{"id":10400,"date":"2010-06-21T08:45:32","date_gmt":"2010-06-21T12:45:32","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/countingpips.com\/fx\/?p=10400"},"modified":"2010-06-21T08:45:32","modified_gmt":"2010-06-21T12:45:32","slug":"will-the-chfs-recent-rally-versus-the-cad-substantiate","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/2010\/06\/21\/will-the-chfs-recent-rally-versus-the-cad-substantiate\/","title":{"rendered":"Will the CHF\u2019s Recent Rally versus the CAD Substantiate?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>By Natalie R.<\/strong> &#8211; With the recent disenchantment with the EUR in light of the ongoing  Euro-Zone debt crisis and the uncertainty regarding the stability of the  American economy and sustainability of the national debt, it seem like  the world is in search of new reserve currencies. The top two choices  appear to be the CHF and CAD.<\/p>\n<p>One sign of the changing times is the fact that both Russia, who has  the world\u2019s 3rd largest foreign currency reserve, and China started to  diversify their reserve base, likely in order to less dependent on the  USD and EUR and begun purchasing the loonie.<\/p>\n<p>The Canadian Dollar has been rising in recent months due to the  relatively strong economic standing of the nation. According to the IMF,  Canada will have the lowest net debt-to-output ratio among the G-7  countries, and along with the U.S. will have the fastest economic growth  this year. It was also the first nation among the G-7 to raise its  interest rates from a record low of 0.25% to 0.50% on June 1st. the  Canadian Dollar\u2019s rise was also fueled by the rise in Oil prices as well  as the demand for the nation\u2019s abundance of raw materials.<\/p>\n<p>The Swiss Franc is another currency which has been gaining much  strength recently, particularly against the EUR. The Swiss economy has  also weather the economic recession fairly well and has a strong and  effective Central Bank. The CHF received a boost this week as the Swiss  National Bank dropped its promise to act decisively against an excessive  rise in the Franc and said that for now deflation risks have largely  disappeared.<\/p>\n<p>While the CAD has experienced a very long rally versus the CHF over  the recent months, however, it seems that recently the CHF is beginning  to gain some ground versus the Canadian Dollar. With both Currencies  cementing their status as alternative reserve currencies it will be  interesting to see if this trend will continue, especially in light of  the recent decision by the Swiss Central Bank.<\/p>\n<p>After a long decline versus the CAD, the CHF seems to start gaining  ground versus the Canadian Dollar and it appears that there is still  room for the currency to appreciate further.<\/p>\n<p>&#8211; Looking at point 1 it is evident that a bearish cross has formed on  the chart\u2019s Slow Stochastic indicating an imminent downward movement.<br \/>\n&#8211; Point 2 shows that the pair is trading near the overbought territory  indicating a downward correction may be expected.<br \/>\n&#8211; Furthermore, looking at the MACD a bearish cross may be expected as it  is at the upper border.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.forexyard.com\/blog\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/06\/cadchf.JPG\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone\" src=\"http:\/\/www.forexyard.com\/blog\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/06\/cadchf.JPG\" alt=\"\" width=\"595\" height=\"586\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><strong><em>Forex Market Analysis<\/em> provided by\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.forexyard.com\/?zone_id=1398\" target=\"_blank\">Forex             Yard.<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u00a9 2006 by FxYard Ltd<\/p>\n<p>Disclaimer: Trading Foreign Exchange carries a high level of risk and             may not be suitable for all investors. There is a  possibility      that     you   could sustain a loss of all of your  investment and      therefore  you     should  not invest money that you  cannot afford to      lose. You  should  be    aware of  all the risks  associated with   Foreign    Exchange  trading.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>By Natalie R. &#8211; With the recent disenchantment with the EUR in light of the ongoing Euro-Zone debt crisis and the uncertainty regarding the stability of the American economy and sustainability of the national debt, it seem like the world is in search of new reserve currencies. The top two choices appear to be the &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/2010\/06\/21\/will-the-chfs-recent-rally-versus-the-cad-substantiate\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;Will the CHF\u2019s Recent Rally versus the CAD Substantiate?&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-10400","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10400","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=10400"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10400\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=10400"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=10400"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=10400"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}