{"id":98567,"date":"2016-11-22T07:15:20","date_gmt":"2016-11-22T12:15:20","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/countingpips.com\/?p=98567"},"modified":"2016-11-22T07:15:20","modified_gmt":"2016-11-22T12:15:20","slug":"rice-technical-analysis-drought-may-push-rice-prices-up","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/2016\/11\/rice-technical-analysis-drought-may-push-rice-prices-up\/","title":{"rendered":"RICE: Technical Analysis &#8211; Drought may push rice prices up"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"inves-2013771842\" class=\"inves-below-title-posts inves-entity-placement\"><div id =\"posts_date_custom\"><div align=\"left\">November 22, 2016<\/div><hr style=\"border: none; border-bottom: 3px solid black;\">\r\n<\/div><\/div><p>By <a href=\"http:\/\/www.ifcmarkets.com\/\" target=\"_blank\">IFCMarkets<\/a><\/p>\n<p><strong>Drought may push rice prices up<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Vietnam and Thailand raised the lower boundary of price range for their 5% broken rice from $347 and $345 per tonne to $350 per tonne. Will <a href=\"http:\/\/www.ifcmarkets.com\/en\/trading-conditions\/commodities\/rice\">global rice prices<\/a> advance?<\/p>\n<p>The volume of global rice market is less than 8% of global rice production. Major producers (China, Indonesia, India, Bangladesh and others) are at the same time the major consumers. India the the world leading exporter as it accounts for 27% of the market with Thailand and Vietnam ranking 2nd and 3rd (18% and 14% of global exports). They are followed by US (10%) and Pakistan (9%). Major rice consumer is China where dietary intake of 65% of population depends on rice. TOP-5 global rice exportes account for 78% of global market. Thus, changes in rice prices in these countries may have a significant effect on soft futures prices. Previously, the Thai officials said there was a lack of water supplies in Lam Takhong water storage. As a possible outcome, farmers from 5 agricultural regions may not be able to harvest 2rd rice crop in current season.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center; margin-bottom: 20px; margin-top: 20px;\"><img decoding=\"async\" style=\"float: none;\" src=\"http:\/\/www.ifcmarkets.com\/uploads\/images\/21-11-2016.png\" alt=\"Rice\" width=\"660px\" \/><\/p>\n<p class=\"emailSummary\">On the daily chart, <b>Rice: D1<\/b> has failed to break down throught the support of the sideways channel for yet another time. Now it is correcting towards the upper boundary. Further price increase is possible in case of worse weather conditions in Asian countries.<\/p>\n<ul class=\"emailSummary\">\n<li><b>Parabolic<\/b> gives bulish signal.<\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/www.ifcmarkets.com\/en\/bolinger-bands\">Bollinger bands<\/a> have widened which means higher volatility.<\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/www.ifcmarkets.com\/en\/ntx-indicators\/rsi\">RSI<\/a> is above 50, no divergence.<\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/www.ifcmarkets.com\/en\/ntx-indicators\/macd\">MACD<\/a> gives bullish signal.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>The bullish momentum may develop in case <b>rice<\/b> surpasses the three last fractal highs at 9.93. This level may serve the point of entry. The initial stop-loss may be placed below the last fractal low, the support of the neutral trend and the Parabolic signal at 9.33. Having opened the pending order, we shall more the stop to the next fractal low following the Bollinger and Parabolic signals. Thus, we are changing the probable profit\/loss ratio to the breakeven point. The most risk-averse traders may switch to the 4-hour chart after the trade and place there a stop-loss moving it in the direction of the trade. If the price meets the stop-loss level at 9.33 without reaching the order at 9.93, we recommend cancelling the position: the market sustains internal changes which were not taken into account.<\/p><div id=\"inves-1179079238\" class=\"inves-in-content inves-entity-placement\"><hr style=\"border: 1px solid #ddd;\">\r\n<div id=\"inpost_ads_header\">\r\n<p style=\"font-size:10px; float:left; color:#666;\">Free Reports:<\/p><\/div>\r\n<div id=\"inpost_ads\"> \r\n<p style=\"font-size:15px; float:left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/1ApBOV\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/investmacro.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/06\/graph_techs_PD.png\" align=\"left\" width=\"80\"  height=\"55\"\/><\/a>\r\n\t     <a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/1ApBOV\"><b><u>Get Our Free Metatrader 4 Indicators<\/u><\/b><\/a> - Put Our Free MetaTrader 4 Custom Indicators on your charts when you join our Weekly Newsletter<\/p><br><br>\r\n<br>\r\n<br>\r\n<p style=\"font-size:15px; float:left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/f3RrHX\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/investmacro.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/01\/cot_pie_80.png\" align=\"left\" width=\"80\"  height=\"55\"\/><\/a>\r\n\t    <a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/f3RrHX\"><b><u>Get our Weekly Commitment of Traders Reports<\/u><\/b><\/a> - See where the biggest traders (Hedge Funds and Commercial Hedgers) are positioned in the futures markets on a weekly basis.<\/p><br><br>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<hr style=\"border: 1px solid #ddd;\">\r\n<br><\/div>\n<h2 class=\"emailSummary\" style=\"margin-top: 15px !important;\">Summary of techinal analysis<\/h2>\n<table style=\"border: solid 1px black;\" cellspacing=\"0\" cellpadding=\"0\" align=\"left\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"left\" valign=\"top\"><b>Position<\/b><\/td>\n<td align=\"left\" valign=\"top\">Buy<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"left\" valign=\"top\"><b>Buy stop<\/b><\/td>\n<td align=\"left\" valign=\"top\">above 9.93<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"left\" valign=\"top\"><b>Stop loss<\/b><\/td>\n<td align=\"left\" valign=\"top\">below 9.33<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>Market Analysis provided by <a href=\"http:\/\/www.ifcmarkets.com\/\" target=\"_blank\">IFCMarkets<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>By IFCMarkets Drought may push rice prices up Vietnam and Thailand raised the lower boundary of price range for their 5% broken rice from $347 and $345 per tonne to $350 per tonne. Will global rice prices advance? The volume of global rice market is less than 8% of global rice production. Major producers (China, [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-98567","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","no-post-thumbnail"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/98567","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=98567"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/98567\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":98581,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/98567\/revisions\/98581"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=98567"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=98567"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=98567"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}