{"id":90053,"date":"2016-05-20T05:23:02","date_gmt":"2016-05-20T09:23:02","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/countingpips.com\/?p=90053"},"modified":"2016-05-20T05:23:02","modified_gmt":"2016-05-20T09:23:02","slug":"what-does-the-next-opec-meeting-have-in-store","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/2016\/05\/what-does-the-next-opec-meeting-have-in-store\/","title":{"rendered":"What Does The Next OPEC Meeting Have In Store?"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"inves-703803558\" class=\"inves-below-title-posts inves-entity-placement\"><div id =\"posts_date_custom\"><div align=\"left\">May 20, 2016<\/div><hr style=\"border: none; border-bottom: 3px solid black;\">\r\n<\/div><\/div><p><strong>By OilPrice.com<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>The next OPEC meeting on the <span class=\"aBn\" tabindex=\"0\" data-term=\"goog_903955430\"><span class=\"aQJ\">2nd of June<\/span><\/span> will act as little more than a forum for continued altercations between Saudi Arabia and Iran<\/p>\n<p>The <span class=\"aBn\" tabindex=\"0\" data-term=\"goog_903955431\"><span class=\"aQJ\">2 June 2016<\/span><\/span> OPEC meeting will be held amid a backdrop of oil prices near $50 per barrel, a sharp drop in Nigerian production due to sabotage, turmoil in Venezuela, Saudi Arabia operating with a new oil minister, and Iran aggressively pumping close to pre-sanction levels.<\/p>\n<p>OPEC interactions have become a direct altercation between Saudi Arabia and Iran, with the remaining members reduced to mere observers.<\/p>\n<p>The new Saudi oil minister, Khalid al-Falih, will be attending his first OPEC meeting, but experts doubt he will have the same clout and skills as the outgoing Saudi oil minister, Ali bin Ibrahim Al-Naimi.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;OPEC&#8217;s unity is now in the spotlight more than ever,&#8221; said an OPEC official. &#8220;Would we ever see a minister that carries the same weight as Naimi? I don&#8217;t think so, especially as it is clear now that decisions are in the hands of the deputy crown prince,&#8221; <a href=\"http:\/\/www.wsj.com\/articles\/saudi-oil-ministers-exit-tightens-princes-grip-1462709963\" target=\"_blank\" data-saferedirecturl=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/url?hl=en&amp;q=http:\/\/www.wsj.com\/articles\/saudi-oil-ministers-exit-tightens-princes-grip-1462709963&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1463812166288000&amp;usg=AFQjCNEvCp6IXZd8HcP2ZOEfOWoJXgLRXg\">reports The Wall Street Journal<\/a>.<\/p><div id=\"inves-1809422323\" class=\"inves-in-content inves-entity-placement\"><hr style=\"border: 1px solid #ddd;\">\r\n<div id=\"inpost_ads_header\">\r\n<p style=\"font-size:10px; float:left; color:#666;\">Free Reports:<\/p><\/div>\r\n<div id=\"inpost_ads\"> \r\n<p style=\"font-size:15px; float:left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/1ApBOV\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/investmacro.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/06\/graph_techs_PD.png\" align=\"left\" width=\"80\"  height=\"55\"\/><\/a>\r\n\t     <a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/1ApBOV\"><b><u>Get Our Free Metatrader 4 Indicators<\/u><\/b><\/a> - Put Our Free MetaTrader 4 Custom Indicators on your charts when you join our Weekly Newsletter<\/p><br><br>\r\n<br>\r\n<br>\r\n<p style=\"font-size:15px; float:left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/f3RrHX\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/investmacro.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/01\/cot_pie_80.png\" align=\"left\" width=\"80\"  height=\"55\"\/><\/a>\r\n\t    <a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/f3RrHX\"><b><u>Get our Weekly Commitment of Traders Reports<\/u><\/b><\/a> - See where the biggest traders (Hedge Funds and Commercial Hedgers) are positioned in the futures markets on a weekly basis.<\/p><br><br>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<hr style=\"border: 1px solid #ddd;\">\r\n<br><\/div>\n<p>The Prince outlined his strategy in &#8220;Vision 2030&#8221;, and a major step in that direction is the listing of the state-owned oil company <a href=\"http:\/\/www.ft.com\/cms\/s\/55265e34-168a-11e6-b197-a4af20d5575e,Authorised=false.html?siteedition=uk&amp;_i_location=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.ft.com%2Fcms%2Fs%2F0%2F55265e34-168a-11e6-b197-a4af20d5575e.html%3Fsiteedition%3Duk&amp;_i_referer=&amp;classification=conditional_standard&amp;iab=barrier-app\" target=\"_blank\" data-saferedirecturl=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/url?hl=en&amp;q=http:\/\/www.ft.com\/cms\/s\/55265e34-168a-11e6-b197-a4af20d5575e,Authorised%3Dfalse.html?siteedition%3Duk%26_i_location%3Dhttp%253A%252F%252Fwww.ft.com%252Fcms%252Fs%252F0%252F55265e34-168a-11e6-b197-a4af20d5575e.html%253Fsiteedition%253Duk%26_i_referer%3D%26classification%3Dconditional_standard%26iab%3Dbarrier-app&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1463812166288000&amp;usg=AFQjCNFoRkG_vyo6JWquMge17sF6iVgqZQ\">Aramco<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>In order to gain additional traction for the proposed listing, the Saudis will continue their aggressive stance in OPEC, and keep all the oil producers on the hook, a glimpse of which was given by the new Saudi Aramco Chief executive Amin Nasser.