{"id":88731,"date":"2016-04-26T09:44:29","date_gmt":"2016-04-26T13:44:29","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/countingpips.com\/?p=88731"},"modified":"2016-04-26T10:23:57","modified_gmt":"2016-04-26T14:23:57","slug":"hungary-cuts-rate-15-bps-sees-further-slight-reduction","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/2016\/04\/hungary-cuts-rate-15-bps-sees-further-slight-reduction\/","title":{"rendered":"Hungary cuts rate 15 bps, sees further &#8220;slight reduction&#8221;"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"inves-1383089765\" class=\"inves-below-title-posts inves-entity-placement\"><div id =\"posts_date_custom\"><div align=\"left\">April 26, 2016<\/div><hr style=\"border: none; border-bottom: 3px solid black;\">\r\n<\/div><\/div><p>By <a href=\"http:\/\/www.centralbanknews.info\/\"><u>CentralBankNews.info<\/u><\/a><br \/>\n&nbsp; &nbsp; Hungary&#8217;s central bank cut its rate for the second month in a row by 15 basis points and said it &#8220;remains ready to use every instrument at its disposal to contain second-round inflationary effects&#8221; and in its view &#8220;the sustainable achievement of the inflation target points to a further slight reduction in the policy rate.&#8221;<br \/>&nbsp; &nbsp; The National Bank of Hungary cut its key rate to 1.05 percent and has now cut the rate by 30 basis points this year.<br \/>&nbsp; &nbsp; Headline inflation in Hungary fell by 0.2 percent in March from 0.3 percent in February while core inflation eased to 1.3 percent from 1.4 percent.<br \/>&nbsp; &nbsp; The central bank added that inflation expectations remain at historically low levels and inflation is forecast to remain below the 3.0 percent target and only approach it in the first half of 2018.<br \/><a name='more'><\/a><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp; &nbsp; The National Bank of Hungary issued the following statement:<\/p>\n<div style=\"color: #222056; font-family: 'Trebuchet MS', Helvetica, Jamrul, sans-serif; font-size: 14px; line-height: 22.399999618530273px; margin-bottom: 20px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;\">&#8220;In the Council\u2019s assessment, Hungarian economic growth continues. A degree of unused capacity remains in the economy, and therefore the domestic real economic environment continues to have a disinflationary impact. Inflation remains persistently below the Bank\u2019s target.<\/div>\n<div style=\"color: #222056; font-family: 'Trebuchet MS', Helvetica, Jamrul, sans-serif; font-size: 14px; line-height: 22.399999618530273px; margin-bottom: 20px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;\"><span lang=\"EN-GB\" style=\"outline: 0px;\">The&nbsp;<\/span><span lang=\"EN-GB\" style=\"outline: 0px;\">annual<\/span><span lang=\"EN-GB\" style=\"outline: 0px;\">&nbsp;inflation rate and core inflation both decreased in March 2016 relative to the previous month.&nbsp;<\/span><span lang=\"EN-GB\" style=\"outline: 0px;\">The Bank\u2019s measures of underlying inflation continued to indicate moderate inflationary environment in the economy.<\/span><span lang=\"EN-GB\" style=\"outline: 0px;\">&nbsp;P<\/span><span lang=\"EN-GB\" style=\"outline: 0px;\">ersistently low global inflation contains the increase in domestic consumer price inflation. Core inflation rises&nbsp;<\/span><span lang=\"EN-GB\" style=\"outline: 0px;\">gradually as a result of t<\/span><span lang=\"EN-GB\" style=\"outline: 0px;\">he recovery in household consumption and the pick-up in wages. Inflation expectations remain at historically low levels. Inflation remains below the 3 per cent target over the forecast period, and only approaches it in the first half of 2018.<o:p style=\"outline: 0px;\"><\/o:p><\/span><\/div>\n<div style=\"color: #222056; font-family: 'Trebuchet MS', Helvetica, Jamrul, sans-serif; font-size: 14px; line-height: 22.399999618530273px; margin-bottom: 20px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;\"><span lang=\"EN-GB\" style=\"outline: 0px;\">The Hungarian economy grew dynamically again in the fourth quarter of 2015. Over the last year as a whole, the economy grew at a rate close to 3 per cent. Based on monthly indicators, economic activity slowed in the first quarter of 2016. Annual growth in industrial output in February was lower than the high levels recorded at the end of 2015, and the volume of construction output also fell relative to the same period of the previous year. However, according to February data, retail sales grew at a faster pace than in previous months. The employment rate rose and the unemployment rate fell further. The deceleration in funding inflows from the EU leads to a slowdown in growth, but the Bank\u2019s and with a growing significance the Government\u2019s policy measures are making an increasing contribution to the economic recovery. In the Council\u2019s assessment, economic growth accelerates again from the middle of the year and a growth rate of around 3 per cent can be maintained through the Bank\u2019s Growth Supporting Programme as well as the steps taken by the Government to encourage home construction and to facilitate the faster draw-down of EU transfers. Rising incomes, the pick-up in lending and the gradual decline in households\u2019 precautionary considerations contribute to the expansion in consumption, which in turn provides a considerable support for economic growth in the coming years.<o:p style=\"outline: 0px;\"><\/o:p><\/span><\/div>\n<div style=\"color: #222056; font-family: 'Trebuchet MS', Helvetica, Jamrul, sans-serif; font-size: 14px; line-height: 22.399999618530273px; margin-bottom: 20px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;\"><span lang=\"EN-GB\" style=\"outline: 0px;\">Sentiment in global financial markets has been volatile since the Council\u2019s latest policy decision, mainly driven by expectations related to the monetary policy stance of the world\u2019s leading central banks and news coming from oil markets. Short-term interbank yields&nbsp;<\/span><span lang=\"EN-GB\" style=\"outline: 0px;\">and&nbsp;<\/span><span lang=\"EN-GB\" style=\"outline: 0px;\">government bond yields have declined since the previous policy decision. Hungary\u2019s strong external financing capacity and the resulting decline in external debt are contributing to the sustained reduction in the vulnerability of the economy. In the Council\u2019s assessment, a watchful approach to monetary policy is still warranted due to uncertainty in the global financial environment.