{"id":87734,"date":"2016-04-06T08:38:16","date_gmt":"2016-04-06T12:38:16","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/countingpips.com\/?p=87734"},"modified":"2016-04-06T06:42:52","modified_gmt":"2016-04-06T10:42:52","slug":"the-feds-new-policy-of-quantitative-pleasing","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/2016\/04\/the-feds-new-policy-of-quantitative-pleasing\/","title":{"rendered":"The Fed\u2019s New Policy of Quantitative Pleasing"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"inves-838504669\" class=\"inves-below-title-posts inves-entity-placement\"><div id =\"posts_date_custom\"><div align=\"left\">April 6, 2016<\/div><hr style=\"border: none; border-bottom: 3px solid black;\">\r\n<\/div><\/div><p>By <a href=\"http:\/\/WallStreetDaily.com\/\"><u>WallStreetDaily.com<\/u><\/a> <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"attachment-home-th size-home-th wp-post-image\" style=\"display: block; margin-bottom: 5px; clear: both;\" src=\"http:\/\/www.wallstreetdaily.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/04\/04-06-fed-policy-janet-yellen-wall-street.jpg\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 510px) 100vw, 510px\" srcset=\"http:\/\/www.wallstreetdaily.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/04\/04-06-fed-policy-janet-yellen-wall-street-300x176.jpg 300w, http:\/\/www.wallstreetdaily.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/04\/04-06-fed-policy-janet-yellen-wall-street.jpg 510w\" alt=\"The Fed's New Policy of Quantitative Pleasing\" width=\"510\" height=\"300\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Back in 1913, Congress established the three key mandates for the Federal Reserve: to maximize employment, stabilize prices, and moderate long-term interest rates.<\/p>\n<p>But that\u2019s so 20<sup>th<\/sup> century\u2026.<\/p>\n<p>Today\u2019s Federal Reserve, under the rule of Janet Yellen, seems to have just one mandate: to please the Wall Street speculators.<\/p>\n<p>Former Dallas Fed official Danielle DiMartino Booth calls the Fed\u2019s current policy \u201cquantitative pleasing.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>For evidence, you don\u2019t need to look any further than this chart, put together to show how the growth in the Fed\u2019s balance sheet is in lockstep with gains in the S&amp;P 500 Index:<\/p><div id=\"inves-3175657967\" class=\"inves-in-content inves-entity-placement\"><hr style=\"border: 1px solid #ddd;\">\r\n<div id=\"inpost_ads_header\">\r\n<p style=\"font-size:10px; float:left; color:#666;\">Free Reports:<\/p><\/div>\r\n<div id=\"inpost_ads\"> \r\n<p style=\"font-size:15px; float:left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/1ApBOV\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/investmacro.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/06\/graph_techs_PD.png\" align=\"left\" width=\"80\"  height=\"55\"\/><\/a>\r\n\t     <a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/1ApBOV\"><b><u>Get Our Free Metatrader 4 Indicators<\/u><\/b><\/a> - Put Our Free MetaTrader 4 Custom Indicators on your charts when you join our Weekly Newsletter<\/p><br><br>\r\n<br>\r\n<br>\r\n<p style=\"font-size:15px; float:left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/f3RrHX\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/investmacro.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/01\/cot_pie_80.png\" align=\"left\" width=\"80\"  height=\"55\"\/><\/a>\r\n\t    <a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/f3RrHX\"><b><u>Get our Weekly Commitment of Traders Reports<\/u><\/b><\/a> - See where the biggest traders (Hedge Funds and Commercial Hedgers) are positioned in the futures markets on a weekly basis.<\/p><br><br>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<hr style=\"border: 1px solid #ddd;\">\r\n<br><\/div>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"http:\/\/media.wallstreetdaily.com\/charts\/0416_FedvSP.png\" alt=\"Fed Balance Sheet vs. S&amp;P 500\" width=\"500\" height=\"353\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Thanks to Calamity Jane(t), the Fed\u2019s QP policy continues to fuel the U.S. stock market, despite the fact that we\u2019re in a \u201cprofits recession.\u201d<\/p>\n<h2>How <em>Not<\/em> to Run Monetary Policy<\/h2>\n<p>Even former Dallas Fed President Richard Fisher is highly critical of this Fed\u2019s policy.<\/p>\n<p>He told CNBC that the Fed is \u201cliving in a constant fear of a market reaction. This is not the way you manage central bank policy.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Fisher is spot on.