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Whatever the call on Saudi Aramco, we will meet it,&#8221; Mr. Nasser said. &#8220;There will always be a need for additional production. Production will increase upward in 2016,&#8221; <a href=\"http:\/\/www.ft.com\/intl\/cms\/s\/55265e34-168a-11e6-b197-a4af20d5575e,Authorised=false.html?siteedition=intl&amp;_i_location=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.ft.com%2Fcms%2Fs%2F0%2F55265e34-168a-11e6-b197-a4af20d5575e.html%3Fsiteedition%3Dintl&amp;_i_referer=&amp;classification=conditional_standard&amp;iab=barrier-app\" target=\"_blank\" data-saferedirecturl=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/url?hl=en&amp;q=http:\/\/www.ft.com\/intl\/cms\/s\/55265e34-168a-11e6-b197-a4af20d5575e,Authorised%3Dfalse.html?siteedition%3Dintl%26_i_location%3Dhttp%253A%252F%252Fwww.ft.com%252Fcms%252Fs%252F0%252F55265e34-168a-11e6-b197-a4af20d5575e.html%253Fsiteedition%253Dintl%26_i_referer%3D%26classification%3Dconditional_standard%26iab%3Dbarrier-app&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1463812166288000&amp;usg=AFQjCNHtwutv8f7KQY-7oKOoxN6fhazxCw\">reports The Financial Times<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Though Mr. Nasser did not hint at the percentage increase, even a small increase will add to the supply glut, because Aramco produces around <a href=\"http:\/\/www.saudiaramco.com\/en\/home\/about\/who-we-are.html\" target=\"_blank\" data-saferedirecturl=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/url?hl=en&amp;q=http:\/\/www.saudiaramco.com\/en\/home\/about\/who-we-are.html&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1463812166288000&amp;usg=AFQjCNFTipzMXbMs-rcHzO-OFDPPvTbQew\">9.54 million barrels per day (bpd)<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>On the other hand, its adversary\u2014Iran\u2014has quickly ramped up production to 3.56 million barrels per day and is on course to reach its targeted output of 4 million bpd.<\/p>\n<p>Iran has increased its market share in the excess supply environment by offering large <a href=\"http:\/\/oilprice.com\/Energy\/Energy-General\/Iran-Hits-Saudis-Where-It-Hurts-Offers-Discounts-On-Asian-Crude.html\" target=\"_blank\" data-saferedirecturl=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/url?hl=en&amp;q=http:\/\/oilprice.com\/Energy\/Energy-General\/Iran-Hits-Saudis-Where-It-Hurts-Offers-Discounts-On-Asian-Crude.html&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1463812166288000&amp;usg=AFQjCNFVPr94pZKFtRr0OIumJcJGpkfQNw\">discounts<\/a>, undercutting the Saudi and Iraqi prices for their deliveries to Asia.<\/p>\n<p>Though Iran had initially <a href=\"http:\/\/www.worldoil.com\/news\/2016\/5\/5\/iran-ready-for-action-with-opec-once-it-restores-earlier-output\" target=\"_blank\" data-saferedirecturl=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/url?hl=en&amp;q=http:\/\/www.worldoil.com\/news\/2016\/5\/5\/iran-ready-for-action-with-opec-once-it-restores-earlier-output&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1463812166288000&amp;usg=AFQjCNFll4OXn3E3TVco81hiOf-Cwoo_2w\">hinted<\/a> at joining any production freeze once it reached its target of 4 million bpd, the heightened tensions with Saudi show no signs of abating.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Our main competitor is Saudi Arabia,&#8221; Amir Hossein Zamaninia, Iran&#8217;s deputy oil minister for international affairs, said in an interview with<a href=\"http:\/\/www.wsj.com\/articles\/saudi-oil-ministers-exit-tightens-princes-grip-1462709963\" target=\"_blank\" data-saferedirecturl=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/url?hl=en&amp;q=http:\/\/www.wsj.com\/articles\/saudi-oil-ministers-exit-tightens-princes-grip-1462709963&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1463812166288000&amp;usg=AFQjCNEvCp6IXZd8HcP2ZOEfOWoJXgLRXg\">The Wall Street Journal<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Mr. Zamaninia said Iran disapproves of increased politicization of the OPEC. &#8220;In the Southern Persian Gulf, oil is becoming a political commodity, more than an economic commodity,&#8221; he said. &#8220;OPEC is in a difficult situation.