{"id":54511,"date":"2014-07-20T22:49:44","date_gmt":"2014-07-21T02:49:44","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/countingpips.com\/?p=54511"},"modified":"2014-07-21T07:11:50","modified_gmt":"2014-07-21T11:11:50","slug":"monetary-policy-week-in-review-jul-14-18-2014-fed-debate-intensifies-3-central-banks-raise-rates-2-cut","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/2014\/07\/monetary-policy-week-in-review-jul-14-18-2014-fed-debate-intensifies-3-central-banks-raise-rates-2-cut\/","title":{"rendered":"Monetary Policy Week in Review \u2013 Jul 14-18, 2014: Fed debate intensifies, 3 central banks raise rates, 2 cut"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"inves-1995730777\" class=\"inves-below-title-posts inves-entity-placement\"><div id =\"posts_date_custom\"><div align=\"left\">July 20, 2014<\/div><hr style=\"border: none; border-bottom: 3px solid black;\">\r\n<\/div><\/div><p>By <a href=\"http:\/\/www.centralbanknews.info\/\"><u>CentralBankNews.info<\/u><\/a><br \/>\n&nbsp; &nbsp; Last week in global monetary policy, three central banks raised policy rates (South Africa, Egypt and Ukraine) while two banks (Turkey and Chile) cut their rates as the debate over the U.S. Federal Reserve\u2019s eventual interest rate rise intensified.<br \/>&nbsp; &nbsp; There were three developments surrounding Fed policy that stood last week.<br \/>&nbsp; &nbsp; First, the Fed\u2019s statement in its latest Monetary Policy Report that the share prices of social media and biotech firms appeared &nbsp;\u201csubstantially stretched.\u201d<br \/>&nbsp; &nbsp; Second, a series of news stories with major investors and Wall Street financiers calling for the Fed to start to normalize monetary policy and think about rate rises.<br \/>&nbsp; &nbsp; Third, Fed Chair Janet Yellen\u2019s testimony to a Senate committee that included the statement that rates could be raised sooner if the labour market improves more quickly than anticipated.<br \/>&nbsp; &nbsp; While Yellen\u2019s reflections on the labor markets and investors\u2019 views of &nbsp;Fed policy are part of the normal evolution of a policy consensus in a democratic society, the Fed\u2019s mention of the share prices of two specific stock sectors was a surprise.<br \/>&nbsp; &nbsp; Economists and central bankers have for years debated how monetary policy should react to booms in asset prices and the risk of financial instability, a debate that most recently hit the headlines following the annual report by the Bank for International Settlements (BIS).<br \/>&nbsp; &nbsp; The Fed\u2019s statement about the stock prices of social media and biotech firms is thus an example of how central banks initially will react when they perceive that certain assets are inflated.<\/p>\n<div class=\"MsoNormal\"><span style=\"font-family: inherit\"><b><span>LIST OF LAST WEEK\u2019S CENTRAL BANK DECISIONS<\/span><\/b><b>:<\/b><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"MsoNormal\"><\/div>\n<ul>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/www.centralbanknews.info\/2014\/07\/sri-lanka-holds-rates-sees-inflation-in.html\" style=\"font-family: inherit\">Sri Lanka holds rates, sees inflation in mid-single digits<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/www.centralbanknews.info\/2014\/07\/mauritius-holds-rate-expects-steady.html\" style=\"font-family: inherit\">Mauritius holds rate, expects steady stance to end-2014<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/www.centralbanknews.info\/2014\/07\/boj-maintains-policy-stance-trims-2014.html\" style=\"font-family: inherit\">BOJ maintains policy stance, trims 2014 growth forecast<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/www.centralbanknews.info\/2014\/07\/chile-cuts-rate-25-bps-will-consider.html\" style=\"font-family: inherit\">Chile cuts rate 25 bps, will consider further reductions<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/www.centralbanknews.info\/2014\/07\/canada-holds-rate-neutral-about-change.html\" style=\"font-family: inherit\">Canada holds rate, neutral about next change in policy<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/www.centralbanknews.info\/2014\/07\/ukraine-hikes-rate-300-bps-to-125-to.html\" style=\"font-family: inherit\">Ukraine hikes rate 300 bps to 12.5% to boost hryvnia<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/www.centralbanknews.info\/2014\/07\/brazil-holds-rate-steady-at-110-at-this.html\" style=\"font-family: inherit\">Brazil holds rate steady at 11.0% &#8220;at this moment&#8221;<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/www.centralbanknews.info\/2014\/07\/turkey-cuts-repo-overnight-borrowing.html\" style=\"font-family: inherit\">Turkey cuts repo, overnight borrowing rates 50 bps<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/www.centralbanknews.info\/2014\/07\/south-africa-raises-rate-25-bps-but.html\" style=\"font-family: inherit\">South Africa raises rate 25 bps but still below neutral<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/www.centralbanknews.info\/2014\/07\/egypt-raises-rate-100-bps-in-preemptive.html\" style=\"font-family: inherit\">Egypt raises rate 100 bps in preemptive strike vs inflation<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/www.sbp.org.pk\/m_policy\/2014\/MPS-Jul-2014-Eng.pdf\" style=\"font-family: inherit\">Pakistan maintains rate, inflation expectations benign<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><\/p>\n<div class=\"MsoNormal\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"MsoNormal\"><b><span><span style=\"font-family: inherit\">TABLE WITH LAST WEEK\u2019S MONETARY POLICY DECISIONS:<\/span><\/span><\/b><\/div>\n<div class=\"MsoNormal\">         <\/div>\n<table border=\"0\" cellpadding=\"0\" cellspacing=\"0\" style=\"border-collapse: collapse;width: 535px\"><!