{"id":97383,"date":"2016-10-27T07:18:45","date_gmt":"2016-10-27T11:18:45","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/countingpips.com\/?p=97383"},"modified":"2016-10-27T07:18:45","modified_gmt":"2016-10-27T11:18:45","slug":"expected-fall-for-eurusd","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/2016\/10\/expected-fall-for-eurusd\/","title":{"rendered":"Expected fall for EUR\/USD"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"inves-2620371602\" class=\"inves-below-title-posts inves-entity-placement\"><div id =\"posts_date_custom\"><div align=\"left\">October 27, 2016<\/div><hr style=\"border: none; border-bottom: 3px solid black;\">\r\n<\/div><\/div><div class=\"reviews-item__header\">\n<div class=\"reviews-item__info s_float_l\">\n<p><strong>By\u00a0Gabriel Ojimadu, Alpari<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"reviews-item__content\">\n<p><strong><em>Previous:<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>On Wednesday as part of a correctional movement, the euro\/dollar rose to 1.0947. The pair then dropped from this maximum after US stats came out. The values for the business activity index in the service sector and primary market housing sales in the US exceeded expectations. By trade close in New York, the euro had fallen to 1.0900 and to 1.0892 on Thursday in Asia.<\/p>\n<p><strong><em>Market expectations:<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Since the daily picture is still bearish, after an upward correction we can consider a downward impulse. In my forecast I\u2019ve gone for a fall to 1.0868. Market participants are waiting for the first US GDP assessment for Q3. The report will be out on Friday. Before the FOMC meeting on 2<sup>nd<\/sup> November, the data will have real significance for the US Fed and will have a real effect on the movements of key pairs. According to the latest data from CME Group FedWatch Tool, the likelihood of an interest rate hike in December is 78.3%.<\/p>\n<p><strong><em>Day\u2019s News (GMT+3):<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<ul class=\"list list_type_disc\">\n<li>09:00, Swiss consumer indicator for September from UBS;<\/li>\n<li>11:00, Eurozone M3 money supply and private lending in September;<\/li>\n<li>11:30, UK preliminary GDP data for Q3 of 2016 and the index for business activity in services for August;<\/li>\n<li>13:00, UK retail sales in October according to the Confederation of British Industry;<\/li>\n<li>15:30, US durable goods orders in September and initial unemployment benefit requests for the week ending 22<sup>nd<\/sup> October;<\/li>\n<li>17:00, US incomplete housing sales in September.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong><em>Technical Analysis:<\/em><\/strong><\/p><div id=\"inves-694743352\" class=\"inves-in-content inves-entity-placement\"><hr style=\"border: 1px solid #ddd;\">\r\n<div id=\"inpost_ads_header\">\r\n<p style=\"font-size:10px; float:left; color:#666;\">Free Reports:<\/p><\/div>\r\n<div id=\"inpost_ads\"> \r\n<p style=\"font-size:15px; float:left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/1ApBOV\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/investmacro.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/06\/graph_techs_PD.png\" align=\"left\" width=\"80\"  height=\"55\"\/><\/a>\r\n\t     <a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/1ApBOV\"><b><u>Get Our Free Metatrader 4 Indicators<\/u><\/b><\/a> - Put Our Free MetaTrader 4 Custom Indicators on your charts when you join our Weekly Newsletter<\/p><br><br>\r\n<br>\r\n<br>\r\n<p style=\"font-size:15px; float:left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/f3RrHX\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/investmacro.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/01\/cot_pie_80.png\" align=\"left\" width=\"80\"  height=\"55\"\/><\/a>\r\n\t    <a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/f3RrHX\"><b><u>Get our Weekly Commitment of Traders Reports<\/u><\/b><\/a> - See where the biggest traders (Hedge Funds and Commercial Hedgers) are positioned in the futures markets on a weekly basis.<\/p><br><br>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<hr style=\"border: 1px solid #ddd;\">\r\n<br><\/div>\n<p>Intraday forecast: minimum: 1.0868, maximum: 1.0912 (current Asian), close: 1.0879.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/www.alpari.ru\/data\/media\/trunk\/images\/Analytics\/2016\/10\/eur_271016.png\" alt=\"\" \/><\/p>\n<p align=\"center\">Euro\/dollar rate on the hourly. Source: TradingView<\/p>\n<p>On Wednesday the euro\/dollar corrected by almost 90 degrees. The correction wasn\u2019t out of the ordinary. In Asia the rate dropped to the LB (45<sup>th<\/sup> degree). The market is balanced at the moment. The price could stray from it at any moment. Since the day\u2019s trend is bearish, I\u2019m in the bear camp. In my forecast I\u2019ve gone for a fall of the euro to the 67<sup>th<\/sup> degree at 1.0869. If the price reaches this before the American session then we can shift the target to 1.0843.<\/p>\n<div class=\"s_invisible_yes\">Source: <strong>alpari.com<\/strong>, &#8220;<a href=\"http:\/\/alpari.com\/en\/analytics\/reviews\/market_sessions\/16498_27102016\/\">Expected fall for EUR\/USD<\/a>&#8220;<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"s_invisible_yes\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"s_invisible_yes\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"s_invisible_yes\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"s_invisible_yes\"><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>By\u00a0Gabriel Ojimadu, Alpari Previous: On Wednesday as part of a correctional movement, the euro\/dollar rose to 1.0947. The pair then dropped from this maximum after US stats came out. The values for the business activity index in the service sector and primary market housing sales in the US exceeded expectations. By trade close in New [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-97383","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","no-post-thumbnail"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/97383","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=97383"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/97383\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":97384,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/97383\/revisions\/97384"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=97383"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=97383"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=97383"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}