{"id":98112,"date":"2016-11-15T07:41:40","date_gmt":"2016-11-15T12:41:40","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/countingpips.com\/?p=98112"},"modified":"2016-11-15T07:41:40","modified_gmt":"2016-11-15T12:41:40","slug":"eurusd-euro-takes-control-of-debt-market","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/2016\/11\/eurusd-euro-takes-control-of-debt-market\/","title":{"rendered":"EUR\/USD: euro takes control of debt market"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"inves-3178249545\" class=\"inves-below-title-posts inves-entity-placement\"><div id =\"posts_date_custom\"><div align=\"left\">November 15, 2016<\/div><hr style=\"border: none; border-bottom: 3px solid black;\">\r\n<\/div><\/div><p><strong>By\u00a0Gabriel Ojimadu, Alpari<\/strong><\/p>\n<div class=\"reviews-item__content\">\n<p><strong><em>Previous:<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>On Monday the euro closed down. My forecast against Friday didn\u2019t come off. The American dollar rose throughout the market due to the sell off on the bonds market. The euro\/dollar dropped to 1.0709, with gold at $1211.65.<\/p>\n<p>After the victory of president-elect Donald Trump, investors are switching funds from bonds in shares into USD, thereby negatively affecting all currencies. On Monday the yield for 10-year UK bonds rose 8.72% to 1.49%, German 10-year bonds rose 29.76% to 0.39% and American 10-year bonds rose 8.20% to 2.29%, with the 30-year bond yield rising above 3%.<\/p>\n<p>The situation on the American session is stabilising. American bond yields have begun to decline and the dollar has switched into a correctional phase. The euro\/dollar has restored to 1.0759.<\/p>\n<p><strong><em>Market expectations:<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>The price movements for the US bonds are the main driver for all currencies. At the time of writing this analysis, the 10 and 30-year US bond yields have fallen. The yield for 5-year bonds has rose 0.10%. The percentage swings were big, so it\u2019s not clear what the values will be like at trade opening in Europe.<\/p><div id=\"inves-2222374336\" class=\"inves-in-content inves-entity-placement\"><hr style=\"border: 1px solid #ddd;\">\r\n<div id=\"inpost_ads_header\">\r\n<p style=\"font-size:10px; float:left; color:#666;\">Free Reports:<\/p><\/div>\r\n<div id=\"inpost_ads\"> \r\n<p style=\"font-size:15px; float:left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/1ApBOV\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/investmacro.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/06\/graph_techs_PD.png\" align=\"left\" width=\"80\"  height=\"55\"\/><\/a>\r\n\t     <a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/1ApBOV\"><b><u>Get Our Free Metatrader 4 Indicators<\/u><\/b><\/a> - Put Our Free MetaTrader 4 Custom Indicators on your charts when you join our Weekly Newsletter<\/p><br><br>\r\n<br>\r\n<br>\r\n<p style=\"font-size:15px; float:left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/f3RrHX\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/investmacro.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/01\/cot_pie_80.png\" align=\"left\" width=\"80\"  height=\"55\"\/><\/a>\r\n\t    <a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/f3RrHX\"><b><u>Get our Weekly Commitment of Traders Reports<\/u><\/b><\/a> - See where the biggest traders (Hedge Funds and Commercial Hedgers) are positioned in the futures markets on a weekly basis.<\/p><br><br>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<hr style=\"border: 1px solid #ddd;\">\r\n<br><\/div>\n<p>I didn\u2019t bother with a forecast since I never forecast bond movements. I even don\u2019t know whether technical analysis applies to them or not. But all eyes from the banks are on them. If we go off the price pattern on the hourly, everything is pointing to a further fall for the euro to 1.0693. Only, for some reason I don\u2019t fancy selling, nor buying euro.<\/p>\n<p><strong><em>Day\u2019s News (GMT+3):<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<ul class=\"list list_type_disc\">\n<li>10:00, German preliminary GDP for Q3 of 2016;<\/li>\n<li>11:15, RBA\u2019s governor to speak;<\/li>\n<li>12:30, UK CPI, PMI and RPI for October, plus housing market index for September;<\/li>\n<li>13:00, Eurozone preliminary GDP for Q3 of 2016, balance of trade in September taking seasonal fluctuations into account, economic mood index from ZEW for November, German economic mood index from ZEW for November, UK BoE report on inflation and perspective for the economy to be heard by parliament;<\/li>\n<li>16:30, US retail sales excluding auto sales and retail sales in October, New York Fed manufacturing index for November and import index for October.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong><em>Technical Analysis:<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Intraday forecast: minimum: n\/a, maximum: n\/a, close: n\/a.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/www.alpari.ru\/data\/media\/trunk\/images\/Analytics\/2016\/11\/eur_151116.png\" alt=\"\" \/><\/p>\n<p align=\"center\">Euro\/ rate on the hourly. Source: TradingView dollar<\/p>\n<p>On Monday the euro bulls didn\u2019t manage to break from the 112-135 degree inversion zone. Due to the growth in yield for American bonds, the euro plummeted to 157 degrees at 1.0729. From here the price restored 45 degrees to 1.0789. The buyers couldn\u2019t manage to go higher. Bond sales caused a new wave of euro sales, with money pouring into the dollar. When the yields began to fall, the dollar switched into a correctional phase.<\/p>\n<p>Due to a fall in the yields, the euro has managed to correct to 1.0771 in Asia. The correction totals 45 degrees. Judging by the indicators and the price patterns, the fall of the pair is not yet finished. I think that the minimum will be updated. In any case, before taking a decision to trade, it\u2019s worth taking a look at the movements on the US bond market and the euro\/pound cross. The resistance is at 1.0787.<\/p>\n<div class=\"s_invisible_yes\">Source: &#8220;<a href=\"http:\/\/alpari.com\/en\/analytics\/reviews\/market_sessions\/16813_15112016\/\">EUR\/USD: euro takes control of debt market<\/a>&#8220;<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"s_invisible_yes\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"s_invisible_yes\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"s_invisible_yes\"><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>By\u00a0Gabriel Ojimadu, Alpari Previous: On Monday the euro closed down. My forecast against Friday didn\u2019t come off. The American dollar rose throughout the market due to the sell off on the bonds market. The euro\/dollar dropped to 1.0709, with gold at $1211.65. After the victory of president-elect Donald Trump, investors are switching funds from bonds [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-98112","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","no-post-thumbnail"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/98112","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=98112"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/98112\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":98115,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/98112\/revisions\/98115"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=98112"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=98112"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=98112"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}