  \t\t\treminded investors that the private sector and the IMF will be  \t\t\tinvolved in any Eurozone bailout in the future. Such comments are  \t\t\tnot new, but investors remain under a cloud of uncertainty as to  \t\t\twhether restructuring will be needed or not before 2013.<br \/>\nEurozone PMIs are due and should give an  \t\t\tindication on how Eurozone GDP is shaping up, but sovereign concerns  \t\t\twill remain the focus.<br \/>\n<strong><em><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"> CHF<\/span><\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>The SNB rate announcement is due today. We expect  \t\t\tno change from the SNB and no major surprise from the accompanying  \t\t\tstatement. The franc will remain driven by external developments  \t\t\tsuch as Eurozone woes and broader risk sentiment.<\/p>\n<p><strong><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"> TECHNICAL OUTLOOK<\/span><\/strong><br \/>\nEURUSD 1.3305\/1.3292 support.<br \/>\nEURUSD NEUTRAL Pullback from 1.3499 has support at 1.3305\/1.3292.<br \/>\nUSDJPY BULLISH Focus is on 84.35\/41 with little resistance above  \t\t\tthis till 85.40. Support at 82.84.<br \/>\nGBPUSD NEUTRAL Initial resistance at 1.5965, while support lies at  \t\t\t1.5720.<br \/>\nUSDCHF BEARISH Violation of 0.9548 would expose 0.9463 key low.  \t\t\tResistance at 0.9726 previous low.<br \/>\nAUDUSD BULLISH Next resistance above 1.0031 lies at 1.0091. Support  \t\t\tat 0.9833.<br \/>\nUSDCAD BEARISH Focus on 0.9978\/31 support zone; initial resistance  \t\t\tdefined at 1.0141.<br \/>\nEURCHF BEARISH Momentum is negative; the cross eyes 1.2766.  \t\t\tResistance at 1.3004.<br \/>\nEURGBP NEUTRAL Recovery eyes 0.8528, with initial support defined at  \t\t\t0.8433.<br \/>\nEURJPY NEUTRAL 113.67 and 110.49 mark the near-term directional  \t\t\ttriggers.<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Forex Daily   Market Commentary<\/strong><\/em> <strong><em>provided                                                     by<\/em><\/strong> <strong><a href=\"http:\/\/gcitrading.com\/\" target=\"_blank\"><strong>GCI   Financial                                    Ltd<\/strong><\/a>.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>GCI Financial Ltd (\u201dGCI\u201d) is a regulated securities and commodities                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    trading                   firm,                                                 specializing               in                                online                                        Foreign                                                           Exchange                                                                    (\u201dForex\u201d)                                                                                            brokerage.                    GCI                                        executes                                            billions                      of                               dollars                        per                                                     month         in                                           foreign                                                                                              exchange                                                         transactions                            alone.                 In                                          addition                     to                                         Forex,                 GCI                                  is a                                          primary                                                                      market                             maker        in                                                    Contracts                          for                                                                              Difference                       (\u201dCFDs\u201d)                              on                                       shares,                                       indices                                     and                                                                  futures,                              and                                    offers                one                   of                    the                                      fastest                                                growing                  online                           CFD                                                        trading                                                                                                 services.              GCI              has                             over                                 10,000                                      clients                                                      worldwide,                                                     including                                                                                          individual                                                             traders,                                                                          institutions,                and                   money                                                      managers.                 GCI                                                                                      provides                        an                                       advanced,                                                                  secure,         and                                                                                          comprehensive                      online                                                                       trading                                                   system.                        Client                             funds         are                                                                   insured                                          and                   held    in       a                                                                                               separate                               customer                            account.                     In                                                          addition,               GCI                                                                                        Financial                          Ltd                                                                   maintains          Net                                 Capital                     in                                  excess            of                                                        minimum                                                          regulatory                                                                                              requirements.<\/p>\n<p>DISCLAIMER: GCI\u2019s Daily Market Commentary is provided for                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        informational                            purposes                       only.              The                                                              information                                           contained                  in                                        these                                                          reports                                                                      is                          gathered                                                from                    reputable                         news                                               sources                    and                         is          not                                                     intended                to                                            be                                                   U.S.ed                   as                                                                investment                          advice.                   GCI                                assumes                    no                                                                                           responsibility                        or                                                                      liability                                     from                          gains                       or                                   losses                                         incurred               by                                     the                                                 information                                                  herein                                                                          contained.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Markets have been rangebound in Asian hours. EURUSD traded 1.3207-1.3236 and USDJPY traded 84.14-84.34. Yesterday, equities closed lower, with the S&#038;P 500 down by 0.51%. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-16939","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16939","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=16939"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16939\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=16939"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=16939"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=16939"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}