--StartFragment--> <\/p>\n<col style=\"width: 179pt\" width=\"179\"><\/col>\n<col style=\"width: 41pt\" width=\"41\"><\/col>\n<col style=\"width: 95pt\" width=\"95\"><\/col>\n<col style=\"width: 101pt\" width=\"101\"><\/col>\n<col style=\"width: 119pt\" width=\"119\"><\/col>\n<tbody>\n<tr style=\"height: 20.0pt\">\n<td class=\"xl63\" height=\"20\" style=\"height: 20.0pt;width: 179pt\" width=\"179\">COUNTRY<\/td>\n<td class=\"xl63\" style=\"width: 41pt\" width=\"41\">MSCI<\/td>\n<td class=\"xl63\" style=\"width: 95pt\" width=\"95\">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; NEW RATE&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/td>\n<td class=\"xl63\" style=\"width: 101pt\" width=\"101\">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; OLD RATE<\/td>\n<td class=\"xl63\" style=\"width: 119pt\" width=\"119\">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 1 YEAR AGO<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr style=\"height: 20.0pt\">\n<td class=\"xl64\" height=\"20\" style=\"height: 20.0pt\">SRI LANKA<\/td>\n<td class=\"xl64\">FM<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl65\">6.50%<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl65\">6.50%<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl65\">7.00%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr style=\"height: 20.0pt\">\n<td class=\"xl64\" height=\"20\" style=\"height: 20.0pt\">MAURITIUS<\/td>\n<td class=\"xl64\">FM<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl65\">4.65%<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl65\">4.65%<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl65\">4.65%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr style=\"height: 20.0pt\">\n<td class=\"xl66\" height=\"20\" style=\"height: 20.0pt\">JAPAN<\/td>\n<td class=\"xl66\">DM<\/td>\n<td class=\"xl66\">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; N\/A<\/td>\n<td class=\"xl66\">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; N\/A<\/td>\n<td class=\"xl66\">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; N\/A<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr style=\"height: 20.0pt\">\n<td class=\"xl66\" height=\"20\" style=\"height: 20.0pt\">CHILE<\/td>\n<td class=\"xl66\">EM<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl67\">3.75%<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl67\">4.00%<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl67\">5.00%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr style=\"height: 20.0pt\">\n<td class=\"xl66\" height=\"20\" style=\"height: 20.0pt\">CANADA<\/td>\n<td class=\"xl66\">DM<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl67\">1.00%<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl67\">1.00%<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl67\">1.00%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr style=\"height: 20.0pt\">\n<td class=\"xl66\" height=\"20\" style=\"height: 20.0pt\">UKRAINE<\/td>\n<td class=\"xl66\">FM<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl67\">12.50%<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl67\">9.50%<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl67\">7.00%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr style=\"height: 20.0pt\">\n<td class=\"xl66\" height=\"20\" style=\"height: 20.0pt\">BRAZIL<\/td>\n<td class=\"xl66\">EM<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl67\">11.00%<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl67\">11.00%<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl67\">8.50%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr style=\"height: 20.0pt\">\n<td class=\"xl66\" height=\"20\" style=\"height: 20.0pt\">TURKEY<\/td>\n<td class=\"xl66\">EM<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl67\">8.25%<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl67\">8.75%<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl67\">4.50%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr style=\"height: 20.0pt\">\n<td class=\"xl66\" height=\"20\" style=\"height: 20.0pt\">EGYPT<\/td>\n<td class=\"xl66\">EM<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl67\">9.25%<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl67\">8.25%<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl67\">9.75%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr style=\"height: 20.0pt\">\n<td class=\"xl66\" height=\"20\" style=\"height: 20.0pt\">SOUTH AFRICA<\/td>\n<td class=\"xl66\">EM<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl67\">5.75%<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl67\">5.50%<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl67\">5.00%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr style=\"height: 20.0pt\">\n<td class=\"xl66\" height=\"20\" style=\"height: 20.0pt\">PAKISTAN<\/td>\n<td class=\"xl66\">FM<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl67\">10.00%<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl67\">10.00%<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl67\">9.00%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<p><!