{"id":60283,"date":"2014-09-12T10:19:44","date_gmt":"2014-09-12T14:19:44","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/countingpips.com\/?p=60283"},"modified":"2014-09-12T10:19:44","modified_gmt":"2014-09-12T14:19:44","slug":"why-the-western-areas-share-price-fell-today-4","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/2014\/09\/why-the-western-areas-share-price-fell-today-4\/","title":{"rendered":"Why the Western Areas Share Price Fell Today"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"inves-3287429883\" class=\"inves-below-title-posts inves-entity-placement\"><div id =\"posts_date_custom\"><div align=\"left\">September 12, 2014<\/div><hr style=\"border: none; border-bottom: 3px solid black;\">\r\n<\/div><\/div><p>By <a href=\"http:\/\/www.MoneyMorning.com.au\" target=\"_blank\"><u>MoneyMorning.com.au<\/u><\/a><\/p>\n<h2>What Happened to the Western Areas Share Price?<\/h2>\n<p>Shares of <strong>Western Areas [ASX:WSA]<\/strong> fell by 3.35% on Wednesday, closing at $4.91. The share price has nearly doubled since the beginning of this year. This compares with the nickel price which is up 39% this year. Saying this, today\u2019s share price fall follows the nickel decline of 2% overnight as the US dollar index continues to rally higher. <\/p>\n<h2>Why Did This Happen to WSA Shares?<\/h2>\n<p>Western Areas is Australia\u2019s second largest sulphide nickel miner, producing 25,700 tonnes per year of nickel in-ore from its Flying Fox and Spotted Quoll mines.<\/p>\n<p>The WSA share price has increased since Indonesia, the world&#8217;s top supplier of the metal, began talking about a ban on nickel exports (now enforced). And with Indonesian elections now ended, the new President, Joko Widodo, is expected to continue with the unrefined nickel export ban. <\/p>\n<p>If the nickel ban continues, analysts have predicted a supply shortage of the metal leading into next year. And now the Philippine government wants to enforce similar bans; however, these bans won\u2019t come in for at least another five years.  <\/p>\n<p>As such, the nickel spot price continues its volatile climb. <\/p><div id=\"inves-2352540514\" class=\"inves-in-content inves-entity-placement\"><hr style=\"border: 1px solid #ddd;\">\r\n<div id=\"inpost_ads_header\">\r\n<p style=\"font-size:10px; float:left; color:#666;\">Free Reports:<\/p><\/div>\r\n<div id=\"inpost_ads\"> \r\n<p style=\"font-size:15px; float:left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/1ApBOV\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/investmacro.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/06\/graph_techs_PD.png\" align=\"left\" width=\"80\"  height=\"55\"\/><\/a>\r\n\t     <a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/1ApBOV\"><b><u>Get Our Free Metatrader 4 Indicators<\/u><\/b><\/a> - Put Our Free MetaTrader 4 Custom Indicators on your charts when you join our Weekly Newsletter<\/p><br><br>\r\n<br>\r\n<br>\r\n<p style=\"font-size:15px; float:left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/f3RrHX\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/investmacro.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/01\/cot_pie_80.png\" align=\"left\" width=\"80\"  height=\"55\"\/><\/a>\r\n\t    <a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/f3RrHX\"><b><u>Get our Weekly Commitment of Traders Reports<\/u><\/b><\/a> - See where the biggest traders (Hedge Funds and Commercial Hedgers) are positioned in the futures markets on a weekly basis.<\/p><br><br>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<hr style=\"border: 1px solid #ddd;\">\r\n<br><\/div>\n<p>After reaching a two-year high of almost $22,000 a tonne in May, the three month forward nickel price closed at $18,550 per tonne last night. <\/p>\n<h2>What Now For Western Areas?<\/h2>\n<p>Everyone is looking at Indonesia and the nickel price. This will determine the future for shareholders. <\/p>\n<p>But fundamentally, the company\u2019s nickel assets look good \u2014 very high grade and low cost.