{"id":11931,"date":"2010-08-11T13:06:06","date_gmt":"2010-08-11T17:06:06","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/countingpips.com\/fx\/?p=11931"},"modified":"2010-08-11T13:06:06","modified_gmt":"2010-08-11T17:06:06","slug":"the-economic-crisis-no-one-saw-coming-a-convenient-untruth-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/2010\/08\/11\/the-economic-crisis-no-one-saw-coming-a-convenient-untruth-2\/","title":{"rendered":"The Economic Crisis No One Saw Coming: A Convenient Untruth"},"content":{"rendered":"<h3 style=\"margin-top: 0px;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">By Elliott Wave International<\/span><\/h3>\n<p>The single most convenient untruth about the 2008 (and counting) financial crisis is that it was unforeseen. For two years policymakers have insisted &#8220;<em>There was no way to know ahead of time<\/em>&#8221; that the liquidity boom would come to a screeching halt. Back in November 2008, in fact, the usually tight-lipped Queen of England herself publicly described the turmoil of international markets as &#8220;awful&#8221; and openly asked a panel of experts from the London School of Economics &#8220;<em>Why did <strong>nobody<\/strong> notice?<\/em>&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Her Majesty is right: <em>Most <\/em>financial authorities did NOT notice the crisis before it was too late. Comedy Central&#8217;s &#8220;The Daily Show with Jon Stewart&#8221; of all places provided the most poignant evidence: A <strong>March 2009 <\/strong>video montage shows executives and economists from the world&#8217;s leading financial firms repeatedly forecasting continued upside strength in stocks, plus renewed bull market growth in financials &#8212; right as debt markets came unhinged and the US stock market headed into a 50%-plus selloff.<\/p>\n<p>Dubbed the &#8220;8-Minute Rap&#8221; (after the  &#8220;18-Minute Gap&#8221; of Nixon&#8217;s Watergate tapes), the Daily Show video feature sent an equally powerful message, as the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.elliottwave.com\/club\/analyst-videos\/ewi\/default.aspx?page=mw07-20-10nicofinal&amp;title=The%20Daily%20Show%20Clip%20March%202009\"><strong>clip below makes plain<\/strong>. <\/a><\/p>\n<div align=\"center\">\n                <iframe loading=\"lazy\" src=\"http:\/\/elliott.vo.llnwd.net\/o18\/analyst-videos\/ewi\/mw07-20-10nicofinal-aff\/mw07-20-10nicofinal.html\" width=\"595\" height=\"475\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n            <\/div>\n<p>Yet even as the mainstream authorities failed to detect the economic earthquake moving below their own feet, somebody did  &#8220;notice&#8221; well in advance. That person was EWI&#8217;s president Bob Prechter.<\/p>\n<p>The clip below is from a 2007 <em>Bloomberg<\/em> interview. Clear as PLAY, the foreseeable nature of the crisis emerges from Bob&#8217;s October 19, 2007 interview.<\/p>\n<p><object classid=\"clsid:d27cdb6e-ae6d-11cf-96b8-444553540000\" width=\"595\" height=\"385\" codebase=\"http:\/\/download.macromedia.com\/pub\/shockwave\/cabs\/flash\/swflash.cab#version=6,0,40,0\"><param name=\"allowFullScreen\" value=\"true\" \/><param name=\"allowScriptAccess\" value=\"always\" \/><param name=\"src\" value=\"http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/v\/SjS60TaD_J8&amp;color1=0xb1b1b1&amp;color2=0xd0d0d0&amp;hl=en_US&amp;feature=player_embedded&amp;fs=1\" \/><param name=\"allowfullscreen\" value=\"true\" \/><embed type=\"application\/x-shockwave-flash\" width=\"595\" height=\"385\" src=\"http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/v\/SjS60TaD_J8&amp;color1=0xb1b1b1&amp;color2=0xd0d0d0&amp;hl=en_US&amp;feature=player_embedded&amp;fs=1\" allowscriptaccess=\"always\" allowfullscreen=\"true\"><\/embed><\/object><\/p>\n<p>As the historic trend change began to unfold, Bob issued this timely insight:<\/p>\n<p><strong><em>&#8220;We&#8217;ve seen the first crack in the credit structure with a huge drop in commercial paper&#8230; These are the harbingers of a change toward the downside for the stock market, commodities including oil, and the debt market itself.&#8221; <\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Don&#8217;t believe the convenient untruths. Get objective market analysis today. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.elliottwave.com\/r.asp?acn=9cp&amp;rcn=aa127&amp;dy=aa080910&amp;url=http:\/\/www.elliottwave.com\/club\/prechter-report\/default.aspx?code=42256%26articleid=1593\"><strong><u>Download this free report that contains valuable market forecasts directly from the desk of Bob Prechter.<\/u><\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<div>\n<p style=\"padding-top: 10px; border-top: solid 1px #CCCCCC;\"><em>This article, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.elliottwave.com\/r.asp?acn=9cp&amp;rcn=aa127&amp;dy=aa080910&amp;url=http:\/\/www.elliottwave.com\/freeupdates\/archives\/2010\/07\/30\/The-Economic-Crisis-No-One-Saw-Coming-A-Convenient-Untruth.aspx%26articleid=1593\"><strong>The Economic Crisis No One Saw Coming: A Convenient Untruth<\/strong><\/a>, was syndicated by Elliott Wave International. EWI is the world&#8217;s largest market forecasting firm. Its staff of full-time analysts lead by Chartered Market Technician <a href=\"http:\/\/www.robertprechter.com\/\">Robert Prechter<\/a> provides 24-hour-a-day market analysis to institutional and private investors around the world.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The single most convenient untruth about the 2008 (and counting) financial crisis is that it was unforeseen. For two years policymakers have insisted&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-11931","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11931","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=11931"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11931\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=11931"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=11931"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=11931"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}