{"id":14039,"date":"2010-10-14T09:40:59","date_gmt":"2010-10-14T13:40:59","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/countingpips.com\/fx\/?p=14039"},"modified":"2010-10-14T09:40:59","modified_gmt":"2010-10-14T13:40:59","slug":"sp-500-to-take-breather","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/2010\/10\/14\/sp-500-to-take-breather\/","title":{"rendered":"SP 500 To Take Breather?"},"content":{"rendered":"
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By TheMarketTrendForecast.com<\/span><\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n

The Big Bullish Picture for Stocks <\/strong><\/p>\n

Back in late February 2009 I decided enough was enough, and I stuck my neck out and called for a massive bull market in stocks. I based this prediction purely on Elliott Wave patterns I identified as bottoming and the sentiment gauges were off the charts bearish. We had not seen sentiment that negative since the 2002 lows.\u00a0 The re-tracement of the SP 500 over the eight odd years was a textbook Elliott Wave pattern, and frankly I think I was the only person who noticed the significance of the 666 low as it related to the 1974 SP 500 lows to 1999\/2000 highs.\u00a0 Why was that 666 number so significant and a key indicator of a major bear market cycle low?\u00a0 Well the reason is that marked a clear wave 2 elliott wave bottom both in price, and sentiment, and time all at once.<\/p>\n

At that level, the SP 500 believe it or not,\u00a0 had retraced an exact 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the 1974 lows to the 1999 highs. \u00a0That was very significant in that the market bottomed right there, and then began rallying upwards. \u00a0At that point, it confirmed what I predicted in February of 2009, that we would begin a massive bull market up in stocks. \u00a0The correction from the 1999-2000 highs lasted about 8 fibonacci years roughly, and retraced 61% (Fibonacci golden ratio) of the 25 year advance. \u00a0Everyone was bearish at the lows, again, a confirming piece of evidence to get long in the winter of 2009. That brings us forward in this new bull market to October, 2010.\u00a0 Clearly, we bottomed in March of 2009 at 666, but it was not random at all.<\/p>\n

We are now in the early stages of a big wave 3 up in the markets. \u00a0Wave 1 ended in April 2010 (A 5 wave structure completes a large wave 1 pattern). \u00a0Then wave 2 corrected in A B C fashion, which had a 38% fibonacci retracement of the prior 13 month rally. \u00a0That \u00a0completed wave 2 down into July 1st, and sentiment again was horrible at the recent 1040 pivot.<\/p>\n

Now, a wave 3 structure (5 total waves) to the upside begins at 1010 on July 1st with a move to 1130, then a wave 2 to 1040, and now a wave 3 up still in progress to 1220 if I\u2019m right. \u00a0Bottom line is the long term trends are bullish until the wave patterns materially change. Once 1220 is hit, we likely get a pullback wave 4 down, then a 5th wave up to new highs past the April 2010 highs.<\/p>\n

Subscribers to our TMTF are educated as much as possible by me on Elliott Wave Theory, but everyone who is an investor should consider reading up on the basics of the subject so you have a base understanding. \u00a0There are many free sources online to google. Consider joining my TMTF service now and stay ahead of the bull and bear moves in the market, and profit! Go to www.themarkettrendforecast.com<\/a> to sign up.<\/p>\n

Below is the simplest of SP 500 charts with some basic Elliott Wave labels. Getting complex with Elliott Wave forecasting is not a good idea: Best to you and your trading!<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

Article by themarkettrendforecast.com<\/span><\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Back in late February 2009 I decided enough was enough, and I stuck my neck out and called for a massive bull market in stocks. I based this prediction purely on Elliott Wave patterns I identified as bottoming and the sentiment gauges<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-14039","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14039","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=14039"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14039\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=14039"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=14039"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=14039"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}