<\/p>\n<p>Flying Fox is a very high grade mine with a current reserve estimate of 1.5 million tonnes at an average grade of 4% nickel. <\/p>\n<p>But with the company mining Flying Fox at a production rate of roughly 300,000 tonnes of nickel per year, the remaining mine life is just 4.5 years. <\/p>\n<p>Saying this, there is significant exploration upside at deeper depths for the company, which could materially upgrade its mine life. <\/p>\n<p>At the Spotted Quoll operation, nickel production rose 31.8% on last year to 13,973 tonnes. The Spotted Quoll mine is also very high grade nickel, at roughly 5.5%. The mine life and reserves are likely to extend beyond 10 years. <\/p>\n<p>The increased nickel price has been good for the company. It moved from a net debt position to a net cash position of $10.3 million. Full-year cash costs were 7.4% below guidance at $2.50 per pound. <\/p>\n<p>Nonetheless, the share price has nearly doubled since the Indonesian nickel export ban was enforced. Furthermore, with speculative interest focusing on nickel, the price is volatile.<\/p>\n<p>The market is concerned about supply, mostly because of Indonesia\u2019s export ban. If Indonesia decided to reverse its ban, Western Areas\u2019 shareholders could be in for a lot of pain. <\/p>\n<p>Western Areas looks like it will continue to be a rollercoaster ride on the nickel price. Shareholders seem reluctant to pay more for the company than they are doing so now. <\/p>\n<p><strong>Jason Stevenson<a rel=\"author\" href=\"https:\/\/plus.google.com\/u\/0\/116781574122643362474\/about\" title=\"Join Jason on Google+\">+<\/a><br \/> Resources Analyst, <em>Money Morning<\/em><\/strong> <\/p>\n<p><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/plus.google.com\/106516983215198267222\/about\" title=\"Join Money Morning on Google Plus -- and read about the things we can't always fit into our regular essays\"><u>Join Money Morning on Google+ <\/u><\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>The post <a rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"http:\/\/www.moneymorning.com.au\/20140912\/western-areas-share-price-fell-today-3.html\">Why the Western Areas Share Price Fell Today<\/a> appeared first on <a rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"http:\/\/www.moneymorning.com.au\">Stock Market News, Finance and Investments | Money Morning Australia<\/a>.<\/p>\n<div class=\"feedflare\">\n<a href=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/MoneyMorningAustralia?a=wkx309wObz0:nNNyS-70iaI:yIl2AUoC8zA\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/MoneyMorningAustralia?d=yIl2AUoC8zA\" border=\"0\"><\/img><\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/MoneyMorningAustralia?a=wkx309wObz0:nNNyS-70iaI:V_sGLiPBpWU\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/MoneyMorningAustralia?i=wkx309wObz0:nNNyS-70iaI:V_sGLiPBpWU\" border=\"0\"><\/img><\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/MoneyMorningAustralia?a=wkx309wObz0:nNNyS-70iaI:gIN9vFwOqvQ\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/MoneyMorningAustralia?i=wkx309wObz0:nNNyS-70iaI:gIN9vFwOqvQ\" border=\"0\"><\/img><\/a>\n<\/div>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~r\/MoneyMorningAustralia\/~4\/wkx309wObz0\" height=\"1\" width=\"1\" \/><br \/>\nBy <a href=\"http:\/\/www.MoneyMorning.com.au\" target=\"_blank\"><u>MoneyMorning.com.au<\/u><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>By MoneyMorning.com.au What Happened to the Western Areas Share Price? Shares of Western Areas [ASX:WSA] fell by 3.35% on Wednesday, closing at $4.91. The share price has nearly doubled since the beginning of this year. This compares with the nickel price which is up 39% this year. Saying this, today\u2019s share price fall follows the [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-60283","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","no-post-thumbnail"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/60283","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=60283"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/60283\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=60283"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=60283"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=60283"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}