<o:p style=\"outline: 0px;\"><\/o:p><\/span><\/div>\n<div style=\"color: #222056; font-family: 'Trebuchet MS', Helvetica, Jamrul, sans-serif; font-size: 14px; line-height: 22.399999618530273px; margin-bottom: 20px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;\"><span lang=\"EN-GB\" style=\"outline: 0px;\">The unconventional, targeted monetary policy instruments introduced by the Bank facilitate a decline in long-term yields and, consequently, an easing in monetary conditions. Forward-looking money market real interest rates are in negative territory and are declining even further as inflation rises.<\/span><o:p style=\"outline: 0px;\"><\/o:p><\/div>\n<div style=\"color: #222056; font-family: 'Trebuchet MS', Helvetica, Jamrul, sans-serif; font-size: 14px; line-height: 22.399999618530273px; margin-bottom: 20px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;\"><span lang=\"EN-GB\" style=\"outline: 0px;\">In&nbsp;<\/span><span lang=\"EN-GB\" style=\"outline: 0px;\">the Council\u2019s assessment, there continues to be a degree of unused capacity in the economy and inflationary pressures remain moderate for an extended period. The real economy has a disinflationary impact over the policy horizon.<\/span>&nbsp;<span lang=\"EN-GB\" style=\"outline: 0px;\">If the assumptions underlying the March Inflation Report projection hold, inflation will&nbsp;<\/span><span lang=\"EN-GB\" style=\"outline: 0px;\">approach the 3 per cent target only in the first half of 2018.<o:p style=\"outline: 0px;\"><\/o:p><\/span><\/div>\n<div style=\"color: #222056; font-family: 'Trebuchet MS', Helvetica, Jamrul, sans-serif; font-size: 14px; line-height: 22.399999618530273px; margin-bottom: 20px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;\"><span lang=\"EN-GB\" style=\"outline: 0px;\">Phase 3 of the Self-Financing Programme has contributed to a decline in long-term government securities yields.<\/span><span lang=\"EN-GB\" style=\"outline: 0px;\">&nbsp;The risks of second-round effects resulting in below-target inflation over a sustained period<\/span><span lang=\"EN-GB\" style=\"outline: 0px;\">&nbsp;remain, due to&nbsp;<\/span><span lang=\"EN-GB\" style=\"outline: 0px;\">persistently&nbsp;<\/span><span lang=\"EN-GB\" style=\"outline: 0px;\">low cost-side inflationary pressure, the slowdown in global growth and the historically low level of inflation expectations<\/span><span lang=\"EN-GB\" style=\"outline: 0px;\">. The Monetary Council has continued its interest rate cutting cycle in order to mitigate these risks and decided to reduce the&nbsp;<\/span><span lang=\"EN-GB\" style=\"outline: 0px;\">central bank base rate by 15 basis points. The Council has left the overnight deposit rate unchanged at&nbsp;<\/span><span lang=\"EN-GB\" style=\"outline: 0px;\">-0.05 per cent and lowered the overnight lending rate by 15 basis points to 1.3 per cent.&nbsp;<\/span><span lang=\"EN-GB\" style=\"outline: 0px;\">The Monetary Council remains ready to use every instrument at its disposal to contain second-round inflationary effects. In the Council\u2019s assessment, the sustainable achievement of the inflation target points to a further slight reduction in the policy rate.<\/span><o:p style=\"outline: 0px;\"><\/o:p><\/div>\n<div style=\"color: #222056; font-family: 'Trebuchet MS', Helvetica, Jamrul, sans-serif; font-size: 14px; line-height: 22.399999618530273px; margin-bottom: 20px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;\"><span lang=\"EN-GB\" style=\"outline: 0px;\">The abridged minutes of today\u2019s Council meeting will be published at 2 p.m. on 11 May 2016.<\/span><span lang=\"EN-GB\" style=\"outline: 0px;\">&nbsp;&#8220;<\/span><\/div>\n<div style=\"color: #222056; line-height: 22.399999618530273px; margin-bottom: 20px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;\"><span lang=\"EN-GB\" style=\"outline: 0px;\"><span style=\"font-family: 'Trebuchet MS', Helvetica, Jamrul, sans-serif; font-size: 14px;\">&nbsp; &nbsp;<\/span><span style=\"font-family: inherit;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.centralbanknews.info\/\"> www.CentralBankNews.info<\/a><\/span><\/span><\/div>\n<div style=\"color: #222056; font-family: 'Trebuchet MS', Helvetica, Jamrul, sans-serif; font-size: 14px; line-height: 22.399999618530273px; margin-bottom: 20px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;\"><span lang=\"EN-GB\" style=\"outline: 0px;\"><br \/><\/span><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>By CentralBankNews.info &nbsp; &nbsp; Hungary&#8217;s central bank cut its rate for the second month in a row by 15 basis points and said it &#8220;remains ready to use every instrument at its disposal to contain second-round inflationary effects&#8221; and in its view &#8220;the sustainable achievement of the inflation target points to a further slight reduction [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-88731","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","no-post-thumbnail"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/88731","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=88731"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/88731\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":88732,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/88731\/revisions\/88732"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=88731"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=88731"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=88731"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}