{"id":12356,"date":"2010-08-24T14:27:18","date_gmt":"2010-08-24T18:27:18","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/countingpips.com\/fx\/?p=12356"},"modified":"2010-08-24T14:27:18","modified_gmt":"2010-08-24T18:27:18","slug":"what-the-weak-housing-market-means-for-your-dollar","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/2010\/08\/24\/what-the-weak-housing-market-means-for-your-dollar\/","title":{"rendered":"What the Weak Housing Market Means for Your Dollar"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.taipanpublishinggroup.com\/tpg\/smart-investing-daily\/smart-investing-082810.html\" target=\"_blank\"><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">What the Weak Housing Market Means for Your Dollar <\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #888888;\">By Sara Nunnally, Editor, Smart Investing Daily<\/span><\/p>\n<p>On Monday, I wrote to you about the top three bearish chart patterns,  and promised you three more charts today. But there&#8217;s something&#8217;s more  important right now than knowing how to recognize an Inverted Head and  Shoulders pattern. And that something could have a profound impact on  your retirement portfolio.<\/p>\n<p>Earlier this week, two articles were posted by the Associated Press  that should have you reaching for your wallet to find out if Uncle Sam  lifted it without you noticing.<\/p>\n<p>Or magically replaced your dollar with newspaper&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>Let me share with you a paragraph or two:<\/p>\n<p><em>The call from business for less government has a notable exception: the <span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><a title=\"Go to article: Banking Execs Say Gov't Needs to Back Mortgages\" href=\"http:\/\/hosted.ap.org\/dynamic\/stories\/U\/US_MORTGAGE_GIANTS?SITE=CALAK&amp;SECTION=HOME&amp;TEMPLATE=DEFAULT\" target=\"_blank\">mortgage market<\/a>.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>The Obama administration invited  banking executives Tuesday to offer advice on changing the government&#8217;s  role in backing the mortgage market. While they disagreed on the exact  level of support needed, the group overwhelmingly advocated for the  government to maintain a large role in the $11 trillion market.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>And this:<\/p>\n<p><em>A rebound in housing is considered  critical for a sustained economic recovery. But builders continue to  struggle with weak demand for new homes caused by high unemployment and a  glut of foreclosed homes on the market.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>The combination of these two snippets means more of your money could  be funneled by the government into the weak housing industry.<\/p>\n<p>The banks want all the risk to fall into the government&#8217;s hands, and on your wallet.<\/p>\n<div>\n<div>\n<blockquote><p><strong>Hot China Gold Coin Market<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>China&#8217;s gold coin market is exploding as the price of gold currently sits just off all-time highs!<\/p>\n<p>Taipan Publishing Group has uncovered a once-in-a-generation opportunity to own 99.9% pure China gold proof coins.<\/p>\n<p><strong>But there&#8217;s a limited quantity, so hurry <a title=\"Buy China Gold Coins now\" href=\"http:\/\/www.1stfederalcoin.com\/TG03GGUANYIN\" target=\"_blank\">before these rare China gold coins sell out<\/a>!<\/strong><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<h3>Why the Government&#8217;s Risk Is Your Risk<\/h3>\n<p>So far, the government has spent $150 billion to rescue Fannie Mae  and Freddie Mac. And one of the suggestions at the Tuesday meeting was  for the government to &#8220;provide a guarantee that mortgage investors get  paid even if borrowers default.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Where does that money come from?<\/p>\n<p>Two places&#8230; Taxes and bonds. The government breaks open the piggy  bank and stacks up the pennies for immediate cash injections. Or the  government can raise money by selling bonds.<\/p>\n<p>But here&#8217;s the thing. In either case, they&#8217;re using your money to make these investments. That means their risk is your risk.<\/p>\n<p>And there&#8217;s another risk when the government sells bonds. The  increase in the debt burden through issuing the Treasury bonds leaves  less money to support the economy&#8230; and it pumps a massive amount of  dollars into the system.<\/p>\n<p>Rates on 10-year notes have fallen drastically over the past year. Indeed, they haven&#8217;t been this low since March 2009.<\/p>\n<h3>What This Means for the U.S. Dollar<\/h3>\n<p>When we talk about what this means for the dollar, we have to talk in two different time frames.<\/p>\n<p>Obviously, all this debt we&#8217;ve taken on through selling T-bills will  eventually need to be paid. That will take a lot of dollars&#8230; Nearly $9  trillion. And the government has two choices on how to pay down the  debt.<\/p>\n<p>First, they can use taxpayer dollars. But we&#8217;re already running a  budget deficit, so there&#8217;s no wiggle room to pay our obligations with  these funds.<\/p>\n<p>Or, they can sell more bonds, creating a never-ending cycle of  obligation&#8230; which will work only as long as people (and countries) are  willing to buy.<\/p>\n<p>But there&#8217;s a third &#8220;option&#8221; that has been ongoing since the onset of  the financial crisis &#8230; one they don&#8217;t like to publicize: printing  more dollars.<\/p>\n<p>The Federal Reserve has been injecting newly minted cash into the  system in an effort to stabilize the economy, and there hasn&#8217;t been much  to show for it. In a way, this is a blessing in disguise.<\/p>\n<p>Had the government&#8217;s stimulus plan worked, we&#8217;d be seeing skyrocketing inflation.<\/p>\n<p>As it stands, we&#8217;re straddling such terms as stagflation, disflation and deflation.<\/p>\n<p>Near-term, the dollar is going to give and gain ground as mixed  economic data continues to confuse the markets. Long-term, the U,S,  dollar is in for a major crushing, particularly if the banks get their  way with government backing and guarantees.<\/p>\n<div>\n<div>\n<blockquote><p><strong>RESOURCE SHOCKER: More Valuable Than Gold, More Important Than Oil!<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>More than $4.5 trillion in commerce (7% of the global economy!)  