{"id":56547,"date":"2014-08-14T02:33:59","date_gmt":"2014-08-14T06:33:59","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/countingpips.com\/?p=56547"},"modified":"2014-08-14T02:33:59","modified_gmt":"2014-08-14T06:33:59","slug":"why-high-oil-prices-are-a-good-thing","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/2014\/08\/why-high-oil-prices-are-a-good-thing\/","title":{"rendered":"Why High Oil Prices are a Good Thing"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"inves-646736076\" class=\"inves-below-title-posts inves-entity-placement\"><div id =\"posts_date_custom\"><div align=\"left\">August 14, 2014<\/div><hr style=\"border: none; border-bottom: 3px solid black;\">\r\n<\/div><\/div><p>By <a href=\"http:\/\/www.MoneyMorning.com.au\" target=\"_blank\"><u>MoneyMorning.com.au<\/u><\/a><\/p>\n<p>This market really is ready to move.<\/p>\n<p>The decisive move may not happen today&hellip;or tomorrow&hellip;or even this month,  but it&rsquo;s coming.<\/p>\n<p>And you better be ready for it.<\/p>\n<p>Because when a bottled-up market like this finally erupts, investors  who have been sitting on the sidelines watching and waiting will see the market  speed out of sight.<\/p>\n<p>We&rsquo;re telling you, this isn&rsquo;t the time to wait and see what happens.  This is the time to shoot and ask questions later&hellip;<\/p><div id=\"inves-1150414993\" class=\"inves-in-content inves-entity-placement\"><hr style=\"border: 1px solid #ddd;\">\r\n<div id=\"inpost_ads_header\">\r\n<p style=\"font-size:10px; float:left; color:#666;\">Free Reports:<\/p><\/div>\r\n<div id=\"inpost_ads\"> \r\n<p style=\"font-size:15px; float:left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/1ApBOV\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/investmacro.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/06\/graph_techs_PD.png\" align=\"left\" width=\"80\"  height=\"55\"\/><\/a>\r\n\t     <a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/1ApBOV\"><b><u>Get Our Free Metatrader 4 Indicators<\/u><\/b><\/a> - Put Our Free MetaTrader 4 Custom Indicators on your charts when you join our Weekly Newsletter<\/p><br><br>\r\n<br>\r\n<br>\r\n<p style=\"font-size:15px; float:left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/f3RrHX\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/investmacro.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/01\/cot_pie_80.png\" align=\"left\" width=\"80\"  height=\"55\"\/><\/a>\r\n\t    <a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/f3RrHX\"><b><u>Get our Weekly Commitment of Traders Reports<\/u><\/b><\/a> - See where the biggest traders (Hedge Funds and Commercial Hedgers) are positioned in the futures markets on a weekly basis.<\/p><br><br>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<hr style=\"border: 1px solid #ddd;\">\r\n<br><\/div>\n<p>How can we be sure that something&rsquo;s brewing?<\/p>\n<p>Investors always need to look out for clues.<\/p>\n<p>It&rsquo;s one thing to look at the headlines. But remember that the headlines only tell you what has already happened.<\/p>\n<p>So you need to look for the clues that are in the news stories, but which the press has overlooked.<\/p>\n<p>Let&rsquo;s take the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.moneymorning.com.au\/category\/commodities\/oil-and-gas\/oil-prices\" title=\"More on oil prices\"><strong>oil price<\/strong><\/a>.<\/p>\n<p align=\"center\">\n<h2><strong>High  oil prices are good news<\/strong><\/h2>\n<\/p>\n<p><em>Bloomberg<\/em> reports:<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>&lsquo;<em>Fighting across <\/em><a rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"http:\/\/topics.bloomberg.com\/iraq\/\"><em>Iraq<\/em><\/a><em>, Libya, Ukraine and Gaza, and an  accelerating economy, should mean higher oil prices. Yet crude is falling.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&lsquo;<em>Six years ago, oil soared to a record $147 a  barrel as tension mounted over <\/em><a rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"http:\/\/topics.bloomberg.com\/iran\/\"><em>Iran<\/em><\/a><em>&rsquo;s nuclear program and the world economy had just seen the strongest  period of sustained growth since the 1970s. Now, West Texas Intermediate, the  U.S. benchmark price, has traded below $100 for 10 days and Brent, the European  equivalent, tumbled to a 13-month low.<\/em>&rsquo;<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>Why is oil falling even as all these geopolitical risks keep hitting  the headlines?<\/p>\n<p>A big reason is the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.moneymorning.com.au\/category\/commodities\/oil-and-gas\/shale-gas\" title=\"More on shale oil and gas\">shale oil and gas<\/a> energy revolution.<\/p>\n<p>Incredibly, thanks to the increase in US domestic energy supply, energy  imports will soon account for only 22% of US energy consumption. That&rsquo;s the  lowest percentage since 1970.