{"id":88285,"date":"2016-04-18T08:20:22","date_gmt":"2016-04-18T12:20:22","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/countingpips.com\/?p=88285"},"modified":"2016-04-18T08:20:22","modified_gmt":"2016-04-18T12:20:22","slug":"the-barrage-of-energy-sector-bankruptcies-has-begun","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/2016\/04\/the-barrage-of-energy-sector-bankruptcies-has-begun\/","title":{"rendered":"The Barrage of Energy Sector Bankruptcies Has Begun"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"inves-2411604093\" class=\"inves-below-title-posts inves-entity-placement\"><div id =\"posts_date_custom\"><div align=\"left\">April 18, 2016<\/div><hr style=\"border: none; border-bottom: 3px solid black;\">\r\n<\/div><\/div><p>By <a href=\"http:\/\/WallStreetDaily.com\/\"><u>WallStreetDaily.com<\/u><\/a> <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"attachment-home-th size-home-th wp-post-image\" style=\"display: block; margin-bottom: 5px; clear: both;\" src=\"http:\/\/www.wallstreetdaily.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/04\/0416_COMM_Powerlines_featured1.jpg\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 510px) 100vw, 510px\" srcset=\"http:\/\/www.wallstreetdaily.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/04\/0416_COMM_Powerlines_featured1-300x176.jpg 300w, http:\/\/www.wallstreetdaily.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/04\/0416_COMM_Powerlines_featured1.jpg 510w\" alt=\"0416_COMM_Powerlines_featured1\" width=\"510\" height=\"300\" \/><\/p>\n<p>In May 2001, <strong>Peabody Energy Corp.<\/strong> (<a href=\"http:\/\/finance.yahoo.com\/q?s=btu&amp;ql=1\" target=\"_blank\">BTU<\/a>) went public.<\/p>\n<p>At the time, the company\u2019s future looked so bright\u2026<\/p>\n<p>In the prior year, the coal that Peabody sold had fueled the generation of over 9% of all electricity in the United States.<\/p>\n<p>The company had 9.3 billion tons of proven and probable coal reserves. And China\u2019s coal consumption was just about to soar, too.<\/p>\n<p>Peabody even used the majority of the IPO proceeds to repay debt.<\/p><div id=\"inves-2795352845\" class=\"inves-in-content inves-entity-placement\"><hr style=\"border: 1px solid #ddd;\">\r\n<div id=\"inpost_ads_header\">\r\n<p style=\"font-size:10px; float:left; color:#666;\">Free Reports:<\/p><\/div>\r\n<div id=\"inpost_ads\"> \r\n<p style=\"font-size:15px; float:left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/1ApBOV\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/investmacro.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/06\/graph_techs_PD.png\" align=\"left\" width=\"80\"  height=\"55\"\/><\/a>\r\n\t     <a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/1ApBOV\"><b><u>Get Our Free Metatrader 4 Indicators<\/u><\/b><\/a> - Put Our Free MetaTrader 4 Custom Indicators on your charts when you join our Weekly Newsletter<\/p><br><br>\r\n<br>\r\n<br>\r\n<p style=\"font-size:15px; float:left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/f3RrHX\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/investmacro.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/01\/cot_pie_80.png\" align=\"left\" width=\"80\"  height=\"55\"\/><\/a>\r\n\t    <a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/f3RrHX\"><b><u>Get our Weekly Commitment of Traders Reports<\/u><\/b><\/a> - See where the biggest traders (Hedge Funds and Commercial Hedgers) are positioned in the futures markets on a weekly basis.<\/p><br><br>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<hr style=\"border: 1px solid #ddd;\">\r\n<br><\/div>\n<p>Peabody\u2019s equity shareholders were set to be handsomely rewarded \u2013 and they were. For a time anyway.<\/p>\n<p>Peabody\u2019s market cap surpassed $20 billion at one point.<\/p>\n<p>Unfortunately, Peabody\u2019s common stock is effectively worthless today.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/media.wallstreetdaily.com\/charts\/0416_BTUChart.png\" alt=\"\" \/><br \/>\nLike Lehman Brothers, which was the lead bookrunner on the company\u2019s IPO, Peabody has now gone bust.