{"id":10237,"date":"2010-06-15T09:29:18","date_gmt":"2010-06-15T13:29:18","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/countingpips.com\/fx\/?p=10237"},"modified":"2010-06-15T09:29:18","modified_gmt":"2010-06-15T13:29:18","slug":"which-way-will-the-aussie-go-up-or-down","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/2010\/06\/15\/which-way-will-the-aussie-go-up-or-down\/","title":{"rendered":"Which Way Will the Aussie Go? Up or Down?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/www.laidtrades.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/06\/061510audusd.png\" alt=\"AUDUSD june 15, australian dollar june 15, aussie june 15, AUD june 15, A$ june 15, daily forex picks, daily fx picks, forex, forex trading\" width=\"511\" height=\"290\" \/><\/p>\n<p>What\u2019s up forex peeps! I present to you now a fresh peek on the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.google.com\/finance?q=AUDUSD\">AUDUSD<\/a>. From my <a href=\"http:\/\/www.laidtrades.com\/2010\/06\/06\/the-aussie-took-a-bearish-turn-june-7-2010\/\">post  about the pair last June 7<\/a>, you can see that it has rallied all the  way back up to the neckline of the previous double top formation after  breaking down from a rising wedge formation. Though, it gets a bit  tricky now given the conflicting technical signals that I see. This  Monday\u2019s price action confirmed its breakout from a double bottom  formation. Notice also that it has already broken its short term  downtrend line. Another bullish signal is the gap that occurred during the  beginning of the week since a gap up is usually followed by another  up move once it gets filled up. On the flip side, the neckline of the  massive double top formation could halt the pair from moving higher.  Conditions are also overbought as of the moment, suggesting that traders  could once again push the Australian dollar down. But based on the  technicals alone, if you ask me, I\u2019d say that the pair has a higher  chance of moving lower since it took a lot more time for it to form the  double top pattern than the double bottom. In any case, if the pair is  able to move past the neckline, its minimum upside target would be at  0.9150 (computed by projecting the height of the double bottom pattern  from the point of breakout). But if it fails to do so, it could fall  back to the 0.8100 area or revisit its 2010 low.<\/p>\n<p>Fundamentally, the recent rally in the Aussie are perhaps due to some  profit taking actions or covers on AUD short positions and by the  apparent strengthening in the global economic rebound. Last Friday, the  US equities markets still ended with a nice gain despite an unexpected  drop in US retail sales because of the better than projected University  of Michigan consumer sentiment report for the month of June. The index  came in at 75.5 which is above the 74.5 consensus. Monday\u2019s  better-expected industrial production growth in the euro zone also  sustained the market\u2019s risk appetite. Moreover, the AUD\u2019s interest rate  (4.50%) advantage over it peers, gave it a lot more favor over the other  majors whenever the market is bullish.<\/p>\n<p>Nonetheless, the pair could still turn around and sink since the  whole debt drama in the euro zone is still far from over. Greece as well  as its neighbors in the region are presently facing some fiscal  difficulties. In Australia, the central bank\u2019s relatively high interest  rate has apparently affected the housing market in the country and caused  it to post losses during the last several months. No major economic  data are due for release this week in Australia. Hence, any developments  from Europe would more likely be the catalyst in the AUD\u2019s short term  movement.<\/p>\n<p>More on <strong><a href=\"http:\/\/www.laidtrades.com\/\">LaidTrades.com<\/a><\/strong> &#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>What\u2019s up forex peeps! I present to you now a fresh peek on the AUDUSD. From my post about the pair last June 7, you can see that it has rallied all the way back up to the neckline of the previous double top formation after breaking down from a rising wedge formation. Though, it &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/2010\/06\/15\/which-way-will-the-aussie-go-up-or-down\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;Which Way Will the Aussie Go? Up or Down?&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-10237","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10237","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=10237"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10237\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=10237"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=10237"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/fx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=10237"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}