{"id":55742,"date":"2014-08-10T22:32:52","date_gmt":"2014-08-11T02:32:52","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/countingpips.com\/?p=55742"},"modified":"2014-08-10T22:32:52","modified_gmt":"2014-08-11T02:32:52","slug":"small-cap-gains-from-unlikely-places","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/2014\/08\/small-cap-gains-from-unlikely-places\/","title":{"rendered":"Small-Cap Gains from Unlikely Places"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"inves-1709674644\" class=\"inves-below-title-posts inves-entity-placement\"><div id =\"posts_date_custom\"><div align=\"left\">August 10, 2014<\/div><hr style=\"border: none; border-bottom: 3px solid black;\">\r\n<\/div><\/div><p>By <a href=\"http:\/\/www.MoneyMorning.com.au\" target=\"_blank\"><u>MoneyMorning.com.au<\/u><\/a><\/p>\n<p>We are six trading days into August now. It  hasn&rsquo;t been a good start to the month.<\/p>\n<p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average is down  3.49%. The S&amp;P 500 is 3.48% lower and the NASDAQ is in the red by 2.57%.<\/p>\n<p>Aussie indices haven&rsquo;t been spared either.<\/p>\n<p>The S&amp;P\/ASX 200 is down 2.18%. And the  small cap index in Australia, the S&amp;P\/ASX Small Ordinaries, is lower by  2.40%.<\/p>\n<p>Like I said, it hasn&rsquo;t been a good start to  the month&hellip;<\/p><div id=\"inves-1134274004\" class=\"inves-in-content inves-entity-placement\"><hr style=\"border: 1px solid #ddd;\">\r\n<div id=\"inpost_ads_header\">\r\n<p style=\"font-size:10px; float:left; color:#666;\">Free Reports:<\/p><\/div>\r\n<div id=\"inpost_ads\"> \r\n<p style=\"font-size:15px; float:left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/1ApBOV\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/investmacro.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/06\/graph_techs_PD.png\" align=\"left\" width=\"80\"  height=\"55\"\/><\/a>\r\n\t     <a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/1ApBOV\"><b><u>Get Our Free Metatrader 4 Indicators<\/u><\/b><\/a> - Put Our Free MetaTrader 4 Custom Indicators on your charts when you join our Weekly Newsletter<\/p><br><br>\r\n<br>\r\n<br>\r\n<p style=\"font-size:15px; float:left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/f3RrHX\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/investmacro.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/01\/cot_pie_80.png\" align=\"left\" width=\"80\"  height=\"55\"\/><\/a>\r\n\t    <a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/f3RrHX\"><b><u>Get our Weekly Commitment of Traders Reports<\/u><\/b><\/a> - See where the biggest traders (Hedge Funds and Commercial Hedgers) are positioned in the futures markets on a weekly basis.<\/p><br><br>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<hr style=\"border: 1px solid #ddd;\">\r\n<br><\/div>\n<div align=\"center\"><strong>S&amp;P 500 Monthly  Percentage Performance<\/strong><br \/>\n<a href=\"http:\/\/portphillippublishing.com.au\/images\/MMW20140808a.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/portphillippublishing.com.au\/images\/MMW20140808a.jpg\" width=\"336\" height=\"172\" border=\"0\"><\/a><br \/>\n<em> Source: Yahoo! Finance<\/em><br \/>\n<em><a href=\"http:\/\/portphillippublishing.com.au\/images\/MMW20140808a.jpg\" target=\"_blank\">Click to enlarge<\/a><\/em><\/div>\n<\/p>\n<p>This doesn&rsquo;t necessarily mean that this  August will be a lousy month for Aussie stocks. But the odds are stacked  against you if you want to finish in the black at the end of the month.<\/p>\n<p>However, falling share prices aren&rsquo;t always  bad news.<\/p>\n<p>Many investors can use market dips like  this to pick up shares they normally would think were too expensive.<\/p>\n<p>It&rsquo;s important to remember that when the  massive companies are dragged down by the market, the little guys tend to cop  an even bigger beating.<\/p>\n<p>Believe it or not, this <em>can<\/em> be good news for you.<\/p>\n<p>Let me explain what I mean.<\/p>\n<p>Many companies are in reporting mode. That  means they&rsquo;re releasing the 2014 financial year data.