{"id":51692,"date":"2014-05-23T05:57:49","date_gmt":"2014-05-23T09:57:49","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/countingpips.com\/?p=51692"},"modified":"2014-05-23T07:04:32","modified_gmt":"2014-05-23T11:04:32","slug":"5-massive-red-flags-surrounding-plug-power","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/2014\/05\/5-massive-red-flags-surrounding-plug-power\/","title":{"rendered":"5 Massive Red Flags Surrounding Plug Power"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"inves-1340395903\" class=\"inves-below-title-posts inves-entity-placement\"><div id =\"posts_date_custom\"><div align=\"left\">May 23, 2014<\/div><hr style=\"border: none; border-bottom: 3px solid black;\">\r\n<\/div><\/div><p>By <a href=\"http:\/\/ift.tt\/1dy17jo\"><u>WallStreetDaily.com<\/u><\/a> <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"510\" height=\"300\" src=\"http:\/\/ift.tt\/1kvJkev\" class=\"attachment-home-th wp-post-image\" alt=\"5 Massive Red Flags Surrounding Plug Power\" style=\"margin-bottom: 5px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Watching a momentum stock rocket higher can be thrilling. But if there&#8217;s one thing the dot-com collapse taught us, it&#8217;s that investing in a company simply because it&#8217;s gaining steam can also lead to disaster.<\/p>\n<p>It appears investors haven&#8217;t learned, though&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>The same speculative fervor is still active on Wall Street today &#8211; and the regulators have done little to curb investors&#8217; blind enthusiasm.<\/p>\n<p>The latest example is advanced fuel cell technology firm, <strong>Plug Power<\/strong> (<a href=\"http:\/\/ift.tt\/1m0vjDV\" title=\"PLUG on Yahoo Finance\" target=\"_blank\">PLUG<\/a>).<\/p>\n<h3>Plug&#8217;s Abysmal Treatment of Shareholders<\/h3>\n<p>Our Chief Technology Analyst, Marty Biancuzzo, put Plug Power through his <a href=\"http:\/\/ift.tt\/1kvJjHw\" title=\"C.H.A.O.S. Meter Flashes Signal on PLUG\">C.H.A.O.S. Meter<\/a> in April.<\/p><div id=\"inves-2748480194\" class=\"inves-in-content inves-entity-placement\"><hr style=\"border: 1px solid #ddd;\">\r\n<div id=\"inpost_ads_header\">\r\n<p style=\"font-size:10px; float:left; color:#666;\">Free Reports:<\/p><\/div>\r\n<div id=\"inpost_ads\"> \r\n<p style=\"font-size:15px; float:left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/1ApBOV\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/investmacro.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/06\/graph_techs_PD.png\" align=\"left\" width=\"80\"  height=\"55\"\/><\/a>\r\n\t     <a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/1ApBOV\"><b><u>Get Our Free Metatrader 4 Indicators<\/u><\/b><\/a> - Put Our Free MetaTrader 4 Custom Indicators on your charts when you join our Weekly Newsletter<\/p><br><br>\r\n<br>\r\n<br>\r\n<p style=\"font-size:15px; float:left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/f3RrHX\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/investmacro.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/01\/cot_pie_80.png\" align=\"left\" width=\"80\"  height=\"55\"\/><\/a>\r\n\t    <a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/f3RrHX\"><b><u>Get our Weekly Commitment of Traders Reports<\/u><\/b><\/a> - See where the biggest traders (Hedge Funds and Commercial Hedgers) are positioned in the futures markets on a weekly basis.<\/p><br><br>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<hr style=\"border: 1px solid #ddd;\">\r\n<br><\/div>\n<p>It didn&#8217;t pass muster. As Marty said at the time, Plug is &#8220;an insanely volatile stock, with shaky fundamentals [and] a speculative energy technology that&#8217;s failed before.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>I think that&#8217;s an understatement.<\/p>\n<p>Plug Power represents the purest form of wild, speculative frenzy with little more than a hope and a prayer for success.<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s what I mean&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>Plug was trading for less than $1 in December 2013.<\/p>\n<p>Then the company announced that it was bullish on its own prospects, and a handful of analysts decided to get behind the stock.<\/p>\n<p>Other analysts called Plug&#8217;s bluff &#8211; proclaiming that the shares were worth half a buck, at best. But that didn&#8217;t stop many investors from riding the Plug express train higher.<\/p>\n<p>Shares ended up soaring to $11.72 by March. We&#8217;re talking about a quadruple-digit percentage increase in just over three months &#8211; based on zero fundamental improvements.<\/p>\n<p>Then things took a turn for the worse. (Shocker, I know.)<\/p>\n<p>After hitting its March high, Plug almost immediately announced a secondary public offering of more than 22 million shares.<\/p>\n<p>The offering was eventually priced at $5.50 per share &#8211; more than a 50% discount.