{"id":89901,"date":"2016-05-18T04:23:26","date_gmt":"2016-05-18T08:23:26","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/countingpips.com\/?p=89901"},"modified":"2016-05-18T04:23:26","modified_gmt":"2016-05-18T08:23:26","slug":"eurusd-minimum-could-update-before-fomc-minutes","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/2016\/05\/eurusd-minimum-could-update-before-fomc-minutes\/","title":{"rendered":"EURUSD: Minimum Could Update Before FOMC Minutes"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"inves-3578902833\" class=\"inves-below-title-posts inves-entity-placement\"><div id =\"posts_date_custom\"><div align=\"left\">May 18, 2016<\/div><hr style=\"border: none; border-bottom: 3px solid black;\">\r\n<\/div><\/div><p><b>By Vladislav Antonov, Alpari<\/b><\/p>\n<p><strong><em>Yesterday&#8221;s Trading:<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>On Tuesday the euro\/dollar closed slightly down, leaving the shade at a 1.1348 maximum. I can&#8221;t explain what caused the turnaround for the euro after the inflation report came out up. Perhaps it was because of rising oil prices.<\/p>\n<p>When it became clear that the US April CPI came out better than expected, the euro\/dollar fell to 1.1301.<\/p>\n<p>We didn&#8221;t see any dollar rally for due to the positive manufacturing production data. The US manufacturing production index in April was 0.7% (forecasted: 0.2%, previous: -0.9%). Construction of new housing was also up, but that also couldn&#8221;t bring the dollar up with it. Yesterday&#8221;s statistical data started to be reflected in the Asian markets.<\/p>\n<p><strong><em>Market Expectations:<\/em><\/strong><\/p><div id=\"inves-4051790373\" class=\"inves-in-content inves-entity-placement\"><hr style=\"border: 1px solid #ddd;\">\r\n<div id=\"inpost_ads_header\">\r\n<p style=\"font-size:10px; float:left; color:#666;\">Free Reports:<\/p><\/div>\r\n<div id=\"inpost_ads\"> \r\n<p style=\"font-size:15px; float:left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/1ApBOV\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/investmacro.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/06\/graph_techs_PD.png\" align=\"left\" width=\"80\"  height=\"55\"\/><\/a>\r\n\t     <a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/1ApBOV\"><b><u>Get Our Free Metatrader 4 Indicators<\/u><\/b><\/a> - Put Our Free MetaTrader 4 Custom Indicators on your charts when you join our Weekly Newsletter<\/p><br><br>\r\n<br>\r\n<br>\r\n<p style=\"font-size:15px; float:left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/f3RrHX\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/investmacro.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/01\/cot_pie_80.png\" align=\"left\" width=\"80\"  height=\"55\"\/><\/a>\r\n\t    <a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/f3RrHX\"><b><u>Get our Weekly Commitment of Traders Reports<\/u><\/b><\/a> - See where the biggest traders (Hedge Funds and Commercial Hedgers) are positioned in the futures markets on a weekly basis.<\/p><br><br>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<hr style=\"border: 1px solid #ddd;\">\r\n<br><\/div>\n<p>Today&#8221;s key event for the dollar is the FOMC minutes. On my forecast I expect to see a test of 1.1255\/60 in the first half of the day, with a subsequent bounce to 1.1304 after the publication of the minutes.<\/p>\n<p><strong><em>Day&#8221;s News (EET):<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<ul class=\"list list_type_disc\">\n<li>11:30, UK labour market data: average wage changes, changes in applications for unemployment benefit, unemployment level;<\/li>\n<li>12:00, Eurozone definitive April CPI;<\/li>\n<li>16:30, UK March index of leading indicators from Conference Board.<\/li>\n<li>17:30, US oil reserve changes 9-15<sup>th<\/sup> May;<\/li>\n<li>21:00, US FOMC minutes.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong><em>Technical Analysis:<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Intraday forecast: minimum: 1.1258, maximum: 1.1304, close: 1.1304.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/www.alpari.ru\/data\/media\/trunk\/images\/Analytics\/2016\/05\/eur_180516.png\" alt=\"\" \/><\/p>\n<p align=\"center\">Euro\/dollar rate on the hourly. Source: tradingview<\/p>\n<p>I wrote above that I don&#8221;t know why the euro\/dollar flipped from 1.1301. By the evening the sellers had closed off all of the growth and in Asia they chased the buyers back to 1.1284. In my forecast I&#8221;m waiting for a test of 1.1260. The correctional pattern from 1.1282 indicates a continuation of the bear trend. We need to get past the 1.1282 minimum from 13<sup>th<\/sup> May.<\/p>\n<p>From the 67<sup>th<\/sup> degree I reckon there&#8221;ll be a euro bounce to 1.13. Why? Well, who would want to leave short positions open before the publication of the FOMC minute. Pretty much no one expects there to be a rise in US interest rates in June. If the euro doesn&#8221;t return to 1.13 by the close of the day, ready yourself for a weakening of the euro to 1.1080.<\/p>\n<p>Article submitted by <a href=\"http:\/\/alpari.com\/en\/\">Alpari.com<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>By Vladislav Antonov, Alpari Yesterday&#8221;s Trading: On Tuesday the euro\/dollar closed slightly down, leaving the shade at a 1.1348 maximum. I can&#8221;t explain what caused the turnaround for the euro after the inflation report came out up. Perhaps it was because of rising oil prices. When it became clear that the US April CPI came [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-89901","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","no-post-thumbnail"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/89901","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=89901"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/89901\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":89910,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/89901\/revisions\/89910"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=89901"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=89901"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=89901"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}