<\/p>\n<p>Peabody filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection on April 13. Under the company\u2019s plan of reorganization, it intends to \u201creduce its overall debt level, lower fixed charges, improve operating cash flow, and position the company for long-term success.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>With the insolvency of Peabody, virtually the entire U.S. coal industry has now gone bankrupt.<\/p>\n<p>And there are plenty of other companies in the energy sector experiencing credit distress, too.<\/p>\n<h2>Default Cycle<\/h2>\n<p>Last week, <strong>Energy XXI Ltd.<\/strong> (<a href=\"http:\/\/finance.yahoo.com\/q?s=exxi&amp;ql=1\" target=\"_blank\">EXXI<\/a>) also filed for bankruptcy protection.<\/p>\n<p>The crude oil exploration and production (E&amp;P) company already has a tentative deal with bondholders that would eliminate more than $2.8 billion in debt from its balance sheet.<\/p>\n<p>Then on Friday, <strong>Goodrich Petroleum Corp.<\/strong> (<a href=\"http:\/\/finance.yahoo.com\/q?s=gdpm&amp;ql=1\" target=\"_blank\">GDPM<\/a>), a shale oil and natural gas E&amp;P firm, filed for Chapter 11, as well.<\/p>\n<p>The <a href=\"http:\/\/www.wallstreetdaily.com\/2014\/11\/04\/energy-sector-debt-levels\/\">defaults I warned about in 2014<\/a> have arrived.<\/p>\n<p>There will be more, so let\u2019s assess the magnitude of the problem.<\/p>\n<p>All three of the aforementioned companies were losing money at the time of their bankruptcies.<\/p>\n<p>More specifically, they all had <em>negative<\/em> earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) over the last 12 months.<\/p>\n<p>The chart below shows the progression of total net debt (debt minus cash) for U.S.-domiciled energy companies with negative EBITDA.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/media.wallstreetdaily.com\/charts\/0416_DebtChart.png\" alt=\"\" \/><br \/>\nAstoundingly, there\u2019s now over $200 billion in net debt on the balance sheets of energy companies that are losing money. Additionally, $172 billion \u2013 almost all of it \u2013 is from issuers who aren\u2019t already in default.<\/p>\n<p>This chart illustrates two key points\u2026<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>America\u2019s energy renaissance has clearly been a credit-fueled boom.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<ul>\n<li>The decline in coal, crude oil, and natural gas prices now leaves a mountain of debt exposed to default.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Brace yourselves, because the energy bust has only just begun!<\/p>\n<p>This is why it\u2019s important to be wary of <a href=\"http:\/\/www.wallstreetdaily.com\/2016\/03\/14\/short-squeeze\/\">short squeezes<\/a>. After all, both EXXI and BTU experienced rallies in excess of 200% less than a month before the companies filed for bankruptcy.<\/p>\n<p>Safe (and high-yield) investing,<\/p>\n<p>Alan Gula, CFA<\/p>\n<p>The post <a href=\"http:\/\/www.wallstreetdaily.com\/2016\/04\/18\/energy-sector-bankruptcies\/\" rel=\"nofollow\">The Barrage of Energy Sector Bankruptcies Has Begun<\/a> appeared first on <a href=\"http:\/\/www.wallstreetdaily.com\" rel=\"nofollow\">Wall Street Daily<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>By WallStreetDaily.com In May 2001, Peabody Energy Corp. (BTU) went public. At the time, the company\u2019s future looked so bright\u2026 In the prior year, the coal that Peabody sold had fueled the generation of over 9% of all electricity in the United States. The company had 9.3 billion tons of proven and probable coal reserves. [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-88285","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","no-post-thumbnail"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/88285","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=88285"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/88285\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":88305,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/88285\/revisions\/88305"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=88285"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=88285"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=88285"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}