<\/p>\n<p>The Fed\u2019s plan to hike rates four times in 2016 was cut to only two times. Even though U.S. economic data said the Fed should\u2019ve been on track for four 0.25% rate rises this year.<\/p>\n<p>Yellen blamed turbulent global markets. How convenient if the economy tanks\u2026 blame those darn foreigners for our woes.<\/p>\n<p>But what Yellen really meant by that reference to \u201cturbulence\u201d was that the Wall Street crybabies had a tough first six weeks of 2016.<\/p>\n<p>What Yellen should\u2019ve said to the boys on Wall Street is this: The normalization of interest rates should\u2019ve happened two years ago. We can delay it no longer.<\/p>\n<h2>Fed Outsources Monetary Policy<\/h2>\n<p>Instead, Yellen seems more intent on implementing her QP policy.<\/p>\n<p>In effect, as stated in a Bloomberg article, the Federal Reserve\u00a0has outsourced monetary policy to the financial markets.<\/p>\n<p>The risks of such a move should be quite obvious.<\/p>\n<p>Noted economist Mohamed El-Erian said, \u201cThe risk is that markets\u2019 perception of such accommodation will embolden them even more to try to force the policy hand of the Fed.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Like a junkie, the Wall Street speculators will keep returning to Mama Yellen and the Fed for more and more \u201cmonetary crack.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>That isn\u2019t good in a global economy.<\/p>\n<p>As I stated in a previous article, the Fed has fired another shot in the currency war with its <a href=\"http:\/\/www.wallstreetdaily.com\/2016\/03\/29\/fed-interest-rate-hike-delay\/\">no-rate hike\/dollar-weakening policy<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>This will force the already-desperate Bank of Japan and European Central Bank into even more drastic measures. These worries are why the Japanese and European stock markets have stalled while Wall Street celebrates its pardon.<\/p>\n<p>Who knows what dire effects those future policies may have on the global economy?<\/p>\n<h2>Inmates Running the Asylum<\/h2>\n<p>And all because Janet Yellen is afraid to stand up to Wall Street and deliver the harsh reality of raising interest rates.<\/p>\n<p>At the very least, it will lead to incoherent policies. And perhaps a disaster.<\/p>\n<p>The price signaling mechanism of the financial markets will go haywire. Why should a stock trade at $100 per share? With bolstering from the Fed, why not $500 or even $1,000 per share?<\/p>\n<p>The fundamentals are becoming meaningless.<\/p>\n<p>Even though earnings estimates in the first quarter of 2016 fell by the steepest level since the first quarter of 2009, the U.S. stock market kept soaring. Take a look at the graph below to see the shocking disparity in the market\u2019s current policies.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"http:\/\/media.wallstreetdaily.com\/charts\/0416_SpvQ116.png\" alt=\"S&amp;P 500 Change in Q116 EPS vs. Change in Price\" width=\"500\" height=\"353\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Yellen\u2019s Fed seems to have forgotten that price signaling is a key component of modern capitalism. We\u2019re fast approaching the point of chaos. Buyers beware.<\/p>\n<p>Good investing,<\/p>\n<p>Tim Maverick<\/p>\n<p>The post <a href=\"http:\/\/www.wallstreetdaily.com\/2016\/04\/06\/fed-policy-janet-yellen-wall-street\/\" rel=\"nofollow\">The Fed\u2019s New Policy of Quantitative Pleasing<\/a> appeared first on <a href=\"http:\/\/www.wallstreetdaily.com\" rel=\"nofollow\">Wall Street Daily<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>By WallStreetDaily.com Back in 1913, Congress established the three key mandates for the Federal Reserve: to maximize employment, stabilize prices, and moderate long-term interest rates. But that\u2019s so 20th century\u2026. Today\u2019s Federal Reserve, under the rule of Janet Yellen, seems to have just one mandate: to please the Wall Street speculators. Former Dallas Fed official [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-87734","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","no-post-thumbnail"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/87734","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=87734"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/87734\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":87744,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/87734\/revisions\/87744"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=87734"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=87734"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=87734"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}