{"id":10429,"date":"2010-06-22T07:59:50","date_gmt":"2010-06-22T11:59:50","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/countingpips.com\/fx\/?p=10429"},"modified":"2010-06-22T07:59:50","modified_gmt":"2010-06-22T11:59:50","slug":"aussie-a-pause-before-another-leg-higher","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/2010\/06\/22\/aussie-a-pause-before-another-leg-higher\/","title":{"rendered":"Aussie: A Pause Before Another Leg Higher"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/www.laidtrades.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/06\/062210audusd.png\" alt=\"AUDUSD june 22, australian dollar, aussie, A$, forex, forex trading, currency trading, foreign currency trading, forex picks, daily forex picks, daily fx picks\" width=\"511\" height=\"290\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Like the NZDUSD pair in my <a href=\"http:\/\/www.laidtrades.com\/2010\/06\/22\/the-kiwi-to-move-up-some-more-june-22-2010\/\">other  post today<\/a>, the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.google.com\/finance?q=AUDUSD\">AUDUSD<\/a> had also broken out from a double bottom formation. After doing so, it  then consolidated within an ascending triangle before moving north  again. And like the New Zealand dollar, the Aussie made a runaway gap  over the dollar as well to start this week\u2019s trading. Now, a bullish  runaway gap is a gap on the price chart that occurs during strong bull  movements. It usually occurs near the middle of the identified uptrend  and can be seen as a signal of an increase in the trend\u2019s intensity.  With an overbought condition, the pair could, however, consolidate for  awhile again or even retrace before continuing its trek upward. If the  Aussie weakens, it could fall back to the bottom of the gap before  aiming for its minimum upside target, which is computed by projecting  the height of the double bottom from the point of breakout, near 0.9050.<\/p>\n<p>As I\u2019ve mentioned in my other post, this week\u2019s gap among the higher  yielding currencies like the AUD was due to the news that China would  make its currency, the Yuan, more flexible. At present, the Yuan is  pegged to the USD, making its value artificially low. Now, a weak  currency is in a sense good as it makes a country\u2019s exports relatively  cheaper. It\u2019s no wonder why China was able to post a 50% year-over-year  jump in their exports last month. Moving to a more flexible currency  policy would negatively impact China\u2019s exports but the flip side is it  would make the ones priced in other currencies (products from S. Korea,  Germany, the UK, the US) more competitive in global trade. Once this  happens, China\u2019s economy would move to a more balanced one and the  Western\u2019s exports industry would improve.<\/p>\n<p>Sentimentally, this would be positive for the likes of the Aussie.  Fundamentally, however, it would such would be bearish on it. Why? Well,  Australia is one of China\u2019s biggest supplier of raw materials. If  China\u2019s exports dip, its demand for raw materials would decline as well.  But that\u2019s over the long term.<\/p>\n<p>In the mean time, the Aussie could get some lift today if at least  one of the high impact reports from Germany, Canada and the US prints an  upbeat figure. Germany is slated to report is Ifo business climate  today which is seen to taper a bit to 101.2 from 101.5. Canada\u2019s  inflation numbers are also due with the core account projected to rise  again by 0.3% and the headline figure to post a modest gain of 0.1%.  Back stateside, the US will then make public its latest existing home  sales which is expected to have reached 6.17 million during the last  month. Stay tune for these updates!<\/p>\n<p>More on <span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.laidtrades.com\/\">LaidTrades.com<\/a> <\/span>&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Like the NZDUSD pair in my other post today, the AUDUSD had also broken out from a double bottom formation. After doing so, it then consolidated within an ascending triangle before moving north again. And like the New Zealand dollar, the Aussie made a runaway gap over the dollar as well to start this week\u2019s &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/2010\/06\/22\/aussie-a-pause-before-another-leg-higher\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;Aussie: A Pause Before Another Leg Higher&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-10429","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10429","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=10429"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10429\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=10429"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=10429"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=10429"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}