<\/p>\n<p>But that&rsquo;s not all.<\/p>\n<p>Note the comment about the Brent crude price. It&rsquo;s at the lowest level  in over a year. That means all that risk premium added by Russia&rsquo;s stoush with  Ukraine, and the insurgency in Iraq has disappeared.<\/p>\n<p>We know you may laugh at us for saying it, but despite all the fears  about a terrible market collapse and economic stagnation&hellip;it looks as though the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.dailyreckoning.com.au\/category\/resources\/energy-markets\/\" title=\"More on energy markets from The Daily Reckoning\" target=\"_blank\">energy market<\/a> has shifted back to normal.<\/p>\n<p>And yes, by normal we mean oil around US$100 a barrel. That&rsquo;s exactly  where it has been for most of the past six years.<\/p>\n<p align=\"center\">\n<h2><strong>An  energy revolution<\/strong><\/h2>\n<\/p>\n<p>As we&rsquo;ve pointed out several times before, it&rsquo;s precisely due to high oil prices that the US is in the strong energy position it&rsquo;s in today.<\/p>\n<p>High oil prices mean that it&rsquo;s more economical for firms to drill into  the hard-to-reach <a href=\"http:\/\/www.dailyreckoning.com.au\/category\/resources\/energy-markets\/shale-gas-oil\/\" title=\"More on shale gas and oil from The Daily Reckoning\" target=\"_blank\">shale oil and gas<\/a> reserves.<\/p>\n<p>To drill in these spots explorers and producers need to use hydraulic  fracturing (fracking). This is the controversial drilling method that some  folks claim causes minor earth tremors.<\/p>\n<p>But aside from that, fracking is more expensive than conventional  drilling. Hence, why it really needs a high oil price to make it profitable.<\/p>\n<p>The danger sign for the world&rsquo;s economy (oddly enough) would be if the  oil price had a major drop. That could suggest that world demand is falling, which means economic contraction.<\/p>\n<p>Plus it would also mean that the US&rsquo; vast shale oil and gas reserves  may no longer be economically viable. That would force the US to become once  again dependent on Middle East oil &mdash; that isn&rsquo;t the direction it wants to go.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Cheers,<br \/>\n  Kris<a href=\"https:\/\/plus.google.com\/u\/1\/102832084048340347143\/about\">+<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/plus.google.com\/106516983215198267222\/about\" title=\"Join Money Morning on Google Plus -- and read about the things we can't always fit into our regular essays\"><u>Join Money Morning on Google+ <\/u><\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>The post <a rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"http:\/\/www.moneymorning.com.au\/20140814\/high-oil-prices-good-thing.html\">Why High Oil Prices are a Good Thing<\/a> appeared first on <a rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"http:\/\/www.moneymorning.com.au\">Stock Market News, Finance and Investments | Money Morning Australia<\/a>.<\/p>\n<div class=\"feedflare\">\n<a href=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/MoneyMorningAustralia?a=tutIyNIovj4:WpGJVRjZnTw:yIl2AUoC8zA\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/MoneyMorningAustralia?d=yIl2AUoC8zA\" border=\"0\"><\/img><\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/MoneyMorningAustralia?a=tutIyNIovj4:WpGJVRjZnTw:V_sGLiPBpWU\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/MoneyMorningAustralia?i=tutIyNIovj4:WpGJVRjZnTw:V_sGLiPBpWU\" border=\"0\"><\/img><\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/MoneyMorningAustralia?a=tutIyNIovj4:WpGJVRjZnTw:gIN9vFwOqvQ\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/MoneyMorningAustralia?i=tutIyNIovj4:WpGJVRjZnTw:gIN9vFwOqvQ\" border=\"0\"><\/img><\/a>\n<\/div>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~r\/MoneyMorningAustralia\/~4\/tutIyNIovj4\" height=\"1\" width=\"1\" \/><br \/>\nBy <a href=\"http:\/\/www.MoneyMorning.com.au\" target=\"_blank\"><u>MoneyMorning.com.au<\/u><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>By MoneyMorning.com.au This market really is ready to move. The decisive move may not happen today&hellip;or tomorrow&hellip;or even this month, but it&rsquo;s coming. And you better be ready for it. Because when a bottled-up market like this finally erupts, investors who have been sitting on the sidelines watching and waiting will see the market speed [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-56547","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","no-post-thumbnail"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/56547","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=56547"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/56547\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=56547"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=56547"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=56547"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}