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>He said that without solutions to the conflicts in Syria and Yemen, an agreement is unlikely.<\/p>\n<p>The relations between the two warring nations have reached a new low, with Iran refusing participation in the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2016\/05\/13\/world\/middleeast\/hajj-pilgrimage-iran-saudi-arabia.html?_r=1\" target=\"_blank\" data-saferedirecturl=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/url?hl=en&amp;q=http:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2016\/05\/13\/world\/middleeast\/hajj-pilgrimage-iran-saudi-arabia.html?_r%3D1&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1463812166288000&amp;usg=AFQjCNHFnckK9gO4eupWTJwASjDlyrQ5-g\">Hajj pilgrimage<\/a>. The negotiations between the delegates of the two nations ended in conflict.<\/p>\n<p>Considering the existing tensions between Iran and Saudi Arabia, if the OPEC meeting ends without a fight, it should be considered an achievement.<\/p>\n<p>The proposal by the Kuwaiti deputy foreign minister Khaled Jarallah for the member nations to <a href=\"http:\/\/www.arabianbusiness.com\/kuwait-deputy-fm-says-iran-oil-producers-must-not-increase-production-631601.html\" target=\"_blank\" data-saferedirecturl=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/url?hl=en&amp;q=http:\/\/www.arabianbusiness.com\/kuwait-deputy-fm-says-iran-oil-producers-must-not-increase-production-631601.html&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1463812166288000&amp;usg=AFQjCNGFqJ1WmskEZeuhIzL2OZXjjOxLsQ\">freeze production<\/a> is a feeble attempt to support prices.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;It is clear that Mohammed bin Salman wants to confront Iran not just in the Middle East but in the energy markets,&#8221; Amir Handjani, a member of the Board of Directors of the Dubai-based RAK Petroleum, told RT. He said that it was unlikely that Prince Salman will back down now. &#8220;And certainly the Iranians are not going to back down either,&#8221; reports <a href=\"http:\/\/www.hellenicshippingnews.com\/oil-wars-saudi-arabia-wants-to-keep-iran-in-the-penalty-box\/\" target=\"_blank\" data-saferedirecturl=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/url?hl=en&amp;q=http:\/\/www.hellenicshippingnews.com\/oil-wars-saudi-arabia-wants-to-keep-iran-in-the-penalty-box\/&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1463812166288000&amp;usg=AFQjCNGIFuNsuGsksr6aj0GlkDHEbhwRCA\">Hellenic Shipping News<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>While these two nations continue their slugfest in the OPEC meeting, the smaller nations have no choice but to remain mute spectators, dreaming of their glory days.<\/p>\n<p>Link to original article: <a href=\"http:\/\/oilprice.com\/Energy\/Oil-Prices\/What-Does-The-Next-OPEC-Meeting-Have-In-Store.html\" target=\"_blank\" data-saferedirecturl=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/url?hl=en&amp;q=http:\/\/oilprice.com\/Energy\/Oil-Prices\/What-Does-The-Next-OPEC-Meeting-Have-In-Store.html&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1463812166288000&amp;usg=AFQjCNG2QjUjd-YsC1VtaY0zYDwOeLXqow\">http:\/\/oilprice.com\/Energy\/<wbr \/>Oil-Prices\/What-Does-The-Next-<wbr \/>OPEC-Meeting-Have-In-Store.<wbr \/>html<\/a><\/p>\n<p>By Rakesh Upadhyay for <a href=\"http:\/\/oilprice.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" data-saferedirecturl=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/url?hl=en&amp;q=http:\/\/oilprice.com&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1463812166288000&amp;usg=AFQjCNFBeJ0RE_fPnKvUhhvzew4WoCHYRQ\">Oilprice.com<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>By OilPrice.com The next OPEC meeting on the 2nd of June will act as little more than a forum for continued altercations between Saudi Arabia and Iran The 2 June 2016 OPEC meeting will be held amid a backdrop of oil prices near $50 per barrel, a sharp drop in Nigerian production due to sabotage, [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-90053","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","no-post-thumbnail"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/90053","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=90053"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/90053\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":90054,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/90053\/revisions\/90054"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=90053"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=90053"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=90053"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}