{"id":172619,"date":"2020-06-23T14:00:36","date_gmt":"2020-06-23T18:00:36","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.countingpips.com\/?p=172619"},"modified":"2020-06-23T13:45:33","modified_gmt":"2020-06-23T17:45:33","slug":"semiconductors-and-amd-close-to-a-breakout-move","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/2020\/06\/semiconductors-and-amd-close-to-a-breakout-move\/","title":{"rendered":"Semiconductors and AMD Close To A Breakout Move"},"content":{"rendered":"
June 23, 2020<\/div>
\r\n<\/div><\/div>

By TheTechnicalTraders<\/u><\/a>\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

– Being a technical trader means we attempt to identify opportunities in and market, symbol, or sector based on technical indicators, price patterns, advanced price theory\/modeling, and much more.\u00a0 We don\u2019t particularly care if the opportunity is a bullish breakout rally or a bearish breakdown selloff, we simply want to find the \u201csetups\u201d that create this opportunity because that is our \u201csweet spot\u201d.\u00a0 That is where the technical trader lives for the excitement of being able to find these technical setups and potential trade them for profits\/success.<\/p>\n

AMD Cup & Handle\/Pennant Daily Chart<\/strong><\/h3>\n

Let me teach you about two price patterns that are currently setting up in Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) where we can attempt to illustrate how a combination of technical triggers may align to present a very clear opportunity for technical traders.<\/p>\n

This chart highlights a Cup & Handle pattern and a Bullish Pennant\/Flag pattern.\u00a0 Ideally, the combination of these two patterns would suggest a higher probability of an upside bullish breakout rally beginning near the apex of the Pennant formation. Yet, Pennant formations, and other types of technical patterns, can often present a \u201cWashout sell-off in price\u201d near the apex (or breakout area) as a means of shaking out stops before entering the next leg of the trend.<\/p>\n

The \u201cWashout\u201d move happens as price tightens into a narrowing price channel and nears the end of a Pennant\/Flag formation pattern. This typically results in a broader price move against the predicted technical pattern trend, in this case, down.\u00a0 What happens is that traders tend to set stop levels just outside the tightening price channels as a means to protect against a price breakdown or rally against their position.\u00a0 These stop orders present very real volatility targets when price begins the Apex breakout\/breakdown event.\u00a0 The price will usually rotate against the primary technical trend for a short period of time, taking out many stops in the process, then stall and begin to move in the direction of the technical pattern predicted trend, which would be a rally towards $72.<\/p>\n

In this case with AMD, the Apex breakout move (to the upside) may be preceded by a price breakdown move near, or below, the $48 to $49 level \u2013 this is the \u201cwashout\u201d move.\u00a0 We\u2019ve highlighted what we believe is the lower technical support level in AMD near $44.\u00a0 This would represent a moderately deep downside price \u201cwashout\u201d target level for skilled technical traders.\u00a0 After this potential washout trend completes, a broader upside price trend usually sets us prompting a rally towards the original Pennant\/Flag targets and likely completing the Cup & Handle pattern breakout.<\/p>

\r\n
\r\n

Free Reports:<\/p><\/div>\r\n

\r\n

<\/a>\r\n\t Get Our Free Metatrader 4 Indicators<\/u><\/b><\/a> - Put Our Free MetaTrader 4 Custom Indicators on your charts when you join our Weekly Newsletter<\/p>

\r\n
\r\n
\r\n

<\/a>\r\n\t Get our Weekly Commitment of Traders Reports<\/u><\/b><\/a> - See where the biggest traders (Hedge Funds and Commercial Hedgers) are positioned in the futures markets on a weekly basis.<\/p>

\r\n<\/div>\r\n

\r\n
<\/div>\n
\n
\"\"<\/a><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n

The combination of the Cup & Handle pattern with the Bullish Pennant price pattern in AMD presents a very real opportunity for skilled technical traders.\u00a0 If your risk tolerance for the trade is capable of riding out the potential \u201cwashout low\u201d, then you may consider setting your long entry trades just below the $48 to $50 levels as we near the true Apex event of this trade setup.\u00a0 There is no guarantee that the washout event will move down to the lower $44 support level \u2013 so consider that level a deeper price support level representing a deeper downside price washout.<\/p>\n

Ideally, the pending Apex event of the Cup & Handle pattern and the Pennant pattern will result in a moderate 8% to 15% price washout move before the upside price trend initiates.\u00a0 This suggests that the washout rotation may end near $48 or $49, where price may find support, then begin to rally higher.\u00a0 The Breakdown Support level on this chart should be considered a \u201cfailure level\u201d for this bullish price pattern.\u00a0 If the price moves below that level when it initiates the Apex volatility, then it is very likely that support has broken down and the predicted upside price trend has failed.<\/p>\n

This is how technical traders approach many types of technical price triggers.\u00a0 We have an expected outcome for price and trends.\u00a0 We understand the volatility factors related to the trade triggers and we attempt to identify risk factors and profit capabilities before we execute any trades.\u00a0 If these parameters for our traders are adequate, then we may decide to execute the trade attempting to capture the profits.<\/p>\n

Before you continue, be sure to\u00a0opt-in to our free market trend signals<\/strong> <\/em>before closing this page, so you don\u2019t miss our next special report!<\/em><\/p>\n

Get ready, this AMD trade setup is nearing the Apex moment and our research team believes a $48 to $50 entry price range is an adequate \u201cwashout\u201d range with minor risk factors.\u00a0 Upside price targets should start near $61.50 and $69.\u00a0 If you understand how to execute the trade properly, we\u2019ve just delivered a complete blueprint for a potential Apex Breakout trade in AMD using simple technical analysis. This is the basic view of what we offer the active followers of our swing trade alert newsletter. Ride my coattails as I navigate these financial markets and build wealth one chart pattern at a time.<\/p>\n

As a technical analyst and trader since 1997, I have been through a few bull\/bear market cycles in stocks and commodities. I believe I have a good pulse on the market and timing key turning points for investing and short-term swing traders. Make 2020 and beyond incredibly profitable by following my analysis and trade alerts.<\/p>\n

Get my\u00a0Active ETF Swing Trading Newsletter<\/strong><\/a>\u00a0or if you have any type of retirement account and are looking for signals when to own equities, bonds, or cash, be sure to become a member of my\u00a0Passive Long-Term ETF Investing Signals<\/strong><\/a>\u00a0which we are about to issue a new signal for subscribers.<\/p>\n

Chris Vermeulen
\nChief Market Strategies
\nFounder of Technical Traders Ltd.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

By TheTechnicalTraders\u00a0 – Being a technical trader means we attempt to identify opportunities in and market, symbol, or sector based on technical indicators, price patterns, advanced price theory\/modeling, and much more.\u00a0 We don\u2019t particularly care if the opportunity is a bullish breakout rally or a bearish breakdown selloff, we simply want to find the \u201csetups\u201d […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-172619","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","no-post-thumbnail"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/172619","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=172619"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/172619\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":172621,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/172619\/revisions\/172621"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=172619"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=172619"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=172619"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}