<\/p>\n<p>As market sentiment is down, firms that  don&rsquo;t have great end of year reports are taking a bigger hit than they would  otherwise. Many companies are finding their <a href=\"http:\/\/www.moneymorning.com.au\/category\/stock-market\/stocks-and-bonds\" title=\"more on stocks\">stocks<\/a> sinking further into the  red.<\/p>\n<p>As a result of this, some mid-cap stocks  with falling share prices are slipping into the <strong>small-cap sector<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>This could present an opportunity.<\/p>\n<p>Let&rsquo;s take Ausdrill Limited [ASX:ASL] as an example.<\/p>\n<p>At its peak in 2012, it was a $1.3 billion  mining services company. Two years later, after losing service contracts, poor  financial performance and write downs, it&rsquo;s now a $294 million <strong>small-cap stock<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>Does this make Ausdrill worth investing in?  Right now, no.<\/p>\n<p>Perhaps some financial prudence and growth  in service contracts could see this company become worthy of investment. But  because of the low share price &mdash; right now around 95 cents &mdash; it could turn out  massive triple digit gains if it gets the business under control. <em>But only if<\/em> it can turn around the  business.<\/p>\n<p>There&rsquo;s no point buying a beaten down stock  just because it&rsquo;s cheap. That would be silly.<\/p>\n<p>However, should Ausdrill reshape the  company and come up with a new way of meeting its client&rsquo;s needs &mdash; and get a  handle on spending &mdash; it could offer <strong>small-cap<\/strong> like gains.<\/p>\n<p>As improbable as it sounds, this has  happened before.<\/p>\n<p>Take Fairfax  Media Limited [ASX:FXJ] for example.<\/p>\n<p>Back in November 2012, Kris tipped this  company for <em>Australian Small-Cap  Investigator<\/em> subscribers.<\/p>\n<p>At just 40 cents per share, he believed it  was <em>&lsquo;&hellip;a great speculation on the changing  media industry. <\/em>[Fairfax]<em> offers the  chance to make a big triple-digit percentage gain.&rsquo;<\/em><\/p>\n<p>He was right.<\/p>\n<p>Investors who bought this stock could have  cashed in on a 124% gain when current small-cap analyst Tim Dohrmann sent out a  sell recommendation earlier this year. During this time, Fairfax has reshaped  its business and grown from a $960 million market cap to an enormous $2 billion  market cap stock.<\/p>\n<p>My point is, when large companies become  small ones, and then recover, they could offer the same gains that unheard of  small-cap stocks do. But regardless of whether it&rsquo;s a new small-cap or an  ex-large-cap, much of the analysis is the same.<\/p>\n<p>I asked <a href=\"http:\/\/www.moneymorning.com.au\/about-tim-dohrmann\" title=\"more about Tim Dohrmann \">Tim Dohrmann<\/a> what he looks for when  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.moneymorning.com.au\/category\/stock-market\/small-cap-stocks\" title=\"more on small-cap stocks\">hunting for small-cap stocks<\/a>. The key to scoring small-cap gains is to look at  how close the company is to turning a profit.<\/p>\n<p>As Tim explains:<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>&lsquo;<em>When I look at a small-cap stock, I like to  see a company taking the fight to the big boys.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&lsquo;<em>You should look for a little company that&#8217;s  developing a product that will shake up its market. You should dig deeper if  it&#8217;s gaining market share at a rapid rate off a low base.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&lsquo;<em>The best gains &mdash; and the most exciting rides  &mdash; come when you find a company at the start of that journey, not at the end.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&lsquo;<em>It&rsquo;s hard to get that timing right. But  that&rsquo;s fine. You don&rsquo;t need a PhD in finance to understand a company&rsquo;s  direction.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&lsquo;<em>Pay close attention to when a company&rsquo;s net  losses are getting smaller and smaller, or when a company has just crossed the  threshold from making a loss into making a profit.