<\/p>\n<p>So the company did nothing to temper the market&#8217;s enthusiasm for the shares at $11.72. But it was more than happy to sell shares to the same investors at less than half the price.<\/p>\n<p>Making matters worse, Plug has raised money two other times <em>this year alone<\/em> &#8211; once at $3 and the other time at $5.74. And in 2013, it raised close to $150 million on sales of barely $30 million.<\/p>\n<p>To give you an idea of how much Plug raised relative to its sales, it would be like Apple raising $1 trillion in the market.<\/p>\n<p>Shares are now trading at just over $4 per share &#8211; after dropping to $3.70 last week after it reported mediocre earnings.<\/p>\n<p>It did provide an outlook that was bolstered by deals with <strong>Wal-Mart<\/strong> (<a href=\"http:\/\/ift.tt\/1kvJkex\" title=\"WMT on Yahoo Finance\" target=\"_blank\">WMT<\/a>) and <strong>FedEx <\/strong>(<a href=\"http:\/\/ift.tt\/1m0vjDX\" title=\"FDX on Yahoo Finance\" target=\"_blank\">FDX<\/a>) to provide fuel cells. But both companies are buying the fuels cells to take advantage of federal tax credits for renewable energy. Eventually, those credits will disappear&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>Ultimately, Plug is doomed to fail. It&#8217;s obvious that the company is plenty satisfied with its shares trading for $3.<\/p>\n<p>But for investors who got in at $11, well&#8230; they got screwed.<\/p>\n<p>Now it&#8217;s time to ensure that the same thing doesn&#8217;t happen to <em>you<\/em> going forward&#8230;<\/p>\n<h3>Five Signs That You&#8217;re Dealing With &#8220;Roadkill&#8221;<\/h3>\n<p>Let&#8217;s review a few key things to keep in mind when investing in momentum stocks. If you see the following red flags, the stock is probably nothing more than &#8220;roadkill.&#8221;<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>If the company has a poor history of making profits, then there&#8217;s likely a good reason for that.<\/li>\n<li>If a company is willing to raise money at a lower price than where the shares are trading, it&#8217;s because it can&#8217;t sell shares for the current price (or higher).<\/li>\n<li>If a company is willing to dilute investors three times in less than four months, it doesn&#8217;t really care about the price you paid &#8211; or shareholders, in general.<\/li>\n<li>If a company can justify raising money at $3, then that&#8217;s likely what it thinks shares are actually worth in the market.<\/li>\n<li>Finally, when you see a company announce a secondary offering, chances are good that it&#8217;s signaling a short-term exit price for traders and investors.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>In the end, the fact that Plug was able to soar so high before crashing is a clear signal that most traders paid no attention to the fundamentals &#8211; or the previous capital raises.<\/p>\n<p>Instead, they were only tuned in to the momentum and the hype spewed out by the talking heads &#8211; some of whom undoubtedly had something to gain from Plug&#8217;s rapid journey to $11.72.<\/p>\n<p>Bottom line: Companies like Plug don&#8217;t deserve money or respect for the way they accessed the markets for capital. And it&#8217;s not the only company that&#8217;s guilty of this strategy. Be on the lookout for similar deadbeats in the market in the future.<\/p>\n<p>Ahead of the tape,<\/p>\n<p>Karim Rahemtulla<\/p>\n<p>The post <a rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"http:\/\/ift.tt\/1kvJkez\">5 Massive Red Flags Surrounding Plug Power<\/a> appeared first on <a rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"http:\/\/ift.tt\/wCCKdg\">Wall Street Daily<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Article By <a href=\"http:\/\/ift.tt\/1dy17jo\"><u>WallStreetDaily.com<\/u><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Original Article: <a href=\"http:\/\/ift.tt\/1kvJkez\">5 Massive Red Flags Surrounding Plug Power<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>By WallStreetDaily.com Watching a momentum stock rocket higher can be thrilling. But if there&#8217;s one thing the dot-com collapse taught us, it&#8217;s that investing in a company simply because it&#8217;s gaining steam can also lead to disaster. It appears investors haven&#8217;t learned, though&#8230; The same speculative fervor is still active on Wall Street today &#8211; [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-51692","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","no-post-thumbnail"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/51692","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=51692"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/51692\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=51692"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=51692"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=51692"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}