depends on a critical group of natural resources. And China has a choke  hold on the supply!<\/p>\n<p>The battle to secure these vital resources will drive the shares of several companies through the roof. This <a title=\"Learn more about American Wealth Underground\" href=\"https:\/\/orders.taipanpublishinggroup.com\/CUT\/WCUTL804\/\" target=\"_blank\"><strong>URGENT FREE REPORT<\/strong><\/a> shows how you could make gains of 20-to-1 in this coming crisis.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<h3>A Game of Offense and Defense<\/h3>\n<p>That leaves you with playing both sides of the game. On Wednesday,  Jared hit the nail on the head, drawing your attention to precious  metals. These types of investments are an important part of a <span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><a title=\"Go to article: If You Like Gold's Rally, Silver May Not Be Far Behind\" href=\"http:\/\/www.taipanpublishinggroup.com\/tpg\/smart-investing-daily\/smart-investing-081810.html\" target=\"_self\">diversified portfolio<\/a>.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>And diversified portfolios are important for protecting your wealth.<\/p>\n<p>Investing in precious metals is getting easier and easier, and the  types of assets are varied and provide good exposure to a number of ways  to hold gold and silver so you can pick and choose what option is best  for your diversified portfolio.<\/p>\n<p>But that&#8217;s not the only way to play the movements of the U.S. dollar.<\/p>\n<p>Every move in the greenback&#8217;s value affects every other currency in  the world, and that&#8217;s a great opportunity for an investor. Currency  investing is a very lucrative market, with more than $3 trillion worth  traded every day.<\/p>\n<p>The currency market has been a hot spot for investors over the past  couple of years, and this has put currencies on the radar of individual  investors, too. Investors aren&#8217;t settling for a defensive strategy of  buying gold and silver as a hedge against their cash and other  investments, though that&#8217;s what every investor should be doing \u2013 at a  minimum.<\/p>\n<p>More and more people are opting to go on the offensive and hunt down profits in the <span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><a title=\"Go to article: Currency Market Notes\" href=\"http:\/\/www.thestreet.com\/story\/10833660\/1\/currency-market-notes.html?cm_ven=GOOGLEN\" target=\"_blank\">currency market<\/a>.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>That&#8217;s why new currency ETFs have been popping up everywhere, giving  you unprecedented access to the euro, the yen, the British pound  sterling, and a number of other international currencies.<\/p>\n<p>You can even play the U.S. dollar with bullish and bearish ETFs available on the market today.<\/p>\n<p>I&#8217;ve been reading Michael Sankowski&#8217;s <em>Currency Profits Trader<\/em> updates to get the latest on-point information in the currency markets, and suggest you <span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><a title=\"Learn more about Currency Profits Trader\" href=\"https:\/\/orders.taipanpublishinggroup.com\/WCT\/WWCTL804\/\" target=\"_blank\">take a look at this service<\/a>.<\/span> Michael covers the world&#8217;s major currencies, including the Australian  dollar, the Swiss franc and the Japanese yen \u2013 to name a few \u2013 and with a  growing currency market, and growing access for individual investors,  it helps to have an expert opinion and analysis you can trust.<\/p>\n<p>Don&#8217;t forget to follow us on <span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><a title=\"Become a fan of Taipan Publishing Group on Facebook\" href=\"http:\/\/www.facebook.com\/pages\/Baltimore-MD\/Taipan-Publishing-Group\/220337511074\" target=\"_blank\">Facebook<\/a> <\/span>and <span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><a title=\"Follow Taipan_Trader on Twitter\" href=\"http:\/\/twitter.com\/taipan_trader\" target=\"_blank\">Twitter<\/a> <\/span>for the latest in financial market news, investment commentary and exclusive special promotions.<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>About the Author<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<p>Sara is Co-Editor of <span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><em><a title=\"Sign up for Smart Investing Daily\" href=\"http:\/\/www.taipanpublishinggroup.com\/free-signups\/splash\/smart-investing-su.html\" target=\"_blank\">Smart Investing Daily<\/a><\/em><\/span><em><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">.<\/span> <\/em>As   Senior Research Director and global correspondent, Sara Nunnally\u2019s   diverse resume includes studies in art history, computer science and   financial research. She has appeared on news media such as <em>Forbes on Fox, Fox News Live, <\/em>and CNBC\u2019s <em>Squawk Box,<\/em> as well as numerous radio shows around the country.<\/p>\n<p>As Senior Research Director, global correspondent and co-editor of  Smart  Investing Daily, Sara has traveled all over the world in search  of the  best investment opportunities to recommend to her readers, be  they in  developed economies like France and Italy, in emerging markets  like the  Czech Republic and Poland, or in frontier terrain like Vietnam  and  Morocco. Her unique \u201cholistic\u201d approach of boots-on-the-ground  research  has given her an edge in today\u2019s financial marketplace as she  searches  for the next investment opportunities in hot sectors like  alternative  energy, currency markets and commodities.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>On Monday, I wrote to you about the top three bearish chart patterns, and promised you three more charts today. But there&#8217;s something&#8217;s more important right now than knowing how to recognize an Inverted Head and Shoulders pattern&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-12356","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12356","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=12356"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12356\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=12356"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=12356"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=12356"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}