--EndFragment--><\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<div class=\"MsoNormal\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"MsoNormal\"><span style=\"font-family: inherit\"><span>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; <\/span><b><span>This week<\/span><\/b><span> (Week 30) five central banks will decide on monetary policy, comprising the countries of Nigeria, Hungary, New Zealand, Russia and Trinidad and Tobago. <\/span><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"MsoNormal\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"MsoNormal\"><b><span><span style=\"font-family: inherit\">TABLE WITH THIS WEEK\u2019S MONETARY POLICY DECISIONS:<\/span><\/span><\/b><\/div>\n<div class=\"MsoNormal\"><b><span><span style=\"font-family: inherit\"><br \/><\/span><\/span><\/b><\/div>\n<div class=\"MsoNormal\">         <\/div>\n<table border=\"0\" cellpadding=\"0\" cellspacing=\"0\" style=\"border-collapse: collapse;width: 535px\"><!--StartFragment--> <\/p>\n<col style=\"width: 179pt\" width=\"179\"><\/col>\n<col style=\"width: 41pt\" width=\"41\"><\/col>\n<col style=\"width: 95pt\" width=\"95\"><\/col>\n<col style=\"width: 101pt\" width=\"101\"><\/col>\n<col style=\"width: 119pt\" width=\"119\"><\/col>\n<tbody>\n<tr style=\"height: 20.0pt\">\n<td class=\"xl63\" height=\"20\" style=\"height: 20.0pt;width: 179pt\" width=\"179\">COUNTRY<\/td>\n<td class=\"xl63\" style=\"width: 41pt\" width=\"41\">MSCI<\/td>\n<td class=\"xl63\" style=\"width: 95pt\" width=\"95\">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; DATE<\/td>\n<td class=\"xl63\" style=\"width: 101pt\" width=\"101\">&nbsp;CURRENT&nbsp;   RATE<\/td>\n<td class=\"xl63\" style=\"width: 119pt\" width=\"119\">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 1 YEAR AGO<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr style=\"height: 20.0pt\">\n<td class=\"xl64\" height=\"20\" style=\"height: 20.0pt\">NIGERIA<\/td>\n<td class=\"xl64\">FM<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl66\">22-Jul<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl65\">12.00%<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl65\">12.00%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr style=\"height: 20.0pt\">\n<td class=\"xl64\" height=\"20\" style=\"height: 20.0pt\">HUNGARY<\/td>\n<td class=\"xl64\">EM<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl66\">22-Jul<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl65\">2.30%<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl65\">4.00%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr style=\"height: 20.0pt\">\n<td class=\"xl64\" height=\"20\" style=\"height: 20.0pt\">NEW ZEALAND<\/td>\n<td class=\"xl64\">DM<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl66\">24-Jul<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl65\">3.25%<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl65\">2.50%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr style=\"height: 20.0pt\">\n<td class=\"xl64\" height=\"20\" style=\"height: 20.0pt\">RUSSIA<\/td>\n<td class=\"xl64\">EM<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl66\">25-Jul<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl65\">7.50%<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl65\">8.25%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr style=\"height: 20.0pt\">\n<td class=\"xl64\" height=\"20\" style=\"height: 20.0pt\">TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO<\/td>\n<td class=\"xl64\"><\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl66\">25-Jul<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl65\">2.75%<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl65\">2.75%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<p><!--EndFragment--><\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<div class=\"MsoNormal\"><b><span><span style=\"font-family: inherit\"><br \/><\/span><\/span><\/b><\/div>\n<div class=\"MsoNormal\"><span style=\"font-family: inherit\"><b>&nbsp;<\/b><a href=\"http:\/\/www.centralbanknews.info\/\"> &nbsp; www.CentralBankNews.info<\/a><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"MsoNormal\"><\/div>\n<p><!--[if gte mso 9]&gt;   0  0  1  298  1703  PNCN  14  3  1998  14.0     &lt;![endif]--> <!--[if gte mso 9]&gt;   Normal  0          false  false  false    EN-US  JA  X-NONE                                                                       &lt;![endif]--><!--[if gte mso 9]&gt;                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    &lt;![endif]--> <!--[if gte mso 10]&gt; \/* Style Definitions *\/ table.MsoNormalTable  {mso-style-name:\"Table Normal\";  mso-tstyle-rowband-size:0;  mso-tstyle-colband-size:0;  mso-style-noshow:yes;  mso-style-priority:99;  mso-style-parent:\"\";  mso-padding-alt:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt;  mso-para-margin:0in;  mso-para-margin-bottom:.0001pt;  mso-pagination:widow-orphan; 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