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&lsquo;<em>For small-cap stocks, you should pay just as  much attention when a company crosses the threshold from cash flow negative to  cash flow positive territory.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&lsquo;<em>That often indicates a business plan that&rsquo;s  starting to generate wealth.<\/em>&rsquo;<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p><strong>Shae Smith<a href=\"https:\/\/plus.google.com\/u\/3\/108244429029075545213\/about\">+<\/a><\/strong><br \/>\n    <strong>Editor, <em>Money Weekend<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong><em>Two Stories from Money Morning This Week&hellip;<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>While we&rsquo;re talking small-caps, Tim reveals <a href=\"http:\/\/www.moneymorning.com.au\/20140807\/two-biggest-mistakes-small-cap-investors-makeand-can-avoid.html\" target=\"_blank\">here<\/a> the two biggest mistakes investors make when it comes to investing in  small-caps. These two simple messages will make you a better investor.<\/p>\n<p>The Reserve Bank of Australia calmly  assured the Australia public that interest rates won&rsquo;t be going up any time  soon.&nbsp; Kris reasons <a href=\"http:\/\/www.moneymorning.com.au\/20140806\/rbas-message-investors-buy-stocks.html\" target=\"_blank\">here<\/a> that the RBA really meant it was time to buy stocks. Kris reckons these low  interest rates mean he is still on target for the ASX to reach 7,000 in January  2015.<\/p>\n<p><strong><em>And you might like&hellip;<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Want to see what small-cap stock Tim thinks  will give you triple digit gains? <a rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"http:\/\/pro1.portphillippublishing.com.au\/247338\/\" target=\"_blank\">Click here to find out<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>The post <a rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"http:\/\/www.moneymorning.com.au\/20140809\/small-cap-gains-unlikely-places.html\">Small-Cap Gains from Unlikely Places<\/a> appeared first on <a rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"http:\/\/www.moneymorning.com.au\">Stock Market News, Finance and Investments | Money Morning Australia<\/a>.<\/p>\n<div class=\"feedflare\">\n<a href=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/MoneyMorningAustralia?a=1qFJRGaNVSU:CVTYL5m9ZEM:yIl2AUoC8zA\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/MoneyMorningAustralia?d=yIl2AUoC8zA\" border=\"0\"><\/img><\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/MoneyMorningAustralia?a=1qFJRGaNVSU:CVTYL5m9ZEM:V_sGLiPBpWU\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/MoneyMorningAustralia?i=1qFJRGaNVSU:CVTYL5m9ZEM:V_sGLiPBpWU\" border=\"0\"><\/img><\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/MoneyMorningAustralia?a=1qFJRGaNVSU:CVTYL5m9ZEM:gIN9vFwOqvQ\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/MoneyMorningAustralia?i=1qFJRGaNVSU:CVTYL5m9ZEM:gIN9vFwOqvQ\" border=\"0\"><\/img><\/a>\n<\/div>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~r\/MoneyMorningAustralia\/~4\/1qFJRGaNVSU\" height=\"1\" width=\"1\" \/><br \/>\nBy <a href=\"http:\/\/www.MoneyMorning.com.au\" target=\"_blank\"><u>MoneyMorning.com.au<\/u><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>By MoneyMorning.com.au We are six trading days into August now. It hasn&rsquo;t been a good start to the month. The Dow Jones Industrial Average is down 3.49%. The S&amp;P 500 is 3.48% lower and the NASDAQ is in the red by 2.57%. Aussie indices haven&rsquo;t been spared either. The S&amp;P\/ASX 200 is down 2.18%. And [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-55742","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","no-post-thumbnail"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/55742","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=55742"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/55742\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=55742"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=55742"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=55742"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}