Futures Speculators boosted US Dollar forex bets to highest level in two months

By CountingPips.com



The latest data for the weekly Commitments of Traders (COT) report, released on Friday by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), showed that large futures traders pushed their bullish bets on the US dollar last week to the highest level in two months.

Non-commercial large futures traders, including hedge funds and large International Monetary Market speculators, had an overall US dollar long position totaling $17.1 billion as of Tuesday November 19th, according to Reuters. This was a weekly change of $2.64 billion from the $14.46  billion bullish position that was registered on November 12th, according to the data from Reuters that calculates this amount by the total of US dollar contracts against the combined contracts of the euro, British pound, Japanese yen, Australian dollar, Canadian dollar and the Swiss franc.

The latest data puts the US dollar bullish positions at a new highest level since September 10th when US dollar bets were long at a total of $22.01 billion.

 

Individual Currencies Large Speculators Positions in Futures:

The large non-commercial net positions for each of the individual major currencies directly against the US dollar showed weekly increases for the British pound sterling, Swiss franc, Mexican peso, Australian dollar and the New Zealand dollar while there were weekly declines for the euro (lowest level since August), Canadian dollar and the  Japanese yen which fell to the lowest level of 2013.

 

Individual Currency Charts:


EuroFX:

Last Six Weeks of Large Trader Positions: EuroFX

Date Large Trader Net Positions Weekly Change
10/15/2013 60374 -8309
10/22/2013 72434 12060
10/29/2013 70617 -1817
11/05/2013 33143 -37474
11/12/2013 16826 -16317
11/19/2013 8911 -7915



British Pound Sterling:

Last Six Weeks of Large Trader Positions: Pound Sterling

Date Lg Trader Net Weekly Change
10/15/2013 12231 3460
10/22/2013 14262 2031
10/29/2013 10162 -4100
11/05/2013 -2392 -12554
11/12/2013 -9303 -6911
11/19/2013 -1665 7638



Japanese Yen:

Last Six Weeks of Large Trader Positions: Yen

Date Lg Trader Net Weekly Change
10/15/2013 -59266 -2169
10/22/2013 -71802 -12536
10/29/2013 -62395 9407
11/05/2013 -73792 -11397
11/12/2013 -95107 -21315
11/19/2013 -112216 -17109



Swiss Franc:

Last Six Weeks of Large Trader Positions: Franc

Date Lg Trader Net Weekly Change
10/15/2013 10767 352
10/22/2013 10931 164
10/29/2013 11451 520
11/05/2013 8095 -3356
11/12/2013 3189 -4906
11/19/2013 3669 480



Canadian Dollar:

Last Six Weeks of Large Trader Positions: CAD

Date Lg Trader Net Weekly Change
10/15/2013 -10814 -2151
10/22/2013 -5364 5450
10/29/2013 -15237 -9873
11/05/2013 -18002 -2765
11/12/2013 -16092 1910
11/19/2013 -16335 -243



Australian Dollar:

Last Six Weeks of Large Trader Positions: AUD

Date Lg Trader Net Weekly Change
10/15/2013 -32237 -5833
10/22/2013 -22111 10126
10/29/2013 -23198 -1087
11/05/2013 -25067 -1869
11/12/2013 -35809 -10742
11/19/2013 -35762 47



New Zealand Dollar:

Last Six Weeks of Large Trader Positions: NZD

Date Lg Trader Net Weekly Change
10/15/2013 12668 1902
10/22/2013 13114 446
10/29/2013 10625 -2489
11/05/2013 9708 -917
11/12/2013 10366 658
11/19/2013 12476 2110



Mexican Peso:

Last Six Weeks of Large Trader Positions: MXN

Date Lg Trader Net Weekly Change
10/15/2013 7761 -3172
10/22/2013 7214 -547
10/29/2013 4896 -2318
11/05/2013 5180 284
11/12/2013 7017 1837
11/19/2013 9539 2522



*COT Report: The weekly commitment of traders report summarizes the total trader positions for open contracts in the futures trading markets. The CFTC categorizes trader positions according to commercial hedgers (traders who use futures contracts for hedging as part of the business), non-commercials (large traders who speculate to realize trading profits) and nonreportable traders (usually small traders/speculators).

The Commitment of Traders report is published every Friday by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) and shows futures positions data that was reported as of the previous Tuesday (3 days behind).

Each currency contract is a quote for that currency directly against the U.S. dollar, a net short amount of contracts means that more speculators are betting that currency to fall against the dollar and a net long position expect that currency to rise versus the dollar.

(The graphs overlay the forex spot closing price of each Tuesday when COT trader positions are reported for each corresponding spot currency pair.)

See more information and explanation on the weekly COT report from the CFTC website.




Article by CountingPips.comForex News

 

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