{"id":63080,"date":"2014-11-04T08:25:12","date_gmt":"2014-11-04T13:25:12","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/countingpips.com\/?p=63080"},"modified":"2014-11-04T09:11:53","modified_gmt":"2014-11-04T14:11:53","slug":"soft-growth-outlook-and-tame-inflation-keep-euro-headwinds-in-place","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/2014\/11\/soft-growth-outlook-and-tame-inflation-keep-euro-headwinds-in-place\/","title":{"rendered":"Soft Growth Outlook and Tame Inflation Keep Euro Headwinds in Place"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"inves-2237239431\" class=\"inves-below-title-posts inves-entity-placement\"><div id =\"posts_date_custom\"><div align=\"left\">November 4, 2014<\/div><hr style=\"border: none; border-bottom: 3px solid black;\">\r\n<\/div><\/div><p>Article by <a href=\"http:\/\/countingpips.com\/contributors\/contributor-profile-forextime\/\">ForexTime<\/a><\/p>\n<p>The Euro continued to trade under pressure as the interest rate differential with the U.S. <span class=\"GINGER_SOFTWARE_mark\" id=\"2da84c1c-0386-4823-a31e-62b33b4a7089\">continued<\/span> to move in the greenback\u2019s direction.\u00a0 The EC downgraded their growth prospects for the EU while inflation remained steady at depressed levels.<\/p>\n<p>Growth prospects on the European continent continue to face headwinds.\u00a0 The European Commission announced Tuesday that it expects Eurozone growth to increase a paltry 0.8% year over year, down from 1.2% expected when the EC released its Spring Economic Forecasts in April. The forecast for next year was cut to 1.1% from 1.7% and to 1.7% in 2016. The inflation forecast was cut to 0.5% this year, from 0.8% expected previously. The 2015 forecast was lowered to 0.8% from 1.2% and 2016 to 1.5%, which is still below the ECB&#8217;s 2% inflation target.<\/p>\n<p>Spanish unemployment increased 79K in October, but a seasonally adjusted number shows unemployment is down 5.91% year over year, a marginal improvement from the 5.86% decline in September.<\/p>\n<p>Inflation remained steady but continues to decline. <span class=\"GINGER_SOFTWARE_mark\" id=\"a1bb34a0-640b-425d-b2fe-1a263c69f3a8\">Eurozone<\/span> September wholesale inflation remained steady at -1.4% year over year, compared to forecasts of a decline of -1.5%, unchanged from the previous month, and with prices up 0.2% month over month.<\/p>\n<p>The technical continue to show that the currency pair is in a defined <span class=\"GINGER_SOFTWARE_mark\" id=\"71f68fbc-4ea2-4d56-9645-614ec5b5ee46\">downtrend<\/span>, with the 10-day moving average seen as short term resistance.\u00a0 Target support on the currency pair is seen near the weekly lows at 1.25.\u00a0Momentum on the EUR\/USD has turned negative, as the MACD (moving average convergence divergence) index generated a sell signal.\u00a0 This occurs as the spread (the 12-day moving average minus the 26-day moving average) crosses below the 9-day moving average of the spread.\u00a0 The index moved from positive to negative territory confirming the sell signal.\u00a0 The RSI (relative strength index) made a lower low on Monday, reflecting accelerating negative momentum.<\/p><div id=\"inves-745667254\" class=\"inves-in-content inves-entity-placement\"><hr style=\"border: 1px solid #ddd;\">\r\n<div id=\"inpost_ads_header\">\r\n<p style=\"font-size:10px; float:left; color:#666;\">Free Reports:<\/p><\/div>\r\n<div id=\"inpost_ads\"> \r\n<p style=\"font-size:15px; float:left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/1ApBOV\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/investmacro.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/06\/graph_techs_PD.png\" align=\"left\" width=\"80\"  height=\"55\"\/><\/a>\r\n\t     <a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/1ApBOV\"><b><u>Get Our Free Metatrader 4 Indicators<\/u><\/b><\/a> - Put Our Free MetaTrader 4 Custom Indicators on your charts when you join our Weekly Newsletter<\/p><br><br>\r\n<br>\r\n<br>\r\n<p style=\"font-size:15px; float:left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/f3RrHX\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/investmacro.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/01\/cot_pie_80.png\" align=\"left\" width=\"80\"  height=\"55\"\/><\/a>\r\n\t    <a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/f3RrHX\"><b><u>Get our Weekly Commitment of Traders Reports<\/u><\/b><\/a> - See where the biggest traders (Hedge Funds and Commercial Hedgers) are positioned in the futures markets on a weekly basis.<\/p><br><br>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<hr style=\"border: 1px solid #ddd;\">\r\n<br><\/div>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.forexcircles.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/11\/eur-110414.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-4665\" alt=\"eur-110414\" src=\"http:\/\/www.forexcircles.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/11\/eur-110414-300x193.png\" width=\"300\" height=\"193\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<hr>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-54242 alignleft\" src=\"http:\/\/countingpips.com\/articles-analysis\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/07\/Forex-Time-Logo.png\" alt=\"Forex-Time-Logo\" width=\"262\" height=\"90\"><strong>Article by <span style=\"text-decoration: underline\"><a href=\"http:\/\/countingpips.com\/contributors\/contributor-profile-forextime\/\">ForexTime<\/a><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>ForexTime Ltd (FXTM)<\/strong> is an award winning international online forex broker regulated by CySEC 185\/12 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.forextime.com\" target=\"_blank\">www.forextime.com<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Article by ForexTime The Euro continued to trade under pressure as the interest rate differential with the U.S. continued to move in the greenback\u2019s direction.\u00a0 The EC downgraded their growth prospects for the EU while inflation remained steady at depressed levels. Growth prospects on the European continent continue to face headwinds.\u00a0 The European Commission announced [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-63080","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","no-post-thumbnail"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/63080","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=63080"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/63080\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=63080"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=63080"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=63080"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}